Quote:
Originally Posted by MyckKabongo
Honestly a lot of the lower grades lately is likely that people started sending in a lot more expected 9s. A lot of the subs coming back are from Summer and Early Fall last year when it started to become clear that the new economics of 9s would have staying power. Specifically, the difference between a 9 and a raw on most cards was higher than the grading fee by enough to justify grading everything that's a solid 9 with even a small shot to 10. Theres a ton of older modern cards where most raws are 8 or lower condition where 9s can fetch a pretty significant premium. Hence, people started sending in way more 9 material whereas back in the day you'd have only sent in stuff with a good shot to 10.
Now there is going to be a deluge of 9s and I expect the 9 premium over raw may crumble on a lot of ultra modern.
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That would make sense for a new person but it doesn't explain the countless people that have not changed their standards at all and went from 70% to 30% gem rate. I guess it will be a lot more obvious if a set like Bowman's Best with a 90% gem rate suddenly drops drastically.