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-   -   Mike Trout PSA 10 Rookie Price Tracker (https://www.blowoutforums.com/showthread.php?t=1278754)

epatmythes 03-07-2019 09:30 PM

Mike Trout PSA 10 Rookie Price Tracker
 
[IMG]https://caimages.collectors.com/psaimages/10068/21395505/fish-trend-202007_original.jpg[/IMG]

[IMG]https://caimages.collectors.com/psaimages/10068/21395505/mt11bc.jpg[/IMG][IMG]https://caimages.collectors.com/psaimages/10068/21395505/mt11bcd.jpg[/IMG][IMG]https://caimages.collectors.com/psaimages/10068/21395505/mt11bd.jpg[/IMG][IMG]https://caimages.collectors.com/psaimages/10068/21395505/mt11bs.jpg[/IMG]
[IMG]https://caimages.collectors.com/psaimages/10068/21395505/mt11f.jpg[/IMG][IMG]https://caimages.collectors.com/psaimages/10068/21395505/mt11pc.jpg[/IMG][IMG]https://caimages.collectors.com/psaimages/10068/21395505/mt11ppc.jpg[/IMG][IMG]https://caimages.collectors.com/psaimages/10068/21395505/mt11tu.jpg[/IMG]

[IMG]https://caimages.collectors.com/psaimages/10068/21395505/fish-data-202007_original.jpg[/IMG]

I'll update this every month... feel free to discuss your joys and pains of Trout PSA 10 rookie collecting below!

[B][U]Couple of notes[/U][/B]:

1) I'm only tracking his PSA Rookie Set Registry cards

2) Data is pulled from the PSA Auction Prices Realized tool (Oct 2016 to present)

3) Data prior to October 2016, was pulled from PWCC's tool that tracks back to 2004 ([I]Note: good data didn't really seem usable until Oct 2012[/I])

4) Monthly averages are/were calculated based on all data points for the given month as long as 3 sold were recorded, if not, it was the average of the last 10, not to exceed 90 days. Where gaps existed beyond 90 days between sales, the prevailing average just carried forward

5) With regards to the 2011 Panini Prime Cuts PSA 10 Pop 1... I know when it sold and for how much. For this particular card, I simply applied an algorithm forward and reverse to match the combined trend of the other 7 cards. It may or may not actually be able to realize as much, or as little, as the price denoted today... if sold today! [b]UPDATE:[/b] The card is now a Pop 2 and we had a sale in June 2019. Moving forward, until another sale is recorded, I will now trend off the June number as was previously done when the card was a Pop 1.

imbluestreak23 03-07-2019 09:34 PM

I want that Prime Cuts card. I’ll take a beat up copy!

ThoseBackPages 03-07-2019 09:35 PM

[QUOTE=imbluestreak23;14457183]I want that Prime Cuts card. I’ll take a beat up copy![/QUOTE]

ick! lol

epatmythes 03-07-2019 09:37 PM

Month/Year guesses on when it hits $10K???

imbluestreak23 03-07-2019 09:37 PM

[QUOTE=ThoseBackPages;14457186]ick! lol[/QUOTE]

All Fish is good Fish!!

I’ll even take Fleer Hanes underwear Fish!

ThoseBackPages 03-07-2019 09:38 PM

[QUOTE=imbluestreak23;14457196]All Fish is good Fish!!

I’ll even take Fleer Hanes underwear Fish![/QUOTE]

:cry:

daviswr7 03-07-2019 09:39 PM

I like these type of posts. Thanks OP!

bwalter1 03-07-2019 10:00 PM

Nice I like it maybe add pictures of the cards?

epatmythes 03-07-2019 10:12 PM

[QUOTE=bwalter1;14457282]Nice I like it maybe add pictures of the cards?[/QUOTE]

I just have a lowly PSA 9 on the prime cuts... but there you go! Nice suggestion!

Shadowsonic2004 03-08-2019 12:31 AM

Bowman 101's are undervalued IMO. They should be going for more.

