View Full Version : General 2007 Bowman Chrome discussion
CaptainBOHICA
11-04-2007, 10:56 AM
didn't want to hijack all the other threads with my question so i decided to make this general thread....
but do you guys think that a "master set" that includes all the rookie cards #'d 1-55 would sell better than just a master set with rookies #56- ?
or do you think the lower numbered rookies will not affect the master set price?
otmack2o
11-04-2007, 11:32 AM
You might get $5 - $10 extra for having rookies 1-55 included
CaptainBOHICA
11-04-2007, 11:34 AM
eh. might not worth the extra hassle of purchasing those sets then lol
jebjeb1
11-04-2007, 03:25 PM
What do you guys think the best way to move the chrome RCs might be? I was thinking about doing 10 card lots like in baseball but there just doesn't seem to be much demand for anyone other than the top rookies in the set. If I bust I'm assuming I will be lucky to get $5 for the base non-rc chrome sets.
Jughead
11-04-2007, 03:48 PM
Lots don't work in football because prospectors are the reason baseball lots make money. You just have to do team sets (if you're early) or complete sets.
CaptainBOHICA
11-04-2007, 04:39 PM
how much should master sets go for?
would master sets be the way to go? i think someone said before that its harder to move football team lots than it is with baseball team lots
jebjeb1
11-04-2007, 05:00 PM
You will get a ton of base A Peterson cards in each case so you have to figure out the best way to use those cards to maximize your sales. If he has a few more big games these will be the draw of the release so you have to decide if Peterson will help drive set sales or if you are better off selling him as singles.
My guess is Peterson single chrome cards will fetch at least $25 out of the gate so a master set if the market is not flooded might be good for $60 each.
otmack2o
11-04-2007, 05:11 PM
Hell, Lynch had 29 carries for 153 yards and a TD today. I think that these two alone can drive up the prices on Bowman Chrome football.
I think that a lot of Lynch items are a bargain right now.
jebjeb1
11-04-2007, 05:23 PM
I think all the big RCs except Peterson are on sale right now. None of the top QBs picked are starting except Edwards and there is way to much talent there for these guys not to make an impact next year. Selvin Young will be starting the rest of the season once Henry is kicked out of the league on Monday and Michael Bush in Oakland would have been a second round pick if healthy will be playing in a few weeks. I also like the long term future for Calvin Johnson (no suprise), Dwayne Bowe in KC and James Jones in GB.
Jughead
11-04-2007, 05:26 PM
Henry is going to make this wait till the off-season. Sell Selvin cards now.
Same story for Marshawn as with AP. Imagine if he had a better QB in Buffelkill.
jebjeb1
11-05-2007, 10:52 AM
Now I may be breaking instead of selling my cases.
I doubt this will last when Bowman Chrome is released in 3 weeks, but Peterson BASE Topps Chrome RCs are fetching a steady $35 on Ebay right now. A base Topps Chrome auto went for $450. This should move Bowman Chrome pricing up this week.
Each case of Bowman Chrome will yield 3-4 base Peterson RCs. Now the big question will be how to sell these guys?
I think the encased uncirculated box topper Peterson cards will be $75 early on and on multiple cases you should have no trouble landing a few of these guys.
CaptainBOHICA
11-05-2007, 10:55 AM
where do you draw the line between selling the hot RC's as singles vs selling them within a master set?
if my numbers were right and barring any weird collation issues, you should get about 5 rookie sets/case, and about 3 base sets/case....
maybe it all depends on early pricing on master sets vs rookie sets vs rookie singles
jebjeb1
11-05-2007, 11:02 AM
maybe it all depends on early pricing on master sets vs rookie sets vs rookie singles
Bingo. Sets are a lot less work to ship, but sometimes slices of pie sell better than the whole pie.
You have to figure the top 5 rookies will sell for at least $55 as singles early on so you have to make sure sets fetch at least more than that.
Peterson - $30
Lynch - $10
Russell - $5
Quinn - $5
C. Johnson - $5
Can't tell who how many times I have sold 2-3 cards from a set for more than what the set was worth and ended up with thousands of singles I end of just trashing. Don't worry Jug, next time I will send them your way for free.
otmack2o
11-05-2007, 11:03 AM
Captain, at one RC per pack, you are looking at 3.27 of each rookie card per case.
