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Old 05-06-2021, 09:55 PM   #18601
justin80
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The Topps system is excellent at making sure it takes a regular customer like me 30 minutes to check out (after countless captcha, logging in, adding to cart, cart spinning, nothing actually added to cart, then doing the puzzle piece thing, then 503 error, then finally get to check out page YES — but just kidding because the product I want is no longer in stock!). But it sucks at stopping bots.
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Old 05-06-2021, 09:56 PM   #18602
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Originally Posted by glassofwater View Post
instead of giving us the chance to buy 2 boxes, they rather have 1 bot get thousands bs. topps needs to do something.
Yes all Topps had to do was have it 2 boxes to Montgomery Club accounts instead of 1 and this never would have happened. Unreal.
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Old 05-06-2021, 09:57 PM   #18603
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Originally Posted by justin80 View Post
The Topps system is excellent at making sure it takes a regular customer like me 30 minutes to check out (after countless captcha, logging in, adding to cart, cart spinning, nothing actually added to cart, then doing the puzzle piece thing, then 503 error, then finally get to check out page YES — but just kidding because the product I want is no longer in stock!). But it sucks at stopping bots.
You think it was bad the other day? Ask people how it used to be. There were some products where you had all those errors and would spend 3-4 hours for many people to still get shut out.
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Old 05-06-2021, 10:00 PM   #18604
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Originally Posted by badlarrys View Post
.

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fantastic offer makes me regret opening mine
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Old 05-06-2021, 10:09 PM   #18605
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Originally Posted by jduds View Post
The base driver cards look like they will move fine. 1/200 sounds misleading. You've got roughly a 16% chance of getting a #1 in a box. There are a lot of different cards for each driver and it is going to take a little time to figure out the market for the non-main cards. I am sure1 or 2 will end up with a premium over the others. Someone mentioned PSA being mostly closed as potentially hurting this product. While I don't think it will make a difference for the big cards, it might for the secondary cards. The ability to take those 50-75 dollar Hamiltons and slab them could drive their prices higher.
All that said, base Lewis, Lando, and Max cards are probably enough to keep the product moving for high dollars.
Well, we have few examples. And we can expect regression.

I want to be very clear....I am a bull on this one. I was originally one of the only F1 fans on the board. At worst I am hoping this brings eyes to F1. I will also say out of my F1 sales (more then just this product) only about 3% of my buyers have been international....so lots of US buyers.

BUT....It really is a 1/200. You have to figure that every card is randomly inserted into a pack. Each card is a 1/200 chance. There are doubles in boxes etc. I know that sounds technical. BUT.....My statement is based off value analytics.

There are a bunch of underperforming cards out there at the moment.

I would say based off a $750 price tag. You should have all Hamiltons at $70+, All Max at 45-50+, All Lando at $25+, Kimi/Ricciardo/Bottas/Vettel/Yuki @ @20+. I dont see that happening as more gets opened.

Will see. But need to see some bottom boost to see these hit the moon (Im talking 2-3K Box)
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Old 05-06-2021, 10:26 PM   #18606
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Originally Posted by Dbacksbaseball View Post
Well, we have few examples. And we can expect regression.

I want to be very clear....I am a bull on this one. I was originally one of the only F1 fans on the board. At worst I am hoping this brings eyes to F1. I will also say out of my F1 sales (more then just this product) only about 3% of my buyers have been international....so lots of US buyers.

BUT....It really is a 1/200. You have to figure that every card is randomly inserted into a pack. Each card is a 1/200 chance. There are doubles in boxes etc. I know that sounds technical. BUT.....My statement is based off value analytics.

There are a bunch of underperforming cards out there at the moment.

I would say based off a $750 price tag. You should have all Hamiltons at $70+, All Max at 45-50+, All Lando at $25+, Kimi/Ricciardo/Bottas/Vettel/Yuki @ @20+. I dont see that happening as more gets opened.

