Quote:
Originally Posted by 49ersSF
Those odds are a bit skewed as many of the existing graded packs do not have Jordan in the pack unless noted. The sequence is widely known and unless the sequence flips halfway through the pack just about all those packs will not give you a Jordan. Given the cost of the graded packs, you are almost guaranteed to lose money when busting a pack.
As mentioned, never buy an ungraded 1986 fleer basketball pack on eBay or just about anywhere else. The chances of that pack being legit is zero.
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I happen to agree that if the card on the front of the pack can be seen, you have no chance at a Jordan because any of the "Jordan sequence" packs would have been opened. However, the front card can't always be determined.
And while it's true you may not get your thousands out of a pack, no one gets skunked. You're going to get a Magic/Bird/Ewing/Thomas/Wilkins/Worthy/Malone/Dumars/Drexler or some combination. As packs go, 86 to 88 Fleer are a gold mine because they are such tiny sets.
It's not like buying a 1980 Topps baseball pack and trying to pull a Henderson. THAT is a waste of money.