2024/5 Topps Dynasty

[BagwellHOF]

Originally Posted by Boredlawyer

I made a spreadsheet that calculated your percentage of hitting a specific player per case, based on the total number of cards per player and cases.

Example: If you had a 10% chance of hitting Alex Bregman, and your average Bregman card pulled in $250, his case spot is worth $25. I bid on every single player with an EVA of higher than $5 per case.

I did not win a single pick your player on eBay. In fact, most players I lost by a magnitude of 5 or 10.

For what it's worth, your best value right now is probably Anthony Volpe.

Haha. Love that you did this. I have wondered why no one has setup a site that does this sort of calculation for all the new releases.

I can't believe how much some of the open singles are selling for. I can't even win those at auction right now 😳

[BagwellHOF]

Originally Posted by hermanotarjeta

The most concerning sale I’ve seen so far:

50 empty 2024 dynasty baseball boxes sold at a BIN price of $1250.

Disgusting.

That's actually cheap. I have seen empties sell for nearly $100/each for past years

[johnlocke36]

Originally Posted by BagwellHOF

Haha. Love that you did this. I have wondered why no one has setup a site that does this sort of calculation for all the new releases.

I can't believe how much some of the open singles are selling for. I can't even win those at auction right now 😳

Because nobody wants it. Works best for releases with lots of parallels.

I wrote a program that scrapes ebay/130 for recent sales then uses color multiplier to estimate EV of ripping box or doing PYP/PYT breaks.

Works best for bowman obviously but to summarize I haven't ripped a box or done a break in 3 years

[fabiani12333]

I don't think the official checklist is accurate for this product -- my PC player has multiple cards in the checklist, but I haven't seen one pop up. If that's true, he's probably not the only player.

Just goes to show that buying into the breaks is for suckers -- you can get screwed on a team or player break if the player in the checklist isn't even in the product.

[BagwellHOF]

Originally Posted by fabiani12333

I don't think the official checklist is accurate for this product -- my PC player has multiple cards in the checklist, but I haven't seen one pop up. If that's true, he's probably not the only player.

Just goes to show that buying into the breaks is for suckers -- you can get screwed on a team or player break if the player in the checklist isn't even in the product.

It maybe just because they sorted the cards poorly and all that player ended up in shipments to just a few buyers who haven't opened them yet.

I've been surprised how many of some players cards have been coming up, and how many are the same serial #/10

[BagwellHOF]

I really like the design of 2024 Dynasty, and I like that they included a lot of RC's, but there is quite a bit to complain about-

Have you noticed how many cards no longer even have a patch, but it's just a portion of the piping on the jersey?

Then there's things like this- https://www.instagram.com/p/DMIOwjdR_OK/

[cruiserdaddy7]

Originally Posted by BagwellHOF

It maybe just because they sorted the cards poorly and all that player ended up in shipments to just a few buyers who haven't opened them yet.

I've been surprised how many of some players cards have been coming up, and how many are the same serial #/10

This is exactly what it is. I opened some and got nearly the exact same players in the cases I opened from the same place.

[BagwellHOF]

Originally Posted by cruiserdaddy7

This is exactly what it is. I opened some and got nearly the exact same players in the cases I opened from the same place.

It’s pretty bad/amateurish, but par for the course for this years release.

[Noles939913]

Originally Posted by BagwellHOF

I really like the design of 2024 Dynasty, and I like that they included a lot of RC's, but there is quite a bit to complain about-

Have you noticed how many cards no longer even have a patch, but it's just a portion of the piping on the jersey?

Then there's things like this- https://www.instagram.com/p/DMIOwjdR_OK/

Piping is still better than a plain swatch or bat relic which I’ve seen in Dynasty before.

But wow I can’t believe they cut up a $10 card to put in Dynasty lol.

[BagwellHOF]

Originally Posted by Noles939913

Piping is still better than a plain swatch or bat relic which I’ve seen in Dynasty before.

But wow I can’t believe they cut up a $10 card to put in Dynasty lol.

I’ve never seen a plain swatch on a large patch in Dynasty.

I mean this is a 1/1 RC and they couldn’t do better than some jersey piping?

[PuddleMonkey]

Maximizing profits!

[hermanotarjeta]

Originally Posted by PuddleMonkey

Maximizing profits!

1/1 cut auto - BOOOOMM!!!!!

That’s how you justify it baby!!!!!!

[Osfan81]

Originally Posted by hermanotarjeta

1/1 cut auto - BOOOOMM!!!!!

That’s how you justify it baby!!!!!!

I have a Gerald Ford signed letter that's probably worth $50. I should probably cut that auto out and stick it in a card with a mag case. I bet I could easily get $1k if I called it a cut.

[hermanotarjeta]

Originally Posted by Osfan81

I have a Gerald Ford signed letter that's probably worth $50. I should probably cut that auto out and stick it in a card with a mag case. I bet I could easily get $1k if I called it a cut.

Repack special baby!!!!!!!

BOOM!!!!!!!!!

[BagwellHOF]

Originally Posted by Osfan81

I have a Gerald Ford signed letter that's probably worth $50. I should probably cut that auto out and stick it in a card with a mag case. I bet I could easily get $1k if I called it a cut.

Yea I never understood the cut autos unless it was someone like Babe Ruth or Jackie Robinson.

"Oh sweet, I got a piece of a canceled check signed by Luis Aparicio!! Score!"

I would honestly rather get a Kris Bryant auto /10 than most of the cut auto cards.

[Noles939913]

Originally Posted by BagwellHOF

I’ve never seen a plain swatch on a large patch in Dynasty.

I mean this is a 1/1 RC and they couldn’t do better than some jersey piping?

Yeah I was talking about those dual relics they sometimes use which are pretty weak for Dynasty:

https://www.ebay.com/itm/23619368585...Bk9SR9qD2daFZg

[bigmikeatl88]

Originally Posted by fabiani12333

I don't think the official checklist is accurate for this product -- my PC player has multiple cards in the checklist, but I haven't seen one pop up. If that's true, he's probably not the only player.

Just goes to show that buying into the breaks is for suckers -- you can get screwed on a team or player break if the player in the checklist isn't even in the product.

Who is your PC player?

[BagwellHOF]

Originally Posted by Noles939913

Yeah I was talking about those dual relics they sometimes use which are pretty weak for Dynasty:

https://www.ebay.com/itm/23619368585...Bk9SR9qD2daFZg

Yea agreed. Topps should hire me as a producer for this set in the future. No way I would let stuff like this happen.

[fabiani12333]

Originally Posted by BagwellHOF

It maybe just because they sorted the cards poorly and all that player ended up in shipments to just a few buyers who haven't opened them yet.

I've been surprised how many of some players cards have been coming up, and how many are the same serial #/10

Originally Posted by cruiserdaddy7

This is exactly what it is. I opened some and got nearly the exact same players in the cases I opened from the same place.

Originally Posted by bigmikeatl88

Who is your PC player?

Posey. I saw one finally get pulled in a Blez break a couple of days ago -- the collation definitely must be terrible in this; even the breakers are mentioning it during streams.

[bigmikeatl88]

Originally Posted by fabiani12333

Posey. I saw one finally get pulled in a Blez break a couple of days ago -- the collation definitely must be terrible in this; even the breakers are mentioning it during streams.

Ahh yeah. Blez has pulled 2 or 3 Poseys. He has under 50 total cards in the product. The heaviest printed guys have 250+. So a tough hit, but not a total ghost.