**Official Luka Doncic Thread**

[shakobe]

Luka silver prizms PSA 10 back and holding at 6.8k levels

[brock]

Originally Posted by dkcardman

Correct. The blue to 99 psa 10 is 4 to 5x what that went for. I get the blue getting a premium but dang. Technically, pink is a color match for Luka if you have ever seen his face during a game.

Lol


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[Kodiak10]

As the popular Luka RC's bottom out and slowly go back up, the on card RC's go up even further from there highs. Investors are starting to realize the rarity of the on card RC auto's. Collectors already knew this would happen.

[Justin7]

bottom might be in, probably a good time to buy here.

[Jdan67]

Originally Posted by Justin7

bottom might be in, probably a good time to buy here.

JUST STOP

[pharmboymatt]

Originally Posted by shakobe

Luka silver prizms PSA 10 back and holding at 6.8k levels

How do you figure 'holding at 6.8k levels'? Last 5 sales:

$6,803
$6,088
$6,300
$6,400
$6,050

Looks more like an outlier than 'holding'.

[seabass97166]

the prices are all over and probably manipulated

[Justin7]

Originally Posted by Jdan67

JUST STOP

No. I notoriously buy when everyone else is selling. Haven't bought a Luka in 5 months. It's finally time.

[Jdan67]

Originally Posted by Justin7

No. I notoriously buy when everyone else is selling. Haven't bought a Luka in 5 months. It's finally time.

Oh I see, youre the oracle of Luka Doncic Card Market they all speak of. Didn't realize that was you, you should've said that before. Silly me.

[nxkard]

Originally Posted by Kodiak10

As the popular Luka RC's bottom out and slowly go back up, the on card RC's go up even further from there highs. Investors are starting to realize the rarity of the on card RC auto's. Collectors already knew this would happen.

I agree 100%

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[Jdan67]

One big thing going for Luka is that I bet a ton of weak hands who were in on Giannis start putting new money or more money in to Luka.


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[Bruin7]

Originally Posted by Kodiak10

As the popular Luka RC's bottom out and slowly go back up, the on card RC's go up even further from there highs. Investors are starting to realize the rarity of the on card RC auto's. Collectors already knew this would happen.

Not trying to beat the horse dead into the ground but I agree you’re starting to see cards with authentic signatures take off. The truly apparent LULU autos especially those on stickers are not as desirable. I personally purchased quite a few authentic signatures before the jump. My goal was 10 but only got to 7. They’ve already went up 3x-4x their original purchase price and it’s only been 2-4 months. Incredible gains with room to grow (like my plants Bahahahahaha).

[Jdan67]

Originally Posted by Bruin7

Not trying to beat the horse dead into the ground but I agree you’re starting to see cards with authentic signatures take off. The truly apparent LULU autos especially those on stickers are not as desirable. I personally purchased quite a few authentic signatures before the jump. My goal was 10 but only got to 7. They’ve already went up 3x-4x their original purchase price and it’s only been 2-4 months. Incredible gains with room to grow (like my plants Bahahahahaha).

Immaculate RPA probably still one of best investment and I agree with your thesis. His on card autos are going to go bananas over time. I’m also a big believer in notable hobby parallels (ie galactic, prizm blue, mojo etc)

[TheRainMan72]

Started acquiring Prizm base rc psa 10s this week around 1050-1100 after around a 40% pullback from the peak. Normally I’d think I was early but his stardom is the most definitive the nba has seen in quite some time. But then again, am I early? Having a hard time seeing it dip below 950...


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[Bronconation24]

Jeez base prizm rc psa 9’s have surely pulled back

[Justin7]

Originally Posted by TheRainMan72

Started acquiring Prizm base rc psa 10s this week around 1050-1100 after around a 40% pullback from the peak. Normally I’d think I was early but his stardom is the most definitive the nba has seen in quite some time. But then again, am I early? Having a hard time seeing it dip below 950...


