Quote:
Originally Posted by pewe
Being more risky doesn't detract from his value when healthy. It just causes the team to be more brittle when he isn't.
As a manager it would certainly need to be a team design consideration. It would be interesting to understand if GMs see it as a net benefit, or net negative to have to deal with.
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Yes -- Ohtani theoretically provides more downside compared to a player with identical WAR, even though he theoretically provides more benefit.
It's a matter of risk management. That's why teams value depth and try to disperse payroll and production throughout the roster.
But here's the thing, Judge falls into a similar category of risk as Ohtani. The Yankees lineup is very heavily contigent on Judge's production and him staying healthy. The Yankees lineup works because of Judge. The roster was built around him.