Blowout Cards Forums
AD Heritage

Go Back   Blowout Cards Forums > BLOWOUTS HOBBY TALK > BASEBALL

Notices

BASEBALL Post your Baseball Cards Hobby Talk

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 12-13-2019, 09:59 AM   #151
JoeAdam
Member
 
JoeAdam's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2018
Location: Illinois
Posts: 4,998
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hxcmilkshake View Post
Are you comfortable that vintage PSA 9s and 10s are legit?

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
Don’t really buy vintage but I’d be more comfortable buying a vintage PSA 9 or 10 then I would be buying raw.
__________________
@the_ace_of_cards on IG

“You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take - Wayne Gretzky” - Michael Scott
JoeAdam is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:00 AM   #152
JustRachel
Member
 
JustRachel's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2019
Posts: 5,663
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hxcmilkshake View Post
Are you comfortable that vintage PSA 9s and 10s are legit?

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
.

Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk
JustRachel is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:00 AM   #153
rcmb3220
Member
 
rcmb3220's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2014
Posts: 4,136
Default

Probstein has never cared. To their credit at least they haven’t pretended to care like Brent.
rcmb3220 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:03 AM   #154
corndog
BODA
 
corndog's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: From a table in McDonalds, with lovely fake flowers on it.
Posts: 18,051
Default

I believe that the top grades of even common player cards, 8 and up, are much higher than 10% altered. I believe that those same cards that are grades of 6 and lower are mostly not altered.
So the overall percentages obviously are going to be lower when ALL cards are included.
__________________
He has no rival, He has no equal.
corndog is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:05 AM   #155
JoeAdam
Member
 
JoeAdam's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2018
Location: Illinois
Posts: 4,998
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by corndog View Post
I believe that the top grades of even common player cards, 8 and up, are much higher than 10% altered. I believe that those same cards that are grades of 6 and lower are mostly not altered.
So the percentages obviously are going to be lower when ALL cards are included.
So take Juan Soto’s TCU PSA 10 that has like 6,000 PSA 10s. You’re telling me more than 600 are trimmed?
__________________
@the_ace_of_cards on IG

“You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take - Wayne Gretzky” - Michael Scott
JoeAdam is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:06 AM   #156
3124508 on COMC
BODA
 
Join Date: Jun 2016
Posts: 9,399
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeAdam View Post
So take Juan Soto’s TCU PSA 10 that has like 6,000 PSA 10s. You’re telling me more than 600 are trimmed?
Highly doubtful. A Trout update PSA 10 on the other hand is much greater than 10%.
__________________
3124508@protonmail.com
The Short Guide to the PWCC Card Trimming & Alteration Fraud
3124508 on COMC is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:09 AM   #157
3124508 on COMC
BODA
 
Join Date: Jun 2016
Posts: 9,399
Default

Something like high-end 90s Jordan inserts or 2017 Contenders football Autos (Mahomes, Watson) in PSA 10? There you’re looking at probably 90% trimmed or worse.
__________________
3124508@protonmail.com
The Short Guide to the PWCC Card Trimming & Alteration Fraud
3124508 on COMC is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:09 AM   #158
JoeAdam
Member
 
JoeAdam's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2018
Location: Illinois
Posts: 4,998
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 3124508 on COMC View Post
Highly doubtful. A Trout update PSA 10 on the other hand is much greater than 10%.
What makes you say that?
__________________
@the_ace_of_cards on IG

“You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take - Wayne Gretzky” - Michael Scott
JoeAdam is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:10 AM   #159
corndog
BODA
 
corndog's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: From a table in McDonalds, with lovely fake flowers on it.
Posts: 18,051
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeAdam View Post
So take Juan Soto’s TCU PSA 10 that has like 6,000 PSA 10s. You’re telling me more than 600 are trimmed?
I am referring to vintage graded cards.

I would think 600 is low for the Soto modern IMO.

312 is much more in tune with modern than me.
__________________
He has no rival, He has no equal.
corndog is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:10 AM   #160
superdan49
BODA
 
superdan49's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 4,272
Default

I think the proper way of framing the question is: What percentage of graded cards were submitted by card doctors? The problem here is calculating such a figure would be limited to those names or entities that have been exposed as such.

