2020 Politics Thread - Enter At Your Own Risk - RULES IN OP

[jcardstore]

Originally Posted by Jgil316

538 has Florida leaning Biden.....

Their last update was 14 hours ago.

[Boo]

Biden will declare victory tonight, no matter what. Even with states still counting. Mark it down.

[coachnip13]

Originally Posted by JustRachel

Why are you so angry? Seriously, have you considered talking to a professional? I'm not sure why you care so much about Miami-Dade. And I'm not sure how you came to the conclusion that anyone responsible for SoFla policy is on this board.

I like it down here because people are decent. Stupid, maybe, but they treat me well...unlike anywhere I've ever lived. I don't have to deal with pitchfork-carrying snake worshippers that like playing paintball out in the woods down here. When I go down to the waterfront for a mojito, people are nice. They're in a good mood.

In short, they're not you.

They probably make some sort of pill to help you with your anger issues. I can pm you some phone numbers if you'd like. Lmk.

Sent from my Pixel 3a XL using Tapatalk

You come across as a 16 year old girl with the “why are you so angry” posts over and over. No one is angry. It’s wildly entertaining to get a response from you in less than 10 minutes every time.

I love the snake worshipper playing paintball in the woods stereotype from the person who claims to like people who don’t judge her. Yet another contradiction from Rachel. So open-minded.

[Jgil316]

Originally Posted by MIRRABB

I don't buy that for a second lol

I am leaning Biden wins Florida now as well.

The Republican Party has bled off votes to Biden - no idea what the % is though.
Independents (nation wide) are leaning Biden.

I just do not see Trump keeping 99+% of the Republican vote and picking up 2% of the Independents

[jcardstore]

Originally Posted by Jgil316

I am leaning Biden wins Florida now as well.

The Republican Party has bled off votes to Biden - no idea what the % is though.
Independents (nation wide) are leaning Biden.

I just do not see Trump keeping 99+% of the Republican vote and picking up 2% of the Independents

I'll trust the betting odds which have Trump winning FL.

[NeedChapmans]

Originally Posted by NeedChapmans

2pm Marion county update. SLOWIN' DOWN STILL.

Dem turnout in Marion county at this moment 70.47%
Rep turnout in Marion county at this moment 77.51%

0.82% gain for Dems
1.39% gain for Reps

2pm Marion county update. STEADY.

Dem turnout in Marion county at this moment 71.39%
Rep turnout in Marion county at this moment 78.92%

0.88% gain for Dems
1.41% gain for Reps

[Jopeal]

Originally Posted by Boo

Biden will declare victory tonight, no matter what. Even with states still counting. Mark it down.

Everyone besides the most stubborn among us will declare Biden victory tonight. Mark it down.

[coachnip13]

“I don’t like people who are judgemental, you know, those snake worshipping paintballers”.

Sometimes you just have to sit back and let her post.

[NeedChapmans]

Miami Dade now reporting - Republicans have a 270,000 vote advantage today; 155,000 vote advantage for the election.

Polls close in four hours. Six counties w/ no data, will add to the Republican lead by about 10,000 votes end of day.

[GeechQuest]

Originally Posted by Jgil316

I am leaning Biden wins Florida now as well.

The Republican Party has bled off votes to Biden - no idea what the % is though.
Independents (nation wide) are leaning Biden.

I just do not see Trump keeping 99+% of the Republican vote and picking up 2% of the Independents

Trump will keep the Republican vote. He will also have more than a 2% increase of Independents, and will likely have a small percentage of registered Democrats.

He's taking Florida.

[gopherfan]

Originally Posted by NeedChapmans

Florida #'s are crazy right now ... something is in the water but Dems stopped showing up last week and IDK if they show up Tuesday. Iowa in the meantime is closing 300 polling places because of COVID (Dem decision in cities, no governor FYI).

Are Democrats gonna show up to vote Tuesday?

Is this voter suppression against Republicans? Since a lot of Dems voted by mail this year, they are trying to stop the Republican vote by shutting down polling stations?

[NeedChapmans]

Originally Posted by Jgil316

I am leaning Biden wins Florida now as well.

The Republican Party has bled off votes to Biden - no idea what the % is though.
Independents (nation wide) are leaning Biden.

I just do not see Trump keeping 99+% of the Republican vote and picking up 2% of the Independents

I don't think you understand the numbers here. Trump won Florida in 2016 by 110,000 votes. He has picked up an additional 200,000+ votes this cycle from registered Republicans; perhaps as many as 300,000 when the polls close.

That means Dems have 400,000 votes to make up from 2016. For that to happen; the Independent vote that was 49/47 Trump in 2016 would have to be Biden 55/43. That's a monster of a swing in Florida and while possible; extremely unlikely (presuming party line votes on both sides remain relatively unchanged, which is a safe bet).

[NeedChapmans]

Originally Posted by gopherfan

Is this voter suppression against Republicans? Since a lot of Dems voted by mail this year, they are trying to stop the Republican vote by shutting down polling stations?

I don't think so. Iowa population not massive; so the # of polling places relative to the # of residents is still pretty strong.