CaptainBOHICA
11-05-2007, 11:06 AM
this might be more of a problem for those only busting one case vs those busting more than one case. i plan on getting at least 3 cases and I had in mind to try to make 5-6 master sets, then a few team lots, and a few rookie sets , etc
my big thing right now is figuring out pricing for a master set, then in my head, pricing for everything else will fall into place
CaptainBOHICA
11-05-2007, 11:08 AM
Captain, at one RC per pack, you are looking at 3.27 of each rookie card per case.
IF collation is halfway decent. hopefully the early breakers will have something good to say about collation, right?
jebjeb1
11-05-2007, 11:12 AM
Topps Chrome FB sets are moving for $100 to $150 last night so that should be a good starting point for Bowman Chrome sets.
Do you remember what you got last year per set?
This is when you might actually hope collation is "bad" where you get 5 Alan Branch RCs in 4 cases and 15 Peterson rookies.
Keep in mind the hype will die down for Peterson in a few weeks.
otmack2o
11-05-2007, 11:21 AM
I can remember selling a Bowman Chrome set of 220 cards (110 vets and 110 RCs) for around $100, but that was a few months after the product released.
zammos1
11-05-2007, 11:23 AM
Keep in mind the hype will die down for Peterson in a few weeks.
If he approaches 2,000 yards it won't.
CaptainBOHICA
11-05-2007, 11:28 AM
Topps Chrome FB sets are moving for $100 to $150 last night so that should be a good starting point for Bowman Chrome sets.
if that is with topps chrome, then depending on how the rc class does leading up to release, do you think that 175-200 for a master set is a reach?
if thats the case, and IF you can put together 3 master sets/case, then i personally would be all about putting together master sets, selling the top named parallels as singles, lower named parallels in lots
even at 150/master set i would be inclined to do so. (150x3 = 450, leaves you 100 or so to break even.. and with all the parallels/autos - could be easy)
but thats if all the IF's fall into place.
otmack2o
11-05-2007, 11:34 AM
I don't think that Bowman Chrome 165 card sets should out sell Topps Chrome 265 card sets.
For one, Topps Chrome is more expensive per box. Secondly, there are 100 RCs in Topps Chrome and they are inserted 1 per every other pack. For Bowman Chrome, there are 55 RCs and they are inserted 1 per pack.
I am sure that initially after release the Bowman Chrome sets will sell for more than what the Topps Chrome sets are at that time, but I think the Bowman Chrome set price will fall below the Topps Chrome set price pretty quickly.
CaptainBOHICA
11-05-2007, 11:40 AM
so what do you think a good range for a master set should go for in the week or two around the release date, tony?
jebjeb1
11-05-2007, 11:41 AM
if that is with topps chrome, then depending on how the rc class does leading up to release, do you think that 175-200 for a master set is a reach?
if thats the case, and IF you can put together 3 master sets/case, then i personally would be all about putting together master sets, selling the top named parallels as singles, lower named parallels in lots
even at 150/master set i would be inclined to do so. (150x3 = 450, leaves you 100 or so to break even.. and with all the parallels/autos - could be easy)
but thats if all the IF's fall into place.
I think $125 to $150 is more reasonable. Peterson won't rush for 300 yards every week even if he break the rookie rushing record.
CaptainBOHICA
11-05-2007, 11:44 AM
I think $125 to $150 is more reasonable. Peterson won't rush for 300 yards every week even if he break the rookie rushing record.
i still might try to put together a couple master sets... its just the time it takes to sort a master set vs sorting team sets and what would sell vs what teams will not sell... :confused:
i dont know. maybe the presellers will do all the pricing work for us :)
kirkoff
11-05-2007, 01:17 PM
I am thinking of doing one case but based on past discussions on the board, one case is risky. Only having 55 rookie's in the set may help that though?
jebjeb1
11-05-2007, 02:08 PM
You have to do multiple cases on this one it sounds like. One case and you will get stuck with 10 $5 autos and a bunch of random RCs.