As for Rick, I agree, he never seemed to care that he takes consignments from the dregs of the hobby. In my view, the difference between Probstein and PWCC is that Probstein is knowingly an outlet for doctored cards, whereas PWCC actively participated in the doctoring of cards. The latter is possibly criminal, whereas the former is unethical.
__________________
Cardboard Detective Emeritus
superdan49@protonmail.com — Anonymous Tip-line
superdan49 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:10 AM   #161
JoeAdam
Member
 
JoeAdam's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2018
Location: Illinois
Posts: 4,998
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 3124508 on COMC View Post
Something like high-end 90s Jordan inserts or 2017 Contenders football Autos (Mahomes, Watson) in PSA 10? There you’re looking at probably 90% trimmed or worse.
90% of Watson and Mahomes contenders autos that are PSA 10 are trimmed? Lol c’mon man.
__________________
@the_ace_of_cards on IG

“You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take - Wayne Gretzky” - Michael Scott
JoeAdam is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:11 AM   #162
3124508 on COMC
BODA
 
Join Date: Jun 2016
Posts: 9,399
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeAdam View Post
What makes you say that?
Because every sub from Burge, Jaimet, Block, etc. has 2,3,4 in it and they make tons of subs every year.
__________________
3124508@protonmail.com
The Short Guide to the PWCC Card Trimming & Alteration Fraud
3124508 on COMC is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:11 AM   #163
JoeAdam
Member
 
JoeAdam's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2018
Location: Illinois
Posts: 4,998
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by corndog View Post
I am referring to vintage graded cards.

I would think 600 is low for the Soto modern.
You think 600 is low? You think 1,000 of the 6,000 are trimmed?
__________________
@the_ace_of_cards on IG

“You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take - Wayne Gretzky” - Michael Scott
JoeAdam is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:11 AM   #164
speedyjg13
Member
 
speedyjg13's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Posts: 17,268
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeAdam View Post
90% of Watson and Mahomes contenders autos that are PSA 10 are trimmed? Lol c’mon man.
JoeAdam has common sense! seriously,c'mon man!!!!!!!!
speedyjg13 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:12 AM   #165
no10pin
Member
 
no10pin's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Kansas City, MO
Posts: 16,884
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeAdam View Post
Don’t really buy vintage but I’d be more comfortable buying a vintage PSA 9 or 10 then I would be buying raw.
You said at the beginning that you didn't want to read 100s of pages to get the answer you asked for. I totally get that, but if you had read 100s of pages here, you might not be so confident in high grade cards.

I also understand not wanting your collection to lose value, because I'm in a similar boat. I have honestly not purchased a graded card in over 6 months because of what the guys here have uncovered. That used to be ALL I bought. But now the notion of spending 10 times the value of raw for a card because it's graded PSA 10 is ridiculous.

Is it because I think 50% of graded cards are trimmed? No. It's because both PSA & BGS's reputations have been severely damaged by what has been uncovered. They are missing BLATANT trimming, not just taking 1/128th of an inch off one side. If they can't see this stuff that is visible instantly to the naked eye, then why is their opinion worth a 1000% premium?

It doesn't appear that things are slowing down much at this point, but I still think it's coming. The premiums for 10 have gone through the roof in the last few years, and it just simply can't continue at this rate. PSA and BGS aren't going away, but this hobby within a hobby where people chase grades more than the cards themselves is going to have to self-correct.
__________________
Always looking for more George Brett stuff. Need more rookies, low numbered inserts/parallels and on-card autos (no Panini).
no10pin is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:14 AM   #166
superdan49
BODA
 
superdan49's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 4,272
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeAdam View Post
90% of Watson and Mahomes contenders autos that are PSA 10 are trimmed? Lol c’mon man.

The incredulous tone of your wanton ignorance has its charm, I will give you that.
__________________
Cardboard Detective Emeritus
superdan49@protonmail.com — Anonymous Tip-line
superdan49 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:14 AM   #167
3124508 on COMC
BODA
 
Join Date: Jun 2016
Posts: 9,399
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeAdam View Post
90% of Watson and Mahomes contenders autos that are PSA 10 are trimmed? Lol c’mon man.
91% of PSA 10 2000 Brady Fleer Metal rookies that have sold publicly are from trimmers or their agents.

https://www.blowoutforums.com/showpo...postcount=7525
__________________
3124508@protonmail.com
The Short Guide to the PWCC Card Trimming & Alteration Fraud
3124508 on COMC is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:22 AM   #168
JoeAdam
Member
 
JoeAdam's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2018
Location: Illinois
Posts: 4,998
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 3124508 on COMC View Post
91% of PSA 10 2000 Brady Fleer Metal rookies that have sold publicly are from trimmers or their agents.

https://www.blowoutforums.com/showpo...postcount=7525
I don’t doubt that certain cards or certain vintage sets get hit harder than others, but to just make the statement that 10%+ of all cards are trimmed is insane. You’re telling me all the people submitting Luka, Zion, Soto and Acuna are trimming at a 10% rate? Not buying it. I guess we will agree to disagree.
__________________
@the_ace_of_cards on IG

“You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take - Wayne Gretzky” - Michael Scott
JoeAdam is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:23 AM   #169
hxcmilkshake
Member
 
hxcmilkshake's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Apopka FL
Posts: 11,491
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeAdam View Post
Don’t really buy vintage but I’d be more comfortable buying a vintage PSA 9 or 10 then I would be buying raw.
I don't see the boogeyman with raw. Get a ruler. Get familiar with what you are buying. Done.