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Why would you pick this card? You realize there are silver parallels of certain sets with pop under 200 and other rare stuff with pop under 200 that are under $5k right now? If you can pay the same amount as last week for a rarer card do that instead and it will rise over time.

I'd rather own a 2nd yr silver than a rookie base to be honest. The population on that base is 13,000. 13,000. You realize the distance between 200 and 13,000? One will dry up one won't. I know pop isn't everything but silver is the exception to that rule at best. You could trade 4-5 of those 13,000 psa 10 base for a psa 10 card with less than 200 pop and I do not believe that's going to last forever. You are getting a much bigger multiple on your money on lower pop cards. It doesn't have to be a crazy 15k card either, there's still cards in the $4-6k range this is true of.

[TheRainMan72]

Well I have my forever PC of his and as we’ve seen in recent years their has to be a pop of significant amount to move comps. It’s also not the only Luka I’m buying but I appreciate the feedback


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[dkcardman]

Originally Posted by Justin7

Why would you pick this card? You realize there are silver parallels of certain sets with pop under 200 and other rare stuff with pop under 200 that are under $5k right now? If you can pay the same amount as last week for a rarer card do that instead and it will rise over time.

I'd rather own a 2nd yr silver than a rookie base to be honest. The population on that base is 13,000. 13,000. You realize the distance between 200 and 13,000? One will dry up one won't. I know pop isn't everything but silver is the exception to that rule at best. You could trade 4-5 of those 13,000 psa 10 base for a psa 10 card with less than 200 pop and I do not believe that's going to last forever. You are getting a much bigger multiple on your money on lower pop cards. It doesn't have to be a crazy 15k card either, there's still cards in the $4-6k range this is true of.

Its not always about pop. If that were the case, Lukas spectra stuff would be worth 10s of thousands each. I dont think there is a single spectra variant/color that even has 10 cards graded of all grades combined. There just isn't enough going around to create the demand.

[Justin7]

Originally Posted by dkcardman

Its not always about pop. If that were the case, Lukas spectra stuff would be worth 10s of thousands each. I dont think there is a single spectra variant/color that even has 10 cards graded of all grades combined. There just isn't enough going around to create the demand.

That’s a bad example because no one likes spectra. Ive never searches spectra even once. The point remains there’s much better low pop popular stuff than Luka base prizm👌. Base prizm is pushing it even for high pop.

[Matt24]

Originally Posted by Justin7

Why would you pick this card? You realize there are silver parallels of certain sets with pop under 200 and other rare stuff with pop under 200 that are under $5k right now? If you can pay the same amount as last week for a rarer card do that instead and it will rise over time.

I'd rather own a 2nd yr silver than a rookie base to be honest. The population on that base is 13,000. 13,000. You realize the distance between 200 and 13,000? One will dry up one won't. I know pop isn't everything but silver is the exception to that rule at best. You could trade 4-5 of those 13,000 psa 10 base for a psa 10 card with less than 200 pop and I do not believe that's going to last forever. You are getting a much bigger multiple on your money on lower pop cards. It doesn't have to be a crazy 15k card either, there's still cards in the $4-6k range this is true of.

I was considering some Luka variant for 15k or so last week, I really don't see it being a 45k or 60k card but the Luka base being 3-4k in 6 years if Luka has titled and is one of the best 3 players in the league seems reasonable. I've been trying to get high end stuff but man it is pricey. I do currently have 28 PSA 10s with more at PSA, I do plan on selling most of these sometime next season and getting into rarer stuff but I see both sides. I have concentrated on rare stuff with my Tatis collection as that's still "affordable"

[maj78]

Originally Posted by Justin7

Why would you pick this card? You realize there are silver parallels of certain sets with pop under 200 and other rare stuff with pop under 200 that are under $5k right now? If you can pay the same amount as last week for a rarer card do that instead and it will rise over time.

