View Full Version : 2024 GPK Battle of the Bands - Green Day
eldavojohn
08-04-2025, 02:51 PM
Huh just saw this as a release for tomorrow on Topps site (https://www.topps.com/pages/gpk-battle-of-the-bands). Checklist (https://cdn.shopify.com/s/files/1/0662/9749/5709/files/Checklist_-_2024_GPK_BATTLE_OF_THE_BANDS_GREEN_DAY.pdf?v=1753708096) is suprisingly large with autos.
PrinceVegeta
08-04-2025, 02:52 PM
Gonna be a tough one to get an order through I'm sure. Everything is hard these days
eldavojohn
08-04-2025, 02:59 PM
Gonna be a tough one to get an order through I'm sure. Everything is hard these days
They just did the WWE Cactus Jack Chrome release as EQL -- perhaps they'll do the same with this? Kinda came outta nowhere.
dd316
08-04-2025, 03:29 PM
Super fun, hopefully it leads to more!
coltsnsox07
08-04-2025, 05:18 PM
Boooo! Buncha sell outs. And no, not because of this, they've been that way for years.
Back when they made 'Kerplunk' in '91 or '92 on a DIY tour they made fun of Nirvana when 'Nevermind' came out for making videos for MTV and playing 'concerts' instead of 'shows'.
Boooo!
Dukefett
08-04-2025, 06:21 PM
This set is like 4x bigger than it should be. A Kevin Smith style set that's 20 a/b cards is what I was expecting. I like Green Day, but nowhere near the amount to invest in buying boxes where it'll be hard to build a base set.
Topps/Fanatics is killing me lately with these gigantic sets and numerous insert sets. Chrome 7 and 40th are just not what I want out of GPK. It's not baseball, 400 card sets are crazy and all the added parallels make even building base sets difficult.
Dave34
08-05-2025, 07:27 AM
More importantly, Aaron Cometbus's "In China With Green Day" is being released as a book this month.
Anyone into punk rock but feels too old to buy zines should check it out.
It was previously released as Cometbus #54
TimBuckTwo
08-05-2025, 08:54 AM
I would like to get me some of them. What are the odds?
Dave34
08-05-2025, 09:02 AM
I would like to get me some of them. What are the odds?
I didn't get any website exclusive release for about a year until last week when I went for Bob Ross MLB.
It was "sold out" in 10 minutes, right when I was checking out.
Then people were posting about it still being available so I went back and got a box.
Topps now uses Shopify and there were major glitches that favored people who kept trying for Bob Ross.
No idea if this will be different since its a pre-order, but if it is sold out instantly I will try a couple more times.
Its humiliating, but worked last time...
TimBuckTwo
08-05-2025, 09:39 AM
I didn't get any website exclusive release for about a year until last week when I went for Bob Ross MLB.
It was "sold out" in 10 minutes, right when I was checking out.
Then people were posting about it still being available so I went back and got a box.
Topps now uses Shopify and there were major glitches that favored people who kept trying for Bob Ross.
No idea if this will be different since its a pre-order, but if it is sold out instantly I will try a couple more times.
Its humiliating, but worked last time...
Thanks for the insight
eldavojohn
08-05-2025, 11:00 AM
They're up, $80 a box https://www.topps.com/pages/gpk-battle-of-the-bands
jdandns
08-05-2025, 11:02 AM
Two boxes for me.
I'll open one for sure, and maybe leave the other sealed.
Good luck on yours.
eldavojohn
08-05-2025, 11:05 AM
Two boxes for me.
I'll open one for sure, and maybe leave the other sealed.
Good luck on yours.
I put four boxes in my cart but without odds posted, I just couldn't do it ... I'm not a crazy huge Green Day fan but they sure were a soundtrack for a summer or two growing up.
Zerokruel
08-05-2025, 11:07 AM
I put four boxes in my cart but without odds posted, I just couldn't do it ... I'm not a crazy huge Green Day fan but they sure were a soundtrack for a summer or two growing up.
I'm a pretty decent fan, but I just couldn't pull the trigger.
nephinfan
08-05-2025, 11:07 AM
Grabbed 6. My favorite band of all time, couldn't pass it up.
LondonGames
08-05-2025, 11:08 AM
Base cards are still pretty awesome... I'm sure this release will sell insane.
If the Autographs are even 2 per case, it's a huge win, I think? Wonder how much was made and how difficult they will be.
I couldn't help but take a case... I love Green Day and not gonna pass up triple Auto relic chances.
bustsomewax
08-05-2025, 11:09 AM
Base cards are still pretty awesome... I'm sure this release will sell insane.
If the Autographs are even 2 per case, it's a huge win, I think? Wonder how much was made and how difficult they will be.
I couldn't help but take a case... I love Green Day and not gonna pass up triple Auto relic chances.
I kinda find it hard to believe it would be 2 Autos per case. I was thinking like 1 auto every other case at best.
eastbayak
08-05-2025, 11:10 AM
Picked up a case but I'm a fan of Green Day.
Still remember my wife (then girlfriend) and I attending an A's game and getting to watch them perform afterwards (sitting/dancing on the field). Golden memories!
And their music just hits :)
LondonGames
08-05-2025, 11:10 AM
I kinda find it hard to believe it would be 2 Autos per case. I was thinking like 1 auto every other case at best.
I'll take the over on one every other case at best. I'm expecting 1 per case, and wouldn't be surprised to see more.
hotcalsun
08-05-2025, 11:14 AM
Picked up a case but I'm a fan of Green Day.
Still remember my wife (then girlfriend) and I attending an A's game and getting to watch them perform afterwards (sitting/dancing on the field). Golden memories!
And their music just hits :)
Looking to be a pretty popular release, the cases are on the edge of sold out - have popped in and out of stock a couple of times already.
eldavojohn
08-05-2025, 11:17 AM
Looking to be a pretty popular release, the cases are on the edge of sold out - have popped in and out of stock a couple of times already.
appears that cases have just sold out
EDIT: And you're right, they're back in stock ... hmmmm, what kind of shenanigans is Topps playin'
TimBuckTwo
08-05-2025, 11:19 AM
appears that cases have just sold out
EDIT: And you're right, they're back in stock ... hmmmm, what kind of shenanigans is Topps playin'
Refresh I have one in my cart
PumpnDumpling
08-05-2025, 11:19 AM
I kinda find it hard to believe it would be 2 Autos per case. I was thinking like 1 auto every other case at best.
Yeah I would speculate it would be more like 1 in every 2 to 4 cases, perhaps the combined relic/au come down to 1-2 per case
Snagged a case, was thinking about 2 but without checklist or much more info can't do it
GPK in my experience doesn't instantly sell-out but if pre-sell cases are still available tomorrow they likely made a fair amount of this
bustsomewax
08-05-2025, 11:20 AM
I cancelled my case. The lack of odds and fact they dropped 10k+ boxes at preorder tells me this is printed really high. Also no mention of box contents.
hotcalsun
08-05-2025, 11:21 AM
appears that cases have just sold out
EDIT: And you're right, they're back in stock ... hmmmm, what kind of shenanigans is Topps playin'
Yeah, generally my experience is this happens as bots and multiple account holders have orders cancelled. Of course, it is possible that Topps is adding more stock, but I have seen this commonly on higher demand non-EQL release.
TimBuckTwo
08-05-2025, 11:21 AM
Would it me more cost effective if you want autos or relics to wait for them on ebay.
Pretty steep prices with unknown odds.
eldavojohn
08-05-2025, 11:22 AM
Refresh I have one in my cart
I think fanatics and topps have figured out how to play mind games with the flippers:
https://i.imgur.com/hC2T5L0l.png
I cancelled my case. The lack of odds and fact they dropped 10k+ boxes at preorder tells me this is printed really high. Also no mention of box contents.
How does that work? Page clearly states: "All sales are final. Art subject to change. Not responsible for typographical/printer errors."
bustsomewax
08-05-2025, 11:22 AM
I think fanatics and topps have figured out how to play mind games with the flippers:
https://i.imgur.com/hC2T5L0l.png
How does that work? Page clearly states: "All sales are final. Art subject to change. Not responsible for typographical/printer errors."
You have 30 mins to cancel since the switch to Shopify. One of the few bright spots.
eastbayak
08-05-2025, 11:24 AM
"Tribute to East Bay capturing the band’s roots"
I'm pretty excited about that specific insert set.
My username is "EastBayAk" and the East Bay refers to the eastern part of the SF Bay Area (where Green Day was formed). That's definitely an insert set to PC :)
The Accountant
08-05-2025, 11:25 AM
hate the no odds. could regret not buying but doesn't seem like a good gamble. these niche releases usually do pretty well though
The Accountant
08-05-2025, 11:25 AM
"Tribute to East Bay capturing the band’s roots"
I'm pretty excited about that specific insert set.
My username is "EastBayAk" and the East Bay refers to the eastern part of the SF Bay Area (where Green Day was formed). That's definitely an insert set to PC :)
wow that's awesome!
eldavojohn
08-05-2025, 11:27 AM
You have 30 mins to cancel since the switch to Shopify. One of the few bright spots.
Awesome, I did not know. Very helpful, thank you sir!
PumpnDumpling
08-05-2025, 11:27 AM
Would it me more cost effective if you want autos or relics to wait for them on ebay.
Pretty steep prices with unknown odds.
If you buy you can open for a chance at any specific auto or relic or if boxes go up you may be able to sell and buy the auto or relic you want with the proceeds
ATLOTP
08-05-2025, 11:29 AM
I bought one box just for the moonshot of the triple auto. a nonsports grail
TimBuckTwo
08-05-2025, 11:29 AM
Sold out again. Maybe the restock was clearing duplicate buyers.
Limit 2 per customer.
PumpnDumpling
08-05-2025, 11:33 AM
hate the no odds. could regret not buying but doesn't seem like a good gamble. these niche releases usually do pretty well though
I think they likely made a good amount more of this than the standard GPK niche release but there is an absurd amount of people in this world who like Green Day so the demand is likely there even with a fairly high print run
bustsomewax
08-05-2025, 11:34 AM
Sold out again. Maybe the restock was clearing duplicate buyers.
Limit 2 per customer.
Its from people like me cancelling. I know several that did.
PumpnDumpling
08-05-2025, 11:34 AM
Sold out again. Maybe the restock was clearing duplicate buyers.
Limit 2 per customer.
Cases have been in stock this entire time for me until just now, showing as OOS
nephinfan
08-05-2025, 11:35 AM
I went back and ordered a case to put away. Now I'll just open the boxes. Pulling that triple auto would be amazing!
eastbayak
08-05-2025, 11:38 AM
I went back and ordered a case to put away. Now I'll just open the boxes. Pulling that triple auto would be amazing!
I should've purchased 2 cases (1 to rip and 1 to put away).
I still have a case in my cart and hoping for a restock but it's been OOS for a minute. Wondering if I should just remove it and add some boxes (to rip) to the cart and go through with purchase. I'd much rather rip a case though (with loose boxes, it can work for/against you and I'm generally not as lucky as most haha).
TimBuckTwo
08-05-2025, 11:40 AM
Will they restock case on the 27th? Or are preorders all they produce?
yoyosh
08-05-2025, 11:41 AM
I’m gonna sit this one out and just stare at this guy:
https://i.postimg.cc/hPL4p3zv/IMG-2315.jpg (https://postimages.org/)
eastbayak
08-05-2025, 11:42 AM
wow that's awesome!
Haha yeah man, this set is more than "just cards" to me. Can't remember the last time I felt this way about a product....if ever.
Maybe Topps will collab with the 2Pac estate? :)
nephinfan
08-05-2025, 11:43 AM
I should've purchased 2 cases (1 to rip and 1 to put away).
