calculusdork's 2023 Cy Young Predictor - Page 4

free2131 · 09-07-2023, 10:32 AM

Strider just really needs to work on that 3rd pitch more. If he can't, he'll still turn into one of the best closers in MLB for the foreseeable future. That 3rd and 4th time through the lineup is what kills him.

calculusdork · 09-07-2023, 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by free2131

Strider just really needs to work on that 3rd pitch more. If he can't, he'll still turn into one of the best closers in MLB for the foreseeable future. That 3rd and 4th time through the lineup is what kills him.

Strider has excelled with a combination of two plus pitches and perfect location. When he starts missing his spots, he's a very average pitcher.

whitmm · 09-07-2023, 02:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by calculusdork

Strider has excelled with a combination of two plus pitches and perfect location. When he starts missing his spots, he's a very average pitcher.

When you have a fastball that has no movement on it, location is crucial. He needs to learn to use the change up more.

LVDan · 09-07-2023, 03:10 PM

Can’t wait for the first book to post 2024 odds. I’ve been buying and selling tickets all year with some really nice profits. Still sitting on a little Snell and a good bit more Steele.
Betting isn’t susceptible to “market downturns” like cards so I’ve been supplementing the Mac n cheese, gas $, vacation cash more with this stuff this year. It kinda gives me the itch to dive back into betting on a larger scale again. It was my primary source of income for a few years from like 06-09.

Ferg1945 · 09-07-2023, 04:08 PM

Steele only uses 2 pitches... he changes the batters eye constantly.

High-low. Inside-outside

The hitters have a hard time locking in on his tendencies... weak contact is the result.

Timmy Lupus · 09-07-2023, 05:08 PM

Fangraphs' Cy Young prediction tool:

https://www.fangraphs.com/projections/cy-young

As of today it looks like Cole in the AL, and the top five in the NL are Strider, Steele, Wheeler, Snell and Gallen.

ReggieBush22 · 09-07-2023, 05:49 PM

It will be good to see Cole finally get it as he had one of the best seasons ever to NOT win it in 2019.

rwperu34 · 09-08-2023, 01:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LVDan

Can’t wait for the first book to post 2024 odds. I’ve been buying and selling tickets all year with some really nice profits. Still sitting on a little Snell and a good bit more Steele.
Betting isn’t susceptible to “market downturns” like cards so I’ve been supplementing the Mac n cheese, gas $, vacation cash more with this stuff this year. It kinda gives me the itch to dive back into betting on a larger scale again. It was my primary source of income for a few years from like 06-09.

I've thought about this too. I should really just sign up for an account and figure out if I can sell tickets back to the online books.

LVDan · 09-08-2023, 08:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rwperu34

I've thought about this too. I should really just sign up for an account and figure out if I can sell tickets back to the online books.

https://propswap.com/

Zauron · 09-08-2023, 09:24 AM

Man NL is so unknown for all awards except ROY.

Seems CY keeps changing every month. From Gallen, to Strider, to Snell, and now Steele.

calculusdork · 09-08-2023, 12:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zauron

Man NL is so unknown for all awards except ROY.

Seems CY keeps changing every month. From Gallen, to Strider, to Snell, and now Steele.

Makes for a fun September. Anything can happen!

LVDan · 09-08-2023, 01:39 PM

Most books have decided it’s a 2 horse at this point with
Snell -200 and Steele +160-ish(with Steele being a decent value at that price I think)

For those who see the possibility of both of those two Sh-ing the bed in the last 5(?)starts you can find
Wheeler around 50-1
I see a few 75-1’s available for both Gallen and Strider

SupermanBrandon · 09-08-2023, 02:56 PM

Gallen looking incredible against the Cubbies today. 7 innings, 2 hits, 0 runs...so far.

hche · 09-08-2023, 03:12 PM

How did I miss the return of this????? Welcome back!!!!!

Ferg1945 · 09-08-2023, 03:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SupermanBrandon

Gallen looking incredible against the Cubbies today. 7 innings, 2 hits, 0 runs...so far.

Complete game shutout.

Enough to get back in the race?

calculusdork · 09-08-2023, 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ferg1945

Complete game shutout.

Enough to get back in the race?

Absolutely it is. Critical game for the Dbacks.

calculusdork · 09-08-2023, 03:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LVDan

Most books have decided it’s a 2 horse at this point with
Snell -200 and Steele +160-ish(with Steele being a decent value at that price I think)

For those who see the possibility of both of those two Sh-ing the bed in the last 5(?)starts you can find
Wheeler around 50-1
I see a few 75-1’s available for both Gallen and Strider

Wheeler is so underrated.

LVDan · 09-08-2023, 08:54 PM

75-1 Gallen shoves with his first CGSO this year?!
This is fun

Ferg1945 · 09-08-2023, 10:11 PM

Snell pitched well in Houston

LVDan · 09-08-2023, 10:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ferg1945

Snell pitched well in Houston

Considering how they’ve been hitting and in their park I give him credit for holding them to two for sure.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Ferg1945 · 09-08-2023, 11:42 PM

New NL CY odds.... Fan Duel HATES Spencer Strider now

Snell -210
Steele +190
Gallen +1000
Wheeler +6500
Strider +9000

rwperu34 · 09-09-2023, 02:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LVDan

https://propswap.com/

Bookmarked for next season.

Quote:

Originally Posted by LVDan

75-1 Gallen shoves with his first CGSO this year?!
This is fun

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ferg1945

New NL CY odds.... Fan Duel HATES Spencer Strider now

Snell -210
Steele +190
Gallen +1000
Wheeler +6500
Strider +9000

Did Gallen just get a 7.5x bump in one start? Man leverage is fun.

