[thejazzcollector]

Originally Posted by mjohnatgt

I haven't paid attention much to what's available in the packs, figuring that they would be a random assortment of moments that were recently minted. However, I decided to look into the Pack 6 available on Thursday. Here are some numbers:

Total Moments available:
26 of 4K LE, 18 of 9999 LE, 7 of 12K LE, 130 of 60K CC moments
If they evenly distributed these in packs, your odds would be:
1.27% chance of getting a 4K RC, 2.2% of getting a 9999, 1.03% of getting a 12K, and 95.5% chance of getting a /60k moment.

However, because they throttle the rate they seal them in packs, the odds for this release are:
4100 of 4K LE moments, 36500 of 9999 LE, 18500 of 12K LE, and 435900 of the CCs.
That's odds of 0.83% of pulling a 4K, 7.37% for a 9999 LE, 3.74% of pulling a 12K, and only 88% chance of pulling a 60K.

However, the moments are also not evenly distributed in their print run groups.
For the 4000 PR moments, there are ONLY 100 EACH of 25 out of the 26 moments, and 1600 of the Jonathan Kiminga in these packs.

You get worse odds of pulling a 4K and nearly half of them are likely to be Kiminga. Odds of pulling a 9999 and 12K moment in this pack release are actually MUCH BETTER than the straight odds if they were evenly distributed.

Thanks for the info and the breakdown! Based on the data, seems to suggest this drop probably won’t be worth the rookie chase then right?