I still have a case in my cart and hoping for a restock but it's been OOS for a minute. Wondering if I should just remove it and add some boxes (to rip) to the cart and go through with purchase. I'd much rather rip a case though (with loose boxes, it can work for/against you and I'm generally not as lucky as most haha).
After I purchased the 6 boxes, I had the same thought about 2 cases. You're absolutely right about loose boxes. I'm right up there with you on the luck factor with those. At first, I was really hesitant to buy as much as I ended up buying, but GD has been my favorite band since the very beginning, so I thought, "How often is something Green Day themed like this coming around again?", and I had to go for it.
PrinceVegeta
08-05-2025, 11:48 AM
2 cases and ten boxes for me
nephinfan
08-05-2025, 11:51 AM
2 cases and ten boxes for me
Opening any of it? All of it?
PrinceVegeta
08-05-2025, 11:52 AM
Opening any of it? All of it?
I'll probably open it all, should be a good set for singles sales
TimBuckTwo
08-05-2025, 11:53 AM
10 boxes for me. What the hell. Topps Ripped has more info on the set.
There are 1/1s.
25 Triple autos, 5 American Idiot triples.
https://ripped.topps.com/how-to-collect-2024-gpk-battle-of-the-bands-green-day/
eldavojohn
08-05-2025, 11:55 AM
Well I hope everyone does exceptionally well on this ... I'm starting to feel a little responsible for making this post lol and hope nobody gets bit by this one. I almost bought a few boxes twice but the memory of spending a few Gs on a product that is still in stock two+ years later (https://www.topps.com/products/2023-topps-ermsy-entertainment-blend-series-2-look-n-see-5-boxes) kept me from pulling the trigger.
ATLOTP
08-05-2025, 11:59 AM
Well I hope everyone does exceptionally well on this ... I'm starting to feel a little responsible for making this post lol and hope nobody gets bit by this one. I almost bought a few boxes twice but the memory of spending a few Gs on a product that is still in stock two+ years later (https://www.topps.com/products/2023-topps-ermsy-entertainment-blend-series-2-look-n-see-5-boxes) kept me from pulling the trigger.
after opening that product I sent them an email telling them it was the worst product I ever opened
eastbayak
08-05-2025, 12:00 PM
After I purchased the 6 boxes, I had the same thought about 2 cases. You're absolutely right about loose boxes. I'm right up there with you on the luck factor with those. At first, I was really hesitant to buy as much as I ended up buying, but GD has been my favorite band since the very beginning, so I thought, "How often is something Green Day themed like this coming around again?", and I had to go for it.
Haha, the bolded convinced me to purchase 7 loose boxes (I planned to match you at 6 but decided to go with 7, my favorite number, to hopefully add some extra luck for the rip).
nephinfan
08-05-2025, 12:03 PM
Haha, the bolded convinced me to purchase 7 loose boxes (I planned to match you at 6 but decided to go with 7, my favorite number, to hopefully add some extra luck for the rip).
I was really wanting to work in a "When I Come Around" reference there, but couldn't quite get it to work. Haha! I hope that extra box brings you "triple" the luck!
eldavojohn
08-05-2025, 12:04 PM
after opening that product I sent them an email telling them it was the worst product I ever opened
It was a product designed to open one or two of the tiny boxes. The problem was that the printer must have read 100,000 boxes instead of 100 cases because they ain't ever running out of that product ... and that's at the height up of the hobby ...
crdbored
08-05-2025, 12:07 PM
10 boxes for me. What the hell. Topps Ripped has more info on the set.
There are 1/1s.
25 Triple autos, 5 American Idiot triples.
https://ripped.topps.com/how-to-collect-2024-gpk-battle-of-the-bands-green-day/
"The set also includes ten different parallels, giving collectors a colorful and layered chase filled with rare and low-numbered finds."
Yikes, I hope you get at least one numbered per box. Looks like why this is still in stock. Seems like they printed lots of this.
Overall, looks like a fun set for Green Day fans.
eastbayak
08-05-2025, 12:07 PM
Well I hope everyone does exceptionally well on this ... I'm starting to feel a little responsible for making this post lol and hope nobody gets bit by this one. I almost bought a few boxes twice but the memory of spending a few Gs on a product that is still in stock two+ years later (https://www.topps.com/products/2023-topps-ermsy-entertainment-blend-series-2-look-n-see-5-boxes) kept me from pulling the trigger.
I'm actually thankful that you posted about it because I might've missed it otherwise.
For the first time in a long time, I actually don't care about "ROI" (it certainly helps that GPK wax is much more affordable than sports cards wax). Obviously, I still want to pull the chase cards but I'm genuinely excited to put together the 100-card base set.
hotcalsun
08-05-2025, 12:12 PM
"The set also includes ten different parallels, giving collectors a colorful and layered chase filled with rare and low-numbered finds."
Yikes, I hope you get at least one numbered per box. Looks like why this is still in stock. Seems like they printed lots of this.
Overall, looks like a fun set for Green Day fans.
Been pretty common with these sort of products, the GPK x MLB, and others. Basically usually 8 base, 1-insert, and 1-parallel per pack. Once we know the most common parallel -- /149 or whatever, the pack / box / cases produced will be calculated by someone on this thread.
eastbayak
08-05-2025, 12:13 PM
I was really wanting to work in a "When I Come Around" reference there, but couldn't quite get it to work. Haha! I hope that extra box brings you "triple" the luck!
Hahaha, wouldn't it be awesome if we both hit triple autos? Regardless, I'm sure we'll still have the time of our lives :)
Appreciate it, I wish you the best of luck with your boxes too!
nephinfan
08-05-2025, 12:24 PM
Hahaha, wouldn't it be awesome if we both hit triple autos? Regardless, I'm sure we'll still have the time of our lives :)
Appreciate it, I wish you the best of luck with your boxes too!
Haha! Well done! Both of us hitting the Triple would be an amazing outcome! Let's hope that's the case, but either way, I agree that this one example where I don't care about the ROI. This one is all about the fun factor.
Now we just have to twiddle our thumbs just for a bit until Topps releases this to us. ;)
bustsomewax
08-05-2025, 12:31 PM
You guys don't find it odd that the product page makes no mention of Box guarantees, like every other GPK release...
eastbayak
08-05-2025, 12:49 PM
Haha! Well done! Both of us hitting the Triple would be an amazing outcome! Let's hope that's the case, but either way, I agree that this one example where I don't care about the ROI. This one is all about the fun factor.
Now we just have to twiddle our thumbs just for a bit until Topps releases this to us. ;)
100%!
Haha, I don't know about you but I'll be listening to a lot more Green Day until then :D
eldavojohn
08-05-2025, 12:50 PM
You guys don't find it odd that the product page makes no mention of Box guarantees, like every other GPK release...
Everything about this was odd ... the only normal thing was that I felt like I was getting ripped off as I put boxes into my cart ;)
Look, if you've got some limited release like that weird Dune release -- go ahead and tell me the day before you release it ... but I saw this on the homepage and saw that the year dated on the product is 2024 and was just super confused when I saw the size of the checklist ... very large print run, you would think there would be a very large media push, yeah? I guess the Cactus Jack Chrome also was a surprise to me so maybe they just want to reward the people who are checking the site every day ... if you have enough releases, that could work but you'd think something like this would be aimed at bringing in Green Day fans to the hobby?
finfangfan
08-05-2025, 12:54 PM
I had fun with the last GPK/MLB set but will be sitting this one out. If you are a fan, I guess you should be happy this one isn’t selling out quickly. Does seem like an overprinted set that could sit for awhile.
crdbored
08-05-2025, 12:55 PM
This format reminds me of the rolling stones set that dropped in the megabox format.
Wonder if this will be a wider release you'll find in retail stores. Don't see anything about online exclusive on the page and this is just a pre-order.
PrinceVegeta
08-05-2025, 12:58 PM
This format reminds me of the rolling stones set that dropped in the megabox format.
Wonder if this will be a wider release you'll find in retail stores. Don't see anything about online exclusive on the page and this is just a pre-order.
Hobby stores will get product.
jdandns
08-05-2025, 01:03 PM
Will they restock case on the 27th? Or are preorders all they produce?
If it's the same as with the regular baseball cards they do pre-orders for, there will be more boxes available on the 27th, but they'll cost a little more, probably $84.99.
bustsomewax
08-05-2025, 01:04 PM
Hobby stores will get product.
Are you saying Shops are getting this Greenday, 100%?
nephinfan
08-05-2025, 01:21 PM
100%!
Haha, I don't know about you but I'll be listening to a lot more Green Day until then :D
Definitely!
bub838
08-05-2025, 01:46 PM
Pass for me, looks like they printed a lot of it and 10 parallels is nuts.
jdandns
08-05-2025, 03:11 PM
Green Day is coming up on the end of their world tour for their 14th album. They have some dates in South America through mid September, then wrap it all up with 4 U.S. dates spanning Sept. 21st-30th. Final stop is the Yaamava' Resort & Casino theater in San Bernadino, CA (where, as it happens, they are, this very night, giving a winner of a two-month contest a copy of Action Comics #1, the first appearance of Superman).
The other tour stops are Chicago, Dana Point (CA), and Ocean City (MD). I was thinking maybe they'd have some of the cards for sale at the merch table, like Post Malone had those Topps PostyFest cards for sale at his concert, but with so few dates left on the tour, so that seems unlikely.
dunquixote1
08-05-2025, 04:44 PM
There’s almost no indicators of the print run. Until odds come out it’s totally unknown. There are occasional sets the drop with lower print runs that stay in stock - like the WBC set.
LondonGames
08-05-2025, 05:31 PM
I'm actually thankful that you posted about it because I might've missed it otherwise.
For the first time in a long time, I actually don't care about "ROI" (it certainly helps that GPK wax is much more affordable than sports cards wax). Obviously, I still want to pull the chase cards but I'm genuinely excited to put together the 100-card base set.
Likewise. Thank you for posting. I took a blind dive, but happy I did. It's the first product in a while I thought actually looked great.
hotcalsun
08-05-2025, 10:20 PM
Single boxes now sold out. Will be interesting to see what this ends up being.
ricebellypanda
08-06-2025, 08:07 AM
Seems quite largely printed for such a niche product
eldavojohn
08-06-2025, 08:13 AM
Seems quite largely printed for such a niche product
I guess we'll know on August 27, 2025 when they release the rest of the non-presale allocation.
dunquixote1
08-06-2025, 08:52 AM
Seems quite largely printed for such a niche product
How do you know this? People keep making stuff up like they have some sort of inside knowledge.
You could be right. But don't state it like you know. There's absolutely zero indicators of the production run. Everything anyone says regarding production is a total assumption and guess. I'd actually argue that the sell out pace on this indicates a smaller print run...but who the hell knows?
eldavojohn
08-06-2025, 09:05 AM
How do you know this? People keep making stuff up like they have some sort of inside knowledge.
You could be right. But don't state it like you know. There's absolutely zero indicators of the production run. Everything anyone says regarding production is a total assumption and guess. I'd actually argue that the sell out pace on this indicates a smaller print run...but who the hell knows?
Well he did say "seems" but ... the checklist is quite large for a crossover with a band ... and the ripped article mentions 10 different parallels (https://ripped.topps.com/how-to-collect-2024-gpk-battle-of-the-bands-green-day/). A hundred card base set with ten different parallels ... do the math, likely overprinted.
dd316
08-06-2025, 09:32 AM
I'd actually argue that the sell out pace on this indicates a smaller print run...