ThoseBackPages 03-08-2019 12:31 AM

[QUOTE=Shadowsonic2004;14457690]Bowman 101's are undervalued IMO. They should be going for more.[/QUOTE]

why's that?

epatmythes 03-08-2019 12:34 AM

[QUOTE=Shadowsonic2004;14457690]Bowman 101's are undervalued IMO. They should be going for more.[/QUOTE]

Agreed, very tough card to 10.

I will live and die believing the BC175 is the most undervalued of them all though...

REGGIE206 03-08-2019 03:03 AM

[QUOTE=epatmythes;14457696]

I will live and die believing the BC175 is the most undervalued of them all though...[/QUOTE]

I agree. It is one beautiful looking card, especially when it’s decently centered. :)!

deemsterz33 03-08-2019 03:05 AM

[QUOTE=epatmythes;14457696]Agreed, very tough card to 10.

I will live and die believing the BC175 is the most undervalued of them all though...[/QUOTE]

Nice bump for them last year. I think once buyers start expanding their collections there will be another push.

fitefanSHO 03-08-2019 08:58 AM

I need to turn my BGS 9.5 US175 into a PSA 10!

speedyjg13 03-08-2019 11:32 AM

What about the eTopps? If you are putting unlicensed Playoff Contenders then you gotta put licensed RC logo eTopps in there. Any way you can do that? They are all numbered to 999

[URL=https://sportscardalbum.com/card/67s227sp/n-a][IMG]https://sportscardalbum.com/c/67s227spx450.jpg?0[/IMG][/URL]

REGGIE206 03-08-2019 11:34 AM

[QUOTE=speedyjg13;14458506]What about the eTopps? If you are putting unlicensed Playoff Contenders then you gotta put licensed RC logo eTopps in there. Any way you can do that? They are all numbered to 999

[URL=https://sportscardalbum.com/card/67s227sp/n-a][IMG]https://sportscardalbum.com/c/67s227spx450.jpg?0[/IMG][/URL][/QUOTE]

That eTopps has been selling really well too! The red just pops and the overall looks is amazing. It also helps that it is limited to only /999 copies with no parallels. :)

epatmythes 03-08-2019 11:37 AM

[QUOTE=speedyjg13;14458506]What about the eTopps? If you are putting unlicensed Playoff Contenders then you gotta put licensed RC logo eTopps in there. Any way you can do that? They are all numbered to 999

[URL=https://sportscardalbum.com/card/67s227sp/n-a][IMG]https://sportscardalbum.com/c/67s227spx450.jpg?0[/IMG][/URL][/QUOTE]

That is one of my favorite Trout cards of all time!

After about a 10 year hiatus from collecting (late high school, military, starting a career)... I got back into card collecting because of eTopps! It pains me to this day that the hobby-powers-that-be don't/won't consider eTopps cards true RCs because of their distribution method(s). With that said, as I stated above...

1) I'm only tracking his PSA Rookie Set Registry cards

:(

BumBum 03-08-2019 12:22 PM

[QUOTE=epatmythes;14457696]I will live and die believing the BC175 is the most undervalued of them all though...[/QUOTE]

That's good for me, it's the next card on my list. I still can't believe how much the Update has skyrocketed in the last year. I suffer from classic FOMO and bought mine at the height of the market, lol.

messier2 03-08-2019 03:38 PM

Any chance the update PSA 10 reaches $1K?

Soxfanguy 03-08-2019 03:43 PM

[QUOTE=messier2;14459287]Any chance the update PSA 10 reaches $1K?[/QUOTE]

Doubt this year could be wrong though

ALBASKETBALL 03-08-2019 03:44 PM

Sold my Update PSA 10 for $745.01 and Bowman Draft (BGS 9.5 GEM+) for $265 this month

Amberkow 03-08-2019 03:47 PM

Thanks for putting this all together and tracking this, it is very interesting.

epatmythes 03-09-2019 02:29 PM

[QUOTE=speedyjg13;14458506]What about the eTopps? If you are putting unlicensed Playoff Contenders then you gotta put licensed RC logo eTopps in there. Any way you can do that? They are all numbered to 999

[URL=https://sportscardalbum.com/card/67s227sp/n-a][IMG]https://sportscardalbum.com/c/67s227spx450.jpg?0[/IMG][/URL][/QUOTE]

Tough one to tread. Just for fun today, thought I'd give it a go. I suspect there have been more online sales, but between the 2 data sources, this is all the data I could find...

