Shohei Ohtani vs. Mike Trout vs. Aaron Judge

[PuddleMonkey]

Which of these guys end their career with most home runs?

Currently at the end of 2024:

Mike Trout (age 33) - 378 HR
Aaron Judge (age 32) - 315 HR
Shohei Ohtani (age 30) - 225 HR

[Rbradleigh]

Originally Posted by PuddleMonkey

Which of these guys end their career with most home runs?

Currently at the end of 2024:

Mike Trout (age 33) - 378 HR
Aaron Judge (age 32) - 315 HR
Shohei Ohtani (age 30) - 225 HR

Going to go Judge based on:
1. His hit skill is getting better
2. If Ohtani truly wants to pitch then it takes some upside out of the bat
3. I can’t trust Trout to play a significant (120+) amount of games/season going forward.

[PuddleMonkey]

I feel like it has to be Trout, even with his injuries he has a decent lead. I trust Judge to stay healthy about as much as I do Trout. He's too big and lumbering. If Ohtani starts pitching again his chance at injuries goes up. I think Trout has this in the bag.

[PudleMonkyPoser]

I agree, Trout has the lead, and Judge’s body will break down at some point and limit his ability to play everyday even as a DH, Judge will get to 500, but so will Trout and he’ll edge Judge out. Ohtani has to stay healthy for 8-9 years but he’ll probably just barely pass 500 even with the best health outlook for him.

My predictions Trout @ 550 HR, Judge @ 525 HR, Ohtani @ 500 HR

[texmcpherson]

Ohtani has a lot of catching up to do but obviously has the ability, Trout (while having a large lead) is playing waaay too many partial seasons. I’ll take Judge.

[Rage]

Juan Soto.

But out of these 3 I'm gonna go Shohei just cause he's ridiculous and has time on his side

[Poorboy]

Gonna say trout
But I’d sure be happy to be wrong lol

[BGT Masters]

Judge. Trout likely won’t even get to 500. When you have 4-5 injury riddled seasons in a row your body doesn’t magically get better. At his current rate he would need another 6-7 seasons.

[kooky4cards]

I'm predicting Trout barely makes it past 500. I think Judge will have a couple more monster seasons, but I think that Ohtani at age 35 to 38/39 will be healthier than Judge will be at those ages. I also think that Ohtani will be finished pitching by age 37 or 38, but will continue playing as a purely DH until he's 40 or 41.

So as of right now, these are my predictions:

Trout will end up with 500 to 505 HR.
Judge will end up with 610 to 620 HR.
Ohtani will end up with 620 to 630 HR.

[Cracktoast]

3 more years and Stanton will be gone if he doesn't retire before then and Judge will be the full time DH and his injury risks go way down.

[vwnut13]

Better question...

Will Mike Trout play more than 378 games in the next 6 years?

[KhalDrogo]

Judge. If you told me Trout didn’t get to 425 HRs, I wouldn’t be surprised.

[cardozo]

Aaron Judge, he has an entire DH career ahead of him.

[Poorboy]

Mnnnnn as a newbie gotta ask ….
Hasn’t judge missed significant amounts of games too ?

[PuddleMonkey]

Originally Posted by Poorboy

Mnnnnn as a newbie gotta ask ….
Hasn’t judge missed significant amounts of games too ?

His health has dropped the ball on occasion.