pewe
10-19-2018, 12:34 PM
I’ve never really been into Gypsy Queen, but found a good closeout deal on cases of blaster boxes, so bought three (48 blaster boxes = 336 packs).
Net net: even at closeout pricing (well below retail), this didn’t pay back the investment.
My expectations going in, based on Topps' stated pack odds:
Basic parallels: ~55 (i.e., missing name, logo swap, indigo, bazooka back, short print base)
Rare parallels: ~8 (i.e., base red/black, variation on short print, JR Day, team swap, tarot of diamond color)
Basic autograph: ~5
Variation Autograph: ~1 (i.e., variation of base autograph)
Special Autograph: >50% chance (i.e., JR Day Auto, mini, patch book, garment, sock, bases around the league)
Actual results:
301-320 short print: 26 (expected 7!)
Base Logo Swap: 9 (expected ~12)
Base Indigo: 15 (expected ~15)
Base Missing Team Name: 18 (expected ~16)
Base Bazooka Back: 3 (expected ~6)
Team Name Swap: 2 (expected ~0)
Base Auto: 5 (expected ~5)
Base Auto variation of some type: 0 (expected >1)
“Special” Auto of some type: 1 (expected ~50% chance)
Tarot of the Diamond “Green”: 2 (expected ~1)
Fortune Teller “Indigo”: 2 (expected ~1)
For 336 packs, this felt demoralizing to tear into them with very limited actual hits, but here are the few:
Aaron Judge – Team Swap!
Rafael Devers – “Green” Tarot of the Diamond #29/99
Khris Davis – “Green” Tarot of the Diamond #03/99
Khris Davis – JR Day Auto, No Logo, #92/99
Robinson Cain – Team Swap
Lance McCullers Jr – JR Day
Cory Kluber – JR Day
Amed Rosario – Base Indigo
Clint Frazier – Base No-name
Miguel Cabrera – Base No-name
David Peralta – Bazooka Back
Evan Longoria – Bazooka Back
Sonny Gray – Bazooka Back
Other Autos? Jacob Faria, Anthony Banda, Adam Duvall, Harrison Bader, Dustin Fowler
How about all those “missing blackplate” packs? 240 cards across the three cases… some popular players:
Mike Tout
Shohei Ohtani x2
Aaron Judge
Rafael Devers
Base card popular rookies?
Shohei Ohtani x 7
Miguel Andujar x 4
Rhys Hoskins x 5
Net net: even at closeout pricing (well below retail), this didn’t pay back the investment.
My expectations going in, based on Topps' stated pack odds:
Basic parallels: ~55 (i.e., missing name, logo swap, indigo, bazooka back, short print base)
Rare parallels: ~8 (i.e., base red/black, variation on short print, JR Day, team swap, tarot of diamond color)
Basic autograph: ~5
Variation Autograph: ~1 (i.e., variation of base autograph)
Special Autograph: >50% chance (i.e., JR Day Auto, mini, patch book, garment, sock, bases around the league)
Actual results:
301-320 short print: 26 (expected 7!)
Base Logo Swap: 9 (expected ~12)
Base Indigo: 15 (expected ~15)
Base Missing Team Name: 18 (expected ~16)
Base Bazooka Back: 3 (expected ~6)
Team Name Swap: 2 (expected ~0)
Base Auto: 5 (expected ~5)
Base Auto variation of some type: 0 (expected >1)
“Special” Auto of some type: 1 (expected ~50% chance)
Tarot of the Diamond “Green”: 2 (expected ~1)
Fortune Teller “Indigo”: 2 (expected ~1)
For 336 packs, this felt demoralizing to tear into them with very limited actual hits, but here are the few:
Aaron Judge – Team Swap!
Rafael Devers – “Green” Tarot of the Diamond #29/99
Khris Davis – “Green” Tarot of the Diamond #03/99
Khris Davis – JR Day Auto, No Logo, #92/99
Robinson Cain – Team Swap
Lance McCullers Jr – JR Day
Cory Kluber – JR Day
Amed Rosario – Base Indigo
Clint Frazier – Base No-name
Miguel Cabrera – Base No-name
David Peralta – Bazooka Back
Evan Longoria – Bazooka Back
Sonny Gray – Bazooka Back
Other Autos? Jacob Faria, Anthony Banda, Adam Duvall, Harrison Bader, Dustin Fowler
How about all those “missing blackplate” packs? 240 cards across the three cases… some popular players:
Mike Tout
Shohei Ohtani x2
Aaron Judge
Rafael Devers
Base card popular rookies?
Shohei Ohtani x 7
Miguel Andujar x 4
Rhys Hoskins x 5