CaptainBOHICA
11-05-2007, 02:11 PM
looks like price jumped 25 bucks on a case.
otmack2o
11-05-2007, 04:16 PM
Looks like someone has already started presells...
http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=200170591083
http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=200170591106
CaptainBOHICA
11-05-2007, 04:33 PM
i wnated to do a presell for master sets as well, but i dont want to get caught with my fly down when it turns out the collation is terrible. and it takes mroe than one case to make a set. ..
jebjeb1
11-05-2007, 04:59 PM
5 cases you should be fine on pre-selling master sets. I might try the same but still think it is early and Topps might have a few tricks up their sleeve like an Adrian Peterson variation worth $200 and then the buyer claims you owe him one of those cards as part of the master set.
jebjeb1
11-05-2007, 05:01 PM
Looks like someone has already started presells...
http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=200170591083
http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=200170591106
That guy won't be moving any sets at that price.
jebjeb1
11-05-2007, 09:14 PM
Blowout site is now saying email for pricing so maybe they went up again.
otmack2o
11-06-2007, 11:50 AM
Up to $614.99 per case today.
CaptainBOHICA
11-06-2007, 01:51 PM
just locked in for my 4 cases. yikes. need to sell these cup cards soon!
hockeyjunkie99
11-06-2007, 01:53 PM
Go CAP!!!!
CaptainBOHICA
11-09-2007, 02:21 AM
is it 4 or 5 parallels per box? sell sheet says 5, chris' site says 4 :confused:
otmack2o
11-09-2007, 07:47 AM
5 parallels, 4 of which will be unnumbered refractors...
CaptainBOHICA
11-09-2007, 10:46 AM
5 parallels, 4 of which will be unnumbered refractors...
n the last parallel is the auto rookie?
otmack2o
11-09-2007, 04:43 PM
No, the last parallel is an xfractor, blue refractor, gold ref, orange ref, red ref, superfractor, or plate. Just like how it was in Bowman Chrome baseball.
CaptainBOHICA
11-09-2007, 04:53 PM
how the hell can i copy and paste the numbers from my excel spreadsheet into here cleanly? i used to be able to do it on the old board but i cant with this one - the formatting gets all jacked.
CaptainBOHICA
11-09-2007, 05:04 PM
anyone have any input on how collation has been historically with bowman chrome products? from my calculations you can theoretically make 3 master sets from one case (4 base, 3 rookie sets) and it could possibly take 4-5 cases to make a refractor set.. all of this if the collation is good.
i guess im asking because i do not want to get stuck in the position where it will take 2-3 cases to make one master set... but given the lower # of rookies that will be in chrome, it shouldn't be THAT bad, right?
jebjeb1
11-09-2007, 05:23 PM
Topps can be hit or miss. I have had problems with Chrome product collation because you are getting only 4 cards per pack and it can be hit or miss.
scottiff
11-09-2007, 06:04 PM
Usually with a multi case break things work out ok although my 12 case Bowman Chrome break this year was a little off. The only consistent bad collation I have had from Topps products is with jumbo boxes.
swerve
11-09-2007, 06:58 PM
From my experience last year it can be hit or miss. Last year I made a set out of a case and had dupes of all the big rookies. Yet I remember others not even able to make one set. I also recall some that would have a case that didn't have a Bush or one of the other big rookies in it.
frozenntimesports
11-10-2007, 12:30 PM
If you can average $3 per rookie card + $1.50 shipping bump, you can get $495 right there. (assuming 2 complete rookie sets out of a case). Now I'm not saying that all these will go for $3, some will go higher, some lower, but it should average out close to this. Then if you get $30 per base set, you are close to break even and you still should have a complete Bowman Chrome set + the top loaders, refractors and autographs.
I'm only doing one case of this and I can probably get it on the release date (its good to live near Duryea), hopefully I can break even and keep a set like I did with Topps Chrome Football.
CaptainBOHICA
11-10-2007, 12:33 PM
KD - how much are you projecting for a rookie set and/or master set?
frozenntimesports
11-10-2007, 01:24 PM
Not projecting a sale price on that b/c I'm going to sell the rookie cards individually on release date. I know I'll do better that way.
