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Old 01-07-2026, 12:52 PM   #51
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I remember looking at the 2024 TCU Sapphire release and seeing all the boxes hovering around $650 - I couldn't bring myself to buy it all up but that was the move. It was so predictable - I just wasn't able to pull the trigger, still not sure why.
I learned a while back to just trust my gut. 9/10 times it steers me in the right direction. I bought a ton of it and my average cost was around $675 when I stopped buying. It was a solid play for sure, but my gut doesn't say that this year. I think a lot of people are going to be buying $750 boxes hoping to flip for $850 and end up with $650 boxes. Those aren't my exact numbers I have written down, but it gets the point across.

These are the kind of products that get people in trouble when they want to make some money in this hobby. The market is blazing hot, and Sapphire Update is usually solid. But that doesn't mean the price is right. Even with the millions that flow through breakers every day, there is still a finite amount of money. It will quickly redirect to favorable releases and demand will cease at those prices.
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Old 01-07-2026, 12:54 PM   #52
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Things overheard at OCB.
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Old 01-07-2026, 01:02 PM   #53
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^thanks for making this old man feel better guys^

It's pretty similar to what's happening to Las Vegas tourism these days I guess.
If you can get $15 dollars for a domestic beer and $30 for crappy bacon and eggs from well heeled or financially foolish gamblers why sell them for $8 and $15?
As long as there are enough whales willing to dump the average American's salary on a random weekend visit, who needs the poors anymore?
I think that rich vs poor is the wrong framing.....it's smart vs stupid.

Rich people become/stay rich by making smart decisions about money....poor people become/stay poor by making stupid decisions about money.

In reality, its "As long as there are enough stupid people willing to dump the average American's salary on a random weekend visit to Las Vegas, who needs the smart people anymore?
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Old 01-07-2026, 01:07 PM   #54
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I just think it’s crazy they sold out that fast when we still don’t have a checklist to know who signs (obviously rookie autos will be the big chase, but which vets sign in sapphire selections)?


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Old 01-07-2026, 01:57 PM   #55
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I just think it’s crazy they sold out that fast when we still don’t have a checklist to know who signs (obviously rookie autos will be the big chase, but which vets sign in sapphire selections)?
Breakers don't care about checklists....
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Old 01-07-2026, 02:07 PM   #56
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2025 topps chrome update has to be one of the worst checklists of all time. The fact this sold out for $450 a box shows just how stupid people are.
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Old 01-07-2026, 02:13 PM   #57
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2025 topps chrome update has to be one of the worst checklists of all time. The fact this sold out for $450 a box shows just how stupid people are.
"Fools and their money are soon parted"...

"It's only when the tide goes out that you find out who's been swimming naked"...
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Old 01-07-2026, 02:14 PM   #58
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I think that rich vs poor is the wrong framing.....it's smart vs stupid.

Rich people become/stay rich by making smart decisions about money....poor people become/stay poor by making stupid decisions about money.

In reality, its "As long as there are enough stupid people willing to dump the average American's salary on a random weekend visit to Las Vegas, who needs the smart people anymore?
While I tend to agree I prefer to use softer language as who am I to tell people how to spend their money? You'll notice in the previous sentence I used the term "financially foolish" as opposed to plain stupid. Not looking to make internet enemies by painting everyone on here willing to spend the money as stupid. That said, if it were you and I discussing privately over a few cold ones I wouldn't hesitate to refer to them as f-ing morons prolly.

