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#426 | |
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Go Royals!! #RoyalsIn2015 <---It Happened!! Sometimes it is astounding that we are able to persist in a world so full of morons.#TEAMZinck |
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#427 | |
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I do think this list brings to light that there are probably 10-15+ active guys who will come out of the woodwork at some point. Maybe some of those guys are too young and not peaking yet, maybe some are like Randy Johnson and will be late bloomers who play into their 40s, maybe some former MVPs bounce back like Bellinger, Yelich, KB or some fringe guys like Rizzo hang around to get 400+ HR 2k+ hits and add another ring or two for a huge team like the Yanks. Fun thing about baseball is there are probably 2-3 guys who are playing right now who are on no ones radar. And someday they'l be weeping in front of all their idols, camera's & fans on their way to immortality. |
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#428 | |
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But if I had to pick today... You have to go with Volpe and Walker because people playing every day at their age have an obvious leg up on the competition. But of course, Justin Upton would have been on my list for years and years. Someone their age is going to make it, probably a few people. If the world ended today, it's them! On the other side of things, who has a better chance, Volpe? or Cutch? Volpe has to have a hell of a career just to get close to Cutch. Thus, again, when picking 40, who is that 40th person that gets inducted in 2065? Maybe Cutch. It wasn't really hard to make this list. Not a lot of thought put into it, because there isn't a point to doing it. Just a few years ago, everyone would have had Bellinger, Tatis, Yelich, and others as relatively safe picks. So I suspect there's going to be some easy picks on this list that disappear just as quickly. (The 1980s mega stars, the ones everyone thought were destined for immortality, like none of them made it. I think about that all of the time. Take an individual in the 1980s and tell him Gooden, Strawberry, Davis, Canseco, Murphy, Mattingly, Bo Jackson, Will Clark. That's not to mention Bonds, Clemens, McGwire, etc. Those are the guys that sold tickets.)
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#429 |
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Adrian Beltre is a good example of this- I’m not a huge fan of his, but for like his first 6-8 years he was pretty average (except for one really big season), but he racked up a ton of solid seasons in his 30’s and ended up hitting some pretty big career numbers, to the point where most people would probably consider him a HOFer when he retired.
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#430 |
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It’s that time of year again folks! 2024 is upon us and it's time to bump it up and see if anyone wants to update their list from 4 years ago or add a new list.
Note, the order is irrelevant. It's just the order players popped into my head. First, there are now 7 players from the original list who have since retired. I think 5 of the 7 have a decent shot to make it one day: 3. Albert Pujols - 1st Ballot. 6. Miguel Cabrera – 1st Ballot. 7. Buster Posey - Getting in. 8. Stephen Strasburg - Injuries killed his momentum. 11. Dustin Pedroia - Will take a while. 24. Robinson Cano - Has HOF numbers, but you know. Check back in 50 years. 25. Cole Hamels – He has finally, officially retired. He's borderline but could get in one day. Next are the players who are still active, but will not make my 2024 list. They could have a comeback year and make their way back, but the last 3 years were unfortunately unkind to these guys: 16. Jacob deGrom – I know. Crazy, right? Injuries have destroyed him. He is running out of daylight. Funny thing is, if you took his career numbers and told someone this was a closer instead of an opener, you’d have a closer that rivals Mariano Rivera. But pitching great in the 1st inning ain’t respected like the 9th. 17. Kris Bryant – I really wanted to keep him in there. I really thought the thin air of Colorado would help his bat rediscover all that power and instead it’s amounted to 15 HRs in 122 games across 2 years. If he comes back with a 40 HR season, I’ll add him back to the list. For now, he’s being relegated to the “What coulda been? pile”. 