I'd rather own a 2nd yr silver than a rookie base to be honest. The population on that base is 13,000. 13,000. You realize the distance between 200 and 13,000? One will dry up one won't. I know pop isn't everything but silver is the exception to that rule at best. You could trade 4-5 of those 13,000 psa 10 base for a psa 10 card with less than 200 pop and I do not believe that's going to last forever. You are getting a much bigger multiple on your money on lower pop cards. It doesn't have to be a crazy 15k card either, there's still cards in the $4-6k range this is true of.

Justin - you said "certain sets with pop under 200 and other rare stuff with pop under 200 that are under $5k right now." Would you mind mentioning a few that you like or that you might have had in mind?

I was a little late to the Luka party but have been able to acquire the following: Chronicles Blue Crusade /99, Chronicles Blue Phoenix /99, Chronicles Gold RPA /99, Optic Holo and Optic Blue Velocity. I have several PSA 10 Base Prizm but completely agree with your take on those and would rather turn those into something like you are referencing. I like the Silver Prizm and don't currently have one but it definitely doesn't meet the lower pop you are talking about. Anyway, I appreciate your insight and look forward to some helpful comments.

Thanks!

Matt

[Justin7]

Originally Posted by maj78

Justin - you said "certain sets with pop under 200 and other rare stuff with pop under 200 that are under $5k right now." Would you mind mentioning a few that you like or that you might have had in mind?

I was a little late to the Luka party but have been able to acquire the following: Chronicles Blue Crusade /99, Chronicles Blue Phoenix /99, Chronicles Gold RPA /99, Optic Holo and Optic Blue Velocity. I have several PSA 10 Base Prizm but completely agree with your take on those and would rather turn those into something like you are referencing. I like the Silver Prizm and don't currently have one but it definitely doesn't meet the lower pop you are talking about. Anyway, I appreciate your insight and look forward to some helpful comments.

Thanks!

Matt

Well since you asked I suppose I don't mind sharing. The Select Silver parallels have a pop of 134 and 140 respectively (there are 2- premier and concourse with premier being the more desirable) and the bases hold real value which is a nice benefit (you always want a rare refactor in a well known set) + there's the higher end select silver court side chase which has already shown the capacity to hit 24k.

Disclosure: I own two. Well three if you count the tri-color but it's not graded unless you count "mint" by COMC as graded. I am looking for a particular version right now.

[Spacemanspif]

Originally Posted by maj78

Justin - you said "certain sets with pop under 200 and other rare stuff with pop under 200 that are under $5k right now." Would you mind mentioning a few that you like or that you might have had in mind?

I was a little late to the Luka party but have been able to acquire the following: Chronicles Blue Crusade /99, Chronicles Blue Phoenix /99, Chronicles Gold RPA /99, Optic Holo and Optic Blue Velocity. I have several PSA 10 Base Prizm but completely agree with your take on those and would rather turn those into something like you are referencing. I like the Silver Prizm and don't currently have one but it definitely doesn't meet the lower pop you are talking about. Anyway, I appreciate your insight and look forward to some helpful comments.

Thanks!

Matt

I presume he’s talking about select, but if I were buying anything right now (I’m not actively buying or selling any Luka right now), I would avoid the Prizm base, unless you’re looking for something to flip in a few months. Assuming you’re looking for something to hold on to longer, go with anything #’d, Silver/Holo, or maybe a more limited (non retail) base like Select / Revolution. The Prizm base will always be there. Eventually people will wake up and realize it’s not the only rookie card of his, certainly not worth paying 4 digits for a card that has a supply high enough to sell 6 per day, every day, for the next 6 years, without repeating. And that’s just if you’re picky enough to want a 10.

[Slim]

Originally Posted by Jdan67

Immaculate RPA probably still one of best investment and I agree with your thesis. His on card autos are going to go bananas over time. I’m also a big believer in notable hobby parallels (ie galactic, prizm blue, mojo etc)

This...

[TSonn]

Finally completed the hobby rev "rainbow" (sans lava and galactic because I don't have THAT kinda money...).