Besides, I've missed so badly on projections this year I don't want to hazard a guess.
tarzanlovesjane
11-10-2007, 04:52 PM
Not projecting a sale price on that b/c I'm going to sell the rookie cards individually on release date. I know I'll do better that way.
Besides, I've missed so badly on projections this year I don't want to hazard a guess.
KD, from past experience I'll tell you that I've historically done much better selling sets of Bowman Chrome rather than individual rookie cards. Last year I sold the sets within one day of release for $125 per. This year will be a little softer, but still should pull you $100 per. Not sure you'll get that by selling the rookies individually, and you'll be lucky to get $10.00 apiece for the base sets without rookies, no one is interested in them. Hope you do well though!
mdb92951
11-10-2007, 09:00 PM
Based on Tonys post of 4 Refractors & 1 Parallel per box, Im coming up with a total 79,365 boxes (165 x 250+150+50+25+5+1) or 1,428,570 packs.
Using last years odds & checklist per Beckett there were
49ea Rookie Autos
10ea #d/199 1:615 pks
15 ea A 1:320 pks
4 ea B 1:220 pks
3 ea C 1:208 pks
17 ea D 1:29 pks
This year there are 55 Rookie autos with an adjusted breakdown
10ea #d/199 1:718 pks or 1:4 cases
17 ea A 1:374 pks or 1:2 cases
5 ea B 1:256 pks or 3:2 cases
3 ea C 1:243 pks or 5:4cases
20 ea D 1:33 pks or 9 per case
One of the autos should be a parallel.
Based on these numbers you should also average :
5 X-Fractors
3 Blue Refractors
1 Gold Refractor
1 other Refractor
The Uncirculated rookie autos #/10 would fall 1:144 boxes or 1:14 cases.
jebjeb1
11-10-2007, 09:16 PM
anyone have any input on how collation has been historically with bowman chrome products? from my calculations you can theoretically make 3 master sets from one case (4 base, 3 rookie sets) and it could possibly take 4-5 cases to make a refractor set.. all of this if the collation is good.
i guess im asking because i do not want to get stuck in the position where it will take 2-3 cases to make one master set... but given the lower # of rookies that will be in chrome, it shouldn't be THAT bad, right?
Even you if do have bad luck with the collation we are all pretty good about helping each other out to complete master sets. I don't know what I did before these boards.
swerve
11-11-2007, 08:10 PM
I sure hope Peterson isn't seriously injured.
It would make this product, and any others, a lot less attractive.
Also, it would kill my fantasy team.
solt0131
11-12-2007, 12:36 PM
If Peterson is out for a long period of time, I would think there will be a lot of extra football product available to rip. Of which, I will rip none.
CaptainBOHICA
11-12-2007, 01:08 PM
what a horrible break for him and for rippers. hopefully it is only a sprain... but there is a lot of potential in the others in the class. hell, it aint like the 06 class is shinin right now either, right ?
i was going to get another 2 cases, but depending on what the prognosis is, my 4 might be enough.. and if its really bad, depending on what the really early breakers report, i might just box them out lol we'll see.
jebjeb1
11-12-2007, 02:55 PM
The Peterson injury is going to cost all of some $$$$. Lynch was hurt as well and might miss the NE game Sunday.
It looks like not one of the top players in this draft will even be playing when this product is released in early December. AP and Lynch hurt. The QBs all on the bench and whe WRs except Bowe all getting shut down.
iam4car3
11-12-2007, 09:57 PM
How bad was Peterson hurt anyone know?
CaptainBOHICA
11-12-2007, 10:00 PM
i read sprained knee earlier today. i wonder if he could be done for the season given how "late' it is in the season
otmack2o
11-12-2007, 10:20 PM
Torn LCL. I think that the Vikings would be making a mistake to try to rush him back this year. Just lose the rest of their games and draft a good QB this year...
festus
11-12-2007, 10:47 PM
The Peterson injury is going to cost all of some $$$$. Lynch was hurt as well and might miss the NE game Sunday.
It looks like not one of the top players in this draft will even be playing when this product is released in early December. AP and Lynch hurt. The QBs all on the bench and whe WRs except Bowe all getting shut down.
selvin young is playing & had over 100 yards sunday. jamarcus russell will be starting VERY soon...