LVDan · 09-09-2023, 01:53 PM

If Steele can pickup another win with a strong line today he’s right there with a great shot to take this thing I think. As much as W-L is outta their hands 17-3 is pretty to look at with a nice WHIP advantage to nullify Snell’s K lead IMO.

Ferg1945 · 09-09-2023, 03:22 PM

Steele with a Steele performance

7 IP 6 H 1 ER 0 BB 6 Ks - 95 pitches

It's 1-1 and I think he has enough left to go 1 more inning. I bet he's good for 110.

Forgot to add... ERA is now 2.49. Leads the world

Ferg1945 · 09-09-2023, 04:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ferg1945

New NL CY odds.... Fan Duel HATES Spencer Strider now

Snell -210
Steele +190
Gallen +1000
Wheeler +6500
Strider +9000

Steele gained a little more ground today.

Currently leads the ML in ERA. 2.49

Snell +170
Steele -170
Gallen +1100
Wheeler +8000
Strider +10000

Gallens shutout helped but after today it's still a 2 person race.

09-07-2023, 10:32 AM	#76
free2131 Member Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 5,367	Strider just really needs to work on that 3rd pitch more. If he can't, he'll still turn into one of the best closers in MLB for the foreseeable future. That 3rd and 4th time through the lineup is what kills him. __________________ “I exploit you, still you love me. I tell you one and one makes three.” - Living Colour

09-07-2023, 03:10 PM	#79
LVDan Member Join Date: Jun 2017 Posts: 17,590	Can’t wait for the first book to post 2024 odds. I’ve been buying and selling tickets all year with some really nice profits. Still sitting on a little Snell and a good bit more Steele. Betting isn’t susceptible to “market downturns” like cards so I’ve been supplementing the Mac n cheese, gas $, vacation cash more with this stuff this year. It kinda gives me the itch to dive back into betting on a larger scale again. It was my primary source of income for a few years from like 06-09. __________________ So we cheated and we lied and we tested. And we never failed to fail; it was the easiest thing to do.

09-08-2023, 09:24 AM	#85
Zauron Member Join Date: Aug 2013 Location: Houston, TX Posts: 5,611	Man NL is so unknown for all awards except ROY. Seems CY keeps changing every month. From Gallen, to Strider, to Snell, and now Steele. __________________ Champ Bailey Collector! Currently: 909/2602 hermanotarjeta: You've been BRIOSED!!!!!!!!!

09-08-2023, 01:39 PM	#87
LVDan Member Join Date: Jun 2017 Posts: 17,590	Most books have decided it’s a 2 horse at this point with Snell -200 and Steele +160-ish(with Steele being a decent value at that price I think) For those who see the possibility of both of those two Sh-ing the bed in the last 5(?)starts you can find Wheeler around 50-1 I see a few 75-1’s available for both Gallen and Strider __________________ So we cheated and we lied and we tested. And we never failed to fail; it was the easiest thing to do.

09-08-2023, 03:12 PM	#89
hche Member Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 6,300	How did I miss the return of this????? Welcome back!!!!! __________________ I would ban you but I have no sway or pull here.

09-07-2023, 04:08 PM	#80
Ferg1945 Member Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Midwest Posts: 14,720	Steele only uses 2 pitches... he changes the batters eye constantly. High-low. Inside-outside The hitters have a hard time locking in on his tendencies... weak contact is the result.

09-07-2023, 05:08 PM	#81
Timmy Lupus Member Join Date: Feb 2022 Location: California Posts: 52	Fangraphs' Cy Young prediction tool: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections/cy-young As of today it looks like Cole in the AL, and the top five in the NL are Strider, Steele, Wheeler, Snell and Gallen.

09-07-2023, 05:49 PM	#82
ReggieBush22 Member Join Date: Oct 2012 Location: Los Angeles, CA Posts: 1,618 lionpride	It will be good to see Cole finally get it as he had one of the best seasons ever to NOT win it in 2019.

09-08-2023, 02:56 PM	#88
SupermanBrandon Banned Join Date: Dec 2018 Location: TN Posts: 15,843	Gallen looking incredible against the Cubbies today. 7 innings, 2 hits, 0 runs...so far.

09-08-2023, 08:54 PM	#93
LVDan Member Join Date: Jun 2017 Posts: 17,590	75-1 Gallen shoves with his first CGSO this year?! This is fun __________________ So we cheated and we lied and we tested. And we never failed to fail; it was the easiest thing to do.

09-08-2023, 10:11 PM	#94
Ferg1945 Member Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Midwest Posts: 14,720	Snell pitched well in Houston

09-08-2023, 11:42 PM	#96
Ferg1945 Member Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Midwest Posts: 14,720	New NL CY odds.... Fan Duel HATES Spencer Strider now Snell -210 Steele +190 Gallen +1000 Wheeler +6500 Strider +9000

09-09-2023, 01:53 PM	#98
LVDan Member Join Date: Jun 2017 Posts: 17,590	If Steele can pickup another win with a strong line today he’s right there with a great shot to take this thing I think. As much as W-L is outta their hands 17-3 is pretty to look at with a nice WHIP advantage to nullify Snell’s K lead IMO. __________________ So we cheated and we lied and we tested. And we never failed to fail; it was the easiest thing to do.

09-09-2023, 03:22 PM	#99
Ferg1945 Member Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Midwest Posts: 14,720	Steele with a Steele performance 7 IP 6 H 1 ER 0 BB 6 Ks - 95 pitches It's 1-1 and I think he has enough left to go 1 more inning. I bet he's good for 110. Forgot to add... ERA is now 2.49. Leads the world Last edited by Ferg1945; 09-09-2023 at 03:24 PM.