View Full Version : 2019 FOTL Contenders Football - Dutch style
Tonic3
12-17-2019, 05:22 PM
Well, here it comes again. Another FOTL dutch auction style. This one will be interesting to watch.
This year's Panini Premium Edition FOTL Contenders NFL Trading Cards will be featured in a Dutch Auction Format.
When It Starts:
December 19th, 2019 10 AM CST
How It Works:
Set Up an account at www.paniniamerica.net (login is required).
Opening Price Starts at $600. :eek:
Price Drops every 2 minutes until product sells out.
Buy at any time.
Customers will pay the price that is active when they click the purchase button.
*All Sales are final.*
1st Off The Line is a program only available through the Panini America online store or Panini Direct App. 1st Off The Line features all of the original content of the national product release – but features exclusive content only found in the limited quantities available for those products that are part of the 1st Off The Line program.
*Product is limited to 10 boxes per transaction.* (I think they're trying to move these :doh: )
Look for 1 Rookie Ticket RPS Red Zone Autograph and 1 Season Ticket Red Zone Parallel in every FOTL box!
The iconic Rookie Ticket is back again and features the deepest rookie checklist of the year, these parallel to Playoff Ticket (max #’d /99), Rookie Ticket Stub (max #’d/99), Championship Ticket (max #’d /49), Cracked Ice Ticket (#’d /23), and Super Bowl Ticket (#’d 1/1).
Chase Rookie Ticket RPS Red Zone variations which feature unique design elements and unique photography from the standard Rookie Tickets.
Look for inserts: Rookie of the Year Contenders, MVP Contenders, Legendary Contenders, Winning Ticket, and Round Numbers.
All information is accurate at the time of posting - content is subject to change*
Siberian13
12-17-2019, 05:35 PM
What's the bottom at for this one? $120? I assume it will sell out since it's more liked than Optic.
The Accountant
12-17-2019, 05:39 PM
hm. no mention of the numbering...
SkolVikesCards
12-17-2019, 06:25 PM
hm. no mention of the numbering...
The red zone parallels are numbered. Happy to see them going away from the premium style
What's the bottom at for this one? $120? I assume it will sell out since it's more liked than Optic.
Yeah plus it has individual packs and 5 autos per box, so should do way better than Optic FOTL just for that reason. Unfortunately not likely to drop below $200 unless they make a ton, which they might.
JeremyNick
12-17-2019, 07:10 PM
Yeah plus it has individual packs and 5 autos per box, so should do way better than Optic FOTL just for that reason. Unfortunately not likely to drop below $200 unless they make a ton, which they might.
Per the write-up
“The iconic Rookie Ticket is back again and features the deepest rookie checklist of the year”
So yeah they may have produced the heck out of this.
WallyatJCCards
12-17-2019, 07:19 PM
What's the bottom at for this one? $120? I assume it will sell out since it's more liked than Optic. 180 would be my guess
eastbayak
12-17-2019, 08:53 PM
Lol, Panini pulled out their 2019 Optic FB FOTL flop release. They're smart to make Contenders a FOMO style format....at least they might sell out of it.
mnvikingstwins
12-17-2019, 08:55 PM
You'd think they would have learned by now to start the price somewhere reasonable like $400
majestik101
12-17-2019, 09:18 PM
You'd think they would have learned by now to start the price somewhere reasonable like $400
I'm way too lazy to insert the Ray Liotta laughing gif
TimBuckTwo
12-17-2019, 09:32 PM
Are there any checklists for this stuff?
I don't get the full read or possibility of pulls vet or rookies from what I am reading.
fazzle
12-17-2019, 09:59 PM
You'd think they would have learned by now to start the price somewhere reasonable like $400
As long as someone pays way the hell too much for a box, they won't start it anywhere close to reasonable.
arod305
12-17-2019, 10:11 PM
This is going to go lower than expected. There is no desire for football products this year.
Combination of a no breakout rookie and Zion mania
mossoholic
12-17-2019, 10:54 PM
People will see what Blowout and other sites are selling hobby for and there is no chance this drops below $200. Preorder on regular hobby is $215-$235. It happened today with the basketball Contenders FOTL. Everyone saw what hobby presale price was and they weren't going to let it go down anymore. Regardless of what the product is worth.
majestik101
12-17-2019, 11:26 PM
The whole concept of "Dutch Auctions" for Hobby Wax is so dumb. And gullible and naïve people are dumb or at the very least, ignorant if they believe for a second that this will sell out at whatever price Panini deems it to "ends at" at whatever Panini "says" it sells out at. Ok.
Panini's not dumb. It's a clever ploy to artificially price their products to make it seem like they are doing collectors a favor, but no way in hell Panini are going to let the price fall under what they are comfortable selling it for without taking a substantial loss.
JoshAllen3000
12-18-2019, 12:55 AM
In theory Panini could claim the "dutch auction" ended at a high price, then sell off everything to blowout and other breakers at an inflated price
zhiyuchen90
12-18-2019, 04:44 AM
I see it will sell below 200 I think 190 sell out. The optic didn't sell for long time at 125.
JeremyNick
12-18-2019, 06:56 AM
I see it will sell below 200 I think 190 sell out. The optic didn't sell for long time at 125.
Contenders is more popular than Optic. Also this is a true box + FOTL exclusives versus the “premium” format of Optic.
Which is kinda funny because if Optic has been a true box + FOTL exclusives it probably would have sold out quicker at a higher price.
bigp621
12-18-2019, 08:12 AM
Panini just wants to give people the dutch oven
brothertona
12-18-2019, 08:22 AM
It's just this year of football is putrid - with Daniel Jones crashing you've got Kyler and Josh Jacobs and Kyler has just been merely good, and Jones the same. I mean it makes for great buying opportunities for singles but for products like this get ready for a ton of rough breaks.
bigp621
12-18-2019, 08:47 AM
It's just this year of football is putrid - with Daniel Jones crashing you've got Kyler and Josh Jacobs and Kyler has just been merely good, and Jones the same. I mean it makes for great buying opportunities for singles but for products like this get ready for a ton of rough breaks.