CaptainBOHICA
11-12-2007, 10:48 PM
still have a couple weeks until release date (I still see 11/28 unless someone else has different information) - so we'll see how things unfold by then.
jebjeb1
11-13-2007, 08:49 AM
selvin young is playing & had over 100 yards sunday. jamarcus russell will be starting VERY soon...
Loaded up on Selvin Young a few months and can't even move his auto RCs for $17. Russell will be lucky to pass for 100 yards a game.
This product really needed a stud player like Peterson to help move sales.
solt0131
11-13-2007, 05:21 PM
Word is the Vikings may not risk anything with Peterson and sit him for the rest of the year....that's what they are contemplating now, but leaning towards sitting him.
jebjeb1
11-13-2007, 05:36 PM
They would be stupid not to sit him out the rest of 2007. They can get an impact player with 5 pick.
festus
11-14-2007, 12:09 AM
Word is the Vikings may not risk anything with Peterson and sit him for the rest of the year....that's what they are contemplating now, but leaning towards sitting him.
word is from where? i havent read anything about that. the season is only 1/2 over. do you really see them sitting him just for the thought of a higher draft pick?
solt0131
11-14-2007, 07:03 AM
Came from John Clayton on ESPN.
kingofnfl22
11-14-2007, 07:22 PM
You guys are saying that you pre-sell these cards to make the most money. Is it still possible to make money on a product after the release? If so how far after the release? I am thinking of buying a case or two but dont want to get murdered on them.
frozenntimesports
11-14-2007, 08:38 PM
I think you can keep a set and break even, but you need to break on or before the day before release.
kingofnfl22
11-14-2007, 09:34 PM
How do you get them that soon? If I read it right Blowout ships the day of or after release; which means I would not get them for 3 or 4 days after. Is there a way to get them faster?
frozenntimesports
11-14-2007, 10:44 PM
I live within 1 day range of Blowout via UPS, because of that, I usually have it the evening of release (UPS is real good here).
CaptainBOHICA
11-19-2007, 01:49 PM
blowout site still says 11/28.. just checkin to see if anyone else sees anything differently out there... is there a slight chance that there will be NO CHANGE in release date?
iluvfish2
11-19-2007, 01:55 PM
How do you get them that soon? If I read it right Blowout ships the day of or after release; which means I would not get them for 3 or 4 days after. Is there a way to get them faster?
King. We're generally about 1 day out from Chris on shipping times. Sometimes two days, but most have been one day.
hockeyjunkie99
11-19-2007, 01:57 PM
CAP,
How's that CC doing???
CaptainBOHICA
11-20-2007, 02:02 PM
so how many cases is everyone waiting for? ripping? holding? there is a $140 difference in cost to ship to ca overnight vs 2 day... is it worth it to pop for the extra day ? im leaning towards yes
pac213up
11-20-2007, 02:13 PM
3 Cases coming - ripping at least 2 but probably all 3 once it's said and done.
otmack2o
11-20-2007, 02:28 PM
5 cases here - plan to rip them all
CaptainBOHICA
11-20-2007, 02:31 PM
im ripping all 4 or mine. im hoping ill be able to sell them and collect the money quick enough so that I can throw that initial investment into 2007 BCDP BB and 06 bcdp
rudyjustinfarrell
11-20-2007, 02:43 PM
Bohica, the product is supposed to be shipped on the 28th which is WED. East coasters MIGHT get their stuff that day, later in the day on the 29th a more plausible scenario. Unless someone gets their Topps stuff early, which has happened a LOT this year you won't see stuff posting on Ebay until late WED/THURS. I'm thinking you will receive your stuff late FRI, maybe SAT?? I don't think an extra $140 to get your stuff on the 29th is worth it. I'd put that $140 back into the product for another 2 chances at a nice Group A autograph, or low numbered parallel of AP, C. Johnson or whoever. I live in VA so maybe I'm biased, but I did not pay extra for anything special delivery-wise. If you got the cases at a super cheap price? Maybe it would be worth expedited shipping. Just my 2 cents...
