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Originally Posted by Boredlawyer
So far the guy is a .150 hitter that's struck out in 37% of his AA at-bats, after not exactly lighting the world on fire in High A. He looks physically maxed out at 5'11.
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Today that's .253 with a 23.6% K rate. It's almost like he's adjusting to the AA competition as a 19 year old.
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Luis Matos looked like a high floor prospect at the same level, and he lost all feel to hit within a year.
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Today Luis Matos is torching AAA so hard at age 21 he's about to get called up to SF.
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If you are confident, go right ahead. But I wouldn't quantify any player under the age of 20 as anything except immense risk. Hell, Juan Soto's preternatural plate discipline is supposed to he the definition of low risk, and he seems to have fallen off a cliff at age 24. People were cherry picking Luis Matos stats two seasons ago in the same manner.
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https://www.milb.com/player/luis-matos-682641