[Jgil316]

Originally Posted by NeedChapmans

I don't think you understand the numbers here. Trump won Florida in 2016 by 110,000 votes. He has picked up an additional 200,000+ votes this cycle from registered Republicans; perhaps as many as 300,000 when the polls close.

That means Dems have 400,000 votes to make up from 2016. For that to happen; the Independent vote that was 49/47 Trump in 2016 would have to be Biden 55/43. That's a monster of a swing in Florida and while possible; extremely unlikely (presuming party line votes on both sides remain relatively unchanged, which is a safe bet).

I understand the numbers

I do not see Trump keeping all current and new registered Republicans. He has been bleeding supporters this year - every 1% Republican bleed to Democrat is a 2% reduction needed in Independent voters.

[NeedChapmans]

Originally Posted by NeedChapmans

76.4% turnout for Republicans
71.8% turnout for Democrats

Turnout 78.2% Republicans
Turnout 73.3% Democrats

[NeedChapmans]

Originally Posted by Jgil316

I understand the numbers

I do not see Trump keeping all current and new registered Republicans. He has been bleeding supporters this year.

You're guessing. Nobody knows what he's bled yet, we only know that a lot more Republicans voted Florida in 2020 than in 2016. That w/ Trump's edge in the state four years ago suggests he's a sizable favorite.

[Boo]

I know a total of zero Trump voters from 4 years ago that aren't voting for him again. Actually, they seem more intense this time around.

[GeechQuest]

Originally Posted by Jgil316

I understand the numbers

I do not see Trump keeping all current and new registered Republicans. He has been bleeding supporters this year - every 1% Republican bleed to Democrat is a 2% reduction needed in Independent voters.

His approval rating as of today is higher than it's been for the majority of his presidency. His disapproval rating is relatively the same as it has always been.

[JustRachel]

Originally Posted by coachnip13

You come across as a 16 year old girl with the “why are you so angry” posts over and over. No one is angry. It’s wildly entertaining to get a response from you in less than 10 minutes every time.



I love the snake worshipper playing paintball in the woods stereotype from the person who claims to like people who don’t judge her. Yet another contradiction from Rachel. So open-minded.

It's okay to judge people for their choices. It's not okay to judge them for who they are.

16 year old girl? Thanks!

Anger issues are a real thing. For many people, treatment can drastically improve their quality of life. It's nothing to be ashamed of. It's something that absolutely can be treated for most people.

I get that you don't like SoFla. On behalf of the area, I'd like to thank you for your tax dollars. We buy our mojitos with them and improve our oceanfront. Biscayne Bay could use a bit of a cleanup, so I hope you'll continue to do the right thing in your part of the state for us.

I also get that you don't like me. That's okay. I'm not overly concerned. I live where you don't for a reason. I'm not sure if the 85% hispanic population down here is what gets you so upset or if it's that I'm a woman that won't bow down to your masculine alpha insistences. Either way, I believe it's not your fault and I forgive you.

Sent from my Pixel 3a XL using Tapatalk

[captionwanker]

Originally Posted by Boo

Biden will declare victory tonight, no matter what. Even with states still counting. Mark it down.

There's no way this guy is going to be up at 3am EST. He's hitting the sack before 11pm when the meds wear off. Than Kamala kills him in his sleep.

[coachnip13]

Originally Posted by JustRachel

It's okay to judge people for their choices. It's not okay to judge them for who they are.

16 year old girl? Thanks!

Anger issues are a real thing. For many people, treatment can drastically improve their quality of life. It's nothing to be ashamed of. It's something that absolutely can be treated for most people.

I get that you don't like SoFla. On behalf of the area, I'd like to thank you for your tax dollars. We buy our mojitos with them and improve our oceanfront. Biscayne Bay could use a bit of a cleanup, so I hope you'll continue to do the right thing in your part of the state for us.

I also get that you don't like me. That's okay. I'm not overly concerned. I live where you don't for a reason. I'm not sure if the 85% hispanic population down here is what gets you so upset or if it's that I'm a woman that won't bow down to your masculine alpha insistences. Either way, I believe it's not your fault and I forgive you.

Sent from my Pixel 3a XL using Tapatalk

The longer the post, the angrier she is. You’ve become way too invested in this.

[senorlaverga]

Who do you guys think wins the election tonight? Rachel or Coach?

[coachnip13]

Originally Posted by coachnip13

If only I lived in Sarasota. There's another swing and a miss by Rachel.

Yeah, about that tourist destination thing.......most of the world knew to shut down travel. Hawaii let no one in all summer and into the fall. Miami? Come on down, and bring COVID with you!

FYI, Orange County is #1 for tourism in Florida. Not Miami-Dade.

Orange County: 1 in 29.7 infected
Miami Dade: 1 in 14.5 infected

No response at all. Just attacks.

[ActionJackson]

Originally Posted by senorlaverga

Who do you guys think wins the election tonight? Rachel or Coach?

Lol! Classic!

[captionwanker]

Originally Posted by senorlaverga

Who do you guys think wins the election tonight? Rachel or Coach?

i hope they fight forever