CaptainBOHICA
11-20-2007, 02:46 PM
Bohica, the product is supposed to be shipped on the 28th which is WED. East coasters MIGHT get their stuff that day, later in the day on the 29th a more plausible scenario. Unless someone gets their Topps stuff early, which has happened a LOT this year you won't see stuff posting on Ebay until late WED/THURS. I'm thinking you will receive your stuff late FRI, maybe SAT?? I don't think an extra $140 to get your stuff on the 29th is worth it. I'd put that $140 back into the product for another 2 chances at a nice Group A autograph, or low numbered parallel of AP, C. Johnson or whoever. I live in VA so maybe I'm biased, but I did not pay extra for anything special delivery-wise. If you got the cases at a super cheap price? Maybe it would be worth expedited shipping. Just my 2 cents...
i was able to lock in before it hit the $600/case mark... and i thought (perhaps incorrectly) that chris ships a day early sometimes to the people who are 2+ days away? its been a while since i ordered a brand new product so i can't remember
rudyjustinfarrell
11-20-2007, 02:50 PM
Call and ask? I'm sure more than just you are interested in when they think the product will actually ship versus what Chris will say? And I think Chris would be honest in his assessment on how to spend your $140.
CaptainBOHICA
11-23-2007, 05:54 PM
got an email from chris, looks like its going to be ready to ship next week. i decided to plunk down the extra for o/n shipping. hopefully it bodes in my favor when all is said and done.
jebjeb1
11-23-2007, 06:49 PM
Man really not sure what to do with my 4 cases next week. None of the top picks will be on the field when the product goes live and it seems no one is buying football right now. No one has been able to move any bc sets on presell. I think I might be tempted to hold my cases until next year when most of the top picks will be ready to break out.
CaptainBOHICA
11-23-2007, 07:16 PM
Man really not sure what to do with my 4 cases next week. None of the top picks will be on the field when the product goes live and it seems no one is buying football right now. No one has been able to move any bc sets on presell. I think I might be tempted to hold my cases until next year when most of the top picks will be ready to break out.
i am with you on all of what you said... with the exception that I did just throw 2 sets up for presell on ebay. I want to rip all of my 4 cases... but will start with the one.. and depending on how i do with that and early sales.. willl determine what I do with the rest of the cases.
word is peterson might get back on the field sunday.. would be nice if he was miraculously healed to the point where he had another 300 yard game ... would be nice.. esp for us. :D
scottiff
11-23-2007, 09:26 PM
Also Russell is supposed to start on the 2nd of December so that will help. I have only had one offer on a set so far and it is well below what I want. I may sell lots yet if the sets don't pick up.
otmack2o
11-23-2007, 11:02 PM
Let's all hope that AP will be on the field again soon! Calvin Johnson had a decent game on Thanksgiving as well.
rudyjustinfarrell
11-24-2007, 08:55 AM
As did Anthony Gonzalez for the Colts... Who will be the top 10 autos/refractors to pull?
1. A. Peterson
2. C. Johnson
3. B. Quinn
4. J. Russell
5. maybe a M. Vick "error" in here as well???
6. ?
7. ?
8. ?
9. ?
10 ?
jebjeb1
11-24-2007, 09:53 AM
What is really tough about this product is that the group A autos will fall about 1 in 4 cases and even if you do hit a group A auto, chances are it will be one of the second tier top picks worth only $30.
The good news about this product. Lets's just hope the buyers are there next week.
- Each case should yield 180 RCs or 3.2 master sets
- The encased rookie cards always do very well
- #d non-auto inserts of the top picks should be easy pulls
CaptainBOHICA
11-24-2007, 10:46 AM
how many cases do you think it will take to make a complete rookie refractor set? how about master set?
tarzanlovesjane
11-24-2007, 11:09 AM
CB, last year I broke six cases of Bowman Chrome football and came nowhere close to a refractor master set. You'd need to do a lot of busting to put that together. Not sure it'd be worth it either, Topps Chrome football regularly outsells Bowman Chrome, and a master refractor set of that sold on ebay for $325. And you have to remember, that set had 110 rookies, this set only has 55. I don't really care for the way this product is set up. Seems with only 55 rookie cards you're going to pull a TON of veteran refractors and parallels. Good luck guys!
otmack2o
11-24-2007, 11:18 AM
Mathematically, you should be able to put a refractor set together from 5 cases as you would have 200 total refractors. However, this is assumming pretty good collation and also that there are the same number of refractor cards of each card in the set.
