First Buzz: 2025 Topps The Joy of Baseball Bob Ross X MLB - Page 9

eastbayak · 08-29-2025, 03:51 PM

Just like that, box prices are MOONing!!

eastbayak · 08-29-2025, 03:56 PM

I'm actually shocked how fast it jumped from low $500s to ~$700. Literally a couple of days. The high volume of sales is astonishing, definitely group breakers buying the product but I'm curious to know if there's a lot of personal box buyers too.

nextlevel10 · 08-29-2025, 04:19 PM

I have been buying a lot of boxes for myself after seeing a couple breaks and the amount of hits per box. Stuff looks loaded for sure. Also, I would have been buying a few boxes anyway but I always try to wait until it looks like sellers are receiving their boxes to prevent cancelled orders after prices rise. That seems to be the trend of buyers with most products lately, tons of product being bought in the couple day span where it is being received by the sellers. Same thing is happening with Sapphire Baseball right now, and it will definitely happen again next month with Topps Chrome Disney with the actor autos.

Archimedes · 08-29-2025, 04:20 PM

A tiny part of me is disappointed to see how well these are doing because I wanted to rip. But now I have to sell. Tiny violin problem, I know.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Bob Ross · 08-29-2025, 06:11 PM

How are Happy Boxes looking?

JECpsu · 08-29-2025, 08:03 PM

Anyone still stuck at label created from FEDEX?

Archimedes · 08-29-2025, 08:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JECpsu

Anyone still stuck at label created from FEDEX?

As I was typing a response to say that I was stuck, I got a notification that one box shipped. I think the other is still stuck.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Sandworm · 08-29-2025, 08:43 PM

Ripped a few of these, fun rip. Unfortunately in the Collector Boxes there are more prominent QC issues due to the box holder sliding which presses on the top of the card, usually the first 2 or 3 cards of the top packs have this.

Archimedes · 08-29-2025, 08:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JECpsu

Anyone still stuck at label created from FEDEX?

Just got shipping notification on my second box as well.

njsportscardguy · 08-29-2025, 09:35 PM

I seldom regret my initial-intuitions, as it pertains to committing to something. That being said, I have no qualms in admitting; I 'EFFED UP, BIG TIME, in not pulling the trigger on the Collector's Box case that I had loaded into my cart! Hell; I'm lucky (in a sense) that I was able to snag a single collectors box....nearly 2 hours after the drop (when the product page was all glitchy, and going in and out of stock for quite some time).

The rational me, simply couldn't justify/come to terms with the 50+% price increase. But ya' know what they say about hindsight...??? If we KNEW that the boxes were going to be as..."juiced", as they apparently seem to be, I might've even been inclined to spring as much a $350/per...?!?! (P.S. Don't get any bright ideas for 2026, Topps!

)

Tuesday's such a LONGGGG way, away.

Good luck to those, ripping!

Bob Ross · 08-29-2025, 10:47 PM

I still havent seen a Happy Box break. Does anyone have a link to one?

Archimedes · 08-30-2025, 08:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by njsportscardguy

I seldom regret my initial-intuitions, as it pertains to committing to something. That being said, I have no qualms in admitting; I 'EFFED UP, BIG TIME, in not pulling the trigger on the Collector's Box case that I had loaded into my cart! Hell; I'm lucky (in a sense) that I was able to snag a single collectors box....nearly 2 hours after the drop (when the product page was all glitchy, and going in and out of stock for quite some time).

The rational me, simply couldn't justify/come to terms with the 50+% price increase. But ya' know what they say about hindsight...??? If we KNEW that the boxes were going to be as..."juiced", as they apparently seem to be, I might've even been inclined to spring as much a $350/per...?!?! (P.S. Don't get any bright ideas for 2026, Topps!

)

Tuesday's such a LONGGGG way, away.

Good luck to those, ripping!

Don’t feel bad. You almost certainly wouldn’t have been able to actually purchase the case anyway. I don’t know a single person who was able to do so manually.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Cardsareus84 · 08-30-2025, 03:24 PM

These things look to be on track for $1k plus soon

Bob Ross · 08-30-2025, 03:26 PM

I opened 1 Happy Box. Happy’s may be loaded too.

/50
/75 auto

Dizzlle01 · 08-30-2025, 07:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bob Ross

I opened 1 Happy Box. Happy’s may be loaded too.

