Mike Trout PSA 10 Rookie Price Tracker

[MSU Bulldogs]

2025 WAR -0.1 Ouch

[jduds]

Originally Posted by MSU Bulldogs

2025 WAR -0.1 Ouch

2025 prices down to early 2019 prices as well. Really big ouch. PSA 10 Topps Update rookies are going for 50% of their pre-covid pricing. That's brutal. OTOH, just about time to get a few Trout cards I like.

[6celtics33]

Originally Posted by KB81

IF, Mike Trout hits a wall and stays as is as far as accolades go for the rest of his career... would you still be a buyer?

Almost 5 year old question. Well done. I think the answer is no based on the falling prices.

[MiamiMarlinsFan]

Originally Posted by 6celtics33

Almost 5 year old question. Well done. I think the answer is no based on the falling prices.

What’s funny is that none of the Trout Pumpers had the sack to even answer his question.

[tconte]

Originally Posted by jduds

2025 prices down to early 2019 prices as well. Really big ouch. PSA 10 Topps Update rookies are going for 50% of their pre-covid pricing. That's brutal. OTOH, just about time to get a few Trout cards I like.

Bowman Sterling is sitting around 2016 prices.

Big fall for the Millville Meteor!

I got to believe prices should come back some. This is a great time for collectors of his cards to buy more!

[seanrs1]

Originally Posted by tconte

Bowman Sterling is sitting around 2016 prices.

Big fall for the Millville Meteor!

I got to believe prices should come back some. This is a great time for collectors of his cards to buy more!

What long term value do you see in his cards at this point? What great milestones do you see him accomplishing in his career? At this point he is behind Ohtani and Judge in the hobby. At this point isn't Pujols a better buy based on accomplishments?

[tconte]

Originally Posted by seanrs1

What long term value do you see in his cards at this point? What great milestones do you see him accomplishing in his career? At this point he is behind Ohtani and Judge in the hobby. At this point isn't Pujols a better buy based on accomplishments?

He should easily get to 500 home runs. His value will be greater than today
if he can hit the field healthy again.

If you collect Pujols, then buy Pujols. If you are a Trout guy, this could be
a time to buy low. I made my post as a collector. If they go up great.

I don't invest in cards.

[49ersSF]

Easily??

Trout has 102 home runs in his last 6 years played. His contract plays out until 2030 so if he matches his output of the last 6 years of his career he will come up short. This is based off the stats from age 28 to age 33. Then you have to factor in the usual dropoff MLB players see from age 33 on. You are already seeing it with Trout.

2022 .283 BA
2023 .263 BA
2024 .220 BA
2025 .179 BA

I do think Trout has a shot at 500 home runs but based on his decline the chances are getting slimmer every year.

[speedyjg13]

Anyone have high end Trouty available for the PC?

[finfangfan]

Mike Trout hit his 300th career home run on September 5, 2020. He is currently sitting at 387 career homers. He *should* get to 400 this year unless he goes back on the IL at some point this year for an extended period of time. 500 home runs could take awhile and are definitely not a guarantee if Trout’s career ends early due to injury.

[ThoseBackPages]

i think he gets to 500

[seanrs1]

Lets assume he gets to 500 HR. And lets assume he ends he career with a WAR around 100. Where does this place him historically? I just don't understand his current hobby prices if this is where his career numbers actually end up. Seem like his prices should continue to fall...no?

[6celtics33]

Originally Posted by MiamiMarlinsFan

What’s funny is that none of the Trout Pumpers had the sack to even answer his question.

I noticed that too

[Fulmer4MVP]

Honestly IMO he finishes around 450 HRs

[MiamiMarlinsFan]

Originally Posted by tconte

He should easily get to 500 home runs. His value will be greater than today
if he can hit the field healthy again.

If you collect Pujols, then buy Pujols. If you are a Trout guy, this could be
a time to buy low. I made my post as a collector. If they go up great.

I don't invest in cards.

This is one of the wilder things I’ve ever seen posted on here.

