Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedChapmans
Yea, so it was 49/46 in '16 and right now it's 52/46 Joe. -3 to +6 is a big shift for Phoenix; something that we didn't see in other cities (they all actually leaned Trump). Phoenix is not like other cities but all the same a 9 point swing is a big swing.
Same in Pima. Shifted to Biden by the same 9 points as Maricopa. Is that because the R vote hasn't been all counted? (95,000 votes left in Pima).
IDK.
|
So it really does stand to reason that the remaining vote will lean R. Approximately 4500 vote swing for every 1% R advantage in what remains there.
55/45 R/D: 45,000 votes
60/40 R/D: 90,000 votes
Gotta be more of the 60/40 variety.