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Old 06-16-2020, 10:18 AM   #10
Dalston
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Join Date: Feb 2019
Location: Bay Area
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Here's some smart analysis of where we are - https://mlb.nbcsports.com/2020/06/15...20-mlb-season/ - that suggests that the most likely reason for the current situation is the owners are split with at least 8 that don't want to play a season at all. Given that the owners need 23 votes to agree to anything if someone pushes it to a formal vote, it makes sense.

What makes no sense is Manfred's argument that "once the MLB/owners announced the official start of the season with a schedule, the Union lawyers would file a grievance and SUE MLB and say that the players are entitled to another $1 billion".

If you believe that is true, then if the owners now don't start the season at all then there will be at least equal merit in a Union grievance claiming the players are now entitled to $3bn. In fact, that grievance would be more likely to win as the owners have said many times they can play the season so an arbitrator would be far more likely to rule for the players than if they started the season. And good luck persuading an arbitrator that asking someone to waive arbitration is in itself a reasonable request. The fact that Manfred is making that argument at all proves that the emperor has no clothes.

Manfred may be many things (and personally I hope this whole mess leads to a different Commissioner), but he's an experienced lawyer who rarely behaves totally irrationally. Which is why I think the linked article is right and the owners are split.
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