Why Are Sam Bradford Topps Chrome Autos so Expensive?

[Stats]

I have been searching for some nice Sam Bradford Autos and have noticed that his 2010 Topps Chrome rookie auto consistently goes in the 150 range. There are so many other different rookie autographs of his available for a cheaper price, even ones with material, but people still pay 150 for the Chrome. What's the deal?

[mightbe]

It is very tough to pull the better autos out of Chrome.

[IndySportsCards]

It is very tough to pull the better autos out of Chrome.

Yeah, he's an A level auto and those fall maybe 1 per case, if that. Very tough pull

[Laxbam619]

As said above he's an A Level auto so the odds are very tough to pull his, plus with chrome having only 1 auto per box it makes it even more rare. Go for a nice gu/auto of him, I picked up a 2010 certified dual jsy auto of bradford for $65shipped on ebay the other night

[freethrowtommy]

If you figure that it costs about $50 per box, you can pretty much get a Bradford auto for the value of 3 boxes. Not too bad for an A level auto in Chrome.

[ebacardi2]

if you got a few when I did they were $80-$90 for the Chrome. They will drop a bit prob 120-130 range as they hit the bay in off season

[Max]

Yeah, he's an A level auto and those fall maybe 1 per case, if that. Very tough pull

So how many Sam Bradford "A" level autos were made? I'm talking about non numbered autos not the refractor ones which are numbered

Does anyone care to estimate? Is it 500? Maybe it had a similar print run to those stafford and Sanchez autos in 2009 contenders those were not numbered either but they claimed they were SP

[asujbl]

The Topps Chrome set is a realy nice set for Auto RC Collectors until the Contenders/SPA come out - Chrome, IMO, has the best design of anything so far. I'd be shocked if it stayed quite that high when the final releases come out.

[MasterPattie]

The Topps Chrome set is a realy nice set for Auto RC Collectors until the Contenders/SPA come out - Chrome, IMO, has the best design of anything so far. I'd be shocked if it stayed quite that high when the final releases come out.

Contenders & National Treasures could cut the costs of his Chrome RC. But SPA? I doubt it...not this year anyway (due to the NCAA unis).

[asujbl]

Contenders & National Treasures could cut the costs of his Chrome RC. But SPA? I doubt it...not this year anyway (due to the NCAA unis).

I still think it will - SPA, unlike SPX and Sweet Spot, has fanboys (including yours truly) that will collect it regardless of the college uniforms because they put out the best RC set and the best variety of RC's. We'll certainly see how it plays out - but I'd be shocked if SPA doesn't sell very well.

[kyle1707]

I actually think his topps chrome auto is low..

One of the best RC QB seasons of all time..

And his team was pretty bad...

I think his cards have a lot of room to go up...

[dthimesch]

Everything that was said before and because topps chrome auto rc's are the cream of the crop.

[MasterPattie]

I still think it will - SPA, unlike SPX and Sweet Spot, has fanboys (including yours truly) that will collect it regardless of the college uniforms because they put out the best RC set and the best variety of RC's. We'll certainly see how it plays out - but I'd be shocked if SPA doesn't sell very well.

See, I completely disagree. We conducted a poll regarding this issue. (http://www.blowoutcards.com/forums/football/114698-will-you-rip-spa-fb-year-since-its-all-ncaa.html)

Based on this poll, you can reasonably conclude that SPA will not be nearly as collectible this year, due to the NCAA unis. In fact, a staggering almost 50% of collectors who voted in that poll expressed their disinterest in SPA this year due to the NCAA unis.

SPA will just not be the same this year. As a result, I expect the prices of the rookie to be sigificantly less than in past years.

[asujbl]

See, I completely disagree. We conducted a poll regarding this issue. (http://www.blowoutcards.com/forums/football/114698-will-you-rip-spa-fb-year-since-its-all-ncaa.html)

Based on this poll, you can reasonably conclude that SPA will not be nearly as collectible this year, due to the NCAA unis. In fact, a staggering almost 50% of collectors who voted in that poll expressed their disinterest in SPA this year due to the NCAA unis.

SPA will just not be the same this year. As a result, I expect the prices of the rookie to be sigificantly less than in past years.

And I think 75% of the collecting population, not what Blowout members think, will show differently when the set comes out. Just my opinion.

[MasterPattie]

And I think 75% of the collecting population, not what Blowout members think, will show differently when the set comes out. Just my opinion.

Why would the general collecting population show differently than the Blowout population? What makes the general collecting population unique to the Blowout population? Isn't the Blowout population part of the general collecting population?

[asujbl]

Why would the general collecting population show differently than the Blowout population? What makes the general collecting population unique to the Blowout population? Isn't the Blowout population part of the general collecting population?