2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Aug 24, 2018 - $740.00
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Aug 24, 2018 - $760.00
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Jul 10, 2018 - $754.99
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Apr 18, 2018 - $539.00
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Mar 29, 2018 - $676.66
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Jan 10, 2018 - $560.00
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Nov 9, 2017 - $525.00
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Jun 14, 2017 - $575.00
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Aug 9, 2015 - $331.99
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Aug 31, 2014 - $182.50
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - May 30, 2013 - $102.50
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Feb 5, 2013 - $87.31
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Jan 21, 2013 - $82.57

[I][B]* SIDENOTE *[/B] - The data point of the May 30, 2013 sale of $102.50 was the one I purchased... and I still own it to this day![/I]

speedyjg13 03-09-2019 03:21 PM

[QUOTE=Amberkow;14459319]Thanks for putting this all together and tracking this, it is very interesting.[/QUOTE]

I second this

[QUOTE=epatmythes;14461971]Tough one to tread. Just for fun today, thought I'd give it a go. I suspect there have been more online sales, but between the 2 data sources, this is all the data I could find...

2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Aug 24, 2018 - $740.00
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Aug 24, 2018 - $760.00
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Jul 10, 2018 - $754.99
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Apr 18, 2018 - $539.00
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Mar 29, 2018 - $676.66
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Jan 10, 2018 - $560.00
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Nov 9, 2017 - $525.00
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Jun 14, 2017 - $575.00
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Aug 9, 2015 - $331.99
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Aug 31, 2014 - $182.50
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - May 30, 2013 - $102.50
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Feb 5, 2013 - $87.31
2011 eTopps #35 Mike Trout PSA 10 - Jan 21, 2013 - $82.57

[I][B]* SIDENOTE *[/B] - The data point of the May 30, 2013 sale of $102.50 was the one I purchased... and I still own it to this day![/I][/QUOTE]

Wow... so its the 2nd most expensive behind Sterling and the Update at 3rd place

Soxfanguy 03-09-2019 03:23 PM

Surprised prime cuts sells for so much. No logos or signature

REGGIE206 03-09-2019 03:27 PM

[QUOTE=Soxfanguy;14462125]Surprised prime cuts sells for so much. No logos or signature[/QUOTE]

It’s honestly because they’re so limited (99 copies in the world).

epatmythes 03-09-2019 03:34 PM

[QUOTE=Soxfanguy;14462125]Surprised prime cuts sells for so much. No logos or signature[/QUOTE]

Technically, no logos or sig... but still considered by the hobby as an official RC. Only 99 copies exist... and one has not hit the open market (raw or graded), since October 2017.

At one point in 2013, I owned 16 of the 99. I don't want to say regret... but if I do have one card-collecting-regret... it was not keeping more than the one I own today. I want/need another really badly :)

Sinoth23 03-09-2019 03:37 PM

Great thread. Will be interesting to follow. Ready for opening day.

moosetequila 03-09-2019 05:23 PM

[QUOTE=speedyjg13;14462116]I second this



Wow... so its the 2nd most expensive behind Sterling and the Update at 3rd place[/QUOTE]

Got 2 tens and encased raw, think I'll send it in too.

kyle1707 03-09-2019 05:29 PM

[QUOTE=messier2;14459287]Any chance the update PSA 10 reaches $1K?[/QUOTE]

