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07-13-2017, 07:24 AM | #1 |
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Fellow normies: set building and MJ cards
So, recently I've been contemplating whether or not I should continue to build sets, both sets that are currently in progress and sets that I'd like to build in the future. A number of you have probably pondered similar thoughts, or perhaps your set build was abruptly ended by the prices of cards featuring a very particular player, of course I'm referring to the venerable Michael Jordan.
As many of you know, I love Flair Showcase and I've successfully completed my goal of building the first three years of Showcase. In the not too distant past, I decided to make a run at the Hot Shots insert set from 96/97 and more recently, after making the decision to purge cards, including anything that I wasn't going to finish, figured I could live to part with my Hot Shots partial set. I arrived at this point because I considered the cost of the MJ Hot Shots which is currently at 1k more or less... Now I've been casually building 1997 SPx with the intent to master set it (minus the autographed versions of the Pro Motion inserts) and 95/96 Upper Deck, base, Electric Court and Electric Court gold. Well...I'm not so sure if I want to master set SPx any more, nor complete the Electric Court gold UD set. We already know why, don't we, fellow normies? Let's start with 1997 SPx. It WAS super high end back when it was released, these days, the overwhelming majority of cards from this product sell for beans, no one is jumping for joy over it, it never makes the "Iconic Cards" discussions...aside from the autographs, every single card is mass produced...ALL OF THEM. (There's more text after the picture below.) Now we get to 95/96 Upper Deck. A lot less spectacular than 1997 SPx, virtually no one cares about this Upper Deck set, even on release it was only one up from Collector's Choice. (FYI...and correct me if I'm wrong, MJ has seven cards in the base set, that's seven gold parallels: 23, 137, 335, 337, 339, 341, 352.) If you love photography and a slick design that doesn't take away from the action, this is a great set to build...but let's say you want to live on the edge and go full bore and make the whole set, hey, it's low end, even more so by today's standards...right? Yeah...it is, for the most part...MOST part excluding this. (More text below, I know, I know, who wants to read this crap anyway?) So, to my fellow normies, what are your thoughts on all this, I know a handful of you have ended set chases, or put them on the back burner indefinitely because of Mr. June himself...or rather, his cards. Do you think card prices are going to keep going up and up and up until it just becomes cartoon stupid? (I'd argue we're at least in the nascent stages of such a thing, if not well into it.) Do you think it's worth building sets on the chance you might find "steals" for MJ cards? Are you happier collecting sets that don't involve Jordan? Are you okay building sets and then having empty slots where the Jordan(s) would go? I'd love to hear from Jordan collectors who are not loaded / wealthy as well. (By this I mean guys that are not able, or are unwilling to spend upper hundreds, or a four figure amount on a SINGLE.) Will you continue to collect, or do you see an end on the horizon? Will you trade, or sell cards to acquire others and get by that way? Would you like to complete certain rainbows of MJ cards, I.E. Credentials, refractors, Star Rubies, Legacy Collection...but can't/won't because of prices? inb4 cheapskate inb4 ur a hater inb4 tin foil hat (I got a bridge to sell you) inb4 stop bullying me inb4 reported
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07-13-2017, 08:21 AM | #2 |
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Just spend some money you cheapskate and stop being a hater. This isn't some grand conspiracy, so you can take off that tinfoil hat. Don't try and bully me into seeing your point of view or I'll report you!
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07-13-2017, 08:49 AM | #3 | |
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I legitimately got a huge laugh out of this. 10/10 post.
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07-13-2017, 09:12 AM | #4 |
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This is definitely an issue for a cash-strapped collector like me and makes a big difference for the sets I go after in the first place. For instance, I'm only doing the 97-98 Chrome Season's Best refractor set because I miraculously pulled the MJ 5 years ago. I love the look of the set, but I'm not gonna put it together if I have to spend $60-$70 on one card and about that (or less) for the other 29 combined- just not worth it to me.
