Prizm Base Print Run Estimates Through The Years

massina cards · 12-06-2020, 10:28 AM

Not sure if this has been attempted before but I wanted to estimate how the Prizm base print run has changed through the years, I added 2003 and 2007 TC as well. I did some math and here’s what I got. You can checkout my post from the other day if you want to see the methodology I used https://www.blowoutforums.com/showthread.php?t=1428500

*TAKEAWAYS*
1. First of all, I’m NOT anti-base cards (sorta). Personally, I own a ton of early Prizm base. However, I’ve avoided Prizm from recent years. Based on the drastic increase in print run, I’d be hesitant to buy Tatum/Luka/Trae base and I wouldn’t touch Zion/Ja base with a ten foot pole.
2. These are estimates. Any project like this will be imperfect. However, I’m confident in my results. For most years, I’d be surprised if I’m off by more than 10-15%. And let’s say for example I am a little off.. maybe 2017 Prizm is actually 32,000 or maybe 2019 Prizm is actually 130,000. Those corrections still wouldn’t change the overall message of this graph.
3. 2019 surprised me the most, but it makes sense when you look at the numbers. For example, ~37,000 Zion base have already been graded. For comparison, only ~15,000 Trae base have been graded (both players have comparable value and Trae cards have been out longer). A print run of over 100,000 base is crazy but hey @paniniamerica, if I could print money, I’d do it too lol
4. Final thought: If you’re a collector, collect what you like. If you’re an investor, consider the inefficiencies in the market

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

12-06-2020, 10:28 AM	#1
massina cards Member Join Date: Sep 2019 Posts: 145 massina_cards	Prizm Base Print Run Estimates Through The Years Not sure if this has been attempted before but I wanted to estimate how the Prizm base print run has changed through the years, I added 2003 and 2007 TC as well. I did some math and here’s what I got. You can checkout my post from the other day if you want to see the methodology I used https://www.blowoutforums.com/showthread.php?t=1428500 TAKEAWAYS 1. First of all, I’m NOT anti-base cards (sorta). Personally, I own a ton of early Prizm base. However, I’ve avoided Prizm from recent years. Based on the drastic increase in print run, I’d be hesitant to buy Tatum/Luka/Trae base and I wouldn’t touch Zion/Ja base with a ten foot pole. 2. These are estimates. Any project like this will be imperfect. However, I’m confident in my results. For most years, I’d be surprised if I’m off by more than 10-15%. And let’s say for example I am a little off.. maybe 2017 Prizm is actually 32,000 or maybe 2019 Prizm is actually 130,000. Those corrections still wouldn’t change the overall message of this graph. 3. 2019 surprised me the most, but it makes sense when you look at the numbers. For example, ~37,000 Zion base have already been graded. For comparison, only ~15,000 Trae base have been graded (both players have comparable value and Trae cards have been out longer). A print run of over 100,000 base is crazy but hey @paniniamerica, if I could print money, I’d do it too lol 4. Final thought: If you’re a collector, collect what you like. If you’re an investor, consider the inefficiencies in the market Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk __________________ ebay: massina_cards ig: massina_cards