mortuus
09-11-2012, 03:14 AM
found this on other site thought i share this.. seems loaded and not cut back like some rumors said before.. roughly 14,352 tins and 2392 cases wow.
Upon the checklist being released, I went hard at work crunching some numbers for The Cup... Some more shocking than others. I'll add more tomorrow with teams and such, but I must say... There are a ton of cards. We can safely put to rest that this year, baring more than 5 cards a tin, this is not as shortprinted as previous years, but instead has the most cards with the additions of the SPA Extended Series adding 4 more plates per rookie, the new rookie tags and rookie black autos /5, and update cards. Also, without a print run on the Rookie Evolutions (probably video cards), I went ahead and Guess-timated the print run at 25 per card because it seems the closest. Anyways, without further ado, here are the first numbers I crunched out:
Total Cards Assuming Rookie Evolutions /25: 86,111
Total 1/1s NOT including plates: 541
Total 1/1s Including Plates: 3,973
Total Shields: 176
Total Property Ofs: 53
Assuming there are 6 cards per tin in every tin (No decoys making it 5 cards), the lowest amount of tins produced is: 14,352
Divide this by 6 and the amount of cases you have is 2,392. That's the lowest possible amount. If there are decoys it will be much higher.
Odds of getting a 1/1 (No Plates):
This is assuming you get 2 base per tin and 1 rookie patch auto, leaving the other 3 hits undetermined: 1.44%, in other words 14 tins in 1000 will carry a true 1/1 (Shield, Property of, Base Tag /1, Base /1, Rookies /1, randoms /1, Cuts /1)
Odds of getting a 1/1 (With Plates): 10.6%.
That's right, including plates, less than every 10 tins will contain a 1/1.
Upon the checklist being released, I went hard at work crunching some numbers for The Cup... Some more shocking than others. I'll add more tomorrow with teams and such, but I must say... There are a ton of cards. We can safely put to rest that this year, baring more than 5 cards a tin, this is not as shortprinted as previous years, but instead has the most cards with the additions of the SPA Extended Series adding 4 more plates per rookie, the new rookie tags and rookie black autos /5, and update cards. Also, without a print run on the Rookie Evolutions (probably video cards), I went ahead and Guess-timated the print run at 25 per card because it seems the closest. Anyways, without further ado, here are the first numbers I crunched out:
Total Cards Assuming Rookie Evolutions /25: 86,111
Total 1/1s NOT including plates: 541
Total 1/1s Including Plates: 3,973
Total Shields: 176
Total Property Ofs: 53
Assuming there are 6 cards per tin in every tin (No decoys making it 5 cards), the lowest amount of tins produced is: 14,352
Divide this by 6 and the amount of cases you have is 2,392. That's the lowest possible amount. If there are decoys it will be much higher.
Odds of getting a 1/1 (No Plates):
This is assuming you get 2 base per tin and 1 rookie patch auto, leaving the other 3 hits undetermined: 1.44%, in other words 14 tins in 1000 will carry a true 1/1 (Shield, Property of, Base Tag /1, Base /1, Rookies /1, randoms /1, Cuts /1)
Odds of getting a 1/1 (With Plates): 10.6%.
That's right, including plates, less than every 10 tins will contain a 1/1.