Will see. But need to see some bottom boost to see these hit the moon (Im talking 2-3K Box)
The odds of any single card being #1 is 1/200, but you get 32 in a box. There might be doubles in boxes (don't know yet), but they will be few and far between. Across the run, roughly 16% of boxes will have a #1. The cards aren't truly randomly inserted and doubles will be rare enough to ignore when calculating odds unless something is really off about this product. I'm not sure how much boost the bottom will need if raw Hamiltons settle above 1000 and a few other drivers settle in the 200-500 range raw. I think the "other base" cards might end up doing well and the rest who knows. While some UEFA cards move alright, the box prices are driven by Fati and Haaland. No reason to make every card a winner to make the boxes go up. A few big parallel sales and you'll see plenty of movement Remember also that sealed wax doesn't normally make sense economically and is all wildly overvalued particularly at the premium level.
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Old 05-06-2021, 10:33 PM   #18607
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Well....

I think I won the lottery. No Words, just pictures:

img472 by Tony, on Flickr
img473 by Tony, on Flickr


Purple /10 (huge scratch at bottom left by name, very disappointing)
img475 by Tony, on Flickr

Silver /70
img477 by Tony, on Flickr

Orange /25
img476 by Tony, on Flickr


Great box right?


.
.
.
.
.


Pappadpolous 1/1!!!
img481 by Tony, on Flickrimg483 by Tony, on Flickr




Cue the Billy Mays...




"But wait there's more!"







/99
img482 by Tony, on Flickr
img484 by Tony, on Flickr
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Old 05-06-2021, 10:36 PM   #18608
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Quote:
Originally Posted by YummiestBeef View Post
Well....

I think I won the lottery. No Words, just pictures:

img472 by Tony, on Flickr
img473 by Tony, on Flickr


Purple /10 (huge scratch at bottom left by name, very disappointing)
img475 by Tony, on Flickr

Silver /70
img477 by Tony, on Flickr

Orange /25
img476 by Tony, on Flickr


Great box right?


.
.
.
.
.


Pappadpolous 1/1!!!
img481 by Tony, on Flickrimg483 by Tony, on Flickr




Cue the Billy Mays...




"But wait there's more!"







/99
img482 by Tony, on Flickr
img484 by Tony, on Flickr
How's old Mephistopheles doing? I'm assuming you had to meet him to get that.
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Old 05-06-2021, 10:53 PM   #18609
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Originally Posted by jduds View Post
How's old Mephistopheles doing? I'm assuming you had to meet him to get that.
Lol, nice guy just a little misunderstood. I've had crazy luck on the non baseball MC releases this year. Still can't believe this was all in one box
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Old 05-06-2021, 10:55 PM   #18610
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Opened 2 Trevor Lawrence boxes thus far...

Box 1 all base
Box 2 Sunshine Auto #/99 and 1981 Parallel #/199

https://ibb.co/FhGtdph
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Old 05-07-2021, 12:18 AM   #18611
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how are people listing the # cards they all have printing error in the back. i was bummed when i saw mine close up
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Old 05-07-2021, 12:51 AM   #18612
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Originally Posted by Dbacksbaseball View Post
Well, we have few examples. And we can expect regression.

I want to be very clear....I am a bull on this one. I was originally one of the only F1 fans on the board. At worst I am hoping this brings eyes to F1. I will also say out of my F1 sales (more then just this product) only about 3% of my buyers have been international....so lots of US buyers.

BUT....It really is a 1/200. You have to figure that every card is randomly inserted into a pack. Each card is a 1/200 chance. There are doubles in boxes etc. I know that sounds technical. BUT.....My statement is based off value analytics.

There are a bunch of underperforming cards out there at the moment.

I would say based off a $750 price tag. You should have all Hamiltons at $70+, All Max at 45-50+, All Lando at $25+, Kimi/Ricciardo/Bottas/Vettel/Yuki @ @20+. I dont see that happening as more gets opened.