/50
/75 auto

Who are the players you got?

Boredlawyer · 08-31-2025, 09:39 AM

Trying to calculate odds for autos of the better players, since guys like Ichiro aren't going to have paint splatter /99.

Bob Ross · 08-31-2025, 10:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dizzlle01

Who are the players you got?

I got a great /50 and a middle of the road auto. The base cards are beautiful. I'll open a couple more today, these are really nice and wish I was able to get more during that release fiasco.

bd3d86 · 08-31-2025, 02:43 PM

Is there an estimated print run on the base?

Boredlawyer · 08-31-2025, 02:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bd3d86

Is there an estimated print run on the base?

4200 is my number

bd3d86 · 08-31-2025, 03:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Boredlawyer

4200 is my number

I appreciate it

Bob Ross · 08-31-2025, 04:48 PM

Base cards are selling well, even the low end names.

Boredlawyer · 08-31-2025, 07:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bob Ross

Base cards are selling well, even the low end names.

Yeah, wish I'd gotten all my boxes in this weekend. Market will cool off dramatically once everyone opens their packs on Tuesday, but wax prices will increase.

boxbuster7 · 08-31-2025, 07:39 PM

what was the msrp from topps on this one? totally missed it

eastbayak · 08-31-2025, 08:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by boxbuster7

what was the msrp from topps on this one? totally missed it

$330 for collector's
$40 for little

Boredlawyer · 08-31-2025, 08:25 PM

Odds have been easy to calculate based on static number of numbered parallels per box. Don't have the spreadsheet pulled up, but each box has about a 60% chance at a card numbered to 10 or less, and about a 20% chance at an auto to 10 or less.

Based on auctions I THINK about 40/84 auto-primarly the undesirable rookies-have all the runs of color (300 autos per player) and the other half is SPed no higher than /35 per player, being 76 per player. Some guys are going to be lower than that, with no more than 6 or 11 autos.

So I suspect roughly 3/4 of the auto pool is the non SP, meaning every other box yields a better auto-i.e. a Jeremy Pena or better.

Only thing I'd like to calculate now is the allocation of Happy Mistake SSPs to photo variation SP. Both have 20 cards on the checklist and fall a combined 2 per box, but it is clear that HMs are 5-10x harder to hit.

Cumulatively that means there's 13125 total SPs not accounting for the Ross variation. If it's a 90/10 split between photo variation and HMs then HMs are a print run of 65ish..

So base 4200
Photo variation 590?
HM 65?

If HM fall 1:5 boxes? Just ballparking

08-29-2025, 04:19 PM	#203
nextlevel10 Member Join Date: Aug 2019 Posts: 409	I have been buying a lot of boxes for myself after seeing a couple breaks and the amount of hits per box. Stuff looks loaded for sure. Also, I would have been buying a few boxes anyway but I always try to wait until it looks like sellers are receiving their boxes to prevent cancelled orders after prices rise. That seems to be the trend of buyers with most products lately, tons of product being bought in the couple day span where it is being received by the sellers. Same thing is happening with Sapphire Baseball right now, and it will definitely happen again next month with Topps Chrome Disney with the actor autos. __________________ IG: nextlevel10sportscards

08-29-2025, 04:20 PM	#204
Archimedes Member Join Date: Jan 2019 Location: Pennsylvania Posts: 2,771	First Buzz: 2025 Topps The Joy of Baseball Bob Ross X MLB A tiny part of me is disappointed to see how well these are doing because I wanted to rip. But now I have to sell. Tiny violin problem, I know. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

08-29-2025, 08:43 PM	#208
Sandworm Member Join Date: Apr 2024 Posts: 12	Ripped a few of these, fun rip. Unfortunately in the Collector Boxes there are more prominent QC issues due to the box holder sliding which presses on the top of the card, usually the first 2 or 3 cards of the top packs have this. Last edited by Sandworm; 08-30-2025 at 12:34 AM.