You forget about montgomery, singletary, AJ Brown, Marquise brown too. All of them can explode at anytime.
JeremyNick
12-18-2019, 09:08 AM
You forget about montgomery, singletary, AJ Brown, Marquise brown too. All of them can explode at anytime.
But they are all Ho-hum skill position players. Football $$$ is driven by QBs.
blevins26
12-18-2019, 09:41 AM
It's just this year of football is putrid - with Daniel Jones crashing you've got Kyler and Josh Jacobs and Kyler has just been merely good, and Jones the same. I mean it makes for great buying opportunities for singles but for products like this get ready for a ton of rough breaks.
Agree with you. Could be a good offseason for buying wax & holding. I have to guess there's going to be a ton of excess inventory.
It seems to me like buy-and-hold works for wax right now much more than for singles. With singles, you need that 1 player to absolutely explode. You buy a case of wax and hold it and all it takes is 1 player in that class to explode.
bigp621
12-18-2019, 09:43 AM
Agree with you. Could be a good offseason for buying wax & holding. I have to guess there's going to be a ton of excess inventory.
It seems to me like buy-and-hold works for wax right now much more than for singles. With singles, you need that 1 player to absolutely explode. You buy a case of wax and hold it and all it takes is 1 player in that class to explode.
When wax stares me down and says open it's hard to hold lol
mrdallas
12-18-2019, 09:49 AM
Contenders is more popular than Optic. Also this is a true box + FOTL exclusives versus the “premium” format of Optic.
Which is kinda funny because if Optic has been a true box + FOTL exclusives it probably would have sold out quicker at a higher price.
Which of ALL products that are produced. Contenders is the ONLY one where the base are completely worthless. It is either Auto or bust. This would be the only box I could see them going premium content with 6 auto's and I personally would be OK with. There are no true RC's outside of auto's, and parallels are few and far between. Playoff /99?
JeremyNick
12-18-2019, 10:11 AM
Which of ALL products that are produced. Contenders is the ONLY one where the base are completely worthless. It is either Auto or bust. This would be the only box I could see them going premium content with 6 auto's and I personally would be OK with. There are no true RC's
outside of auto's, and parallels are few and far between. Playoff /99?
Yeah they should have flopped the release styles. Besides cracked ice base, there isn’t much to Contenders besides autos.
badsims
12-18-2019, 10:16 AM
Contenders is more popular than Optic. Also this is a true box + FOTL exclusives versus the “premium” format of Optic.
Which is kinda funny because if Optic has been a true box + FOTL exclusives it probably would have sold out quicker at a higher price.
Not really a true box of contenders with only 6 packs. Hobby box has 18 packs.
1st Off The Line Premium Edition 2019 Panini Contenders NFL Trading Cards comes with 6 cards per pack, 6 packs per box, and 12 boxes per case. Product will ship in the case form.
Boxes, on average, hold 5 autographs and 6 inserts!
bigp621
12-18-2019, 10:39 AM
I will try to get one FOTL at Floor. If not I will stick with Hobby. My thing is with the Hobby you chance at Cracked ice on card auto is better due to the FOTL making this an exclusive for the on card red. These aren't sought after like the cracked ice autos are.
jetscollector10
12-19-2019, 09:57 AM
This dutch style has made it really hard for flippers like me to make money. But, it has really improved the site speed and ordering process.
RoadHouse
12-19-2019, 10:08 AM
Was considering going for a box but my luck with football this year has been absolutely atrocious. Unless this drops to $100, I think I would be better off buying hockey and trying to pronounce their names properly.
Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
sethc1020
12-19-2019, 10:08 AM
This dutch style has made it really hard for flippers like me to make money. But, it has really improved the site speed and ordering process.
I think flippers are still doing well. Just checked ebay for prices on FOTL Contenders basketball and looks like they are going around $500 a box. Bottom price on the dutch was $290.
jetscollector10
12-19-2019, 10:18 AM
I think flippers are still doing well. Just checked ebay for prices on FOTL Contenders basketball and looks like they are going around $500 a box. Bottom price on the dutch was $290.
right. so most people don't get it at 290. If you get it at $310, after tax it is $330. Selling a box on ebay at $500, after fees it is like $420 net. Plus the risk of refund. So not great, but not bad. Also, some people sold for $425 a box on ebay after release.
mnvikingstwins
12-19-2019, 10:20 AM
12 box cases and max is 10 per order. Why not just make it either 6 or 12?
KhalDrogo
12-19-2019, 10:23 AM
right. so most people don't get it at 290. If you get it at $310, after tax it is $330. Selling a box on ebay at $500, after fees it is like $420 net. Plus the risk of refund. So not great, but not bad. Also, some people sold for $425 a box on ebay after release.
Scale your purchases and get as many as you can.
Basically pick a highest price you want to buy at, then continuously buy until it runs out.
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 10:24 AM
I think flippers are still doing well. Just checked ebay for prices on FOTL Contenders basketball and looks like they are going around $500 a box. Bottom price on the dutch was $290.
Still money to be made but the prices are more in line of around $450 from what I see on eBay. But football is going to be tough to make really good profit this year IMHO.
I have always loved busting NFL product, this is the first year in a while I have little to no interest.
In looking at the format of this one. With 5 autos and only six packs I am actually OK with the "premium" format here. Contenders is ONLY about the auto's anyway
The Accountant
12-19-2019, 10:54 AM
I miss the old FOTL program.
I think flippers are still doing well. Just checked ebay for prices on FOTL Contenders basketball and looks like they are going around $500 a box. Bottom price on the dutch was $290.
Unfortunately this doesn't have Zion :o
Guessing it sells out around $250, and settles on ebay $300-325 so barely worth it.
Blowout is only paying $180 for Prizm FOTL Premium which cost $200.
Tonic3
12-19-2019, 11:00 AM
Well the bottom is only $200.
