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Old 04-04-2023, 11:19 PM   #1
GOATcards
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Default 2023 NBA Playoffs thread

Joker better get his act together in the Murray-not-being-injured for the playoffs dept., much less in the have-Bubble-Murray ( = Mile High Murray?)-as-teammate dept.

So the Freak is the NBA Finals MVP Front-Runner, and that's on the off-chance that the god doesn't make it through enough of the playoffs healthy enough to so much as land in the finals much less be hypothetically healthy enough to last all the way through to a Finals MVP finish. So if I'm correct this guy who eerily resembles this guy but not exactly but this guy from the State Farm ad is in 3rd place in the Finals-MVP-Front-runners-if-the-god-is-healthy competition?

When it comes down to process of elimination, strength and health-wise, we give even a hypothetically healthy Clippers team only so much of a chance against a hypothetically healthy Suns team?

So the most rational and objective way to formulate expectations is by probabilities who (a) is the strongest team (SRS or Elo-wise if we're going by statistical proxies) and (b) has X chance to be hypothetically healthy and rather consistently so throughout the playoffs. A Suns team that lands without a healthy KD leading up to the Finals has just as much of a chance of winning the ring as a Suns team getting there with a healthy KD, ya dig? It all depends on the god's health and at what crucial point in the playoffs? A healthy god all the way through the Finals and therefore probable Finals MVP frontrunner in that hypothetical instance is, . . . well, is he really as/more formidable than the Freak (the hypothetically healthy/available version that is)? KD had a toe on the line the last time around with his other team's stars injured. Only cp3 has a playoff health history, so you can only hypothetically assume he's down one star this time around. god vs. Freak, otherwise god vs. "Jake," or Freak vs. hypothetically healthy Lakers, or Freak vs. the hypothetically loaded Warriors, or Beard/Process hypothetically choking against the god, or "Jake" vs. the hypothetically healthy Lakerz, or . . .

subjective probabilities of Finals MVP front-runners:

Yannis: 30%
"Jake": 21%
the god: 20%
Joker w/bubblicious murray: 12%
other/andrew wiggins: ?
process: 8%
glass: 0.1%
klaw: 0.05%
spida: 0.008%
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