Define “easily”? What year do you think he hits #500 in?

[ThoseBackPages]

Originally Posted by seanrs1

Lets assume he gets to 500 HR. And lets assume he ends he career with a WAR around 100. Where does this place him historically? I just don't understand his current hobby prices if this is where his career numbers actually end up. Seem like his prices should continue to fall...no?

dont forget the hobby and the sport are not always one in the same.

[Archangel1775]

Originally Posted by tconte

He should easily get to 500 home runs. His value will be greater than today
if he can hit the field healthy again.

If you collect Pujols, then buy Pujols. If you are a Trout guy, this could be
a time to buy low. I made my post as a collector. If they go up great.

I don't invest in cards.

The problem with that is only 28 players have achieved it, in all of baseball history. Right now, Trout is making the Pujols contract look good. I hope he recovers. Baseball and the hobby could use his resurgence. Now if you said Stanton will get there easily sitting on 429, I'd still be at 70-30 and I'm rooting for them both.

[patchgenie]

Originally Posted by seanrs1

What long term value do you see in his cards at this point? What great milestones do you see him accomplishing in his career? At this point he is behind Ohtani and Judge in the hobby. At this point isn't Pujols a better buy based on accomplishments?

he should be able to get a few more hits in

[jduds]

Originally Posted by seanrs1

What long term value do you see in his cards at this point? What great milestones do you see him accomplishing in his career? At this point he is behind Ohtani and Judge in the hobby. At this point isn't Pujols a better buy based on accomplishments?

He was the favorite of the hobby for a substantial time and is still a clear first ballot guy. I expect he'll see a thawing of feelings toward him just like Griffey and Pujols did towards the end of their careers after their own disappointing 30s (Pujols was good until 32, but you get the idea). He doesn't necessarily have to hit milestones. Maybe baseball will look the other way like they did with Pujols, and Trout will magically have a great season at 40 that gets people excited. Getting to 500 will likely trigger a hobby renaissance for him, but so will simply retiring. I'm not sure what his ceiling is, but it's well under peak covid pricing. I also wonder what the floor is before everyone starts snagging cheap Trouts. He does fit in with Griffey and Pujols as a top hobby (and real baseball) guy that just had unfortunate injuries at what should have been a more productive second-half of his career. I expect his cards to follow a similar journey.

[49ersSF]

I'm thinking US175 PSA 10 will settle at about $400 in the next couple of years.

[Lonewolf]

Originally Posted by finfangfan

Mike Trout hit his 300th career home run on September 5, 2020. He is currently sitting at 387 career homers. He *should* get to 400 this year unless he goes back on the IL at some point this year for an extended period of time. 500 home runs could take awhile and are definitely not a guarantee if Trout’s career ends early due to injury.

I don't even think he gets to 400 this year. He'll come back and then get hurt again and miss the last couple months of the season just like the past two years. I don't think that he's Anthony Rendon lite yet, but he's getting there

[atk825]

Originally Posted by finfangfan

Mike Trout hit his 300th career home run on September 5, 2020. He is currently sitting at 387 career homers. He *should* get to 400 this year unless he goes back on the IL at some point this year for an extended period of time. 500 home runs could take awhile and are definitely not a guarantee if Trout’s career ends early due to injury.

For reference, Freddie Freeman hit 300 on May 18, 2023. And now sits at 352.

[tconte]

Originally Posted by MiamiMarlinsFan

This is one of the wilder things I’ve ever seen posted on here.

Define “easily”? What year do you think he hits #500 in?

3-4 years unless the wheels fall off


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[MiamiMarlinsFan]

Originally Posted by tconte

3-4 years unless the wheels fall off


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

You’re a much bigger man of faith than I am. He would need to average 28.25 HRs a season to hit 500 in 4 years. He has averaged 19 HRs a season since 2021. I just don’t see it.

Looking at his games played since 2021, it kind of feels like the wheels have fallen off already.

[49ersSF]

I think tconte's posts from 2018 are just now posting in 2025.