I'm genuinely curious how you would reach that conclusion?
hotcalsun
08-06-2025, 09:37 AM
Well he did say "seems" but ... the checklist is quite large for a crossover with a band ... and the ripped article mentions 10 different parallels (https://ripped.topps.com/how-to-collect-2024-gpk-battle-of-the-bands-green-day/). A hundred card base set with ten different parallels ... do the math, likely overprinted.
It'll be interesting. It is all very strange for a product that was announced in April 2024 to have so little information about format or odds which would seem to lend itself to a big print run. At the same time, there are very few listings on eBay for sealed boxes relatively speaking, especially for a product that "sold out" of the presale.
The mystery will be solved in either a few weeks or whenever Topps gets around to updating the format or posting odds.
LondonGames
08-06-2025, 10:32 AM
Seems quite largely printed for such a niche product
Explain how it seems that way
LondonGames
08-06-2025, 10:36 AM
It'll be interesting. It is all very strange for a product that was announced in April 2024 to have so little information about format or odds which would seem to lend itself to a big print run. At the same time, there are very few listings on eBay for sealed boxes relatively speaking, especially for a product that "sold out" of the presale.
The mystery will be solved in either a few weeks or whenever Topps gets around to updating the format or posting odds.
How does no odds make it seem there’s a big print run? This is just how your brain works or you have a knowledge of how Topps has acted like this in the past?
Seems just as easy to say it seems like it’s super short printed, because if they put out odds of it being as rare as it actually is all of the flipper bots would’ve got it and no collectors would’ve got a chance.
No one has any idea, and all you have to go on so far is the availability on the site and on eBay.
jdandns
08-06-2025, 10:46 AM
I like Green Day, but I don't love them.
I like Garbage Pail Kids, but don't love them.
I bought a box for each, so 2 boxes, and I'm good.
Good luck on yours, doods.
It's refreshing to see a non-sports set this large comprised of all new material along with requisite "hit" cards be sold in such a way that everyone had a chance (or two) to buy some at retail. Looking forward to seeing them in person and hopefully, more sets like this are on the way.
PumpnDumpling
08-06-2025, 10:56 AM
I like Green Day, but I don't love them.
I like Garbage Pail Kids, but don't love them.
I bought a box for each, so 2 boxes, and I'm good.
Good luck on yours, doods.
It's refreshing to see a non-sports set this large comprised of all new material along with requisite "hit" cards be sold in such a way that everyone had a chance (or two) to buy some at retail. Looking forward to seeing them in person and hopefully, more sets like this are on the way.
Same to you Dood!
It seems clear to me the Battle of the Bands sku has legs, wish they would do an all encompassing metal gpk release
A Hip-Hop/Rap themed set would do very well im sure
eastbayak
08-06-2025, 11:09 AM
Picked up a case but I'm a fan of Green Day.
Still remember my wife (then girlfriend) and I attending an A's game and getting to watch them perform afterwards (sitting/dancing on the field). Golden memories!
And their music just hits :)
Found some pictures on my phone from that night (2017, time flies):
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54702963242_626205fb2c_b.jpg
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54702969482_f76464dff7_b.jpg
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54703795876_dabde5db62_b.jpg
nephinfan
08-06-2025, 11:11 AM
Those are great pics. Thanks for sharing!
hotcalsun
08-06-2025, 11:56 AM
How does no odds make it seem there’s a big print run? This is just how your brain works or you have a knowledge of how Topps has acted like this in the past?
Seems just as easy to say it seems like it’s super short printed, because if they put out odds of it being as rare as it actually is all of the flipper bots would’ve got it and no collectors would’ve got a chance.
No one has any idea, and all you have to go on so far is the availability on the site and on eBay.
You basically restated my post saying that it could go either way and nobody knows, as we have little evidence to go on in support of either theory.
I do not have a strong opinion either way. I am in for 2 cases and 10 loose boxes of which I will open at least 20 boxes. I would prefer for it to be a fairly limited release, but I am still thrilled if it is not.
eastbayak
08-06-2025, 12:06 PM
Those are great pics. Thanks for sharing!
Appreciate it and no problem! :)
dunquixote1
08-06-2025, 12:59 PM
Nice pics! I saw Green Day twice. Back during the Dookie tour in 1994 and then again for the Insomniac tour in maybe 1995 or so (these were two my first concerts ever as I was in 5th/6th grade!). What's wild is that I haven't seen them since. They recently toured with Rancid and I regret not going. I've seen Bad Religion, Face to Face, NOFX, and all those other bands from that era but Rancid has always alluded me. It's a bucket list one for sure! So much good punk came out of California back then!
sketchopolix
08-06-2025, 02:45 PM
Release date listed as Aug 27 in case that hasn't been noted yet.
My friend's mom was Armstrong's first music teacher (he gives her props in various interviews). She still runs Fiat Music in Pinole 6 days a week and has wicked piano chops at 90 something years old. If you're a Green Day fan and live in the bay area, you should make the pilgrimage if you haven't been to Pinole. Mrs. Fiatarone is a treasure.
nephinfan
08-06-2025, 02:48 PM
Release date listed as Aug 27 in case that hasn't been noted yet.
My friend's mom was Armstrong's first music teacher (he gives her props in various interviews). She still runs Fiat Music in Pinole 6 days a week and has wicked piano chops at 90 something years old. If you're a Green Day fan and live in the bay area, you should make the pilgrimage if you haven't been to Pinole. Mrs. Fiatarone is a treasure.
That is awesome!
fabiani12333
08-06-2025, 07:14 PM
Found some pictures on my phone from that night (2017, time flies):
If this was the Oakland Coliseum show, I was at it.
bub838
08-06-2025, 09:16 PM
How do you know this? People keep making stuff up like they have some sort of inside knowledge.
You could be right. But don't state it like you know. There's absolutely zero indicators of the production run. Everything anyone says regarding production is a total assumption and guess.
10 parallels and no box guarantees.
I'd actually argue that the sell out pace on this indicates a smaller print run...
Would love to hear this argument, please explain.
LondonGames
08-07-2025, 01:11 AM
How do you know this? People keep making stuff up like they have some sort of inside knowledge.
You could be right. But don't state it like you know. There's absolutely zero indicators of the production run. Everything anyone says regarding production is a total assumption and guess. I'd actually argue that the sell out pace on this indicates a smaller print run...but who the hell knows?
10 parallels and no box guarantees.
Would love to hear this argument, please explain.
bub, serious Q. Are you braindead? please explain.
LondonGames
08-07-2025, 01:13 AM
Pass for me, looks like they printed a lot of it and 10 parallels is nuts.
would love to hear this argument. please explain.
bub838
08-07-2025, 06:31 AM
bub, serious Q. Are you braindead? please explain.
If strangers on the internet trigger you this much, you should take a break from posting.
eastbayak
08-07-2025, 09:30 AM
Nice pics! I saw Green Day twice. Back during the Dookie tour in 1994 and then again for the Insomniac tour in maybe 1995 or so (these were two my first concerts ever as I was in 5th/6th grade!). What's wild is that I haven't seen them since. They recently toured with Rancid and I regret not going. I've seen Bad Religion, Face to Face, NOFX, and all those other bands from that era but Rancid has always alluded me. It's a bucket list one for sure! So much good punk came out of California back then!
Thank you!! Awesome that you were able to watch them live twice!
Haha, a family friend (and my former 6th grade teacher) taught Tim Armstrong in middle school.
If this was the Oakland Coliseum show, I was at it.
Yes it was! Such a great time, sad that the A’s are gone now.
Dukefett
08-07-2025, 02:47 PM
Keep an eye out at GPK News for print run calculations, he always does them when the odds are released and people crack some boxes: https://gpknews.com/
100 cards, 50 new gags with a/b variations. There looks to be 10 parallels to collect. Collectors can find; Booger Green (Unnumbered), Crumpled Garbage Foil (Unnumbered), Black (/199), Blue /99), Green Foil (/75), Gold Crumpled Foil (/50), Orange Foil (/25), Black Shimmer Foil (/10), Red Foil (/5), and FoilFractor (1/1).
There are also a ton of Insert sets to find in the product. Insert sets include; B-Sides, Sweet Children, Tribute to the East Bay, Doolie: 30 Years, and Album Art. All inserts have eight different parallels to collect; Black (/199), Blue /99), Green Foil (/75), Gold Crumpled Foil (/50), Orange Foil (/25), Black Shimmer Foil (/10), Red Foil (/5), and FoilFractor (1/1). There are also two rare insert sets, American Idiot SPs and Standing Room Only that only have three parallel types; Black Shimmer Foil (/10), Red Foil (/5), and FoilFractor (1/1).
Collectors can also find Triple Autos /25, American Idiot Triple Autos /5, Tour Relics, Auto Tour Relics, and Triple Auto Tour Relics. All autos and Relics also have a Foilfractor 1/1 version. There are no sketches in this release, and also no mention of printing plates.
Tons of parallels, every insert set has parallels too. This will probably be like Chrome 7 and 40th that require 1/2 a case to even build a base set.
armyml
08-07-2025, 03:48 PM
I dunno. Usually on these one off GPK sets they are website exclusive. I got offered cases direct from Fanatics as a hobby shop for these. This leads me to believe the print run isn't necessarily tiny.
justin80
08-07-2025, 05:55 PM
I dunno. Usually on these one off GPK sets they are website exclusive. I got offered cases direct from Fanatics as a hobby shop for these. This leads me to believe the print run isn't necessarily tiny.
This is labeled as a 2024 product because that’s when Topps started the printers. And they’ve been going nonstop since. Prepare for a 1988 Topps-level production run!
tevans333
08-08-2025, 08:02 AM
Boxes and Cases are up on Blowout now if that tells you anything.
Boxes $99.95
Cases $1999.95
TimBuckTwo
08-08-2025, 09:24 AM
Boxes and Cases are up on Blowout now if that tells you anything.
Boxes $99.95
Cases $1999.95
Based on this I owe Topps thanks for saving me money. See how they do it.
justin80
08-08-2025, 10:29 AM
Welp, it looks the print run will be astronomical on this product. I ignored the warning signs, scrolled through the Topps website late at night (I'm an insomniac), and purchased not uno!, but dos! cases of a product that now appears to be dookie. My bank account has gone kerplunk, and I feel like a nimrod -- a real American idiot. My only hope is to pull a triple auto of BJ, Mike, and Tre! They would be my saviors to avoid a 21st century breakdown.
nephinfan
08-08-2025, 10:41 AM
Welp, it looks the print run will be astronomical on this product. I ignored the warning signs, scrolled through the Topps website late at night (I'm an insomniac), and purchased not uno!, but dos! cases of a product that now appears to be dookie. My bank account has gone kerplunk, and I feel like a nimrod -- a real American idiot. My only hope is to pull a triple auto of BJ, Mike, and Tre! They would be my saviors to avoid a 21st century breakdown.
You sound like a basket case right now. Don't worry, you will have the time of your life opening those cases. If you were to pull a triple auto, you'd definitely be in the minority, but you'd be celebrating as if you were on holiday, walking through the Macy's Day parade, and having a blast. So say good riddance to those negative thoughts and start thinking of the fun of opening all those packs. Welcome to Paradise!
PumpnDumpling
08-08-2025, 11:35 AM
Welp, it looks the print run will be astronomical on this product. I ignored the warning signs, scrolled through the Topps website late at night (I'm an insomniac), and purchased not uno!, but dos! cases of a product that now appears to be dookie. My bank account has gone kerplunk, and I feel like a nimrod -- a real American idiot. My only hope is to pull a triple auto of BJ, Mike, and Tre! They would be my saviors to avoid a 21st century breakdown.
