caustexx
11-13-2012, 02:46 PM
I was wondering if we can figure this out? Realize we need quite a few assumptions.
I have a case that I intend to NOT open! It's fun to me to know that my odds of having the LUCK / RG3 Super go up each day as cases are opened.
I think the most simple way is listed ebay rookie superfractor auto's / total(45). Maybe add a multiplier to the numerator to account for cards that never make it to ebay.
So assuming 50% of superfractors do not see the ebay light of day or are not returned in my search results (total guess here). Search was 2012 topps chrome superfractor (auto, autograph). I just hand counted the football from baseball.
We have 8 on ebay for sale/completed. So 16 have been discovered using my above assumption. 16/45 = 36% of hobby rookie superfractors auto's have been discovered, therefore 36% of hobby cases have been opened!
I have a case that I intend to NOT open! It's fun to me to know that my odds of having the LUCK / RG3 Super go up each day as cases are opened.
I think the most simple way is listed ebay rookie superfractor auto's / total(45). Maybe add a multiplier to the numerator to account for cards that never make it to ebay.
So assuming 50% of superfractors do not see the ebay light of day or are not returned in my search results (total guess here). Search was 2012 topps chrome superfractor (auto, autograph). I just hand counted the football from baseball.
We have 8 on ebay for sale/completed. So 16 have been discovered using my above assumption. 16/45 = 36% of hobby rookie superfractors auto's have been discovered, therefore 36% of hobby cases have been opened!