08-31-2025, 02:43 PM	#218
bd3d86 Member Join Date: Oct 2009 Location: Michigan Posts: 11,842 bd3d86	Is there an estimated print run on the base? __________________ Always looking for Detroit Tigers certified autographs that I don't have....GO TIGERS!!! My Collection: http://www.blowoutcards.com/forums/gallery/78008-my-detroit-tigers-autograph-pc-take-look-scan-heavy.html

08-31-2025, 07:39 PM	#223
boxbuster7 Member Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 12,605 boxbuster777	what was the msrp from topps on this one? totally missed it __________________ Psa 9 > psa 10

08-29-2025, 03:51 PM	#201
eastbayak Member Join Date: Mar 2014 Posts: 16,286 eastbayak	Just like that, box prices are MOONing!!

08-29-2025, 03:56 PM	#202
eastbayak Member Join Date: Mar 2014 Posts: 16,286 eastbayak	I'm actually shocked how fast it jumped from low $500s to ~$700. Literally a couple of days. The high volume of sales is astonishing, definitely group breakers buying the product but I'm curious to know if there's a lot of personal box buyers too.

08-29-2025, 06:11 PM	#205
Bob Ross Member Join Date: Oct 2019 Posts: 5,307	How are Happy Boxes looking?

08-29-2025, 08:03 PM	#206
JECpsu Member Join Date: Apr 2025 Posts: 35	Anyone still stuck at label created from FEDEX?

08-29-2025, 09:35 PM	#210
njsportscardguy Member Join Date: Aug 2021 Posts: 826	I seldom regret my initial-intuitions, as it pertains to committing to something. That being said, I have no qualms in admitting; I 'EFFED UP, *BIG TIME, in not pulling the trigger on the Collector's Box case that I had loaded into my cart! Hell; I'm lucky (in a sense) that I was able to snag a single collectors box....nearly 2 hours after the drop (when the product page was all glitchy, and going in and out of stock for quite some time). The rational me, simply couldn't justify/come to terms with the 50+% price increase. But ya' know what they say about hindsight...??? If we KNEW* that the boxes were going to be as..."juiced", as they apparently seem to be, I might've even been inclined to spring as much a $350/per...?!?! (P.S. Don't get any bright ideas for 2026, Topps! ) Tuesday's such a LONGGGG way, away. Good luck to those, ripping!

08-29-2025, 10:47 PM	#211
Bob Ross Member Join Date: Oct 2019 Posts: 5,307	I still havent seen a Happy Box break. Does anyone have a link to one?

08-30-2025, 03:24 PM	#213
Cardsareus84 Member Join Date: Jul 2024 Location: Texas Posts: 126 Cardsareus84	These things look to be on track for $1k plus soon

08-30-2025, 03:26 PM	#214
Bob Ross Member Join Date: Oct 2019 Posts: 5,307	I opened 1 Happy Box. Happy’s may be loaded too. /50 /75 auto

08-31-2025, 09:39 AM	#216
Boredlawyer Member Join Date: Jan 2019 Posts: 2,125	Trying to calculate odds for autos of the better players, since guys like Ichiro aren't going to have paint splatter /99.

08-31-2025, 04:48 PM	#221
Bob Ross Member Join Date: Oct 2019 Posts: 5,307	Base cards are selling well, even the low end names.

08-31-2025, 08:25 PM	#225
Boredlawyer Member Join Date: Jan 2019 Posts: 2,125	Odds have been easy to calculate based on static number of numbered parallels per box. Don't have the spreadsheet pulled up, but each box has about a 60% chance at a card numbered to 10 or less, and about a 20% chance at an auto to 10 or less. Based on auctions I THINK about 40/84 auto-primarly the undesirable rookies-have all the runs of color (300 autos per player) and the other half is SPed no higher than /35 per player, being 76 per player. Some guys are going to be lower than that, with no more than 6 or 11 autos. So I suspect roughly 3/4 of the auto pool is the non SP, meaning every other box yields a better auto-i.e. a Jeremy Pena or better. Only thing I'd like to calculate now is the allocation of Happy Mistake SSPs to photo variation SP. Both have 20 cards on the checklist and fall a combined 2 per box, but it is clear that HMs are 5-10x harder to hit. Cumulatively that means there's 13125 total SPs not accounting for the Ross variation. If it's a 90/10 split between photo variation and HMs then HMs are a print run of 65ish.. So base 4200 Photo variation 590? HM 65? If HM fall 1:5 boxes? Just ballparking Last edited by Boredlawyer; 08-31-2025 at 08:30 PM.