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09-11-2012, 03:14 AM
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#1 |
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Member
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 740
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The Cup 11/12 odds and numbers
found this on other site thought i share this.. seems loaded and not cut back like some rumors said before.. roughly 14,352 tins and 2392 cases wow.
Upon the checklist being released, I went hard at work crunching some numbers for The Cup... Some more shocking than others. I'll add more tomorrow with teams and such, but I must say... There are a ton of cards. We can safely put to rest that this year, baring more than 5 cards a tin, this is not as shortprinted as previous years, but instead has the most cards with the additions of the SPA Extended Series adding 4 more plates per rookie, the new rookie tags and rookie black autos /5, and update cards. Also, without a print run on the Rookie Evolutions (probably video cards), I went ahead and Guess-timated the print run at 25 per card because it seems the closest. Anyways, without further ado, here are the first numbers I crunched out: Total Cards Assuming Rookie Evolutions /25: 86,111 Total 1/1s NOT including plates: 541 Total 1/1s Including Plates: 3,973 Total Shields: 176 Total Property Ofs: 53 Assuming there are 6 cards per tin in every tin (No decoys making it 5 cards), the lowest amount of tins produced is: 14,352 Divide this by 6 and the amount of cases you have is 2,392. That's the lowest possible amount. If there are decoys it will be much higher. Odds of getting a 1/1 (No Plates): This is assuming you get 2 base per tin and 1 rookie patch auto, leaving the other 3 hits undetermined: 1.44%, in other words 14 tins in 1000 will carry a true 1/1 (Shield, Property of, Base Tag /1, Base /1, Rookies /1, randoms /1, Cuts /1) Odds of getting a 1/1 (With Plates): 10.6%. That's right, including plates, less than every 10 tins will contain a 1/1. |
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09-11-2012, 03:56 PM
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#2 |
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Member
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 2
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Glad this got shared here
 Here's the rest of it, also I made minor miscalculation:Total Cards Assuming Rookie Evolutions /25: 85,976 Total 1/1s NOT including plates: 541 Total 1/1s Including Plates: 3,973 Total Shields: 176 Total Property Ofs: 53 Assuming there are 6 cards per tin in every tin (No decoys making it 5 cards), the lowest amount of tins produced is: 14,330 Divide this by 6 and the amount of cases you have is 2,389. That's the lowest possible amount. If there are decoys it will be much higher. Odds of getting a 1/1 (No Plates): This is assuming you get 2 base per tin and 1 rookie patch auto, leaving the other 3 hits undetermined: 1.44%, in other words 14 tins in 1000 will carry a true 1/1 (Shield, Property of, Base Tag /1, Base /1, Rookies /1, randoms /1, Cuts /1) Odds of getting a 1/1 (With Plates): 10.6%. That's right, including plates, less than every 10 tins will contain a 1/1. For everyone going into The Cup team breaks, this post is for you. This is probably the most indepth resource you will ever find, and I am very, very proud to have done it If you post this on another site, it'd mean a lot if you could give some credit to me for it, as I am on hour 7 of piecing it together! What this is: It's a list of all of the times a team will have a player appear on a card for them (Assuming Canada cards go to their current team or to the team they played the most on.) It's not the amount of cards like they have 5 base, 3 RPAs, etc, it's the TOTAL PRINT RUN on all of the cards their team appears on. No odds are given (i.e. if they have a triple card with two players from their team on it, it's only one time.) Anaheim Ducks 2820 Boston Bruins 3850 Buffalo Sabres 3911 Calgary Flames 2611 Carolina Hurricanes 1308 Chicago Blackhawks 4787 Colorado Avalanche 4138 Columbus Blue Jackets 3435 Dallas Stars 1820 Detroit Red Wings 3578 Edmonton OIlers 5891 Florida Panthers 491 Los Angeles Kings 2448 Minnesota Wild 623 Montreal Canadiens 4741 Nashville Predators 2392 New Jersey Devils 3425 New York Islanders 2424 New York Rangers 3383 Ottawa Senators 2665 Philadelphia Flyers 4887 Phoenix Coyotes 1040 Pittsburgh Penguins 6150 St. Louis Blues 1082 San Jose Sharks 1953 Tampa Bay Lightning 1497 Toronto Maple Leafs 2622 Vancouver Canucks 3519 Washington Capitals 2385 Winnipeg Jets 1812 There are the cards per team, total print run. Enjoy
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09-11-2012, 03:59 PM
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#3 |
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Yay for the Panthers..... lol
__________________
Twitter - @seth_murphy8 PCs - Ryan Callahan, Reggie Lewis, Funko Pops (a little), a few other things that catch my eye |
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09-11-2012, 05:16 PM
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#4 | |
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Member
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 2
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Quote:
 but the Panthers get no love 
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