NOT LOW ENOUGH
JeffG1954
12-19-2019, 11:01 AM
Was considering going for a box but my luck with football this year has been absolutely atrocious. Unless this drops to $100, I think I would be better off buying hockey and trying to pronounce their names properly.
Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
Not going to happen.....looks like bottom price is $200.
RoadHouse
12-19-2019, 11:01 AM
Not going to happen.....looks like bottom price is $200.Go figure lol
Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
cookingwine
12-19-2019, 11:01 AM
I miss the old FOTL program.
You and me both. It used to be a nice way to get boxes at MSRP. Now it is a way to get less cards and less chances at meaningful hits at hobby pricing or above, honestly.
Kind of ruined the fun. Knowing that everything is Dutch style for the main products, I am just going to hold out hope that Select basketball is the same old mess and I can get lucky.
Tonic3
12-19-2019, 11:03 AM
Only $5 every 2 minutes. I'll see you all in about 2.5 hours
Only $5 every 2 minutes. I'll see you all in about 2.5 hours
Yup will reach Hobby presell price about then, which is where it might be flippable.
bravesfan#1
12-19-2019, 11:06 AM
I think these will do well. Keeps all 5 autographs that normal boxes do, replaces one of them with an FOTL exclusive, and then scraps all the worthless base cards. People chase Contenders for the autos, unlike Prizm where a lot of the chase is the non-auto rookies.
cookingwine
12-19-2019, 11:07 AM
At least the nice thing is no one has jumped on the early price. It hurt my head to see people buying Contenders basketball at $600 earlier in the week.
cash4cards
12-19-2019, 11:07 AM
I didn't expect the floor to be that High, I was expecting something between $120-160 as a bottom.
KhalDrogo, I sent you a few PMs.
Tonic3
12-19-2019, 11:07 AM
I like that one of the preview autos is Luck :doh:
cash4cards
12-19-2019, 11:08 AM
At least the nice thing is no one has jumped on the early price. It hurt my head to see people buying Contenders basketball at $600 earlier in the week.
Do you have a tracker showing if boxes have been sold or how many are left?
cookingwine
12-19-2019, 11:09 AM
Do you have a tracker showing if boxes have been sold or how many are left?
No, but then red dot hasn't even moved yet, so if graphics haven't failed me, it means nothing has sold yet.
cash4cards
12-19-2019, 11:09 AM
It's gonna be a long wait for this to enter my buy zone.
I didn't expect the floor to be that High, I was expecting something between $120-160 as a bottom.
Wouldn't matter much since it would sell out pretty quickly if it gets close to $200.
cookingwine
12-19-2019, 11:14 AM
Semi legitimate question.
We can all presume that National Treasures will be Dutch like this, correct? Seeing that the guarantee will be a patch auto numbered to 20 or less, wouldn't it make sense, especially with basketball, to buy everything as soon as it comes out in order to corner the market?
I would never do it, but I feel like that would be the easiest way to make a profit off the Dutch auction format now. People paying $450 per box of Contenders basketball on the secondary market when they could have easily paid a good amount less on the website means that people would want the most sought after product of the year, right?
Or am I just crazy?
dcarado
12-19-2019, 11:15 AM
Wouldn't matter much since it would sell out pretty quickly if it gets close to $200.
I'm not so sure. The red foil on-card taking the place of any shot at hobby parallels (for on-card at least) really hurts FOTL. I don't see this getting much more than hobby, and people aren't exactly tripping over themselves to pre-order hobby with this class.
Side note, who are the non-RPS chases this year? Last year there was Mullen and Van Der Esch, but I can't think of anyone in this class.
I pull scrubs
12-19-2019, 11:19 AM
I'm not so sure. The red foil on-card taking the place of any shot at hobby parallels (for on-card at least) really hurts FOTL. I don't see this getting much more than hobby, and people aren't exactly tripping over themselves to pre-order hobby with this class.
Side note, who are the non-RPS chases this year? Last year there was Mullen and Van Der Esch, but I can't think of anyone in this class.
Could there be Duck Hodges in this?
rockonjp76
12-19-2019, 11:21 AM
Dropping just $5 every time, unreal...
KhalDrogo
12-19-2019, 11:25 AM
$5 drop is brutal. See y’all later.
bravesfan#1
12-19-2019, 11:26 AM
Should drop lower than Contenders basketball's final price. Optic FOTL, while not as strong as the Contenders offering, took days to sell out. The amount of people gunning for basketball is much higher than football these days. Will be interesting to see how this plays out over the next couple hours.
I pull scrubs
12-19-2019, 11:27 AM
I just know if I buy 2 of these I'll get redemption cards for Marquise Brown & AJ Brown.
The Accountant
12-19-2019, 11:31 AM
I'm checked out of this process. If I hop back on and see a price I like, I'll grab it. But if not, whatever.
majestik101
12-19-2019, 11:33 AM
What an absolute joke.
SethMurphy
12-19-2019, 11:39 AM
I'm not so sure. The red foil on-card taking the place of any shot at hobby parallels (for on-card at least) really hurts FOTL. I don't see this getting much more than hobby, and people aren't exactly tripping over themselves to pre-order hobby with this class.
Side note, who are the non-RPS chases this year? Last year there was Mullen and Van Der Esch, but I can't think of anyone in this class.
Gardner Minshew isn't a RPS player I believe
possibly Hodges if he gets a card....
but yeah no real surprises at RB/WR this year from late round or undrafted players..... Preston Williams of the Dolphins?
some of the defensive players could be interesting if they give them autos
Devin Bush
Devin White
Taylor Rapp
Josh Allen
Nick Bosa
Maxx Crosby maybe
kindbreaks
12-19-2019, 11:41 AM
I wouldn’t buy at $200
I'm not so sure. The red foil on-card taking the place of any shot at hobby parallels (for on-card at least) really hurts FOTL. I don't see this getting much more than hobby, and people aren't exactly tripping over themselves to pre-order hobby with this class.
