View Full Version : Jurickson Profar Over/Under
2011 Bowman Chrome autos were going for $15 not too long ago. They're now hitting $40+. Where's your over/under for the 2012 season?
JDK16
02-15-2012, 05:50 PM
they will skyrocket when he is traded to the Braves after Andrus starts off hot in mlb and profar in milb:):):):)
Gibberish
02-15-2012, 06:32 PM
I see forum members trying to keep the price up,but them falling to 18-20.00 by August.
BAMBAM
02-15-2012, 06:34 PM
Can't imagine them not dropping since he won't be in the Majors any time soon.
tsnider45
02-15-2012, 06:36 PM
All depends on how he does in the minors. If he lights it up, they will get higher than 40, if he comes out struggling they will drop.
Gibberish
02-15-2012, 06:45 PM
All depends on how he does in the minors. If he lights it up, they will get higher than 40, if he comes out struggling they will drop.
I disagree.
It's all market hype driven pricing.
Once it seems he is not coming up soon,most will walk away and the price will start to drop
This should be common sense by now guys...it happens EVERY year with most of the hotter players. Show me those 25.00 Zach lee autos that can be had for 10.00. he was pitching his ass off in 2011....just didn't matter to the fair weather collector.
You can also look at Harper and his stock value decreasing as 2011 progressed. 400.00 autos going for 250.00....that is a MASSIVE drop over-all. Rumors of him being on the 25 man after ST are creating a hike...if he fails to make the 25-man there will be another major hit which may see growth as he does come up,but nothing near what it could have been
Strasburg
Machaddo
Taillon
I could name them all day
Really, I would think this would be old hat to most people by now.
NO ONE GOES UP....and stays up ...who is a recent prospect.
And when they do get hot...they still get cold. hellickson autos at last years surge price,anyone ?
Thanks for taking time to read my rant.
tsnider45
02-15-2012, 07:52 PM
I disagree.
It's all market hype driven pricing.
Once it seems he is not coming up soon,most will walk away and the price will start to drop
This should be common sense by now guys...it happens EVERY year with most of the hotter players. Show me those 25.00 Zach lee autos that can be had for 10.00. he was pitching his ass off in 2011....just didn't matter to the fair weather collector.
You can also look at Harper and his stock value decreasing as 2011 progressed. 400.00 autos going for 250.00....that is a MASSIVE drop over-all. Rumors of him being on the 25 man after ST are creating a hike...if he fails to make the 25-man there will be another major hit which may see growth as he does come up,but nothing near what it could have been
Strasburg
Machaddo
Taillon
I could name them all day
Really, I would think this would be old hat to most people by now.
NO ONE GOES UP....and stays up ...who is a recent prospect.
And when they do get hot...they still get cold. hellickson autos at last years surge price,anyone ?
Thanks for taking time to read my rant.
I don't really think anyone thinks profar is coming up this year. People just like to get the jump on the next big thing. From my experience there are two substantial spikes in prospect auto's. The first comes when he is playing lights out in the minors (no matter how far he is from the majors) and the second is when he is really close, or when he has been called up. If profar struggles, his cards will drop because people will move on to the next guy who has chrome auto's and is lighting it up.
Also as for hellickson, that has to do with him not having a true 1st bowman auto. Guys like him and jennings, if they were to have had a 1st chrome auto, the prices would be much higher on those cards.
Just my 2 cents. Well I'm Canadian so it's my 1.5 cents with exchange.
bigsmoot2
02-15-2012, 07:55 PM
I don't ever remember Profar base chrome autos selling for $15. Maybe right after release of 2011 Bowman when he was still an unknown, but ever since June when the MILB season started his base autos raw have stayed right around $30, and now they are up close to $50.
Hype is an amazing thing, he is in the top 5-10 of most MLB prospect lists and now is probably a pretty good time to be selling. I sold a Ref Auto BGS 9.5 that I paid $30 for and $10 to grade, and got $110 for it. Hype is an amazing thing! :D
I did pick it up shortly after release for $15. I focus on the state of Texas with my blog so follow Astros and Rangers prospects closely. Probably going to sell.
Burt-Reynolds
02-15-2012, 08:06 PM
I'm sending some cards out to get graded next week 10 day service. one of them is a ref auto profar. now i'm wondering if i should just sell raw while the sellings good. if i wait i won't get it back for 2-3 weeks. think his prices will go down much in the next month?
