Quote:
Originally Posted by MiamiMarlinsFan
Devers is on a HOF track. He’s not a lock by any stretch, but going on of WAR for age, he’s definitely on track. He has a long way to go though.
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For Devers to get to the HOF he's going to have to spike a couple of 7 WAR sorts of seasons he hasn't shown so far in his career. It's possible, but it's just not super likely IMO - most players capable of doing that have shown it by age 27. He's almost certainly not going to get to the Hall just stringing together another seven seasons at 5 WAR average; no one really does that. And there's a decent chunk of even his current season performance that's fueled by an unsustainable spike in his BABIP.
There will be players like Devers that make it to the Hall, but for every one that does, there are going to be 5-10 more than hit normal age regression in the 32-35 range and peter out as Hall of Very Good 40-55 win players that don't hit any of the major statistical markers that would push them beyond a small slice of the vote.
That's a different HOF track than the Soto/Acuna class of guys are, or where someone like Henderson/Witt will be at age 27 if they stay healthy for the next few years. Getting into the HOF without those true peak seasons is very, very difficult, and having those seasons banked going into the late 20s makes the path dramatically easier.