I'm pretty sure breakers will be all over it at $200 even if it's still overpriced.
SleeperCards
12-19-2019, 11:46 AM
I was going to say someone PM me when it hits $120, but they have a $200 floor on these? This format is gross.
sethc1020
12-19-2019, 11:48 AM
Gardner Minshew isn't a RPS player I believe
possibly Hodges if he gets a card....
but yeah no real surprises at RB/WR this year from late round or undrafted players..... Preston Williams of the Dolphins?
some of the defensive players could be interesting if they give them autos
Devin Bush
Devin White
Taylor Rapp
Josh Allen
Nick Bosa
Maxx Crosby maybe
Stupid question I should know but what is RPS for contenders? Rookie Premier Signature?
JeremyNick
12-19-2019, 11:52 AM
They are dragging this one out. Should have started the bidding at $400
Soxfanguy
12-19-2019, 11:52 AM
What does this sell out at you think? I'm guessing low judging how dead this thread is
dcarado
12-19-2019, 11:58 AM
They are dragging this one out. Should have started the bidding at $400
This would've been the perfect product to do a "premium" version and just sell at $200 /box. Sales would probably end up around the same, and nobody cares about the base and parallels in Contenders. Just 5 autos and a couple parallels would've been fine (although I do enjoy that fresh Contenders base smell :D).
bigp621
12-19-2019, 12:00 PM
Miles Sanders. He was a stick auto in draft picks
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 12:01 PM
My gosh it is still at $450? Talk about a snoozer. I have my timer set for 1 hour from now before i look back at the site. What a joke
JeremyNick
12-19-2019, 12:03 PM
What does this sell out at you think? I'm guessing low judging how dead this thread is
Probably $220.
kindbreaks
12-19-2019, 12:17 PM
Ok maybe I would by a box at $200 but not $200 plus Illinois tax F THAT
Tnooky
12-19-2019, 12:25 PM
I could see these selling out between 280-320. Check how expensive 2017-2018 contenders boxes are.
tadams1996
12-19-2019, 12:27 PM
I could see these selling out between 280-320. Check how expensive 2017-2018 contenders boxes are.
Look at the names in those boxes though.
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 12:28 PM
I could see these selling out between 280-320. Check how expensive 2017-2018 contenders boxes are.
Who is the Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes from this years draft class?? 2018 Had Baker mania first as well
Tnooky
12-19-2019, 12:36 PM
Who is the Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes from this years draft class?? 2018 Had Baker mania first as well
Exactly, those years boxes are both right around 1k. So 2019 I predict will sell at the previously mentioned prices.
I could see these selling out between 280-320. Check how expensive 2017-2018 contenders boxes are.
That would take the pressure off deciding whether it's worth $225-240.
rockonjp76
12-19-2019, 12:40 PM
Exactly, those years boxes are both right around 1k. So 2019 I predict will sell at the previously mentioned prices.
As in today's prices. But what were those boxes being sold at right when they came out before we knew what these players would develop into?
Tnooky
12-19-2019, 12:40 PM
That would take the pressure off deciding whether it's worth $225-240.
My personal buy price is right around there as well.
cash4cards
12-19-2019, 12:50 PM
I think they just added more time to the timer
KOs Cardroom
12-19-2019, 12:52 PM
If super SP prizm sparkle packs cant sell out, not sure why these would go for a premium
KhalDrogo
12-19-2019, 12:54 PM
I could honestly see these going to $200. I think Panini dropped the ball with that Optic release. Everyone knows there’s such little interest in this year’s stuff. The quick flip is non-existent. Rip or long term hold only.
WallyatJCCards
12-19-2019, 12:55 PM
You'd think they would have learned by now to start the price somewhere reasonable like $400 It would be interesting to see how many people buy at the IPO or close to it. FOTL has become a buzzword in the hobby - folks who don't check these boards hourly, like many of us do - have no idea what's good, what's bad, what's hype, etc - they see FOTL and Contenders and hit Buy, Buy, Buy
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 12:57 PM
I could honestly see these going to $200. I think Panini dropped the ball with that Optic release. Everyone knows there’s such little interest in this year’s stuff. The quick flip is non-existent. Rip or long term hold only.
Should be the new MOTTO around here. Not, how much can I flip these for. Rather. Should I rip or hold LONG term. At these prices I am thinking neither :D
majestik101
12-19-2019, 01:03 PM
Maybe it's just me but 2019 Playoff with the bonus packs at $100 is a better rip. Plus you have the chance of pulling the limited edition Contenders Preview autos.
tmar214
12-19-2019, 01:08 PM
Don't think these sell out above the 200$ final price. Contenders FOTL has always been a bit odd w the non numbered parallel. With 40 regular RPS and 40 variation RPS could easily be ~4,000 boxes of this made.
lbailey
12-19-2019, 01:09 PM
Don't think these sell out above the 200$ final price. Contenders FOTL has always been a bit odd w the non numbered parallel. With 40 regular RPS and 40 variation RPS could easily be ~4,000 boxes of this made.
The wheels are turning very slowly. I think it sells out in the next ten minutes.
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 01:10 PM
The wheels are turning very slowly. I think it sells out in the next ten minutes.
Bots probably got turned on at $290. I think these sell out at around $260 which is still to high IMHO
sportzkid
12-19-2019, 01:11 PM
These SHOULD be available at $200 but Im not sure they will be
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 01:14 PM
These SHOULD be available at $200 but Im not sure they will be
Totally Agree, but they wont be. Panini will buy them themselves above that. If it hits the floor that would be embarrassing to say the least
Silverandgold
12-19-2019, 01:15 PM
Kind of sad when regular hobby is starting to get better and sell higher than FOTL....
dcarado
12-19-2019, 01:16 PM
Estimates on red zone rps prices?...
Kyler - $400
Danny Dimes - $350
Haskins - $200
Minshew - $200
Too high/low? I'm just not seeing the upside vs hobby.
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 01:17 PM
Estimates on red zone rps prices?...