I have said for a long time this will be 1000

I just did not think it would go from 250 to 750 in last year

Pretty crazy ... I bought mine Jan 2018 for 254.00

I thought he would have to win 1-2 more mvps

500/3000 someday. Say 10-15 years it goes to a grand

I actually think this early 750 is a risky buy

I love him ... just my opinion. Been hurt 2 years in a row

epatmythes 03-09-2019 07:04 PM

[QUOTE=kyle1707;14462521]I have said for a long time this will be 1000

I just did not think it would go from 250 to 750 in last year

Pretty crazy ... I bought mine Jan 2018 for 254.00

I thought he would have to win 1-2 more mvps

500/3000 someday. Say 10-15 years it goes to a grand

I actually think this early 750 is a risky buy

I love him ... just my opinion. Been hurt 2 years in a row[/QUOTE]

I've always felt $1K was possible, but $750 would (should) be about the ceiling... the market is proving me wrong (once again)!

I get the flagship design love... but it still kind of baffles me how insane the following is on that card and how, to me at least, it makes a few of those other RCs just seem downright undervalued!

Ferg1945 03-09-2019 07:32 PM

Jump on board now.... once the season begins the train will leave the station and those left behind will regret not boarding.

ThoseBackPages 03-09-2019 08:35 PM

for the Update non-believers.... i ask..... what are the 2011 Update Boxes at?

the card is iconic. one of the most iconic RCs in the history of the company

ThoseBackPages 03-09-2019 08:39 PM

lets make a list of other Topps RCs that are on the same level of PRICE/Iconicness in the history of Topps baseball

Mathews? No
Aaron? Yes
Kaline? No
Banks? No
Clemente? Yes
Koufax? Eh
FRob? No
Gibson? No
Rose? Possibly
Seaver? No
Ryan? Yes
Reggie? No
Schmidt? No
Brett? Possibly
Henderson? Possibly

you get the point

SirTommyWinAlot 03-09-2019 08:40 PM

[QUOTE=Ferg1945;14462873]Jump on board now.... once the season begins the train will leave the station and those left behind will regret not boarding.[/QUOTE]

oh that train be long gone by now and those left behind are already regretting.

Ferg1945 03-09-2019 08:47 PM

[QUOTE=SirTommyWinAlot;14463063]oh that train be long gone by now and those left behind are already regretting.[/QUOTE]

It still makes occasional stops to let others on board. Seating is getting limited tho.

dave2424 03-09-2019 10:24 PM

[QUOTE=epatmythes;14462165]Technically, no logos or sig... but still considered by the hobby as an official RC. Only 99 copies exist... and one has not hit the open market (raw or graded), since October 2017.

Oct 2017 , that was the one I bought, paid around 500 back then but was a pwcc auction. Still have it, was one of the first Trout’s I bought.

epatmythes 03-09-2019 10:27 PM

[QUOTE=dave2424;14463423]Oct 2017 , that was the one I bought, paid around 500 back then but was a pwcc auction. Still have it, was one of the first Trout’s I bought.[/QUOTE]

2011 Playoff Prime Cuts Mike Trout ROOKIE RC /99 #37 PSA 8.5 NM-MT+ (PWCC) Oct 17, 2017 $510.00

:)!

dave2424 03-09-2019 10:34 PM

[QUOTE=epatmythes;14463430]2011 Playoff Prime Cuts Mike Trout ROOKIE RC /99 #37 PSA 8.5 NM-MT+ (PWCC) Oct 17, 2017 $510.00

:)![/QUOTE]
[url=https://flic.kr/p/2dHSa5x][img]https://farm8.staticflickr.com/7809/46418736235_dbde4923a4_c.jpg[/img][/url][url=https://flic.kr/p/2dHSa5x]Prime cuts mike trout 49/99[/url] by [url=https://www.flickr.com/photos/161031941@N04/]david[/url], on Flickr


Just thought it was a cool card, and really back then thought this is a lot for one card!!!

epatmythes 03-09-2019 11:19 PM

[QUOTE=dave2424;14463446][url=https://flic.kr/p/2dHSa5x][img]https://farm8.staticflickr.com/7809/46418736235_dbde4923a4_c.jpg[/img][/url][url=https://flic.kr/p/2dHSa5x]Prime cuts mike trout 49/99[/url] by [url=https://www.flickr.com/photos/161031941@N04/]david[/url], on Flickr


