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Old 01-28-2023, 05:35 PM   #801
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Yikes. I’m surprised his BCA 1sts haven’t come down as much, but when you have a lot invested and it’s either down 80% or hold and pray, I’d do the latter as well.

Hoping the Wisconsin kid can figure it out.
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Old 01-28-2023, 08:57 PM   #802
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Yikes. I’m surprised his BCA 1sts haven’t come down as much, but when you have a lot invested and it’s either down 80% or hold and pray, I’d do the latter as well.

Hoping the Wisconsin kid can figure it out.
80% is better than 20%....that's where he's heading.
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Old 01-28-2023, 09:14 PM   #803
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Originally Posted by LVDan View Post
I saw a psa9 red heritage auto auctioned for $93 this morning. Not quite low enough for me to jump in but made me look. The terapeak chronological history for that card tells a sad story for early buyers: (starts March 2022- the ones before that even more painful)
$832
$640
$406(psa10)
$250(#51/72 ouch)
$132
$118
$93(#51/72 now a psa9)
Good lord his hype was unreal if after that clunker of a debut his red auto still sold for $830 in March.

at that time I believe you could still get a solid grade of Yordan or Wander first chrome auto for that much.
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Old 01-28-2023, 09:18 PM   #804
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I bought 6 Topps Chrome Update Sapphire boxes and thought I was playing with house money after pulling 2 Kelenic Autos. Ouch.
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Old 01-28-2023, 09:45 PM   #805
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Originally Posted by TruBlueBrewCrew View Post
Yikes. I’m surprised his BCA 1sts haven’t come down as much, but when you have a lot invested and it’s either down 80% or hold and pray, I’d do the latter as well.

Hoping the Wisconsin kid can figure it out.
This is a la Jo Adell but his faithful have begun to sell and cards have been sinking now
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Old 01-29-2023, 05:56 AM   #806
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LVDan View Post
I saw a psa9 red heritage auto auctioned for $93 this morning. Not quite low enough for me to jump in but made me look. The terapeak chronological history for that card tells a sad story for early buyers: (starts March 2022- the ones before that even more painful)
$832
$640
$406(psa10)
$250(#51/72 ouch)
$132
$118
$93(#51/72 now a psa9)
Of course all of those early buyers will claim to have sold off everything and made huge gains before the downward trend...We all know nobody loses money prospecting...
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Old 01-29-2023, 08:00 AM   #807
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This is a la Jo Adell but his faithful have begun to sell and cards have been sinking now
Oh Jo, I really hope he figures it out
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Old 01-29-2023, 09:57 AM   #808
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Of course all of those early buyers will claim to have sold off everything and made huge gains before the downward trend...We all know nobody loses money prospecting...
Early buyers of the top guys in new rookie sets are almost always going to be major losses. The longer you hold, usually the worse.
If you bought BC autos at release that later shoot up prospect rankings, you will make money unless you hold forever.

Kelenic had an awful debut, but his rookie class was so bad people were way over spending on him as the top guy. If you were buying those at release, that was dumb.
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Old 01-29-2023, 10:05 AM   #809
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Early buyers of the top guys in new rookie sets are almost always going to be major losses. The longer you hold, usually the worse.
If you bought BC autos at release that later shoot up prospect rankings, you will make money unless you hold forever.

Kelenic had an awful debut, but his rookie class was so bad people were way over spending on him as the top guy. If you were buying those at release, that was dumb.
He not only had an awful debut, but then an awful 2nd & 3rd call up. Combine the boom peak with all 2021 releases...and you get a disastrous combo.
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Old 02-27-2023, 08:55 AM   #810
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Has he moved from AAAA beast to Spring Training beast?
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Old 02-27-2023, 09:19 AM   #811
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I will say if he did figure it out. This would be one of the greatest blowout threads ever

But it is amazing how close he is.

He is so good in the highest level of minors and spring training

But that one step up stops him. Or has
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Old 02-27-2023, 09:47 AM   #812
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I will say if he did figure it out. This would be one of the greatest blowout threads ever

But it is amazing how close he is.

He is so good in the highest level of minors and spring training

But that one step up stops him. Or has
Lots of believers still out there on eBay. I’m shocked by what I see his cards going for.
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Old 02-27-2023, 10:15 AM   #813
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Lots of believers still out there on eBay. I’m shocked by what I see his cards going for.
His prices are idiotic period. People just refusing to take Ls. I say even if he does perform, prices won't move cause they just don't make sense.
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Old 02-27-2023, 10:19 AM   #814
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Yeah, the /499 PSA 10 draft chrome auto is wild
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Old 02-27-2023, 10:26 AM   #815
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His prices are idiotic period. People just refusing to take Ls. I say even if he does perform, prices won't move cause they just don't make sense.
I’m talking about auctions. Buyers are refusing to let sellers take the L. Obviously they’ve come down from their highs, but still.
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Old 03-06-2023, 12:11 PM   #816
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His prices are idiotic period. People just refusing to take Ls. I say even if he does perform, prices won't move cause they just don't make sense.
Even if he plays great in 2023, I don't see prices getting back to where they were.
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Old 03-06-2023, 01:04 PM   #817
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Originally Posted by kyle1707 View Post
I will say if he did figure it out. This would be one of the greatest blowout threads ever

But it is amazing how close he is.

He is so good in the highest level of minors and spring training

But that one step up stops him. Or has

Classic AAAA player to this point.


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Old 03-08-2023, 09:51 AM   #818
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.412/.412/1.118


is it real yet?
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Old 03-08-2023, 09:58 AM   #819
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He could possibly be learning to hunt fastballs, like what Dansby does. I've posted the fangraphs bit on why Dansby is successful I think twice now - but in a nutshell it's that he swings hard and hunts fastballs. It's a repeatable skill, because he's gotten better at it. If Jarred can learn to do that, he's got a future in the league, because he can absolutely tattoo a baseball.
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Old 03-08-2023, 09:58 AM   #820
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.412/.412/1.118


is it real yet?
Nope, has to do it in real games.
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Old 03-26-2023, 02:19 AM   #821
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.412/.412/1.118


is it real yet?
Still at .391
Excited to see what he can do.
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Old 03-26-2023, 07:52 AM   #822
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.412/.412/1.118


is it real yet?
Meh, he's no Hanser Alberto!
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Old 03-26-2023, 09:35 AM   #823
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Still at .391
Excited to see what he can do.
Me too, considering we've already seen a lot of what he can't do.
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Old 04-12-2023, 03:40 PM   #824
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482 foot bomb at Wrigley.
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Old 04-12-2023, 03:41 PM   #825
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