VWBUS1978
02-15-2012, 08:09 PM
I'm sending some cards out to get graded next week 10 day service. one of them is a ref auto profar. now i'm wondering if i should just sell raw while the sellings good. if i wait i won't get it back for 2-3 weeks. think his prices will go down much in the next month?
nope, i think you're fine. so long as he plays well he'll be on that top prospect list, keeping his auto prices up.
bigsmoot2
02-15-2012, 08:13 PM
I'm sending some cards out to get graded next week 10 day service. one of them is a ref auto profar. now i'm wondering if i should just sell raw while the sellings good. if i wait i won't get it back for 2-3 weeks. think his prices will go down much in the next month?
You should be fine, plus the MiLB season doesn' t get going till May-June anyway does it? So you have that on your side as well.
I anticipate his prices staying about where they are right now at least into the end of MLB ST. IMO . . . :D
IamRalpho
02-15-2012, 08:19 PM
If anything, Andrus will be dealt for Profar when hes ready. Not the other way around
Burt-Reynolds
02-15-2012, 08:28 PM
thanks vw and moot.
Gibberish
02-15-2012, 08:28 PM
You are fine till ST is over,unless they let him play in ST and he tanks from MLB pressure :) Then that boat wont have sailed,it will have sunk
It's like Bundy, I am unloading my chrome while I can due to the fact they are going to let him play in ST. I do not think he will do bad, but a 5.0+ERA will scare people and I do not expect him to be working over veterans right off the bat and it MAY unnerve him.
Who knows, I speculate based on trends and stats and with the odds against him being a superstar in any ST game,time for me to sell. If he beats the odds, more power to him and those buying, but then its 2-3 years in the minors,cards cooling off and...well...Im still good IMO :)
glewis222
02-15-2012, 09:03 PM
2011 Bowman Chrome autos were going for $15 not too long ago. They're now hitting $40+. Where's your over/under for the 2012 season?
They are averaging $50 actually. Where is anyone getting these for $40 right now?
Jenkinssssss
02-15-2012, 09:12 PM
They are averaging $50 actually. Where is anyone getting these for $40 right now?
Exactly. Please PM me and I will buy all of them for $40 ea.
Most base are ~$50+/-$5 with normal variance having a few end near $40 and $60.
You also can't compare prices of SP prospects to a projected elite SS.
Last two sold for $49 and $47. Minus shipping and fees it's closer to $45. Sorry for the near $5 discrepancy.
johnorpheus
02-15-2012, 11:18 PM
Profar will be good, but he won't be a huge power guy. Think Jose Reyes. Nevertheless, if I'm getting $50 for a base auto of a guy who hasn't played above A ball yet, I'm selling every day of the week. Too much can go wrong when they're that far away.
glewis222
02-16-2012, 06:15 PM
Last two sold for $49 and $47. Minus shipping and fees it's closer to $45. Sorry for the near $5 discrepancy.
Wow, can you even add you fregin jackass? What is 40 + 9?
What is $40 + 7
Near $5 discrepancy? Nice try, its closer to a $10 discrepancy. Go back to school. We dont talk about how much cards go for minus fees and shipping when discussing prices so get your head out of your ass and just admit your wrong.
Gibberish
02-16-2012, 07:25 PM
Wow, can you even add you fregin jackass? What is 40 + 9?
What is $40 + 7
Near $5 discrepancy? Nice try, its closer to a $10 discrepancy. Go back to school. We dont talk about how much cards go for minus fees and shipping when discussing prices so get your head out of your ass and just admit your wrong.
I am so glad they are stepping up to knock you interweb badasses off the site for a period.
LOL
Just realized it is the same "tough" guy who attacked me.
johnorpheus
02-16-2012, 07:39 PM
Wow, can you even add you fregin jackass? What is 40 + 9?
What is $40 + 7
Near $5 discrepancy? Nice try, its closer to a $10 discrepancy. Go back to school. We dont talk about how much cards go for minus fees and shipping when discussing prices so get your head out of your ass and just admit your wrong.
U mad bro? Gesh........
Gibberish
02-16-2012, 08:31 PM
U mad bro? Gesh........
Nah, I think he either thought there were no mods or he wanted to get suspended.
either way, he keeps insulting people and his ebay ID is still visible.
Sorry, I know plenty of people who would pay 10.00,. slam you with a neg,file a claim,get the cash back and sit back laughing
vBulletin® v3.8.11, Copyright ©2000-2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.