Just thought it was a cool card, and really back then thought this is a lot for one card!!![/QUOTE]

Thought maybe it was one I subbed... and I was going to beg for it back :)

1 1 20457455 NEAR MINT-MINT+ 8.5 2011 Playoff Prime Cuts 37 Mike Trout Card
1 2 20457456 NEAR MINT-MINT+ 8.5 2011 Playoff Prime Cuts 37 Mike Trout Card
1 3 20457457 NEAR MINT-MINT+ 8.5 2011 Playoff Prime Cuts 37 Mike Trout Card
1 4 20457458 NEAR MINT-MINT 8 2011 Playoff Prime Cuts 37 Mike Trout Card
1 5 20457459 NEAR MINT-MINT+ 8.5 2011 Playoff Prime Cuts 37 Mike Trout Card
5 1 21375308 MINT 9 2011 Playoff Prime Cuts 37 Mike Trout Card
5 2 21375309 MINT 9 2011 Playoff Prime Cuts 37 Mike Trout Card
2 1 25035058 MINT 9 2011 Playoff Prime Cuts 37 Mike Trout Card

All from 2012 & 2013... God, I wish I still had some of these!

fitefanSHO 03-10-2019 12:57 PM

I'm holding onto my BGS 9.5 US175.

speedyjg13 03-11-2019 12:37 AM

2011 bowman sterling PSA 10 on auction via PWCC already at $709 with 7 days 22 hours left (not my card). This is the base, not a parallel.

ThoseBackPages 03-11-2019 01:35 AM

[QUOTE=speedyjg13;14466706]2011 bowman sterling PSA 10 on auction via PWCC already at $709 with 7 days 22 hours left (not my card). This is the base, not a parallel.[/QUOTE]

hope you win it!

speedyjg13 03-11-2019 03:08 AM

[QUOTE=ThoseBackPages;14466744]hope you win it![/QUOTE]

Not bidding on it

deemsterz33 03-11-2019 04:56 AM

[QUOTE=speedyjg13;14466773]Not bidding on it[/QUOTE]

I'm guessing youu've never net TBP before?

KB81 03-12-2019 06:40 AM

11 Update high sales in March so far

$899 on March 11
$842 on March 10

KhalDrogo 03-12-2019 07:38 AM

[QUOTE=KB81;14469997]11 Update high sales in March so far

$899 on March 11
$842 on March 10[/QUOTE]
They will be flying today with the coupon.

KB81 03-12-2019 12:25 PM

Another 800 one sold today. The rest for today are high 700s.

People sure love Update.

spudhashops 03-12-2019 12:43 PM

2011 Update BGS 10 pristine seems like good value compared to PSA 10. Multiplier is about 2.5 ($2000/$800), but population is 1/20 (200/4000).

Black label multiplier is 12.5 ($10,000 avg for last 2 sales/$800), population is 1/160 (25/4000).

ThoseBackPages 03-12-2019 12:46 PM

[QUOTE=spudhashops;14470976]2011 Update BGS 10 pristine seems like good value compared to PSA 10. Multiplier is about 2.5 ($2000/$800), but population is 1/20 (200/4000).

Black label multiplier is 12.5 ($10,000 avg for last 2 sales/$800), population is 1/160 (25/4000).[/QUOTE]

i would hope so, one is Pristine, one is Gem Mint

spudhashops 03-12-2019 12:49 PM

My bad, I meant good value = undervalued. For the price of 2.5 psa 10s, you get a trout RC that's 20x rarer.