You sound like a basket case right now. Don't worry, you will have the time of your life opening those cases. If you were to pull a triple auto, you'd definitely be in the minority, but you'd be celebrating as if you were on holiday, walking through the Macy's Day parade, and having a blast. So say good riddance to those negative thoughts and start thinking of the fun of opening all those packs. Welcome to Paradise!
Well played you two :)! Despite the heavy production i still think the demand will be high enough to make this a very solid product
justin80
08-08-2025, 02:56 PM
You sound like a basket case right now. Don't worry, you will have the time of your life opening those cases. If you were to pull a triple auto, you'd definitely be in the minority, but you'd be celebrating as if you were on holiday, walking through the Macy's Day parade, and having a blast. So say good riddance to those negative thoughts and start thinking of the fun of opening all those packs. Welcome to Paradise!
Thanks! I still feel like a chump but I'll try to take a longview here.
jdandns
08-08-2025, 07:05 PM
I don't mean to come off as jaded, but I hope these ship on time as I really do hate the misery that comes with waiting for pre-orders.
If there turns out to be a one month delay, someone please wake me up when September ends.
PrinceVegeta
08-08-2025, 07:36 PM
I don't mean to come off as jaded, but I hope these ship on time as I really do hate the misery that comes with waiting for pre-orders.
If there turns out to be a one month delay, someone please wake me up when September ends.
I have 4 sets preordered with topps atm. Very annoying
jdandns
08-08-2025, 09:36 PM
I'm pretty sure they'll ship on time.
I was just using four more Green Day song titles in that post, like the fellas above did.
nephinfan
08-08-2025, 11:07 PM
I'm pretty sure they'll ship on time.
I was just using four more Green Day song titles in that post, like the fellas above did.
...and you did a great job, Sir. Kudos! I knew exactly where you were going with that.
dunquixote1
08-09-2025, 08:39 AM
If my math is right there were approximately 23k-30k boxes made. It largely depends if insert parallels replace base parallels or not. But that’s ballpark.
TimBuckTwo
08-09-2025, 11:06 AM
If my math is right there were approximately 23k-30k boxes made. It largely depends if insert parallels replace base parallels or not. But that’s ballpark.
So between 1150 and 1500 cases. Is that alot in todays card rage?
jdandns
08-09-2025, 11:53 AM
While once a upon a time manufacturers wouldn't have even bothered with anything less than 50k boxes, in today's non-sport market, anything over 10k boxes probably qualifies as a large print run. Double that, and we're approaching the modern upper echelon where quantity is concerned.
dunquixote1
08-09-2025, 11:57 AM
I would not classify this as a large print run. And hobby shops definitely won’t be allotted a ton. It’s almost the same exact print run as the 40th Anniversary set. Again, this assumes my math is right. Also, it’s make a lot of sense of this had the same exact print run as 40th as they’re both out within a short span of each other.
hotcalsun
08-09-2025, 01:20 PM
I would not classify this as a large print run. And hobby shops definitely won’t be allotted a ton. It’s almost the same exact print run as the 40th Anniversary set. Again, this assumes my math is right. Also, it’s make a lot of sense of this had the same exact print run as 40th as they’re both out within a short span of each other.
I am following your logic here and there were 10 parallels in the 40th as well. From the few 40th box openings I have watched, looks like you get 2-3 base per pack, a green border, and then 1-2 other cards whether an insert or a parallel.
Complete sets will be interesting if that is the case, you'd need to open at least 5 boxes to have a chance to complete a set with perfect collation.
One key difference between this and a 40th box is 8 packs in a 40th vs. 10 packs in Green Day - which could mean 20% less boxes / cases from 40th (but not necessarily from your calcs).
Of course, all wild speculation but will be a lot of fun!
LondonGames
08-10-2025, 06:51 PM
If my math is right there were approximately 23k-30k boxes made. It largely depends if insert parallels replace base parallels or not. But that’s ballpark.
Why wouldn't they replace them? It doesn't say 2 base parallels per box.
bub838
08-10-2025, 10:40 PM
So between 1150 and 1500 cases. Is that alot in todays card rage?
For a niche non-sport release, yes.
GPK x MLB S3 was a little under 8000 boxes.
PumpnDumpling
08-11-2025, 07:41 AM
For a niche non-sport release, yes.
GPK x MLB S3 was a little under 8000 boxes.
Green Day is more popular than MLB, sad that a basic pop punk band from the 90's has surpassed our great American tradition in terms of global popularity but it is true. Welcome to Paradise!
dunquixote1
08-11-2025, 08:28 AM
Why wouldn't they replace them? It doesn't say 2 base parallels per box.
I meant that if you get a numbered insert parallel, do you get three numbered parallels per box? Or if you get a numbered insert parallel does it replace one of the base set numbered parallels meaning you still get two total?
dd316
08-11-2025, 08:37 AM
Green Day is more popular than MLB, sad that a basic pop punk band from the 90's has surpassed our great American tradition in terms of global popularity but it is true. Welcome to Paradise!
Maybe in worldwide appeal. I definitely see WAY more people sporting MLB gear than Green Day.
bub838
08-11-2025, 11:07 AM
Green Day is more popular than MLB, sad that a basic pop punk band from the 90's has surpassed our great American tradition in terms of global popularity but it is true. Welcome to Paradise!
I would guess the Yankees (let alone the entire MLB) have more world wide name recognition and dollars spent than Green Day.
LondonGames
08-11-2025, 02:36 PM
Duplicate post
LondonGames
08-11-2025, 02:37 PM
I meant that if you get a numbered insert parallel, do you get three numbered parallels per box? Or if you get a numbered insert parallel does it replace one of the base set numbered parallels meaning you still get two total?
Not sure why you’re explaining what you meant. I know what you meant. It’s what you said. I asked, why wouldn’t an insert parallel replace a base parallel? It says 2 parallels per box. An insert parallel is a parallel. There’s no reason to assume you will get more than 2 per box. No where does it say two base parallels per box.
LondonGames
08-11-2025, 02:43 PM
Green Day is more popular than MLB, sad that a basic pop punk band from the 90's has surpassed our great American tradition in terms of global popularity but it is true. Welcome to Paradise!
Not true but, “garbage Pail kids mlb” when there’s already countless MLB releases doesn’t come anywhere close to the only Green Day set. Plus GPK Green Day goes very hard. Green Day GPK is far less niche than MLB GPK imo.
Regardless, granted how limited Green Day signatures are, with any of their signatures or collectibles going for a lot of money… these cards should go for a pretty penny. The relics with tour used mem should be interesting. Could see those going for a lot
Just praying it’s only 1500 cases or so made. That would be limited enough that the per case yield could be close to an autograph a case or better but certainly every other or better. Can’t imagine they signed less than 250 each
dd316
08-11-2025, 03:05 PM
Green Day GPK is far less niche than MLB GPK imo.
MLB has a built-in trading card audience, Green Day does not. Unless Green Day themselves are promoting the product, I imagine many of their fans will never know a trading card set exists.
I do agree these autographs will be VERY valuable.
hotcalsun
08-11-2025, 03:07 PM
Not true but, “garbage Pail kids mlb” when there’s already countless MLB releases doesn’t come anywhere close to the only Green Day set. Plus GPK Green Day goes very hard. Green Day GPK is far less niche than MLB GPK imo.
Regardless, granted how limited Green Day signatures are, with any of their signatures or collectibles going for a lot of money… these cards should go for a pretty penny. The relics with tour used mem should be interesting. Could see those going for a lot
Just praying it’s only 1500 cases or so made. That would be limited enough that the per case yield could be close to an autograph a case or better but certainly every other or better. Can’t imagine they signed less than 250 each
Similar to you, i am hoping that we see a similar production run as the 40th Anniversary with similar odds. That'd be less than 1500 case and a lot of fun.
hotcalsun
08-11-2025, 03:14 PM
MLB has a built-in trading card audience, Green Day does not. Unless Green Day themselves are promoting the product, I imagine many of their fans will never know a trading card set exists.
I do agree these autographs will be VERY valuable.
How much does the Green Day release benefit from the built-in GPK collectors, if at all? I primary collect baseball but saw this release and was very excited for it but know very little about the community.
LondonGames
08-11-2025, 04:16 PM
MLB has a built-in trading card audience, Green Day does not. Unless Green Day themselves are promoting the product, I imagine many of their fans will never know a trading card set exists.
I do agree these autographs will be VERY valuable.
This argument makes literally zero sense. How many of the countless non-sport releases that were a success, had a built-in trading card audience? Can't understand someone that's actually a Non-Sport fan saying something so silly. MLB GPK is extremely niche and having a built-in trading card "audience" has nothing to do with that. Neither does whether or not any of Green Days fans knowing it exists. That only changes whether or not it can be as big of a hit, but it doesn't change what the product is.
Not that it matters, but unlike mostly all other random non-sport products Green Day did actually promote it via an IG post to 7 million followers.
https://i.ibb.co/84gW3L0t/Screenshot-2025-08-11-at-5-25-01-PM.png
LondonGames
08-11-2025, 04:42 PM
How much does the Green Day release benefit from the built-in GPK collectors, if at all? I primary collect baseball but saw this release and was very excited for it but know very little about the community.
Probably pretty heavily. GPK is pretty strong and theres a big crossover. It's really well designed. Green Day definitely fits the GPK vibe well.
But the other way around GPK benefits Green Day in that it portrays the band in a really fun collectible way. Regular Green Day action photos would've been kinda boring. I'm a big Green Day fan but also a bigger card fan. It's legitimately one of the coolest looking products I've seen in a long time. So long as the mock-up photos are accurate, and the signature cards look as they do (the triple and the 1/1 patches), it's sick.
I hope Topps continues this trend. No reason to believe they won't.
hotcalsun
08-11-2025, 05:02 PM
Probably pretty heavily. GPK is pretty strong and theres a big crossover. It's really well designed. Green Day definitely fits the GPK vibe well.
But the other way around GPK benefits Green Day in that it portrays the band in a really fun collectible way. Regular Green Day action photos would've been kinda boring. I'm a big Green Day fan but also a bigger card fan. It's legitimately one of the coolest looking products I've seen in a long time. So long as the mock-up photos are accurate, and the signature cards look as they do (the triple and the 1/1 patches), it's sick.
I hope Topps continues this trend. No reason to believe they won't.
Appreciate the perspective, thank you.
StlBen
08-11-2025, 05:05 PM
MLB has a built-in trading card audience, Green Day does not. Unless Green Day themselves are promoting the product, I imagine many of their fans will never know a trading card set exists.
I do agree these autographs will be VERY valuable.
Green Day are promoting it both on socials and they sent it out to everyone on their email list.
tevans333
08-11-2025, 09:03 PM
What was the pre order price for 40th? Curious how it compares to this.
hotcalsun
08-11-2025, 09:25 PM
What was the pre order price for 40th? Curious how it compares to this.
Launch day sale was $79.99, but it was a different configuration with 8 packs rather than 10 in Green Day.
https://gpknews.com/topps-offering-launch-day-sale-for-2025-worst-of-gpk-40th-anniversary/
dd316
08-12-2025, 08:22 AM
This argument makes literally zero sense. How many of the countless non-sport releases that were a success, had a built-in trading card audience? Can't understand someone that's actually a Non-Sport fan saying something so silly. MLB GPK is extremely niche and having a built-in trading card "audience" has nothing to do with that. Neither does whether or not any of Green Days fans knowing it exists. That only changes whether or not it can be as big of a hit, but it doesn't change what the product is.
You're kidding, right? MLB and trading cards go hand-in-hand, been that way for 100 years. What's the Green Day / trading card connection prior to this set?
Having a built-in trading card audience has nothing to do with it? MLB player collectors chased the GPK cards. GPK collectors chased the MLB cards.