CaptainBOHICA
11-26-2007, 09:27 AM
still trying to find a good enough reason to rip all four cases... but what does everyone think of player lots with this product instead of sets? four cases with good collation i should be able to make 10-13 ct lots of every rookie, and 15-17 ct lots of the vets...
opinions?
tarzanlovesjane
11-26-2007, 11:28 AM
still trying to find a good enough reason to rip all four cases... but what does everyone think of player lots with this product instead of sets? four cases with good collation i should be able to make 10-13 ct lots of every rookie, and 15-17 ct lots of the vets...
opinions?
You'll take a beating on the vet lots, you could start them at .99 and most of them wouldn't sell. Likewise, other than the big six or seven rookies, most aren't going to bring much. Unfortunately right now I think this is a hold or flip product, not much of a market for it, and the good pulls are going to be extremely difficult. Good luck whatever you decide to do.
BAMBAM
11-26-2007, 11:52 AM
I don't think Bowman Chrome FB is a product worth ripping multiple cases of for the simple fact that nothing sells for decent money other than a few autos and low numbered refractors. IMHO ITS A FAST, FUN CASE BREAK THAT UNLESS YOU GET LUCKY WON"T MAKE YOU MUCH MONEY. Its not like baseball where prospectors buy up lots of the base rookies. Really only a handful of guys out there for people to chase the un-auto'd rookies of in bunches. I broke two cases of last years and didn't hit one big auto. By big auto I don't mean just Bush, Young, Cutler or Leinart. It was pretty bad as I didn't hit Lendale, Maroney, DeAngelo Williams, MJD etc. NONE in 2 cases ! Biggest auto I pulled was a Brandon Marshall Gold Ref which thankfully I still have since he is starting to dominate.
I'm going to open a few boxes and then wait for another of my favorites, Leaf Limited, to hit later this week.
CaptainBOHICA
11-26-2007, 11:58 AM
ugh. maybe i should try to dump 3 of my cases asap and roll it into 3 cases of 07 bcdp... but then everyone and their mom is going to be ripping that.. or roll it into 2 of 06 bcdp
so torn. i hate it. lol.
im starting to have razor poker flashbacks again... big hype.. then all of a sudden the hype died.. quick. LOL.
F!
otmack2o
11-26-2007, 11:58 AM
Depending on the auto group odds, some of the more common autos could do decent. Hell, as of last night a Kolby Smith base auto nearly pays for a box :)
otmack2o
11-26-2007, 12:00 PM
Capt, don't forget too that AP should be back this weekend. J. Russell starting rumors are swirling in Oakland as well. As of right now I am still planning to bust my cases.
BAMBAM
11-26-2007, 12:11 PM
I'm sure the bigger autos will be just as tough to get as last year (why would Topps change) Kolby Smith had a big day against the Raiders but what RB hasn't this year (sorry Cap) ? He was avg. less than 2 ypc until yesterday. Chiefs line is pretty bad this year anyway. I'll be surprised if Smith has anymore 150 yd days in him this year.
Since you already have 3 on the way, break one to get an idea of what its delivering than make a decision on the other 2 afterwards. Like I said, its a fun rip but unless you get lucky with the autos its not going to fill your paypal account.
CaptainBOHICA
11-26-2007, 12:22 PM
Capt, don't forget too that AP should be back this weekend. J. Russell starting rumors are swirling in Oakland as well. As of right now I am still planning to bust my cases.
i know... i know... im just trying to look at all the angles here.. razor poker really put a bad taste in my mouth and i dont want to take another bath like i did with that... yes, apples and oranges, but the underlying facts are still there (big hype dying quickly = $ loss)
and yes you are right there are decent autos in 'easier to hit" groupings ... I will not receive my cases until wed, so I have a couple of days to make a final decision... see how the other early sales go and see how the other board member's "live 2 case break" goes.