Will see. But need to see some bottom boost to see these hit the moon (Im talking 2-3K Box)
Drive to Survive brought fans to F1. Granted I will never watch a race. Literally 3 people have a chance to finish P1-P3. Thats a terrible "sport". There's no other sport where being mediocre is celebrated.
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Old 05-07-2021, 06:26 AM   #18613
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I watched some drive to survive because of buying a box. It is amazing how fast the crew fuel up and change tires. Its less time than it takes for them to do that than for me to get a beer out of the fridge.
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Old 05-07-2021, 06:26 AM   #18614
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Originally Posted by okumeister View Post
I think 1-20 will always be the most sought after.
It's like "True RC" vs. "Rookie Debut" to me.
And why do you think 174-194 is the "better card"?

Sorry, maybe I didn’t clarify but I was just wondering for arguments sake. Didn’t mean to infer any were better than the other


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Old 05-07-2021, 06:30 AM   #18615
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Anyone else still waiting for their Lawrence boxes to ship?
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Old 05-07-2021, 06:33 AM   #18616
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Originally Posted by RaceDog View Post
Anyone else still waiting for their Lawrence boxes to ship?
Yes! Lots of us.
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Old 05-07-2021, 06:38 AM   #18617
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Originally Posted by RaceDog View Post
Anyone else still waiting for their Lawrence boxes to ship?
Yes. I was curious about that so I called Topps early yesterday morning. The very kind woman on the other end of the line said there was a “hiccup” during the shipping process. That has slowed down the shipping process. She said to have no fear about order cancellations or anything like that. They are doing their best to catch up and get all remaining orders out the door.
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Old 05-07-2021, 07:15 AM   #18618
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Originally Posted by mossoholic View Post
Yes all Topps had to do was have it 2 boxes to Montgomery Club accounts instead of 1 and this never would have happened. Unreal.
Agreed, or make it you get 1 box for however many years you were a member, and if there is not enough to go around on future releases for newer members(assuming the flood of flippers will join this year), then TFB.
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Old 05-07-2021, 07:30 AM   #18619
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Quote:
Originally Posted by YummiestBeef View Post
Well....

I think I won the lottery. No Words, just pictures:

img472 by Tony, on Flickr
img473 by Tony, on Flickr


Purple /10 (huge scratch at bottom left by name, very disappointing)
img475 by Tony, on Flickr

Silver /70
img477 by Tony, on Flickr

Orange /25
img476 by Tony, on Flickr


Great box right?


.
.
.
.
.


Pappadpolous 1/1!!!
img481 by Tony, on Flickrimg483 by Tony, on Flickr




Cue the Billy Mays...




"But wait there's more!"







/99
img482 by Tony, on Flickr
img484 by Tony, on Flickr
I'm not sure if this makes me want to bust mine more or less. Congrats man, that is disgusting...

For $99 lol...
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Old 05-07-2021, 08:36 AM   #18620
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Sold my Lando Orange #199 for $750. Not bad. Thought that was reasonably fair with the Chrome orange version going for $200. So almost 4x for sapphire. I can live with that.

Onto TL.....holy crap.

So my original 5 were ordered with overnight. I have them in possesion. Next 10 were 'processed' and given a shipping number on 5/1. They physically shipped 5/4, and Left Florida last night at 10pm.

Next 20 processed 5/4, picked up on 5/6. Still at original sort facility.

Yeesh. I still have 25 processing. Might have them all in hand by late may.
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Old 05-07-2021, 08:48 AM   #18621
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Overall a strong box (I think)!
Leclerc Gold #/50 has slight ink smudge on back near numbers, anyone else have this?





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Old 05-07-2021, 09:11 AM   #18622
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Sapphire is out for delivery. 🤞 for a decent box!!
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Old 05-07-2021, 09:25 AM   #18623
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Sapphire is out for delivery. 🤞 for a decent box!!
Good Luck Man! Mine's out for delivery as well
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Old 05-07-2021, 09:28 AM   #18624
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Good Luck Man! Mine's out for delivery as well
Thanks 🙏, you too if you rip!
Going to be a long five hours waiting on FedEx 😂
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Old 05-07-2021, 09:29 AM   #18625
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Originally Posted by Soonforget526 View Post
Overall a strong box (I think)!
Leclerc Gold #/50 has slight ink smudge on back near numbers, anyone else have this?





Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Very strong!

Sent from my SM-G965U1 using Tapatalk
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