Now, Green Day is promoting the cards, which is great and should bring a lot of outside interest. But before this I wouldn't have put Green Day and GPK together, would you?
PumpnDumpling
08-12-2025, 08:45 AM
Maybe in worldwide appeal. I definitely see WAY more people sporting MLB gear than Green Day.
By that barometer i see more people sporting Michael Myers likeness be it on their arm, shirt or vehicle than any easily recognizable MLB reference
Is dime store William Shatner mask more popular than Major League Baseball?
PumpnDumpling
08-12-2025, 08:47 AM
Also does anyone know when BO "sold out" of boxes and cases?
When/where do you think we see the reload at?
tevans333
08-12-2025, 08:58 AM
Also does anyone know when BO "sold out" of boxes and cases?
When/where do you think we see the reload at?
Seems preorders are sold out for the most part at the big three.
dd316
08-12-2025, 09:53 AM
By that barometer i see more people sporting Michael Myers likeness be it on their arm, shirt or vehicle than any easily recognizable MLB reference
I was thinking in terms of merchandising. I wholly disagree with your assessment above. Yes, I see Michael Myers everywhere, too (I wore MM socks the other day). But nowhere near as much Phillies, Mets and Yankees stuff (I'm in the Philly area).
Green Day has sold millions and millions of albums, and sell out every show. No question. But to think they have more appeal than even the New York Yankees alone... I disagree. It's an argument neither of us can win.
eldavojohn
08-12-2025, 10:09 AM
No question. But to think they have more appeal than even the New York Yankees alone... I disagree. It's an argument neither of us can win.
I think the thread turned into a pop-punk fanfest. Which is fine. But there's a lot of statements being made here that indicate fandom more than logic ... I'll just leave this here (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forbes_list_of_the_most_valuable_MLB_teams) if anyone wants revenue numbers for MLB teams. According to gemini, "Saviors Tour" gross: $132.4 million.
But whatever, I'm willing to make a prediction: autos are going to be the lottery ticket with little value elsewhere and the print run is so high that you will eventually have access to these boxes below MSRP. I wish I could say we will pick up base sets for $15 but the checklist is just too huge. Maybe at $30.
It will be more like 2013 Panini Beach Boys than MLB x GPK.
These predictions are not made to incense anyone or denegrate Green Day but instead be a falsifiable statement that can cause me to eat crow if I'm wrong.
PumpnDumpling
08-12-2025, 10:51 AM
I was thinking in terms of merchandising. I wholly disagree with your assessment above. Yes, I see Michael Myers everywhere, too (I wore MM socks the other day). But nowhere near as much Phillies, Mets and Yankees stuff (I'm in the Philly area).
Green Day has sold millions and millions of albums, and sell out every show. No question. But to think they have more appeal than even the New York Yankees alone... I disagree. It's an argument neither of us can win.
I think the thread turned into a pop-punk fanfest. Which is fine. But there's a lot of statements being made here that indicate fandom more than logic ... I'll just leave this here (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forbes_list_of_the_most_valuable_MLB_teams) if anyone wants revenue numbers for MLB teams. According to gemini, "Saviors Tour" gross: $132.4 million.
But whatever, I'm willing to make a prediction: autos are going to be the lottery ticket with little value elsewhere and the print run is so high that you will eventually have access to these boxes below MSRP. I wish I could say we will pick up base sets for $15 but the checklist is just too huge. Maybe at $30.
It will be more like 2013 Panini Beach Boys than MLB x GPK.
These predictions are not made to incense anyone or denegrate Green Day but instead be a falsifiable statement that can cause me to eat crow if I'm wrong.
Guys, all you have to do is google it - which has more fans worldwide Green Day or MLB
Alphabet Ai Overlords have spoken :coffee:
Further Proof; i have a gen z friend in Saudi Arabia that literally quotes Green Day lyrics all the time when we play Outlast!
eastbayak
08-12-2025, 11:03 AM
Lots of talk from members who didn't buy the product. Nothing wrong with that but I'm more interested in hearing from those who actually purchased some.
Aside from the autos (that we're all chasing), is there anything else on the checklist that piques your interest?
As previously mentioned, I'm very interested in the "Tribute to East Bay" subset. I'm curious to know what they'll incorporate into the image as well as what they'll look like. And within that set, I've identified a couple cards that I'm even more interested (just from the name) than others, particularly EB-3 and EB-7.
TRIBUTE TO EAST BAY
EB-1 PIN Ball
EB-2 Mt. DIABLO
EB-3 TELEGRAPH Street Close to home, my favorite (Japanese) restaurant (Kiraku) is on this street.
EB-4 HIGHER Learning No clue what this might be but would like to assume it's something related to UC Berkeley
EB-5 Revolting ROSIE
EB-6 Space CHASE
EB-7 FAIRY Land My family has an annual membership (for the last few years) and we (wife/I) periodically take our kids here.
EB-8 Go FISHER
Separately, I'm interested in the American Idiot SPs because I like "regular" (non-parody) cards too. Actually, I don't own a single GPK card in my collection, I strictly bought it because of Green Day (I've only purchased GPK Sapphire boxes at MSRP in the past because they were Montogmery 582 allocations). That's not to say that I can't enjoy them though!
sketchopolix
08-12-2025, 11:37 AM
Lots of talk from members who didn't buy the product. Nothing wrong with that but I'm more interested in hearing from those who actually purchased some.I'm lookng to make a mini-master for my friend's grandson (the one whose mom was Billie's music teacher in Pinole). He's the right age for the silliness of GPK.
dunquixote1
08-12-2025, 11:37 AM
Who cares which has more fans? How do you even define a fan? My wife can quote Green Day songs. But she’s not a Green Day “fan”. She would actually rather go to a baseball game than a Green Day concert desire her even knowing less about baseball. Other than the fact that they’re cards it doesn’t mean you can compare the licenses/demand/interest. A Vette and a Chrysler Town & Country are both cars. Which is better?
dd316
08-12-2025, 11:48 AM
Lots of talk from members who didn't buy the product. Nothing wrong with that but I'm more interested in hearing from those who actually purchased some.
How do you know we didn't buy any?
For the record, I didn't. But I did have 2 boxes in my cart for a while. Ultimately decided I didn't like Green Day enough to justify $160 on the long shot at an autograph, which is all I'd really want.
eastbayak
08-12-2025, 12:57 PM
I'm lookng to make a mini-master for my friend's grandson (the one whose mom was Billie's music teacher in Pinole). He's the right age for the silliness of GPK.
I plan to rip 5-7 boxes (ordered 7 loose boxes but might keep 1-2 sealed to display around the house if the box art looks cool).
I'll be happy to help you and nephinfan with any set needs (with my duplicates).
How do you know we didn't buy any?
For the record, I didn't. But I did have 2 boxes in my cart for a while. Ultimately decided I didn't like Green Day enough to justify $160 on the long shot at an autograph, which is all I'd really want.
How do you know I was talking about you?!
Bruin7
08-12-2025, 12:59 PM
Well I’m late to the party. I was in Hawaii looking at properties and had atrocious 5G connection. Grabbed 5 boxes from a competitor’s site to open with my daughter who’s a big Green Day fan. Crazy to think I used to listen to Dookie freshman year of high school and they’re still relevant today with my kids.
Stupid question - are these traditional GPK stickers or Chrome?
yoyosh
08-12-2025, 12:59 PM
Lots of talk from members who didn't buy the product. Nothing wrong with that but I'm more interested in hearing from those who actually purchased some.
I bought one box purely out of curiosity and it wasn't an expensive risk.
I am lucky to have a bunch of signed GD memorabilia so if I don't hit an auto I won't be too upset!
dd316
08-12-2025, 01:59 PM
How do you know I was talking about you?!
Guilty conscience. :D
eastbayak
08-12-2025, 03:23 PM
Well I’m late to the party. I was in Hawaii looking at properties and had atrocious 5G connection. Grabbed 5 boxes from a competitor’s site to open with my daughter who’s a big Green Day fan. Crazy to think I used to listen to Dookie freshman year of high school and they’re still relevant today with my kids.
Stupid question - are these traditional GPK stickers or Chrome?
What island? Did you pull the trigger to purchase?
Hope ya'll have some nice cards (just not the autos lol).
I bought one box purely out of curiosity and it wasn't an expensive risk.
I am lucky to have a bunch of signed GD memorabilia so if I don't hit an auto I won't be too upset!
What kind of signed GD memorabilia do you own? Photos, CDs, vinyls, etc?
Would be awfully nice to hit an auto from a 1 box purchase. Best of luck!
Guilty conscience. :D
Hahaha, for the record, I wasn't pointing any finger at you!
The thread was just running off path and I wanted to correct its course. Also wanted to know what people (who purchased the product) were excited about, maybe hear some fun/sentimental stories too.
hotcalsun
08-12-2025, 03:26 PM
Also does anyone know when BO "sold out" of boxes and cases?
When/where do you think we see the reload at?
I looked yesterday when I was considering an additional case, but were sold out. One of the other 2 still had them then.
LondonGames
08-12-2025, 05:21 PM
I'm dumb enough to think that theres just about no way these stay at under $150.00/box when they release. Even if the Autos are one every 3 cases, the chase is still 1 in 60 to get one. There's enough value in the relics and numbered stuff and even the base and insert cards, that people will be signing up to roll the dice at that price. The only way they could stay at the price they are now is if the Autos are literally impossible. There is enough history to support this.
I don't want any more than I have now, but anyone who missed out should definitely get in now (I think). I hope the main players don't have some huge supply of it, and that it's really just small amounts for even places like BO and DACW etc.
PumpnDumpling
08-12-2025, 05:58 PM
I'm dumb enough to think that theres just about no way these stay at under $150.00/box when they release. Even if the Autos are one every 3 cases, the chase is still 1 in 60 to get one. There's enough value in the relics and numbered stuff and even the base and insert cards, that people will be signing up to roll the dice at that price. The only way they could stay at the price they are now is if the Autos are literally impossible. There is enough history to support this.
I don't want any more than I have now, but anyone who missed out should definitely get in now (I think). I hope the main players don't have some huge supply of it, and that it's really just small amounts for even places like BO and DACW etc.
I feel like you may be sniffing your own farts a bit but your head is in the right place. If $135-140 dlvd is already happening $150 is just a stones throw. Also as Vegeta previously mentioned i can also see singles sales doing very well at least initially which could prop sealed prices up even more
PumpnDumpling
08-12-2025, 06:01 PM
I looked yesterday when I was considering an additional case, but were sold out. One of the other 2 still had them then.
I was on the fence about two initially during pre-order but just went with 1 and 10 loosies
Will def be busting some, can't wait to wax nostalgic about 6th grade gym class
LondonGames
08-12-2025, 06:29 PM
I feel like you may be sniffing your own farts a bit but your head is in the right place. If $135-140 dlvd is already happening $150 is just a stones throw. Also as Vegeta previously mentioned i can also see singles sales doing very well at least initially which could prop sealed prices up even more
wtf?
Also its 99.99 quite a few places.... I think the opportunity to buy now for 99.99 versus what I said, that you won't be able to find it sub 150 is a pretty huge difference.
I'm actually just giving a good heads up to anyone interested in getting in.
Nice to know I'm being told I'm sniffing my own farts for being excited about a set... by a scalper:
https://www.ebay.com/itm/177314607062?itmmeta=01K2GACJSNTG8Y55ZS8FA7X0DQ&hash=item2948c62fd6:g:9o8AAeSw-4pokOBK
https://www.ebay.com/itm/406031414338?itmmeta=01K2GACJSNHHFNMSD8K8AQA3HD&hash=item5e895bb442:g:Jf8AAeSwbmBobad9
seems like you might be projecting on that fart sniffing buddy
PumpnDumpling
08-12-2025, 06:48 PM
wtf?