Kyler - $400
Danny Dimes - $350
Haskins - $200
Minshew - $200
Too high/low? I'm just not seeing the upside vs hobby.
I think those may be high even.
Kyler - $275
Danny Dimes - $250
Haskins - $180
Minshew - $150
Tonic3
12-19-2019, 01:20 PM
HOOOOOOLD
Oh wait, I don't need to tell everyone that ;)
dcarado
12-19-2019, 01:20 PM
I think those may be high even.
Kyler - $275
Danny Dimes - $250
Haskins - $180
Minshew - $150
I'm guessing at release price but you may be right. At least in hobby the mid-level guys' cracked ice will do well. In this it feels like Kyler/Jones or bust, since you'll be lucky to get $20 out of the other 4 autos in most boxes.
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 01:21 PM
$225? Maybe? These are about to sell out. Spinning wheel right now
I'm guessing at release price but you may be right. At least in hobby the mid-level guys' cracked ice will do well. In this it feels like Kyler/Jones or bust, since you'll be lucky to get $20 out of the other 4 autos in most boxes.
Yeah.. Cracked ice seem to always do well. Can you get a cracked ice of the big names in the FOTL? or just the premium Red Auto
sethc1020
12-19-2019, 01:22 PM
I personally think Haskins is going to the best QB from this draft.
I wonder if Optic actually sold out or if someone like Blowout made a lower offer for what they had left.
Tonic3
12-19-2019, 01:23 PM
I wonder if Optic actually sold out or if someone like Blowout made a lower offer for what they had left.
I highly doubt it sold out, I think they just took the listing down.
dcarado
12-19-2019, 01:24 PM
$225? Maybe?
Yeah.. Cracked ice seem to always do well. Can you get a cracked ice of the big names in the FOTL? or just the premium Red Auto
Historically I think the red zone is the only on-card.
sethc1020
12-19-2019, 01:25 PM
I highly doubt it sold out, I think they just took the listing down.
I agree with this and was my thought when I checked it today. I bet the pulled them so people wouldn't be afraid of this release.
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 01:25 PM
Man tax is brutal. The boxes are still at 250+ with tax. Even at the floor they will be almost $220 per box
KOs Cardroom
12-19-2019, 01:25 PM
i might buy a couple at 205, just for the laugh
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 01:26 PM
i might buy a couple at 205, just for the laugh
I wonder if these hit the floor and take 20 minutes or more to sell out. Yikes. Or crazier. Not until Saturday
lbailey
12-19-2019, 01:26 PM
Will Blowout offer on these?
tke1600
12-19-2019, 01:27 PM
Will Blowout offer on these?
Yes. $195 each :)
Tonic3
12-19-2019, 01:27 PM
Will Blowout offer on these?
No, why would they. They can buy them right now.
bravesfan#1
12-19-2019, 01:27 PM
Will Blowout offer on these?
Doubt it, this is a bust now or hold for next year product.
Will Blowout offer on these?
They didn't even on Contenders NBA, so my guess would be probably maybe not :D
They may offer $170 so something after it sells out.
lbailey
12-19-2019, 01:28 PM
So will this have a resale value at all?
KOs Cardroom
12-19-2019, 01:29 PM
not for a while
you'll need haskins/kyler/dimes/lock to show out next season
KhalDrogo
12-19-2019, 01:31 PM
I urge everyone not to buy this. Need lower floors for future releases. Don’t reward Panini here.
KOs Cardroom
12-19-2019, 01:32 PM
that wont do anything. they'll just not do dutch auctions and sell them at 399
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 01:33 PM
So will this have a resale value at all?
Yes, buy them all now
lbailey
12-19-2019, 01:33 PM
Yes, buy them all now
I just did!
KOs Cardroom
12-19-2019, 01:35 PM
LOL!!
mrdallas trolling cost that guy some money
WhacksPacks
12-19-2019, 01:35 PM
You're looking at $40 per auto at least even at floor level. There will be TONS of $1-$5 autos in this. I just don't see the value right now.
majestik101
12-19-2019, 01:36 PM
The draft class sucks. These would be a tough buy at $150.
I'll save my $$ and buy a Nick Bosa eventually as that's the only player worth buying.
Tonic3
12-19-2019, 01:36 PM
The fact that FOTL isn't selling at pre-sale hobby prices just goes to show how overpriced the Hobby boxes are.
Tnooky
12-19-2019, 01:36 PM
Grabbed 1 at 215, checkout was super slow.
KOs Cardroom
12-19-2019, 01:37 PM
just did a test here at 210, was fast
sportzkid
12-19-2019, 01:37 PM
Grabbed 1 at 215, checkout was super slow.
I bought 2 at $215 and was done in 10 seconds literally lol
Ajax1723
12-19-2019, 01:38 PM
I got 6 at 210, took about 90 seconds for the page to load. Wanted to make sure I got a few though.
jason122883
12-19-2019, 01:38 PM
I bought 1 at $210. Checkout was slow for me. My first FOTL box
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 01:39 PM
LOL!!
mrdallas trolling cost that guy some money
I hope NOT. Simply ribbing the question :)!
At 120 easy flip. at 200 plus tax. No money to be made right now unless a HUGE start to next year for one of the big three. OR if WILL Grier Blows up in the next two weeks
KOs Cardroom
12-19-2019, 01:39 PM
bought one at 205 for the lols
WhacksPacks
12-19-2019, 01:40 PM
Hit the floor NOW it's jammed lmao
jetscollector10
12-19-2019, 01:40 PM
bought one for $205. think these have some potential long term if the fotl content is good and one or two guys jump.