I also want one LARGE, base refractor set and I chose to do 99-00 SC Chrome over 97-98 Bowman's Best because there are TWO MJs (one of which I actually do have, again miraculously pulled), a second-year Kobe, Duncan and T-Mac RCs, etc., in 97-98 BB. I'm with you on 97 SPx but those inserts are too rich for my blood as well, I'm just doing the base set and stopping because I legitimately think it's the best base set ever produced and it brings back good memories from when I collected as a kid. As far as my MJ collection, I only have about a dozen cards that would sell for $100+ (had a few more, but sold them to take my wife on a vacation for our 5-year anniversary). I actually put together a "top 10 gettable MJ" list, cards that I really like but don't sell for HUGE dollars, and I try to prioritize those. Unfortunately I have to keep altering the list because some cards on it skyrocket (98-99 East West all-star refractor w/ Kobe) while others just climb steadily out of my price range (96-97 Total O, 95-96 Natural Born Thrillers). I know my MJ collection will never be great, but he has so many beautiful cards and I still enjoy picking them up when I can. Plus if my finances get even worse (a frightening concept), I know I can sell off the MJs to stave off bankruptcy
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07-13-2017, 12:13 PM | #5 |
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I would say for someone that doesn't even particularly like MJ that you should build the sets without him. You enjoy the cards, the era, the design. I think you would be sick paying $1000 for a Jordan hot shots or high for some of those others. Put the rest of it together for your own enjoyment and your wallet will thank you and you'll have no regrets.
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07-13-2017, 02:35 PM | #6 | |
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Yeah I think that is the reason I build 0 sets. Money I don't have and it takes away from money I can spend on PC. You never know when some of those might pop up for a steal. Another is option is just send all the sets to me and I will use them to fund a Abra award that goes to Abra for being a kick butt member on here. No matter what you collect Abra I enjoy seeing it and reading about it. Do waht makes you happy. If that is sending me stuff..... so be it.
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07-14-2017, 04:59 AM | #7 | |
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This is exactly why I don't focus on sets either The only set I may build towards someday would be the 97-98 Game Jersey Set being its the first Game Jersey cards and my favorite insert set ever. Also since I have the entire 96-97 UD Game Jersey Hockey set as well (This is another killer set!) And maybe the first 2 years of SPx and EX-2000 / EX-2001 Basketball as well Last edited by Starman101; 07-14-2017 at 05:10 AM. |
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07-13-2017, 12:22 PM | #8 |
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Great thread Abra. Spot on too. I ave many many insert sets from the 90s. A good portion of them is missing ONE card.....Jordan. Natural Born Thrillers, 93 Ultra Scoring Kings etc....
I was also working on the SPx set, building the base slowly. IF you still have some of the base, and open to moving some, let me know. I think I have like 25/50 of the cards for the set.
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07-13-2017, 01:00 PM | #9 |
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I have that SPX Holoview Heroes set, but I got the Jordan way before the price spike. I stopped 90s set chasing a long time ago mostly due to MJ prices. I only pick up cards these days that are visually appealing to me.
It sounds like you are primarily focused on doing mastery sets, but I would argue that some of the super expensive parallels you might be chasing are not worth the effort unless you are dead set on doing a mastery. That 95/96 upper deck set (Jerry Stackhouse RC ) for instance has amazing photography and is definitely one of my favorites, but I find that the parallels for that set are kind of lacking and I personally think that the electric court lightning bolt takes away from the overall look of the card. I have a mini collection of Jordan PSA 10 Upper Deck base cards. I like them because they are all amazing in-game action shots and are reasonable priced because they were mass produced.
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07-13-2017, 02:25 PM | #10 |
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Put it this way, even if I wasn't laid off, I still wouldn't have been continuing to buy MJ. I will 100% concentrate on a new player when I'm able to get back on my feet. My most likely candidate is Penny, but I've also considered Allan Houston, Spree, McDyess, and Vince.
I've always wanted a Star Rubies and one of a couple of favorite Knicks would be amazing to go after. Vince would be much more of a possibility if he came into the league/card world a year or 2 earlier. From your set chase perspective, I'd just ignore the majority of his cards tbh. Plenty of other beautiful cards to put together. Might be easy for me to say since I don't have card OCD to that extent.