Also its 99.99 quite a few places.... I think the opportunity to buy now for 99.99 versus what I said, that you won't be able to find it sub 150 is a pretty huge difference.
I'm actually just giving a good heads up to anyone interested in getting in. But cool story on that "Vegeta" said thing. Pretty sure everyone is saying that.
I have sales in the range previously mentioned hence why i stated as such $150 is not far off as of rn
Also, i am detecting high levels of toxic femininity coming from your keyboard
LondonGames
08-12-2025, 06:55 PM
I have sales in the range previously mentioned hence why i stated as such $150 is not far off as of rn
Also, i am detecting high levels of toxic femininity coming from your keyboard
If you only care about making money and telling people that they are wrong, and not adding any value to the discussion at all...
Just let it be known that you aren't opening any, besides to pre-sell sets, and your posts couldn't be any more disingenuous.
Pre-selling sets already. lol. have shame. I'm not going to be name-calling either, so if you continue to keep going down that road, you'll be doing it by yourself.
https://www.ebay.com/itm/177326678227?itmmeta=01K2GB6FM2MNEY7DJDN6FEV61M&hash=item29497e60d3:g:LgQAAeSwyUpol7y4
https://www.ebay.com/itm/406109386973?itmmeta=01K2GB6FM2FXV1PD40H89GVGK7&hash=item5e8e0178dd:g:YCUAAeSwA1Vok0Pw
PrinceVegeta
08-12-2025, 07:14 PM
I have sales in the range previously mentioned hence why i stated as such $150 is not far off as of rn
Also, i am detecting high levels of toxic femininity coming from your keyboard
You being nasty for no reason
"Vegeta" knows how to make money in this hobby and this set is a no brainer at this point.
tevans333
08-12-2025, 07:28 PM
I’ve been an avid GPK collector since 1986, I think if the print run stays similar to 40th, this set will do very well. I’m glad I picked up at the pre order price, can’t wait to rip it.
Bruin7
08-12-2025, 09:17 PM
What island? Did you pull the trigger to purchase?
Hope ya'll have some nice cards (just not the autos lol).
We’ve been checking out Kauai for the past year. Not much inventory right now but we will keep looking.
Looks like DA just sold out at their $100 price point. I assume the next batch will see an increase.
bub838
08-12-2025, 10:11 PM
I feel like you may be sniffing your own farts a bit but your head is in the right place. If $135-140 dlvd is already happening $150 is just a stones throw. Also as Vegeta previously mentioned i can also see singles sales doing very well at least initially which could prop sealed prices up even more
It's amazing you were able to upset two members so much with this post.
tevans333
08-13-2025, 08:55 AM
Pre orders are back in stock on BO, prices have crept up $10 a box.
40th is back in stock too, at $250 a box, they are rising fast!
hotcalsun
08-13-2025, 09:00 AM
Pre orders are back in stock on BO, prices have crept up $10 a box.
40th is back in stock too, at $250 a box, they are rising fast!
Interesting that the release day is mentioned as the 29th on BO vs. the 27th listed on Topps.
PumpnDumpling
08-13-2025, 12:04 PM
It's amazing you were able to upset two members so much with this post.
Its amazing to me as well, pure efficiency :p
The charmin like quality of modern man in a nutshell
PumpnDumpling
08-13-2025, 12:11 PM
"Vegeta" knows how to make money in this hobby and this set is a no brainer at this point.
Heck yeah brother, we are in agreeance :)!
PumpnDumpling
08-13-2025, 03:41 PM
Interesting that the release day is mentioned as the 29th on BO vs. the 27th listed on Topps.
Correct me if i am wrong but i believe pre-orders via topps will ship or arrive before the standard release date
hotcalsun
08-13-2025, 04:18 PM
Correct me if i am wrong but i believe pre-orders via topps will ship or arrive before the standard release date
Yes I think that is right. Topps states they try to do that, but due to delivery services they do not guarantee it. Just interesting that BO is saying the release (vs in hand or shipping date) is the 29th rather than the 27th. Could just be a typo though.
dunquixote1
08-14-2025, 07:46 AM
I bought 10 boxes to rip. But I disagree this set has any room to grow value wise. There’s almost no volume selling in the secondary market and plenty available at just over MSRP.
tevans333
08-14-2025, 07:49 AM
My LCS has only been able to confirm they are getting 1 case of this. They are trying to get more. For reference, they were able to get 2 cases of 40th.
Since there are twice as many boxes per case of this than of 40th, the allotment of boxes is the same. But the number of packs per box increase 25%. So if this allotment holds true across the board, this print run might be about 25% higher than 40th, which wasn't all that big to begin with.
40th 210,000 packs
Green Day 262,500 packs maybe
Doing some fuzzy math, I'm going to estimate there are about 600 total autos across all configurations (single, triple, relic, American idiot and numbered). If the print run is 262,500 packs, that makes an auto of some variety 1 in 2 cases and the triple autos 1 in 20 cases.
TimBuckTwo
08-14-2025, 11:05 AM
I bought 10 boxes to rip. But I disagree this set has any room to grow value wise. There’s almost no volume selling in the secondary market and plenty available at just over MSRP.
To the MOON !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
dunquixote1
08-14-2025, 11:06 AM
My LCS has only been able to confirm they are getting 1 case of this. They are trying to get more. For reference, they were able to get 2 cases of 40th.
Since there are twice as many boxes per case of this than of 40th, the allotment of boxes is the same. But the number of packs per box increase 25%. So if this allotment holds true across the board, this print run might be about 25% higher than 40th, which wasn't all that big to begin with.
40th 210,000 packs
Green Day 262,500 packs maybe
Doing some fuzzy math, I'm going to estimate there are about 600 total autos across all configurations (single, triple, relic, American idiot and numbered). If the print run is 262,500 packs, that makes an auto of some variety 1 in 2 cases and the triple autos 1 in 20 cases.
If that math is right regarding the autos…that’s actually not bad.
StlBen
08-14-2025, 11:29 AM
I bought 10 boxes to rip. But I disagree this set has any room to grow value wise. There’s almost no volume selling in the secondary market and plenty available at just over MSRP.
Boxes cost $80 and are selling for $129 not sure how that is already showing they have growed in volume.
The Accountant
08-14-2025, 11:34 AM
I bought 10 boxes to rip. But I disagree this set has any room to grow value wise. There’s almost no volume selling in the secondary market and plenty available at just over MSRP.
I didn't buy any and I disagree. 40th was a slam dunk product and is superior, but those autos and relics offer a totally new chase and GD has a huge cult following too. It's like the perfect age of folks with money and nostalgia baked in, hence why GPK is doing so well now.
bub838
08-14-2025, 02:28 PM
Boxes cost $80 and are selling for $129 not sure how that is already showing they have growed in volume.
https://i.ibb.co/QFYRDfv3/Screenshot-2025-08-14-at-3-25-45-PM.png
https://i.ibb.co/fVykkPy4/Screenshot-2025-08-14-at-3-26-05-PM.png
Elmos with glass hands
StlBen
08-14-2025, 04:39 PM
https://i.ibb.co/QFYRDfv3/Screenshot-2025-08-14-at-3-25-45-PM.png
https://i.ibb.co/fVykkPy4/Screenshot-2025-08-14-at-3-26-05-PM.png
Elmos with glass hands
So your rebuttle is to show me photos showing all boxes that have sold for more than original cost? Including one seller that has sold 34 boxes at $110 each, making him waht $3k off this product already.
tevans333
08-14-2025, 05:03 PM
None of this really matters until the odds are out. The box prices will adjust accordingly once the market knows how hard it will be or wont be to pull an auto.
orion9578
08-14-2025, 05:03 PM
So your rebuttle is to show me photos showing all boxes that have sold for more than original cost? Including one seller that has sold 34 boxes at $110 each, making him waht $3k off this product already.
Math must not be your strong suit.
$112.62 - 14%(eBay fees) = $96.85 - $80(cost) = $16.85 x 34 = $572.90 - supplies + time = they didn't make all that much. :)!
bub838
08-14-2025, 05:57 PM
So your rebuttle is to show me photos showing all boxes that have sold for more than original cost? Including one seller that has sold 34 boxes at $110 each, making him waht $3k off this product already.
“Boxes are selling for $129”
Here’s the prices they’re actually selling for.
“sold 34 boxes at $110 each, making him waht $3k off this product already”
:cry: :cry:
bub838
08-14-2025, 05:58 PM
Math must not be your strong suit.
$112.62 - 14%(eBay fees) = $96.85 - $80(cost) = $16.85 x 34 = $572.90 - supplies + time = they didn't make all that much. :)!
I guess when the seller gets the product for free the profit is really strong.
orion9578
08-14-2025, 06:00 PM
I guess when the seller gets the product for free the profit is really strong.
They seemingly have a deal with eBay as well, where they pay 0% in fees :D
dunquixote1
08-15-2025, 07:55 AM
I mean I’m not going to die on the hill that I think this product doesn’t have a ton of room to grow. But there’s available boxes for under $110 shipped. That’s barely above cost on this if you purchased it as MSRP (factoring fees and shipping). And even then, there’s not a ton of “sold” product which is usually indicative of demand. GPK 40th didn’t ‘creep up’ per se. It was selling for a decent amount over MSRP right away and volume was moving.
I’m a tad blown away by the math regarding auto pulls though. If they’re actually 1 auto per 2 cases on average, this has potential once some get ripped on some streams and people see it. But as it stands now, this is a huge gamble to speculate on at $80/box. JMO.
LondonGames
08-15-2025, 06:05 PM
I mean I’m not going to die on the hill that I think this product doesn’t have a ton of room to grow. But there’s available boxes for under $110 shipped. That’s barely above cost on this if you purchased it as MSRP (factoring fees and shipping). And even then, there’s not a ton of “sold” product which is usually indicative of demand. GPK 40th didn’t ‘creep up’ per se. It was selling for a decent amount over MSRP right away and volume was moving.
I’m a tad blown away by the math regarding auto pulls though. If they’re actually 1 auto per 2 cases on average, this has potential once some get ripped on some streams and people see it. But as it stands now, this is a huge gamble to speculate on at $80/box. JMO.
This is why I wrote earlier to take the gamble now. You can basically get boxes at cost. Looking at sales on eBay isn't accurate for what you can buy boxes for. Almost every single seller, you can find somewhere else and get the boxes for whatever eBay prices are minus fees. That is why most websites that have them for sale are under eBay too, which is a more accurate reflection of what boxes cost. They are selling damn near cost and if and when the yield turns out to be an Autograph in every 2 cases, it'll be minimum $150 a box. There's just about 0 chance that people won't spend a 1 in 40 chance at $150 each to get an Autographed card when all of the rest of the hits and base cards are strong enough. Right now it's effectively $80-90 a box. It's only that way because there are no odds and being left in the dark, no one is going to take a chance. Most of the hobby including many in this very thread are scalpers. Scalpers need guarantees. Let me say though, my advice only applies to people who think that the Autographs will be at that yield. If they are actually somewhat impossible (1 in 10 cases), the needle might not move at all. But products are always driven by the chase no matter what, and the chase here is as strong as it gets. Just look at the Topps Now cards that have insane chases and how much product it moves.
P.S. I don't think the "math" provided earlier in the thread regarding 1 card shop getting 1 case versus 2 holds any water. That is leap one, then leap number 2 that theres roughly 600 total signatures? Incoherent nonsense. You'd be left with 1310 cases produced. Completely illogical.
