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01142009, 01:16 AM  #1 
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Possible SP Authentic Production Run: 2008 vs 2007
I did some calculations based on print runs as follows:
if Level 1 are numbered to #/499 (based on a Mcfadden on sell sheet), contains 7 players Level 2 are #/699, contains 11 players Level 3 are #/899 (could be 999, but using 899 for now), contains 16 players There will be: 952,200 packs 39,675 boxes 3,306 cases 26,450 total Auto patch rc so, Level 1 is 13.21% of production run Level 2 is 29.07% ....... Level 3 is 53.38%........ so, Level 1 has a 8.8% chance per box (=1.056 per case) Level 2 has 19.4%......(=2.325 per case) Level 3 has 36.3%......(=4.351 per case) You should get 7.7 regular auto patches per case, 25.7% chance at a gold AU Patch, and 1.02% at a Logoman, per case. SO, lets compare that to 2007 SP Authentic print runs Level 1 are numbered to #/399, contains 10 players Level 2 are #/725, contains 23 players There were: 1,033,104 packs 43,046 boxes 3,587 cases 21,523 total Auto patch rc so, Level 1 is 18.54% of production run Level 2 is 77.48% ....... so, Level 1 has a 9.3% chance per box (=1.11 per case) Level 2 has 38.7%......(=4.64 per case) You should get 5.76 regular auto patches per case, 22.99% chance at a gold AU Patch, and .091% at a Logoman, per case. Take it for what its worth, i did these calculations in a few minutes, so i might have made not think everything though. All the print numbers i got from either sell sheets, or checklist. So it looks like 2008 will be more limited than last years! Last edited by Casebreaker; 01142009 at 01:20 AM. 
01182009, 10:21 PM  #2  
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Quote:
Can anyone confirm this? Prices Jumped on this and IMO shouldnt have. I know this is the time of year for stuff to jump but 100 bones is a bit much!
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Matt The best two words to describe this hobby. " CardBoard Crack" 

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