Soxfanguy
12-19-2019, 01:40 PM
Down to 200 and not sold out...
ldsports
12-19-2019, 01:40 PM
i am really surprised it got to $200. Under presale of regular is a good buy for those who rip
mnvikingstwins
12-19-2019, 01:41 PM
Grabbed 2 at $210, 4 at $205, 8 at $200. Will bust the 2 and hold the case
lbailey
12-19-2019, 01:41 PM
wheels are turning
mnvikingstwins
12-19-2019, 01:42 PM
Sold out or reposting at regular $200?
sportzkid
12-19-2019, 01:42 PM
its gone!
lbailey
12-19-2019, 01:42 PM
And gone
WhacksPacks
12-19-2019, 01:42 PM
sold out
jetscollector10
12-19-2019, 01:42 PM
Sold out or reposting at regular $200?
weird. let's see how they handle this. It says sold out but they definitely didn't "sell out".
Soxfanguy
12-19-2019, 01:42 PM
Timer ended and it says it's sold out. What happens if timer ends and it's not sold out?
odd it sold out right when the timer expired
Ajax1723
12-19-2019, 01:43 PM
sold out
Don't think so, it just turned to that when the timer ran out.
mnvikingstwins
12-19-2019, 01:43 PM
Hoping if it didn't actually sell out they just don't make the extra possible inventory at $200
jetscollector10
12-19-2019, 01:43 PM
back up at 200$
Soxfanguy
12-19-2019, 01:43 PM
New link at 200
https://www.paniniamerica.net/cards/trading-cards/fotl-premium-edition-2019-panini-contenders-nfl-trading-cards.html
KOs Cardroom
12-19-2019, 01:43 PM
confirmed not sold out
bravesfan#1
12-19-2019, 01:44 PM
bought 2 @ $250 just to make sure I got some. Grabbed one more at $230 to hold me over to the floor. Sold out while my payment was processing on the 6 @ $200!!!
KhalDrogo
12-19-2019, 01:44 PM
It’s not sold out. I can still buy.
SethMurphy
12-19-2019, 01:44 PM
wait....... this didn't sell out....
wow, FOTL Optic doesn't even come close, and now this..... FOTL football this year just isn't a thing is it.....
I still don't think I'm buying, but wow I see it in stock and that's wild
Snagdizzle
12-19-2019, 01:44 PM
Lol this didnt sell out. This is when charging prices agnostic to rookie classes comes back to bite Panini. Class is mediocre, thus its actual "value" is dramitically less than LY product.
ldsports
12-19-2019, 01:45 PM
so i bought 10 at 220. if i buy 2 more at 200 will i get a sealed case?
bigp621
12-19-2019, 01:45 PM
I bought 2. LCS said it would be 210 a box for the Hobby
rockonjp76
12-19-2019, 01:45 PM
Guys is this worth the risk for 1 box? I cant decide lol.
Tonic3
12-19-2019, 01:45 PM
Oh it's definitely not sold out. Easy to buy right now at $200
I pull scrubs
12-19-2019, 01:45 PM
got 2 at $205, I think - it shows processing on my orders but had problems (IMAGINE THAT) at checkout saying they could not deliver to my address on file
Soxfanguy
12-19-2019, 01:45 PM
It's out of stock now
Ajax1723
12-19-2019, 01:45 PM
Limiting me to 5 per transaction now instead of 10.
bigp621
12-19-2019, 01:46 PM
It's sold out now. I say now secondary market it's going to go for 3-350
Pretty safe long-term hold at $200. Price will be higher in Sept one way or the other. Bought 5
okumeister
12-19-2019, 01:46 PM
I don't usually buy Football cards, but bought 1 at the bottom price $200 to try it out.
fduran27
12-19-2019, 01:47 PM
It's sold out now. I say now secondary market it's going to go for 3-350
pretty sure bots got in at the 200 on the new page
I got 8 boxes at $225.25 counting tax each after I dollar cost average them.
I'm happy :D
ilikenicecards
12-19-2019, 01:49 PM
Are the red zone just paper? They should make them foil.
rippev
12-19-2019, 01:49 PM
Contenders is the class for football. I’m in for a couple boxes even with this mediocre class. All it takes is one QB.
mrdallas
12-19-2019, 01:49 PM
I bought one at $200 just because. Although, have an email from Panini with Confirmation number, CC Charged, but order history shows NOTHING on website. First time that has happened to me. With confirm email and charge thinking OK but we shall see
bravesfan#1
12-19-2019, 01:50 PM
After taxes, I got 8 boxes at an average box price of $226. I'm happy with that. They'll go on the wax shelf and make a reappearance next summer with football hype.
Tnooky
12-19-2019, 01:50 PM
Got 1 at 215, 2 at 205, and 1 at 200. Glad I didn’t bite too early.
pretty sure bots got in at the 200 on the new page
And/or Blowout had 40 employees ready to buy the second it hit bottom
prodigylush
12-19-2019, 01:52 PM
Attempted 3 at $200 but had issues with payment. Dangit.
JeremyNick
12-19-2019, 01:54 PM
It's sold out now. I say now secondary market it's going to go for 3-350
I highly doubt it. If there is a secondary market I would guess it’s below $300. I’m willing to be 80% of these boxes sold below $300, probably more. Just little demand this year with the rookie class having no standout QBs.
lbailey
12-19-2019, 01:54 PM
If BO is selling hobby at $235.00 what will they sell these at?
majestik101
12-19-2019, 01:55 PM
Sold Out? Not Sold Out? Typical Panini shenanigans :cry:
Sold Out? Not Sold Out? Typical Panini shenanigans :cry:
I don't think it was necessarily shenanigans - the sold out came up automatically at the end of the timer because they expected it to be at that point. And it apparently almost was since the repost lasted only a couple minutes.
KhalDrogo
12-19-2019, 01:59 PM
I passed. No immediate flip potential. Much better hobby wide options for long term holds.
If BO is selling hobby at $235.00 what will they sell these at?
They are $290 on Prizm FOTL so at least $300, maybe more.
cash4cards
12-19-2019, 02:02 PM
I think the hobby spent all it's money on Luka, Giannis, Juan Soto and Acuna :) That's why the demand is lower i guess.
I highly doubt it. If there is a secondary market I would guess it’s below $300.