Yes - but Blowout is a very tiny part of the overall population of people that will invest the money in the cards - it's not about being unique. It's about sample size. I can find 50% of people that disapprove of alot of things - doesn't mean the general population would agree. 50% of people on this site probably can't stand Brett Favre (I bet there was a poll for that sometime) but the sample size isn't near large enough to conclude anything - as his 3rd ranked jersey sales would show that the general population still loves him.

You're telling me 109 people voting on a Blowout poll is enough to say that 50% of people won't buy SP Authentic on eBay? that's insane.

Blowout isn't a large enough sample size - find the poll about SPX (I bet there was one) - it will show the exact same thing. Yet SPX is selling better then would have been predicted on Blowout if you took those 100 people that voted.

Not sure why you are getting so defensive. I said it was my opinion - and if I was making a bet I'd say that SPA comes out selling singles at a very strong price.

[MasterPattie]

Yes - but Blowout is a very tiny part of the overall population of people that will invest the money in the cards - it's not about being unique. It's about sample size. I can find 50% of people that disapprove of alot of things - doesn't mean the general population would agree. 50% of people on this site probably can't stand Brett Favre (I bet there was a poll for that sometime) but the sample size isn't near large enough to conclude anything - as his 3rd ranked jersey sales would show that the general population still loves him.

You're telling me 109 people voting on a Blowout poll is enough to say that 50% of people won't buy SP Authentic on eBay? that's insane.

Blowout isn't a large enough sample size - find the poll about SPX - it will show the exact same thing. Yet SPX is selling better then would have been predicted on Blowout if you took those 100 people that voted.

Not sure why you are getting so defensive. I said it was my opinion - and if I was making a bet I'd say that SPA comes out selling singles at a very strong price.

I am not meaning to give you the perception that I am getting defensive, I just wanted some clarification as to your logic, that's all.

When you look at academic studies, it is very common for many of them have sample sizes in the 100-200 range. Depending on the statistical test being conducted, as long as power is sufficient, the sample size will be adequete to make generalizations about a particular population (power is a function of sample size, among other things). So, as crazy as you may think it is, a sample size of 109 may be adequete enough to determine collector attitudes regarding 2010 SPA. I would suspect that the margin of error is roughly +/- 5%.

And 2010 SPX isn't selling nearly as well as it did in 2009. Just look at these boards, for example. There were not nearly as many breaks of 2010 SPX as there were of 2009 SPX.

I know it was just your opinion, but I just don't see any evidence to support your claims, that's all.

[LincecumPC]

I still think SPA will do well but if people don't like it as some have stated, I'm fine with that so it's cheaper to get!

[kyle1707]

I still think SPA will do well but if people don't like it as some have stated, I'm fine with that so it's cheaper to get!

Im not sure about SPA this year with UD?

But i can wait to see National treasure auto patch rookies..

I bet some of those bradfords push 500-600 dollars

[LincecumPC]

I understand both sides of the argument but even with the poll, it is still a relatively small sample size of the collecting population. There were still quite a number of people on the fence about the product and I do think that people who said no to buying SPA will change their minds, just because the itch to buy something new and a historically popular set will be too much to resist. I definitely don't think it will sell as well as last year but that doesn't mean it can't be popular.

And lat I checked 2010 SPX was sold out on blowout and the single for the rookie jsy autos and patches were increasing gradually even with most teams out of the playoffs. I think that is a bit of foreshadowing for SPA but I could be wrong.

[asujbl]

I understand both sides of the argument but even with the poll, it is still a relatively small sample size of the collecting population. There were still quite a number of people on the fence about the product and I do think that people who said no to buying SPA will change their minds, just because the itch to buy something new and a historically popular set will be too much to resist. I definitely don't think it will sell as well as last year but that doesn't mean it can't be popular.

And lat I checked 2010 SPX was sold out on blowout and the single for the rookie jsy autos and patches were increasing gradually even with most teams out of the playoffs. I think that is a bit of foreshadowing for SPA but I could be wrong.

This is where my point is derived from...

People on Blowout, again a small sample size, might not be doing SPX breaks or searching actively for singles...

Yet it's going to cost you $350+ for a 1 Color Bradford SPX or $350 for a 1 ColorTebow SPX - and yes I realize these are #'d to 99 and SPA is higher #'d I believe - but the point is that the college uniforms aren't driving away alot of collectors. People are still going to pay alot for a multi color Bradford SPA patch #'d to 299 or whatever it is. I realize it might drive away 50% of blowout members - but alot of the general collecting population is still shelling out alot of cash for the SPX singles they need.