LondonGames
08-15-2025, 06:23 PM
None of this really matters until the odds are out. The box prices will adjust accordingly once the market knows how hard it will be or wont be to pull an auto.
precisely. it's all basically still in the pre-sale completely left in the dark mode. nothing has or should've changed yet.
hotcalsun
08-15-2025, 07:11 PM
P.S. I don't think the "math" provided earlier in the thread regarding 1 card shop getting 1 case versus 2 holds any water. That is leap one, then leap number 2 that theres roughly 600 total signatures? Incoherent nonsense. You'd be left with 1310 cases produced. Completely illogical.
The math of 1300 cases, would be based on the 40th Anniversary having 2600 cases and the Green Day having 20 boxes per case whereas 40th Anniversary only had 10 boxes per case. In a way, it might make sense for a shop to only get one case vs. two since there is twice the number of boxes in each case. They would still get the same amount of product.
The other key difference is that Green Day has 10 packs per box rather than 8 that 40th Anniversary had.
What does this all mean? Absolutely nothing, it is pure speculation until the odds hit. All I know is i am opening all 50 boxes coming my way -- clearly I like to light money on fire.
Bruin7
08-16-2025, 08:22 AM
Why do people think $80 is the “cost”? Big guys like BO & DA have a different cost than the assumed $80 due to the shear volume. I guarantee you they don’t pay that. I’ve seen Fish on his way to Topps to pay for product in cash before.
hotcalsun
08-16-2025, 09:01 AM
Why do people think $80 is the “cost”? Big guys like BO & DA have a different cost than the assumed $80 due to the shear volume. I guarantee you they don’t pay that. I’ve seen Fish on his way to Topps to pay for product in cash before.
Nobody thinks $80 is the cost to distribution, some hooby shops, or the cost of the manufacturers. Indeed, it is the cost, more specifically the cost basis for most eBay resellers and others who bought directly from Topps on the presale.
StlBen
08-16-2025, 11:16 AM
“Boxes are selling for $129”
Here’s the prices they’re actually selling for.
“sold 34 boxes at $110 each, making him waht $3k off this product already”
:cry: :cry:
You can just as easily screen shot boxes that have sold for $129, this seller has sold 2 at that price: https://www.ebay.com/itm/205663676555?
But overall I don't really care where the prices are I can't wait to open my boxes. Everyone in here just does a great job of being a constant Debby Downer...
LondonGames
08-16-2025, 04:42 PM
Why do people think $80 is the “cost”? Big guys like BO & DA have a different cost than the assumed $80 due to the shear volume. I guarantee you they don’t pay that. I’ve seen Fish on his way to Topps to pay for product in cash before.
Where are you seeing this? Haven't seen any1 say that. Perhaps you can show someone saying that the direct cost was $80.
To my knowledge I'm the only person who referred to an $80 cost, and that was what it cost these flippers to flip em.
$80-90 is effectively what it will cost someone to buy them right now if they go to these flippers and get them to sell them for minus the eBay fees. Again, looking at the other sites that have them versus eBay, is more realistic for what the product currently costs. Think you just read the worst cost and didn't realize its also just a word. The discussion was what it would cost you right now if you wanted to buy them... versus what they will cost when odds drop and boxes are opened.
hotcalsun
08-16-2025, 05:02 PM
Where are you seeing this? Haven't seen any1 say that. Perhaps you can show someone saying that the direct cost was $80.
To my knowledge I'm the only person who referred to an $80 cost, and that was what it cost these flippers to flip em.
$80-90 is effectively what it will cost someone to buy them right now if they go to these flippers and get them to sell them for minus the eBay fees. Again, looking at the other sites that have them versus eBay, is more realistic for what the product currently costs. Think you just read the worst cost and didn't realize its also just a word. The discussion was what it would cost you right now if you wanted to buy them... versus what they will cost when odds drop and boxes are opened.
Forgive him, he went to a state school.
dunquixote1
08-17-2025, 09:30 AM
Forgive him, he went to a state school.
He’s maybe the most condescending person I’ve ever come across on here. It’s so bizarre people fill voids in their life through a trading card message board.
tevans333
08-17-2025, 02:46 PM
Looks like there will be a maximum of 1861 cases. That's based on the guarantee of 2 numbered parallels per box. (I'm not going to include numbered relics or autos in this since those numbers will be small enough that they wont move the needle much).
We know that there are a total of 74,448 numbered parallels.
Set size
Base 100
Album art 14
B-Sides 16
Battle of the Bands 6
Dookie 30 Years 8
Sweet Children 8
Tribute to East Bay 8
Each of these have 464 numbered parallels
Black /199
Blue /99 Green Foil /75
Gold Crumpled Foil /50
Orange Foil /35
Black Shimmer /10
Red Foil /5
Foil Fractor /1
Set Size
American Idiot 6
Standing Room Only 7
Each of these have 16 numbered parallels
Black Shimmer Foil /10
Red Foil /5
Foil Fractor /1
74,448 numberer parallels at 2 per box makes 1,861 cases
74,448 / 2 = 37,224 boxes
37,224 / 20 = 1,861 cases
Guess what you will for total number of autos and dive 1,861 by that number to get how many cases per auto. I guessed 600 autos (which based on the confirmed parallels and filling out even a small amount for the unknowns, it's easy to reach 600), so that yields 1 per 3 cases.
I got to that by the auto checklist
Autos Single 3
Auto Triplet 1 (numbered /25 and /1)
Auto American Idiot Triplet 1 (/5 and /1)
Auto Relics 6
Auto Triplet Relic 2
LondonGames
08-17-2025, 07:06 PM
Looks like there will be a maximum of 1861 cases. That's based on the guarantee of 2 numbered parallels per box. (I'm not going to include numbered relics or autos in this since those numbers will be small enough that they wont move the needle much).
We know that there are a total of 74,448 numbered parallels.
Set size
Base 100
Album art 14
B-Sides 16
Battle of the Bands 6
Dookie 30 Years 8
Sweet Children 8
Tribute to East Bay 8
Each of these have 464 numbered parallels
Black /199
Blue /99 Green Foil /75
Gold Crumpled Foil /50
Orange Foil /35
Black Shimmer /10
Red Foil /5
Foil Fractor /1
Set Size
American Idiot 6
Standing Room Only 7
Each of these have 16 numbered parallels
Black Shimmer Foil /10
Red Foil /5
Foil Fractor /1
74,448 numberer parallels at 2 per box makes 1,861 cases
74,448 / 2 = 37,224 boxes
37,224 / 20 = 1,861 cases
Guess what you will for total number of autos and dive 1,861 by that number to get how many cases per auto. I guessed 600 autos (which based on the confirmed parallels and filling out even a small amount for the unknowns, it's easy to reach 600), so that yields 1 per 3 cases.
I got to that by the auto checklist
Autos Single 3
Auto Triplet 1 (numbered /25 and /1)
Auto American Idiot Triplet 1 (/5 and /1)
Auto Relics 6
Auto Triplet Relic 2
Great work! Thank you! Might be wishful thinking but with the different signature Variations and with the triple being as high as it is, I'm guessing roughly 500 per (1500 total). Would be more than happy with 600 total.
tevans333
08-17-2025, 08:05 PM
Great work! Thank you! Might be wishful thinking but with the different signature Variations and with the triple being as high as it is, I'm guessing roughly 500 per (1500 total). Would be more than happy with 600 total.
1500 would put it at a little over one per case, I’d take that all day long. I always try to guesstimate overly conservative. That way if I’m happy at what I consider a conservative value, I won’t be disappointed most of the time. So 300 each with a small percentage held back would still yield almost 1 per 2 cases, which I’d be good with.
eastbayak
08-19-2025, 01:47 PM
8 days away from release date!
hotcalsun
08-19-2025, 02:46 PM
8 days away from release date!
I'm excited, it is going to be a wild run into Labor Day weekend!
nephinfan
08-20-2025, 06:06 PM
8 days away from release date!
I'm excited, it is going to be a wild run into Labor Day weekend!
This release was the first thing I thought of when I looked at the calendar today! One week away!!
peterose4hof
08-21-2025, 09:13 AM
I ordered 4 boxes and a case. Can't wait to open the 4 boxes!
Then I will decide what to do with the case.
eastbayak
08-21-2025, 12:14 PM
I'm excited, it is going to be a wild run into Labor Day weekend!
This release was the first thing I thought of when I looked at the calendar today! One week away!!
I ordered 4 boxes and a case. Can't wait to open the 4 boxes!
Then I will decide what to do with the case.
Looking forward to your respective break results (I'll be sure to share mine)!
Best of luck with the rips too :)
LondonGames
08-23-2025, 10:58 PM
So Topps is likely to ship this out on Monday the 25th for pre-orders to receive on release day?
eastbayak
08-23-2025, 11:18 PM
So Topps is likely to ship this out on Monday the 25th for pre-orders to receive on release day?
My boxes/case have already been shipped out (arrives on Monday per tracking).
kakarot12
08-23-2025, 11:28 PM
My boxes/case have already been shipped out (arrives on Monday per tracking).
Mine too.
LondonGames
08-23-2025, 11:58 PM
My boxes/case have already been shipped out (arrives on Monday per tracking).
Wow, nice. I purchased immediately upon release and mine didn't ship. Guess they just roll the dice.
nephinfan
08-24-2025, 12:00 AM
All of mine still show processing, but congrats to you guys!
hotcalsun
08-24-2025, 03:45 PM
Count me in the group with orders still processing. Hoping for shipping notification tomorrow.
jdandns
08-25-2025, 09:02 AM
Here's a Facebook Reel with a look at the Billy Joe auto relic featuring his guitar strings.
https://www.facebook.com/reel/1135445115147794
dd316
08-25-2025, 09:28 AM
Here's a Facebook Reel with a look at the Billy Joe auto relic featuring his guitar strings.
https://www.facebook.com/reel/1135445115147794
It's funny, thinking about this set... before Topps released the relic above, I was wondering why nobody had ever done guitar string relics? Seems like a cheap/easy relic to both procure and make. The way Topps is doing these looks amazing.
Drum heads and drumsticks would also be cool.
hotcalsun
08-25-2025, 09:31 AM
Here's a Facebook Reel with a look at the Billy Joe auto relic featuring his guitar strings.
https://www.facebook.com/reel/1135445115147794
Looks amazing. Does the reel suggest these are redemptions vs. in pack?
Saw a parallel and standing room only insert hit eBay this morning as well.
LondonGames
08-25-2025, 11:03 AM
These look absolutely unreal.
Bruin7
08-25-2025, 11:23 AM
Wow guitar string cards. That has to be a first.
Bob Ross
08-25-2025, 11:25 AM
Gotta say, these look good.
LondonGames
08-25-2025, 11:26 AM
Please someone post the odds when you get a pack in hand. Thank you
eastbayak
08-25-2025, 12:42 PM
Please someone post the odds when you get a pack in hand. Thank you
Assuming my loose boxes are delivered today (and the odds are actually on the pack [strange that they're not on the website yet]), I'll share in thread unless someone else gets to it before me.
kakarot12
08-25-2025, 12:55 PM
Hey everyone. I just opened a box of this Garbage Pail Kids Battle of the Bands Green Day. Here’s a link to the unboxing video.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=csGAF9hzfFI
eastbayak
08-25-2025, 01:00 PM
Hey everyone. I just opened a box of this Garbage Pail Kids Battle of the Bands Green Day. Here’s a link to the unboxing video.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=csGAF9hzfFI
Thanks for sharing! Nice hit on the orange STU PID (I think that's a cool one haha).
Interesting to see you hit 4 numbered cards when it was advertised as 2 per box. I'm curious to know what the actual hit rate (averaged) is for them.
LondonGames
08-25-2025, 01:08 PM
Thanks for sharing! Nice hit on the orange STU PID (I think that's a cool one haha).