23. Madison Bumgarner - Arizona was an unmitigated disaster for the World Series Legend but he may not be done. Rumored to be considering a comeback this year. 26. Evan Longoria - Playing half of the last three seasons plus the COVID season have hurt his counting stats and leaving Tampa Bay has been bad. He is still thinking about playing. 28. Andrew McCutchen - Cracked 2,000 hits last year and had a wonderful 2023. One more year like that and he may make his way back onto my list. He has a shot at 300 HRs and 3,500 TBs this year. 36. Mike Soroka – Injuries wrecked him too. But man, this kid could pitch when he was 21. 40. Christian Yelich - In 2020 he was a power hitting MVP candidate. In 2024 he's lost his power but did have a nice season. 2024 List The hold-overs: 1. Clayton Kershaw 2. Mike Trout 4. Justin Verlander 5. Zack Greinke 9. Max Scherzer 10. Mookie Betts 12. Paul Goldschmidt 13. Joey Votto 14. Manny Machado 15. Bryce Harper 18. Carlos Correa 19. Jose Altuve 20. Alex Bregman 21. Gerrit Cole 22. Salvador Perez 27. Chris Sale 29. Cody Bellinger – Last year I took him off the list and said, “His career totals to this point look a lot like Reggie Jackson's. But he feels more like Chris Davis.” Then he went and had a nice season and guess what? His career totals to this point still look a lot like Reggie. He's back on the list. 30. Corey Seager 31. Giancarlo Stanton 32. Aaron Judge 33. Juan Soto 34. Ronald Acuna Jr 35. Trea Turner 37. Vladimir Guerrero Jr 38. Fernando Tatis Jr 39. Bo Bichette Last year’s additions: 3. Nolan Arenado 7. Adley Rutschman 8. Aaron Nola 11. Marcus Semien 23. Julio Rodriguez 24. Bobby Witt Jr 25. Kyle Tucker 26. Max Fried 28. Jose Ramirez 36. Corbin Burnes 40. Sandy Alcantara This year’s additions 6. Shohei Ohtani 16. Zack Wheeler 17. Evan Carter Last year, I almost took Salvy and Sale off the hold-overs, but I'm an optimist. So, I kept them around another year to see what would happen. Salvy had another All-Star season while Sale struggled to make it back. I am remaining confident in Salvy but Sale better hurry up. Either Atlanta will put him back on track or he will be off the list next year. Last year I also would have added Zack Wheeler and Michael Harris had I not kept Sale and Salvy. This year, Wheeler makes it and Harris is still just outside of the list even though he duplicated his rookie season. If Greinke had officially retired, Harris or Spencer Strider would probably be on the list and frankly, maybe I should put Strider on the list in place of Sale. I'll worry about that next year. This year, I also really thought about the reigning ROYs, Gunnar Henderson and Corbin Carroll but I’m just not there and let’s face it, most ROYs don’t go on to the Hall of Fame. Among the 20 winners in the 1990s, only 4 have made it and 1 more will make it. In the 1980s, only Ripken has made it with only 3 more possible (Valenzuela, McGwire, and Gooden). Ok, show me your update or your list...
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Go Royals!! #RoyalsIn2015 <---It Happened!! Sometimes it is astounding that we are able to persist in a world so full of morons.#TEAMZinck |
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#431 |
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I think Andres Gimenez is a name to watch. Already 2 GG and 14.6 bWAR through his age 24 season.
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#432 |
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My god. If Pedroia and Hamels get into the HOF I’m done watching MLB. Pedroia was awesome for a few years, as was Hamels, but HOF they are not.
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#433 |
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My list on watching, in regards to opening day rosters. This is in no particular order.
Trout Ohtani Verlander Scherzer G. Cole Betts Freeman Altuve Machado Harper Kershaw Arenado Goldschmidt Perez Votto??? Possibles but too early to tell. Judge Soto Acuna C.Burns Albies |
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#434 | |
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Go Royals!! #RoyalsIn2015 <---It Happened!! Sometimes it is astounding that we are able to persist in a world so full of morons.#TEAMZinck |
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#435 | |
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That being said, I'm not convinced either will make it, I do see the case for each.