Already 1 on ebay for $300 OBO
prodigylush
12-19-2019, 02:12 PM
Already 1 on ebay for $300 OBO
People will take the $25-50 profit per box and move on*
*assumes sale at $300
Race to the bottom.
JeremyNick
12-19-2019, 02:16 PM
Already 1 on ebay for $300 OBO
Demand low as it lingered and hit the floor.
Plenty of buyers didn’t have FOMO. The fact that they are at $100 above the floor within 15 minutes of selling out is not a good sign.
Demand low as it lingered and hit the floor.
Plenty of buyers didn’t have FOMO. The fact that they are at $100 above the floor within 15 minutes of selling out is not a good sign.
It was pretty much a given that it wouldn't be immediately flippable for a profit since you'd be lucky to break even on Prizm FOTL right now.
one did just sell for $279 + $10 shipping
Stats
12-19-2019, 02:24 PM
Man, Panini is really hitting us with products hard before Christmas
The Accountant
12-19-2019, 02:27 PM
got 3 at $230. I'm happy.
sethc1020
12-19-2019, 02:35 PM
It was pretty much a given that it wouldn't be immediately flippable for a profit since you'd be lucky to break even on Prizm FOTL right now.
Prizm basketball FOTL had a terrible Premium format that didn't resemble hobby prizm at all.
cash4cards
12-19-2019, 02:42 PM
one did just sell for $279 + $10 shipping
Unfortunately that was listed at $279obo +$10, it actually sold for $260+$10ship
cash4cards
12-19-2019, 02:44 PM
Damn my shoe bots, they cost me huge. I turned them on at $350 and had to shut them off, ran out of money :P
DadofTwins
12-19-2019, 02:52 PM
Unfortunately that was listed at $279obo +$10, it actually sold for $260+$10ship
But buyer also received 10% EBay Bucks
Onepocketj
12-19-2019, 03:32 PM
But buyer also received 10% EBay Bucks
So basically $234 which is probably cheaper than a lot of people bought it for. Still way overpriced though.
rippev
12-19-2019, 05:08 PM
When does hobby come out? I’m wondering when these will ship.
ninjacookies
12-19-2019, 07:16 PM
Another fotl football product?
Slept in like a baby. No ragrets.
cash4cards
12-19-2019, 11:16 PM
When does hobby come out? I’m wondering when these will ship.
On the sale sheet it said expected ship date is Dec. 30th.
bigp621
12-21-2019, 10:41 AM
any get the shipping email yet?
Mine all shipped this morning.
rippev
12-24-2019, 01:09 AM
Yea, shipping earlier than they said. Supposed to arrive Friday for me.
bigp621
12-24-2019, 08:53 AM
Thursday for me.
mnvikingstwins
12-29-2019, 02:33 PM
Fairly underwhelming first two- Sanders and Harris red zone redemptions, Jakobi Meyers base auto and variation playoff /49, Julian Love, Dillon Mitchell, Rock Ya Sin, Ben Burr, Bruce Anderson, Antoine Wesley base autos, McCaffrey and Cooper reds
rippev
12-29-2019, 06:27 PM
Fairly underwhelming first two- Sanders and Harris red zone redemptions, Jakobi Meyers base auto and variation playoff /49, Julian Love, Dillon Mitchell, Rock Ya Sin, Ben Burr, Bruce Anderson, Antoine Wesley base autos, McCaffrey and Cooper reds
How many more do you have?
mnvikingstwins
12-29-2019, 09:11 PM
How many more do you have?
Have a case coming hopefully tomorrow but still says Tuesday. So many redemptions in it see it tough to hold
bigp621
12-29-2019, 09:22 PM
My 2 was solid. Points and Murray in first box. 2nd had the metcalf silver ticket /2 redemption and hockenson fotl redemption. Metcalf was a bonus
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
rippev
12-29-2019, 11:11 PM
Daniel Jones red zone sold on bids for $1125.
The Accountant
12-30-2019, 12:31 AM
Daniel Jones red zone sold on bids for $1125.
Wow. That's awesome. The reds look sweeettttt.
rippev
12-30-2019, 12:46 AM
Wow. That's awesome. The reds look sweeettttt.
So cool. Very different from the normal rookie tickets. These will age well into the playoffs and offseason and grow.
okumeister
12-31-2019, 11:21 PM
This thread looks dead, but thought to share my pulls from opening a box (my only box) today.
Weird angle on the pic, as I tried to avoid the reflection of lighting as much as possible.
I don’t watch football as much as baseball, but was surprised seeing Jack Lambert auto, and N’keal Harry seem to be a player with lots of upside.
Also, I thought it would be Daniel Jones when I saw Giants helmet and rookie logo as I slow rolled...
https://i.imgur.com/Khyuz6gl.jpg
bulljh
01-03-2020, 04:35 PM
What would you put a Daniel Jones cracked ice auto at? Over/under 1K?
ichirorox
01-03-2020, 04:52 PM
What would you put a Daniel Jones cracked ice auto at? Over/under 1K?
Under
sportzkid
01-03-2020, 10:32 PM
What would you put a Daniel Jones cracked ice auto at? Over/under 1K?
Under
Please if either of you get one sell it to me. Laughable to think these will be under 1k for ice. I plan to buy 1 or 2 anyway but at 1k Id buy every last one
ilikenicecards
01-03-2020, 10:34 PM
What would you put a Daniel Jones cracked ice auto at? Over/under 1K?
Definitely over $1,000 on a cracked ice Daniel Jones.
ilikenicecards
01-03-2020, 10:48 PM
Definitely over $1,000 on a cracked ice Daniel Jones.
Already one on ebay and it's already at a bid of $1,425 with 5 days to go.
https://www.ebay.com/itm/DANIEL-JONES-2019-Contenders-Rookie-Ticket-Cracked-Ice-Refractor-On-Card-Auto-23/223832204311?hash=item341d706417:g:ltsAAOSw6IVeD~re
bulljh
01-04-2020, 01:43 AM
Thanks for the input. I got what I needed.