Interesting to see you hit 4 numbered cards when it was advertised as 2 per box. I'm curious to know what the actual hit rate (averaged) is for them.
Thats amazing news too. Wow.
LondonGames
08-25-2025, 01:09 PM
Hey everyone. I just opened a box of this Garbage Pail Kids Battle of the Bands Green Day. Here’s a link to the unboxing video.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=csGAF9hzfFI
Thanks for sharing!
dunquixote1
08-25-2025, 01:10 PM
Nice box! If these actually average closer to 4 numbered cards per box, there’s way fewer out there than we calculated.
LondonGames
08-25-2025, 01:15 PM
seeing 2 /199s in a box is great news. seeing 3 would be unreal news. the more /199s come out the more drastic the production #s go down.
hotcalsun
08-25-2025, 01:18 PM
Received shipping notification - Fedex instructions are do not deliver before Wednesday.
LondonGames
08-25-2025, 01:20 PM
Received shipping notification - Fedex instructions are do not deliver before Wednesday.
lol thats hilarious. I just got mine also. my special instructions just say deliver on a weekday
hotcalsun
08-25-2025, 01:26 PM
lol thats hilarious. I just got mine also. my special instructions just say deliver on a weekday
Ah, I took a little liberty - my do say the same as yours. :-)
Box opening video was great, effectively same format as 40th with 1 green per box, etc. Will be lovely if there are 4 parallels per box!
Bruin7
08-25-2025, 01:28 PM
seeing 2 /199s in a box is great news. seeing 3 would be unreal news. the more /199s come out the more drastic the production #s go down.
Not necessarily true. I remember one of my Ohtani 50/50 boxes yielded 4 numbered cards which included 2 gold refractors /50 along with 2 base refractors one of which was HR #50. Suffice to say we went to Sizzlers that night.
LondonGames
08-25-2025, 01:32 PM
Not necessarily true. I remember one of my Ohtani 50/50 boxes yielded 4 numbered cards which included 2 gold refractors /50 along with 2 base refractors one of which was HR #50. Suffice to say we went to Sizzlers that night.
the number of boxes that can be produced are directly calculated by the total cards made.
:doh:
The Accountant
08-25-2025, 01:36 PM
they inserted the crumpled cards too, those have been hot sellers for me on 40th
Bruin7
08-25-2025, 01:38 PM
the number of boxes that can be produced are directly calculated by the total cards made.
:doh:
There are always boxes in every release that produces more hits than advertised. It happens I assure you. You always try to act savvier than you are.
tevans333
08-25-2025, 01:42 PM
they inserted the crumpled cards too, those have been hot sellers for me on 40th
They aren't numbered, but I believe they are limited to only 17 a piece. If that holds true for this release, that would be great, they are hot sellers and don't count towards the 2 guaranteed numbered hits.
LondonGames
08-25-2025, 01:43 PM
There are always boxes in every release that produces more hits than advertised. It happens I assure you. You always try to act savvier than you are.
I can assure you this had nothing to do with being 'savvy'.
It was a very simple statement with very simple logic.
No where did I imply that boxes can't yield an outlier.
the more /199s come out the more drastic the production #s go down.
Not sure why you had to disagree with something so obvious and basic.
LondonGames
08-25-2025, 01:46 PM
Ah, I took a little liberty - my do say the same as yours. :-)
Box opening video was great, effectively same format as 40th with 1 green per box, etc. Will be lovely if there are 4 parallels per box!
lol I almost read mine as Wedsnesday since you said weekday. It's funny how we often see things we are expecting to see.
PumpnDumpling
08-25-2025, 01:47 PM
they inserted the crumpled cards too, those have been hot sellers for me on 40th
TY for the heads-up on these, cool looking parallel
hotcalsun
08-25-2025, 01:47 PM
They aren't numbered, but I believe they are limited to only 17 a piece. If that holds true for this release, that would be great, they are hot sellers and don't count towards the 2 guaranteed numbered hits.
Exciting.
Where does the 2 guaranteed numbered hits come from?
I have not seen that published yet, is that what the 40th Anniversary had or is there another source?
eastbayak
08-25-2025, 01:48 PM
lol I almost read mine as Wedsnesday since you said weekday. It's funny how we often see things we are expecting to see.
We see what we want to see haha.
I see an auto in 1 of my loose boxes :P
eastbayak
08-25-2025, 01:48 PM
they inserted the crumpled cards too, those have been hot sellers for me on 40th
On my work desktop so a lot of sites are blocked. What does a crumpled card look like? Cracked ice like?
The Accountant
08-25-2025, 01:49 PM
On my work desktop so a lot of sites are blocked. What does a crumpled card look like? Cracked ice like?
Sort but nicer. Def a really cool parallel
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
tevans333
08-25-2025, 01:49 PM
Exciting.
Where does the 2 guaranteed numbered hits come from?
I have not seen that published yet, is that what the 40th Anniversary had or is there another source?
It was listed on the product page on Topps during the presale.
eastbayak
08-25-2025, 01:50 PM
Exciting.
Where does the 2 guaranteed numbered hits come from?
I have not seen that published yet, is that what the 40th Anniversary had or is there another source?
I saw it posted on BO's sale page:
https://www.blowoutcards.com/2024-topps-garbage-pail-kids-battle-of-the-bands-green-day-hobby-box.html
eastbayak
08-25-2025, 01:51 PM
Sort but nicer. Def a really cool parallel
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sweet. I'm a fan of the cracked ice look so something that's similar yet better is awesome to hear.
Thanks Accountant!
tevans333
08-25-2025, 01:52 PM
There are always boxes in every release that produces more hits than advertised. It happens I assure you. You always try to act savvier than you are.
When I was cracking my View Askew boxes, which were guaranteed 2 numbered per box, I was getting 3 about every 3rd box.
Good to see the first box yielded 4 so far.
hotcalsun
08-25-2025, 01:59 PM
It was listed on the product page on Topps during the presale.
I saw it posted on BO's sale page:
https://www.blowoutcards.com/2024-topps-garbage-pail-kids-battle-of-the-bands-green-day-hobby-box.html
Thank you, both I missed it in both places!
Noticed from the box break video that the odds did not seem to appear to be on the box or wrappers, so we may have to wait for Topps to post.
kakarot12
08-25-2025, 02:02 PM
I’m so glad you’ll enjoyed that video. I do have one more box. I will open it later this evening and post another video so subscribe if you’d like.
LondonGames
08-25-2025, 02:04 PM
I’m so glad you’ll enjoyed that video. I do have one more box. I will open it later this evening and post another video so subscribe if you’d like.
subscribed to you for this btw. can you post the odds on the back of the packs?
Bruin7
08-25-2025, 02:08 PM
Oooo nice. My orders just shipped from DA. Will report once they arrive.
tevans333
08-25-2025, 02:12 PM
I’m so glad you’ll enjoyed that video. I do have one more box. I will open it later this evening and post another video so subscribe if you’d like.
Can't wait to see it, and really curious how many numbered parallels you'll get.
LondonGames
08-25-2025, 05:03 PM
Can't wait to see it, and really curious how many numbered parallels you'll get.
+1. also, showing the odds on your YT videos will make more people subscribe. your breaks are good, but any little thing you can do to add value content wise will set you apart. on release day going over the odds upfront (something I am definitely more interested in than anything), will get those people coming back for more.
finfangfan
08-25-2025, 05:08 PM
+1. also, showing the odds on your YT videos will make more people subscribe. your breaks are good, but any little thing you can do to add value content wise will set you apart. on release day going over the odds upfront (something I am definitely more interested in than anything), will get those people coming back for more.
It also helps if you are a hot chick.
kakarot12
08-25-2025, 05:08 PM
+1. also, showing the odds on your YT videos will make more people subscribe. your breaks are good, but any little thing you can do to add value content wise will set you apart. on release day going over the odds upfront (something I am definitely more interested in than anything), will get those people coming back for more.
Unfortunately they aren’t on the box nor the packs themselves. It just gives a generic “check the website for approximate odds per pack”
LondonGames
08-25-2025, 06:30 PM
Unfortunately they aren’t on the box nor the packs themselves. It just gives a generic “check the website for approximate odds per pack”
Thats wild.
eastbayak
08-25-2025, 10:25 PM
Just transferred my son to my wife for a (hopefully) good night's rest!
My daughter is currently watching a little Daniel Tiger before sleep so I figured I'd get some pics for everyone and maybe rip a few packs.
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54744388547_3c69c7e7fc_b.jpg
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54745233976_67d9e147e3_b.jpg
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54745454824_c6b16a4fa8_b.jpg
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54745452358_68219d7c8e_b.jpg
jdandns
08-25-2025, 10:44 PM
Right on, good luck!
Bruin7
08-25-2025, 11:17 PM
Good luck my man!
eastbayak
08-25-2025, 11:26 PM
Right on, good luck!
Good luck my man!
Appreciate it guys!!
Right after I ripped the box, it was time to put my daughter to sleep (but before that were a couple trips to the restroom and kitchen haha).
Anyway, here's the outcome of the 1st box.
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54744458102_e5db2b6d70_b.jpg
3 numbered + 1 crumple (I think). Also shown were 2 inserts (hit some others) that were of interest to me (Album Art + Tribute to East Bay). I'm really digging the "Telegraph Street" one, and already 25% done with that insert set :)
Likely to rip a couple more boxes tonight. Will share outcome pics later tonight or tomorrow.
Also, I've never ripped any GPK but I really love the art. And for those concerned about condition, base/insert (basically any card with white border) seem OK but numbered parallels seem to be a little condition-sensitive. I see some very minor (but enough to not gem) whiting on some corner/edges.
eastbayak
08-25-2025, 11:52 PM
A couple more things to note after ripping 2 more boxes (boxes #2 & 3):
1. Sealed cases aren't double-boxed. Lame but as expected. Interestingly, there's 2 FGC numbers (ending 6004 and 6005) on the case, unsure what that's about but mine was the 6004 one. I plan to keep it sealed nonetheless.
2. Not all boxes have at least 2 numbered parallels (see below). Sucks to hit 1 of those.
3. Numbered parallels from these 2 boxes (below) looked much better than box #1, at least from a cursory glance.
Box 2:
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54745329271_f0b7f8ee46_b.jpg
Box 3:
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54745550799_c649876835_b.jpg
LondonGames
08-26-2025, 12:07 AM
Those seem like really great pulls from 3 boxes! I like the value even when you don't hit a relic or Auto. Seeing 2 /25s hit in the 4 boxes opened so far, I like the chances of hitting a 1/1 from this stuff.
Bummer on a box with 1, but you're still ahead of the game with 7 in 3 boxes I suppose.
That crumpled has to be huuuuuge
eastbayak
08-26-2025, 12:18 AM
Here's the results of my remaining loose boxes (boxes #4-7).
I hit another 1 serial-numbered box...bummer! On the bright side, I hit 2 gold crumpled foils #/50. I really like the crumpled parallels.
Lastly, I noticed some collation issue (you hit 2 "Tribute to East Bay" cards per box and the same 2 run together, just check out my box breaks to see what I'm talking about if it's unclear). Wouldn't be surprised if there's larger collation issues (e.g., certain base/other inserts running together).
Didn't hit an auto but hit some cool cards. Excited to have a complete set of the Tribute to East Bay set and HOPEFULLY have a full base set too. Will organize into a binder over the next few days so we'll see.
Overall, I enjoyed my rip!
Box 4:
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54745703685_62f40e8c52_b.jpg
Box 5:
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54745571959_1d2463fb34_b.jpg
Box 6:
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54744505087_27c4618a12_b.jpg
Box 7:
https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54744505082_6bd12333a6_b.jpg
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