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07-13-2017, 02:34 PM | #11 |
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Abra you know the drill. When the a-holes are manipulating certain cards time to buy the cards they haven't screwed with and wait for the prices to come crashing back down. Not so sure how much the hot shots will drop though because it has been steadily going up unlike some of the other cards the manipulators mess with.
Don't forget last year, they also screw with base prices as well. Remember the prices base fleer PSA 10's were selling for? |
07-13-2017, 07:05 PM | #13 |
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The only 3 insert sets I am chasing (just started this year) are on hold for the very same reason as yours, Abra. They are 96 SP Holoviews, 97 SPx Holoview Heroes and SPx Hardcourt Holoview.
The MJs were selling for the same amount like it's a must. Since at least late last year; 1996-97 SP Premium Collection Michael Jordan Oct 31, 2016 United States BIN $24.99 1996-97 SP Premium Collection Michael Jordan Nov 20, 2016 United States 10 bids $26.01 1996-97 SP Premium Collection Michael Jordan Feb 23, 2017 United States 7 bids $26.00 1996-97 SP Premium Collection Michael Jordan Feb 23, 2017 United States 5 bids $26.00 1996-97 SP Premium Collection Michael Jordan Feb 23, 2017 United States 5 bids $26.00 1996-97 SP Premium Collection Michael Jordan Feb 25, 2017 United States 18 bids $26.23 1996-97 SP Premium Collection Michael Jordan Mar 02, 2017 United States BIN $35.00 1997 SPx Holoview Heroes Michael Jordan Nov 09, 2016 United States 20 bids $61.00 1997 SPx Holoview Heroes Michael Jordan Jan 01, 2017 United States 30 bids $81.00 1997 SPx Holoview Heroes Michael Jordan Oct 09, 2016 United States 20 bids $83.00 97-98 SPx Hardcourt Holoview 100< (dont have any records thou) I stopped following the prices after I saw SP selling for $80!!! The other Holoviews are selling 2x or 3x as much. The prices increased in what? A week?!!!! …AND IT IS THE SUMMER! I thought this was the time to buy basketball cards. Now I wish I would have bought these MJs earlier instead of my PC guys. Judging from what you written as well, Abra the demand for Jordans are there, but this price increase is still shocking. At the moment I am frantically buying up my PC guys for prices I would have laughed myself in the face for, 1 year ago. It's already starting to backfire, but since the prices went up from last year for every card I am chasing, I can only see them increasing next year as well… The big question is; once these Jordans are unaffordable, what cards will the masses buy up? Will it trickle down to other 90s stars? Will this year’s rookie class be strong enough to be worth chasing? Or all this just an illusion?
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07-13-2017, 07:15 PM | #14 |
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"The big question is; once these Jordans are unaffordable, what cards will the masses buy up? Will it trickle down to other 90s stars?"
Other MJs Jordans contemporaries are what they are in the hobby. dont see that changing
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07-14-2017, 05:06 AM | #15 | |
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Certain historical sets like the 97-98 UD Jersey Cards will increase across the board I would think. Of all its players. Not just Jordan I think we are already seeing an increase of all players on those rarer insert sets like BMOC, A Cut Above, Golden Touch, etc Last edited by Starman101; 07-14-2017 at 05:14 AM. |
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07-13-2017, 10:27 PM | #16 |
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Great write-up and overview of normalized pricing. I'd personally try and target the 97 holoview set. Just a gorgeous looking design that will never again be mimicked.
I agree with previous posters...just target all the players minus Jordan. Give it some time and watch the price trends closely. You're bound to find a steal one of these days from someone who doesn't necessarily care or know what he/she has. |
07-14-2017, 05:08 AM | #18 |
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07-14-2017, 09:53 PM | #19 | ||||||||||||
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Thanks for the insights guys. I've decided to move my Hot Shots stuff, that's just not going to happen, I just can't justify paying 1k for a card like that. It's not even a 'rare' card.