KevJo
01-04-2020, 01:46 AM
Has their been a print run on the Season ticket FOTL Red vet cards yet. I see a lot of people are saying /16, has this been formally released or no?
Kevin
silverandblack
01-04-2020, 06:40 AM
Has their been a print run on the Season ticket FOTL Red vet cards yet. I see a lot of people are saying /16, has this been formally released or no?
Kevin
Ive been curious as well, I see the /16 all over EBAY but can't find any confirmation of this anywhere.
Ive picked up several base red zone veterans for 2-5 bucks apiece from sellers I dont think care or know what they are.
bigp621
01-04-2020, 09:40 AM
I got the Michael Thomas Red. Probably going to list it for about 30-40 His stuff is fire right now
rmw10
01-04-2020, 09:04 PM
Not just FOTL related, but anyone else feel listing prices are extremely high right now? I know Contenders is always overpriced on the market from the jump, but it seems to be over the top this year. UDFA rookies with 30+ listings on eBay and people are still listing for like $40 BIN. I know patience is the name of the game, but just interesting to see.
sethc1020
01-06-2020, 09:21 AM
Not just FOTL related, but anyone else feel listing prices are extremely high right now? I know Contenders is always overpriced on the market from the jump, but it seems to be over the top this year. UDFA rookies with 30+ listings on eBay and people are still listing for like $40 BIN. I know patience is the name of the game, but just interesting to see.
Yeah prices are always over inflated at the beginning, once more and more start popping up prices will settle. Never buy at the very beginning unless you get a deal. Which happens, I got a Haskins base RC auto for $175 buy it now but the next day the seller cancelled the order. Must have seen the were selling higher. I also picked up a Haskins cracked ice for 1k, felt like a great deal to me. A Drew Lock did over 2k already on bids.
I really hate that some have sticker autos!!!!!
rmw10
01-06-2020, 09:28 AM
Yeah prices are always over inflated at the beginning, once more and more start popping up prices will settle. Never buy at the very beginning unless you get a deal. Which happens, I got a Haskins base RC auto for $175 buy it now but the next day the seller cancelled the order. Must have seen the were selling higher. I also picked up a Haskins cracked ice for 1k, felt like a great deal to me. A Drew Lock did over 2k already on bids.
Maybe I'm just mis-remembering previous years, but just seems to be at another level this year. Feels like double inflation.
sethc1020
01-06-2020, 09:35 AM
Maybe I'm just mis-remembering previous years, but just seems to be at another level this year. Feels like double inflation.
They are, its the Mahomes effect. People saw how high this stuff could go if a player is lights out. Look at Bakers last year, prices were crazy then they traded for ODB and they were to the moon! Im afraid to even look at Lamar Jackson prices now, I had several base and variation 9.5s I sold about 2 weeks before the explosion in prices. Now this year base rc autos seem to be about double the normal rate for the top QBs for contenders.
KevJo
01-06-2020, 01:12 PM
Ive been curious as well, I see the /16 all over EBAY but can't find any confirmation of this anywhere.
Ive picked up several base red zone veterans for 2-5 bucks apiece from sellers I dont think care or know what they are.
Have not seen anything official on this, my guess is they haven't, no answer as of yet. Not sure where the /16 came from other than seeing it on Ebay.
Kevin
rippev
04-12-2020, 12:54 PM
Bumping up an old thread, but has anybody had much success hitting a big card other than the red FOTL exclusive from these? Cracked ice, acetate, etc?
Bumping up an old thread, but has anybody had much success hitting a big card other than the red FOTL exclusive from these? Cracked ice, acetate, etc?
Most of this is being kept sealed.
Haven't seen enough to know honestly.
sinkswim
04-13-2020, 10:04 PM
I pulled a Mike Weber cracked ice out of one of mine, so it's possible?https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200414/8a626f21cbc7fa4f06537d415248756f.jpg
Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk
rippev
04-14-2020, 08:14 PM
I pulled a Mike Weber cracked ice out of one of mine, so it's possible?https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200414/8a626f21cbc7fa4f06537d415248756f.jpg
Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk
Thanks! This convinced me to watch a few breaks on youtube, and saw a few more with good hits outside of the Red Zone! Think I'll pick a few up.
marvelfan2019
05-12-2020, 09:10 PM
So I thought I'd bump this thread.
Just curious if boxes are worth grabbing at current prices with Kyler getting more love.
rippev
05-12-2020, 09:49 PM
So I thought I'd bump this thread.
Just curious if boxes are worth grabbing at current prices with Kyler getting more love.
These are one of the more reasonably priced items. I bought 10 boxes and ripped 3, they look great in hand. I’ll probably be opening more as football gets nearer.
So I thought I'd bump this thread.
Just curious if boxes are worth grabbing at current prices with Kyler getting more love.
Just buy the Kyler outright at ~$1k. I picked up another one last week below $1k. They are not selling for a huge premium over the base right now, but for my money it’s 100x better looking card. With the Cardinals having red as their primary color it really makes the card one of the best looking Kyler’s I’ve seen. I don’t have a lot of good things to say about Panini but I feel like they nailed the Red Zone cards this year. Now if only I could find a Drew Lock for cheaper than Kyler. I just flat out refuse to pay more for Lock out of principle.
Otherwise look forward to spending $350 on Andy Isabella and Gary Jennings Jr auto’s.
trouts2
05-13-2020, 12:18 AM
I love the red zone autos this year. Making the red background really pops out, much better than just the red foil from years past. Luckily I got in early on a couple lock autos and got one graded. Here’s to a full NFL season
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200513/be00e4b9e797d54f5ec35d168e8fe549.jpg
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I love the red zone autos this year. Making the red background really pops out, much better than just the red foil from years past. Luckily I got in early on a couple lock autos and got one graded. Here’s to a full NFL season
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200513/be00e4b9e797d54f5ec35d168e8fe549.jpg
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
That’s a beauty. Another good thing I’ve noticed about Red Zone is they seem to come out of the box in really good shape for a dark colored card. Mine are going to PSA soon.
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