[QUOTE=ThoseBackPages;14470986]i would hope so, one is Pristine, one is Gem Mint[/QUOTE]

KB81 03-12-2019 05:03 PM

Update sales as of 2 min ago for today:

800
830
789
792
775
789
784
789
784

Soxfanguy 03-12-2019 05:07 PM

I'm the outlier at 830, sorry I jacked up the price

Soxfanguy 03-12-2019 05:12 PM

Feel bad for the person who bought a PSA 10 US175 Walmart auto for 6k yesterday

Soxfanguy 03-12-2019 06:33 PM

Some more sold

795
840

Also Walmart blue at 3500

Soxfanguy 03-12-2019 06:35 PM

Now the mean price of the US175 today is 797.

moosetequila 03-12-2019 06:41 PM

I am thoroughly enjoying seeing KB in fish threads... welcome to the Aquarium (To the tune of welcome to the Jungle)

Soxfanguy 03-12-2019 06:41 PM

[quote=moosetequila;14472164]i am thoroughly enjoying seeing kb in fish threads... Welcome to the aquarium (to the tune of welcome to the jungle)[/quote]

we got fish and games

Ferg1945 03-12-2019 06:44 PM

so $800 now?

These are getting crazier by the week.

Still 2 weeks from Opening Day.

KB81 03-12-2019 06:46 PM

[QUOTE=moosetequila;14472164]I am thoroughly enjoying seeing KB in fish threads... welcome to the Aquarium (To the tune of welcome to the Jungle)[/QUOTE]

Well, now that I have an official fish, I gotta join in the fandom.

#bandwagon

Soxfanguy 03-12-2019 06:48 PM

[QUOTE=Ferg1945;14472178]so $800 now?

These are getting crazier by the week.

Still 2 weeks from Opening Day.[/QUOTE]

If there is a another eBay sale day, they will probably get to 900

texmrsport 03-12-2019 06:55 PM

I'm bummed that Ebay had the 15% this week. I've got 2 PSA 10's shipping from PSA today. Should have them by Friday.

Soxfanguy 03-12-2019 07:47 PM

Another 830 sold

839 now cheapest BIN

stinkus 03-12-2019 08:09 PM

That 830 is mine but for 775, couldnt resist with the coup

Soxfanguy 03-12-2019 09:30 PM

Not PSA 10s but thought it would be interesting to know prices on US175

9s sell for 400

8s sells for 300

7s sell for 225

6s sell for 200

Raw sells for 100-400 depending on the condition

epatmythes 03-12-2019 10:27 PM

[QUOTE=stinkus;14472602]That 830 is mine but for 775, couldnt resist with the coup[/QUOTE]

Mine, or yours, lol

I had the other $830 out there... also settled on $775!

EDIT: Disregard... you were my buyer :)

KB81 03-12-2019 10:33 PM

[QUOTE=epatmythes;14473247]Mine, or yours, lol

I had the other $830 out there... also settled on $775!

EDIT: Disregard... you were my buyer :)[/QUOTE]

:cry:

Shadowsonic2004 03-12-2019 10:45 PM

[QUOTE=Soxfanguy;14471868]Feel bad for the person who bought a PSA 10 US175 Walmart auto for 6k yesterday[/QUOTE]Would have only saved $100 since it was capped to $100.

Soxfanguy 03-13-2019 08:42 AM

Even with 15% off gone, cheapest PSA 10 BIN is still 849. Weird.

Soxfanguy 03-13-2019 08:43 AM

[QUOTE=epatmythes;14473247]Mine, or yours, lol

I had the other $830 out there... also settled on $775!

EDIT: Disregard... you were my buyer :)[/QUOTE]

How's it coming along?

epatmythes 03-13-2019 08:14 PM

[QUOTE=Soxfanguy;14473883]How's it coming along?[/QUOTE]

How's what coming along?

Soxfanguy 03-13-2019 08:59 PM

[QUOTE=epatmythes;14476627]How's what coming along?[/QUOTE]

The card. Did it ship yet?

epatmythes 03-13-2019 09:08 PM

[QUOTE=Soxfanguy;14476819]The card. Did it ship yet?[/QUOTE]

Yeah, shipped it this morning!

I've got pretty good feedback, he's got good feedback, should be a great transaction!

Honestly, I miss the card already :)

Ferg1945 03-13-2019 09:10 PM

2 PSA 10s end in about 90 minutes

First one is at $790.00

Second one is at $777.77


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