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Go Royals!! #RoyalsIn2015 <---It Happened!! Sometimes it is astounding that we are able to persist in a world so full of morons.#TEAMZinck |
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#436 | |
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I agree they were great for very short moments or seasons. Pedroia I can see getting in eventually, but is that what we’ve come to? Short spans of elite play makes a player a HOF? Neither can put 10 years of dominant, elite baseball. Hamels in his entire career led the league in 1 category I believe. I loved Pedroia and his injuries were unfortunate. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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#437 |
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#438 | |
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Collecting Baseball Hof Autographs 246/351
Blowouts Official Red Sox face of the franchise Eduardo Rodriguez Super Collector |
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#439 | |
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#440 | |
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Last edited by fabiani12333; 03-19-2024 at 08:45 PM. |
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#441 | |
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Example: Koufax 49 WAR in 2300 innings.... DEgrom 45 WAR in 1350 (obv post season differnet) Last edited by johnlocke36; 03-19-2024 at 08:31 PM. |
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#442 | |
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#443 |
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Pedroia I could maybe see, but Hamels has no shot.
I also will say, deGrom is going to be an interesting case because he's so dominant but man he's been so injured. He really needs like 3 years of no injuries, all his counting stats are incredibly low. 1652 strikeouts, 1300 innings, under 100 wins.
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#444 |
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I think the point isn't that you left off borderline guys, but that there are likely 10+ players currently playing who are so young they have nowhere near the stats to be even considered borderline, but will eventually make the hall as their careers progress. A large part of this exercise is to guess who those players are.
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#445 |
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Lindor missing from these lists is hard for me to fathom.
He just turned 30 and had 11.6 bWar over the past two seasons. If he gets 12 more bWar before the end of his career, he'll be in the Top 20 of bWar for shortstops all-time. Only 3 of those are outside the HOF and one is A-rod. How is he not on these lists? Sent from my SM-A146U using Tapatalk |
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#446 | |
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This is just another reason why war is trash. Black ink Koufax 78 DeGrom 12 Average HOFer 40. DeGrom is well below the cut line for HOF. He needs a lot more than one good year He needs get his innings around 2k with dominant stats. DeGrom has only had 4 seasons with 162 innings needed to qualify to lead the league. The last 4 (counting the COVID season) have been under 100. At age 36, the likelihood that happens is very low. He is just another pitcher with a couple good years who couldn't sustain a HOF career. |
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#447 |
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#448 | |
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I think you just underestimate (like most do) how good Degrom has been. He didn't have a couple of good years. His first 1300 innings are the best first 1300 innings in baseball history (this isn't up for debate). His 4 year stretch was basically unanimous cy young, unanimous cy young, 3rd place cy young in Covid, best 1/2 season performance in history of the sports then he got hurt. I would't write that off as a couple of good years. His couple of good years were his previous 4 seasons where he had 3 top 10 cy young seasons and won ROY (like 4 years removed from being a low level college short stop) Lastly, the reason I say he only needs 1 healthy season is because if he gets another healthy 32 start season he's most likely gonna win another Cy Young. Then its just a question of whatever counting stats he racks up. But if he finishes with 3 Cy youngs, and all time leader in ERA+, WHIP, and K/9 then yes he will walk into the HOF |
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#449 |
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LOL at calling WAR trash and using black ink. I'm not even a WAR guy, but that's hilarious.
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#450 |
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just to further point out how stupid black ink for pitchers is:
In 3 years he started 31, 32 and 32 games. Gerrit Cole had 3 years where he started 33 games (Which lead the league). Cole also had 3 seasons with 1 shutout which lead the league. Cole also had 2 seasons with 2 CG which lead the league. All together this is worth 10 points on your black ink test. So to summarize, Gerrit Cole starting 1 extra game and pitching maybee 3 extra innings per year (could be simple variance like managerial discretion for allowing pitchers to throw 9th) is the fucntional equivalent of leading the lead in ERA 2.5x On a hunch, I looked up Sandy Alcantrata since he has freakish amounts of CG and 1 really good year and sure enough he has edge on DEgrom 13:12 in black ink, |
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