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
hxcmilkshake is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:29 AM   #170
pip
Member
 
pip's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2019
Location: French underground
Posts: 4,009
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 3124508 on COMC View Post
Is 10,000 a sufficient sample size? I’d guess not.

ETS: However 10% seems very reasonable from what research I’ve done.
From my experience, I'd say that's spot on.
pip is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:30 AM   #171
21Pittsburgh58
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Luke AFB, AZ
Posts: 5,201
Default

I have purchased 5-10 PSA 10's of modern cards total within the last 5 years and have never submitted a card for grading.

BO detectives have done an outstanding job of bring awareness to the situation, but how many vintage or modern PSA buyers are on BO? This has the potential to gain steam just like the fake memorabilia/autograph fiasco from some time back as more outlets are made aware of the situation.

I'm glad 99% of my collection is raw, but this could come to bite ALL sellers/collectors in the a$$. If people just getting into the hobby see all of this, they're not going to stay in it buying singles online.

The people collecting/storing sealed product seem to be the brilliant ones. Unfortunately, I have the obsession with having to know what's inside the box (Se7en reference) that I cannot buy and not open. Damn it!

Good luck to all of us and keep up the good fight BO detectives. Deception and criminal behavior should always be made known.
__________________
21-Roberto Clemente 58-Jack Lambert
Liverpool FC - You'll Never Walk Alone!
Carl Sagan: Pale Blue Dot. YouTube this and get over yourself
Russ Westbrook, Trout, Shohei, Acuna, Charles LeClerc, Nick Kurtz, Sydney Sweeney
21Pittsburgh58 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:30 AM   #172
MoreToppsPlease
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2018
Posts: 8,676
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by corndog View Post
I believe that the top grades of even common player cards, 8 and up, are much higher than 10% altered. I believe that those same cards that are grades of 6 and lower are mostly not altered.
So the overall percentages obviously are going to be lower when ALL cards are included.

Citing specific numerical grades as a means to demonstrate scope doesn’t make sense.

To establish what cards have and will continue to be altered, one has to start by looking at which altered cards will bring the greatest profit for the fraudsters, presumably in the least amount of time.

So going from a 5 to a 7 in some cases might be more profitable than going from an 8 to a 9.

Then there are times when very low grade cards might be altered just for practice or in an effort to trick graders into thinking all exemplars of a particular card look a particular way when that’s not the case.

Bottom line is that people need to think practically any card can receive a two or more grade bump at any time.
__________________
IRS Tax Tip 2022-57
A hobby is any activity that a person pursues because they enjoy it and with no intention of making a profit. People operate a business with the intention of making a profit.
MoreToppsPlease is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:30 AM   #173
3124508 on COMC
BODA
 
Join Date: Jun 2016
Posts: 9,399
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeAdam View Post
I don’t doubt that certain cards or certain vintage sets get hit harder than others, but to just make the statement that 10%+ of all cards are trimmed is insane. You’re telling me all the people submitting Luka, Zion, Soto and Acuna are trimming at a 10% rate? Not buying it. I guess we will agree to disagree.
That’s not what I said at all. You’re choosing cards that are trimmed at lower rates and saying the overall average rate should be lower because of them. In reality, 2-5% or whatever the rate is on those cards is offset by the 90%+ rate on other cards.
__________________
3124508@protonmail.com
The Short Guide to the PWCC Card Trimming & Alteration Fraud
3124508 on COMC is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:31 AM   #174
JoeAdam
Member
 
JoeAdam's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2018
Location: Illinois
Posts: 4,998
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pip View Post
From my experience, I'd say that's spot on.
So 3 people who are in way too deep on this topic think that 10%+ of all graded cards are trimmed. I have done no research at all and I can tell you that there is a 0% chance that more than 7.8 million cards are trimmed and slipped past PSA.
__________________
@the_ace_of_cards on IG

“You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take - Wayne Gretzky” - Michael Scott
JoeAdam is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 12-13-2019, 10:32 AM   #175
pip
Member
 
pip's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2019
Location: French underground
Posts: 4,009
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 3124508 on COMC View Post
91% of PSA 10 2000 Brady Fleer Metal rookies that have sold publicly are from trimmers or their agents.

https://www.blowoutforums.com/showpo...postcount=7525
And I'd say half of all OPC Gretzky RC's graded 8 or higher are altered in some way. 90% of all that are 9s or 10s. Key rookies have been hit the hardest.
pip is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:00 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Copyright © 2019, Blowout Cards Inc.