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mortuus
09-11-2012, 03:14 AM
found this on other site thought i share this.. seems loaded and not cut back like some rumors said before.. roughly 14,352 tins and 2392 cases wow.


Upon the checklist being released, I went hard at work crunching some numbers for The Cup... Some more shocking than others. I'll add more tomorrow with teams and such, but I must say... There are a ton of cards. We can safely put to rest that this year, baring more than 5 cards a tin, this is not as shortprinted as previous years, but instead has the most cards with the additions of the SPA Extended Series adding 4 more plates per rookie, the new rookie tags and rookie black autos /5, and update cards. Also, without a print run on the Rookie Evolutions (probably video cards), I went ahead and Guess-timated the print run at 25 per card because it seems the closest. Anyways, without further ado, here are the first numbers I crunched out:

Total Cards Assuming Rookie Evolutions /25: 86,111
Total 1/1s NOT including plates: 541
Total 1/1s Including Plates: 3,973
Total Shields: 176
Total Property Ofs: 53

Assuming there are 6 cards per tin in every tin (No decoys making it 5 cards), the lowest amount of tins produced is: 14,352
Divide this by 6 and the amount of cases you have is 2,392. That's the lowest possible amount. If there are decoys it will be much higher.

Odds of getting a 1/1 (No Plates):
This is assuming you get 2 base per tin and 1 rookie patch auto, leaving the other 3 hits undetermined: 1.44%, in other words 14 tins in 1000 will carry a true 1/1 (Shield, Property of, Base Tag /1, Base /1, Rookies /1, randoms /1, Cuts /1)

Odds of getting a 1/1 (With Plates): 10.6%.
That's right, including plates, less than every 10 tins will contain a 1/1.

flopfish
09-11-2012, 03:56 PM
Glad this got shared here :) Here's the rest of it, also I made minor miscalculation:

Total Cards Assuming Rookie Evolutions /25: 85,976
Total 1/1s NOT including plates: 541
Total 1/1s Including Plates: 3,973
Total Shields: 176
Total Property Ofs: 53

Assuming there are 6 cards per tin in every tin (No decoys making it 5 cards), the lowest amount of tins produced is: 14,330
Divide this by 6 and the amount of cases you have is 2,389. That's the lowest possible amount. If there are decoys it will be much higher.

Odds of getting a 1/1 (No Plates):
This is assuming you get 2 base per tin and 1 rookie patch auto, leaving the other 3 hits undetermined: 1.44%, in other words 14 tins in 1000 will carry a true 1/1 (Shield, Property of, Base Tag /1, Base /1, Rookies /1, randoms /1, Cuts /1)

Odds of getting a 1/1 (With Plates): 10.6%.
That's right, including plates, less than every 10 tins will contain a 1/1.

For everyone going into The Cup team breaks, this post is for you. This is probably the most indepth resource you will ever find, and I am very, very proud to have done it :) If you post this on another site, it'd mean a lot if you could give some credit to me for it, as I am on hour 7 of piecing it together!

What this is: It's a list of all of the times a team will have a player appear on a card for them (Assuming Canada cards go to their current team or to the team they played the most on.) It's not the amount of cards like they have 5 base, 3 RPAs, etc, it's the TOTAL PRINT RUN on all of the cards their team appears on. No odds are given (i.e. if they have a triple card with two players from their team on it, it's only one time.)




Anaheim Ducks
2820
Boston Bruins
3850
Buffalo Sabres
3911
Calgary Flames
2611
Carolina Hurricanes
1308
Chicago Blackhawks
4787
Colorado Avalanche
4138
Columbus Blue Jackets
3435
Dallas Stars
1820
Detroit Red Wings
3578
Edmonton OIlers
5891
Florida Panthers
491
Los Angeles Kings
2448
Minnesota Wild
623
Montreal Canadiens
4741
Nashville Predators
2392
New Jersey Devils
3425
New York Islanders
2424
New York Rangers
3383
Ottawa Senators
2665
Philadelphia Flyers
4887
Phoenix Coyotes
1040
Pittsburgh Penguins
6150
St. Louis Blues
1082
San Jose Sharks
1953
Tampa Bay Lightning
1497
Toronto Maple Leafs
2622
Vancouver Canucks
3519
Washington Capitals
2385
Winnipeg Jets
1812


There are the cards per team, total print run. Enjoy :)

SethMurphy
09-11-2012, 03:59 PM
Yay for the Panthers..... lol

flopfish
09-11-2012, 05:16 PM
Yay for the Panthers..... lol

I PC oel... he has all of 2 cards... a Property Of and a Dual Shield :eek: but the Panthers get no love :(

ryanvas
09-11-2012, 11:39 PM
Interesting numbers and breakdown. Thanks for the breakodwn mortuus and flopfish.