I think I will try to acquire the ProMotion MJ as well as the Holoview in a trade or a purchase after I move the Hot Shots, since there are only four MJ cards in that 1997 SPx set, if not, I'm going to axe the build and forget about it. Maybe I'll build 1996 SPx instead since even the MJ cards are low budget, who knows, I'm at a big time crossroads with all this stuff. Quote:
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I actually started set building to keep myself busy when I couldn't find Player PC cards, so maybe others will do something similar, but they're not really buying more MJ cards in that case. My guess is that MJ, along with Kobe and Lebron, will be big money hobby only in ever increasing intensity as time goes on unless a miracle happens and prices normalize. I could go into this further but that would be a giant wall of text. As for other 90s players, I think prices for them ONLY go up when someone makes it public that he's buying up all the cards of 'Player X' and once those cards are acquired, there is no one else willing to spend a certain amount so they either don't get listed, hardly get listed, or just drop in price again. Quote:
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The Hot Shots chase is definitely done, but the UD stuff still has a chance. I know I sound like a broken record at this point, but I may also dump the UD chases and move on and just not buy as much, or rather as often, anymore.
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07-17-2017, 04:38 PM | #20 | |
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This portion is already an issue for me too. Like I have the MJ season's best refractor from 97-98 Chrome, but if I'm completely honest I'd REALLY like a second one for the set, same for 97-98 Ex2001 Gravity Denied. Already have doubles of less-pricy MJs for other sets (96 and 97 SPx base, 95-96 Flair Hardwood Leaders, 95-96 SP Championship Shots, etc.) so you get the idea. Apparently I'm a completionist lol
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07-14-2017, 12:48 AM | #21 |
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Chasing a 90's insert set and getting every card but the Jordan is like getting your haircut, washing your dad's car, wearing a handsome tux, buying dinner, giving her flowers, dancing to slow jams, and having one heck of a fun time at prom... without getting any action at the end of the night.
Sure, you may have still had a good time, but you didn't get what you really wanted and what everyone wanted to hear the details of after the fact.
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07-14-2017, 01:27 AM | #22 |
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Go for sets 1995/96 and before........rarely are there sets that have really expensive Jordans in them. How about Skybox Meltdown or Larger than life? 93-94 S.C. Rising Stars, 94-95 Fleer Career award achievements
Flair has some great sets to put together......Center Spotlight, rejectors, Playmakers There's plenty of awesome sets WITH and without Jordan from the mid 90's that are affordable. |
07-14-2017, 04:53 AM | #23 |
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Yeah any time you're paying $1k for a 90s Jordan insert it's big baller type stuff for your average collector. That's a lot of $$$
I'd keep those UD chases going. Classy stuff. Or.... Hang on to those Flair Hot Shots and concentrate on saving for that MJ.
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07-17-2017, 01:55 PM | #24 |
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I'd love to hear from Jordan collectors who are not loaded / wealthy as well. (By this I mean guys that are not able, or are unwilling to spend upper hundreds, or a four figure amount on a SINGLE.) Will you continue to collect, or do you see an end on the horizon?
I only have a few sets and I'm putting together a monster 86 Fleer set. I collect MJ, Magic, Larry, and Shaq. My MJ buying has significantly slowed. I will not pay the current prices on some of his cards. He has several cards that I should have purchased years ago that are now out of my price range. I probably buy more for my nephews at this point: LeBron, Curry, CP3, and Davis. I continue to buy the cards I need for the 86 Fleer set, but there are a few cards that will really hurt my wallet to buy in a nice BGS 9. I start a new job tomorrow and I am probably going to take a break from collecting for a while--this job will take a lot of focus. I will continue to look at 86 Fleer and the packs I collect. That's about it. I have not put a new MJ on my watch list in over a week. I have considered stopping altogether. I only responded to this thread because I like the OP. Haha. Of course, I will continue to stock up on Stadium Club Shawn Bradley RCs. |
07-17-2017, 02:51 PM | #25 |
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