Although Im considered middle class Im more than willing to carry the banner for those of us "poors" as I relate that to people who prefer more value for thier (presumably)hard earned dollars.
With my compulsive and addictive personality make no mistake if I were filthy rich it's quite possible I'd be playing Scrooge McDuck swimming in TCU mylar snow angels surrounded by higher end hookers n blow. Maybe not, but you get the idea. It would be kinda cool to have that temptation without the inevitable regret that us poors would be saddled with.
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Old 01-07-2026, 03:19 PM   #59
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Old 01-07-2026, 03:25 PM   #60
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Even though no auto guaranteed, 2022 Update Sapphire with Witt is a god damn steal at current market prices vs. this 2025's market price.
Agreed!! Sitting on a case and a half of this stuff.
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Old 01-07-2026, 03:27 PM   #61
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She’s a beaut! Nice hit
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Old 01-07-2026, 03:41 PM   #62
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my monty box arrived , degen enough to open?
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Old 01-07-2026, 03:52 PM   #63
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my monty box arrived , degen enough to open?
Mine just showed up. I'm staring at it. The degenerate in me wants to open
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Old 01-07-2026, 03:56 PM   #64
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my monty box arrived , degen enough to open?
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Mine just showed up. I'm staring at it. The degenerate in me wants to open
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Old 01-07-2026, 04:01 PM   #65
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Tool every fiber in my body to not write "Slop it up little piggies, oink oink!" With my MC box on eBay.
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Old 01-07-2026, 04:03 PM   #66
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Mine just showed up. I'm staring at it. The degenerate in me wants to open

i got smoked, lol


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Old 01-07-2026, 04:23 PM   #67
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i got smoked, lol


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you hit a Kurtz Sapphire Selection... I imagine that is worth some good coin. What is it numbered to? Definitely did NOT get smoked just because your auto is meh
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Old 01-07-2026, 04:44 PM   #68
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i got smoked, lol


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This is better than probably 90% of boxes with that Kurtz and Crews color. The auto isn't the worst pitcher auto in this either.
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Old 01-07-2026, 04:59 PM   #69
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i got smoked, lol


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I like Lowder, but why is he an auto in this? Was already in the 1st one, and he played zero MLB games this season. Have also seen Brooks Lee signs in this but no Keaschall's yet. Dumb.
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Old 01-07-2026, 05:27 PM   #70
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Box arrived. Tempted to rip but should flip (at some point).

Just need to remind myself of the 2025 BC Sapphire BB box.
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Old 01-07-2026, 06:01 PM   #71
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i got smoked, lol


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I'll trade you my box for the Kurtz and Crews!

Drake Baldwin Base Auto /199
Mason Fluharty RC Orange /25
Yoan Moncada Gold /50
Garrett McDaniels RC Green /99
Kris Bubic Green /99

Cam Smith RC Base, Dylan Crews RD RC Base
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Old 01-07-2026, 07:14 PM   #72
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Woof. So many pitchers........ But glad the red was an auto.
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Old 01-07-2026, 07:44 PM   #73
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Breakers don't care about checklists....
Of course they do. It’s how they build player breaks. Fanatics Live breakers get checklists before the public.
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Old 01-07-2026, 09:24 PM   #74
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Originally Posted by LVDan View Post
While I tend to agree I prefer to use softer language as who am I to tell people how to spend their money? You'll notice in the previous sentence I used the term "financially foolish" as opposed to plain stupid. Not looking to make internet enemies by painting everyone on here willing to spend the money as stupid. That said, if it were you and I discussing privately over a few cold ones I wouldn't hesitate to refer to them as f-ing morons prolly.

Although Im considered middle class Im more than willing to carry the banner for those of us "poors" as I relate that to people who prefer more value for thier (presumably)hard earned dollars.
With my compulsive and addictive personality make no mistake if I were filthy rich it's quite possible I'd be playing Scrooge McDuck swimming in TCU mylar snow angels surrounded by higher end hookers n blow. Maybe not, but you get the idea. It would be kinda cool to have that temptation without the inevitable regret that us poors would be saddled with.
Poor or stupid? Neither is positive..
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Old 01-07-2026, 09:39 PM   #75
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Of course they do. It’s how they build player breaks. Fanatics Live breakers get checklists before the public.
But they don't really make decisions based on who is on the checklist, since they're going to buy the product no matter what.
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