and yes i flip flop worse than some politicians when it comes to making decisions.you should see me at a restaurant ;)
CaptainBOHICA
11-26-2007, 12:23 PM
Since you already have 3 on the way, break one to get an idea of what its delivering than make a decision on the other 2 afterwards. Like I said, its a fun rip but unless you get lucky with the autos its not going to fill your paypal account.
this is my plan right now- because I have a big on one of my pre-sell sets so I will crack open a case to honor that.. and i have several people watching another set as well as the box toppers... what will happen to the other 3.. who knows. :confused::eek:
jebjeb1
11-26-2007, 01:13 PM
This may not double your money if you break, but let's not jump off the cliff just yet. It will still be a fun break and if you get lucky with a #d auto or insert of one of the stud RC you may make money. Here is the worst case on a break w/o hitting a stud rc auto or insert.
- Each case should yield about 3 master sets for about $240 total. Even if you are short there are enough guys busting here you will be able to fill out your sets no problem.
- The 10 box toppers will probally go for $7-10 each for another $75.
- 10 autos at a minimum will bring in $100 total.
- You should get about 15 non-auto RC #d inserts which should bring in another $75.
- I'm sure we can all get creative and find ways to sell the remaining RC singles, vet inserts, etc. for another $50.
festus
11-26-2007, 01:25 PM
busting is one thing but if you plan to keep sealed for resell i wouldnt sweat it. there will always be people on ebay buying this stuff. unless adrian peterson flops this will be more than fine.
BAMBAM
11-27-2007, 12:00 AM
Just noticed someone selling the box toppers on fleabay. They're #'d to 1079 this year !? Last year they were #'d to only 519. This stuff will never dry up. Its 90 Pro-set all over again LOL:eek:
CaptainBOHICA
11-27-2007, 12:05 AM
Just noticed someone selling the box toppers on fleabay. They're #'d to 1079 this year !? Last year they were #'d to only 519. This stuff will never dry up. Its 90 Pro-set all over again LOL:eek:
i am. i think Tony is as well. but we're pre-selling them sealed. fat chance of hitting an auto anyways.
btw - thanks for the confidence boost there bambam. :(
*twitch.. razor poker... *twitch
solt0131
11-27-2007, 06:31 AM
I'm selling them sealed.
otmack2o
11-27-2007, 08:03 AM
Just noticed someone selling the box toppers on fleabay. They're #'d to 1079 this year !? Last year they were #'d to only 519. This stuff will never dry up. Its 90 Pro-set all over again LOL:eek:
Last year there were 110 of them, this year there are 55 of them...
bluecloud02
11-27-2007, 09:24 AM
yeah not looking good I still have a ton to list but the box toppers are 1079 I hope the peterson does good like I said should have stopped at 1 case
CaptainBOHICA
11-27-2007, 01:28 PM
yeah not looking good I still have a ton to list but the box toppers are 1079 I hope the peterson does good like I said should have stopped at 1 case
you opened all your box toppers? how are your other sales going? were you able to put together any sets?
CaptainBOHICA
11-27-2007, 06:06 PM
nice. and case prices dropped about 40 bucks today! yikes!
scottiff
11-27-2007, 06:36 PM
Oh well, you can't lose any money leaving them sealed which is exactly what I am going to do. I was really looking forward to this break but I am not going to take a bath just to satisfy an itch.
CaptainBOHICA
11-28-2007, 02:00 PM
i recv'd an offer for one of the pre-sell sets i have up on ebay for 50 bucks.. should i take it? my other presell sets that are up for auction both have 10+ people watching it and ends tonight.. if the sets can sell for 50+ each, i might just crack open all four of my cases that are waiting for me at the UPS store... now i just need to find a way to get out of work today :)!
swerve
11-28-2007, 02:09 PM
i recv'd an offer for one of the pre-sell sets i have up on ebay for 50 bucks.. should i take it? my other presell sets that are up for auction both have 10+ people watching it and ends tonight.. if the sets can sell for 50+ each, i might just crack open all four of my cases that are waiting for me at the UPS store... now i just need to find a way to get out of work today :)!
You can always just have them sent to my house. :)!
vBulletin® v3.8.11, Copyright ©2000-2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.