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Old 10-09-2025, 08:29 AM   #3726
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Fed speakers all day

Bearish flow is still there for SPX

Check out gamma on SPX > spiked @ 6775 & 6800, it's going to take a lot of flow to break those levels

Still long, just watching today
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Old 10-09-2025, 09:19 AM   #3727
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Originally Posted by Blazed View Post
Exercising these today, adding to my AMD equity

Then probably sell 5 CC's 2 years out

Exercised @ 80/sh > $45k

Sold 5 Jan 21 28 450 C's @ 35.40/con > Premium of $17.7.2k - $45k = $27.3k / 500 = in @ 54.60 per share

If AMD takes off and the calls get called away @ 450/sh = $225k - $27.3k = profit of $197.7k + $17.7k premium from CC's minus $14k (cost of 5 calls in April) = $201.4k profit

Long term hold so ideally expiring worthless is the goal here, but in the event they get called I still have my core position + a $215k profit

That's the power of options

April is the gift that keeps on giving
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Old 10-10-2025, 08:24 AM   #3728
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Fed speaker and consumer sentiment today

SPX: 6750 key level

Just watching again today


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Originally Posted by Blazed View Post
Fed speakers all day

Bearish flow is still there for SPX

Check out gamma on SPX > spiked @ 6775 & 6800, it's going to take a lot of flow to break those levels

Still long, just watching today
Worked out yesterday
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Old 10-10-2025, 10:50 AM   #3729
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Flow is bullish again, looks suspicious after Friday and this morning

Staying long (not looking at puts yet) but not adding any new positions up here

Was expecting some downside this week, but getting mixed signals

SPX 6800 or 6700

See where it closes today
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Consumer sentiment and Fed speakers today

[B]Still seeing bearish flows in S&P and the Mag7[/B]

SPX: 6740 key level / downside 6700 > 6675 solid area, if it breaks > 6650 / upside 6750 > 6793 > 6800
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Fed speakers all day

Bearish flow is still there for SPX

Check out gamma on SPX > spiked @ 6775 & 6800, it's going to take a lot of flow to break those levels

Still long, just watching today
The games MMs play

Finally got the down side

SPX down 90 point lol
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Old 10-10-2025, 11:59 AM   #3730
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If 6600 breaks, there will be a nice drop

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Old 10-10-2025, 03:01 PM   #3731
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Mag7 flows closed September bullish, the overnight dump was because of the shutdown so I'll be watching to see if it gets bought up or they let it drop

Won't look at puts until a break below 6600

6700 remains a huge level and is the target this week

SPX: 6675 key level 6650 > 6600 > 6592 downside / 6700 > 6740 upside
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If 6600 breaks, there will be a nice drop

All out here

Unfortunately I missed the initial drop, but caught the break below 6600

Great trade to end the week

Might get an even bigger flush if China keeps the bs up lol

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Old 10-10-2025, 05:22 PM   #3732
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Quote:
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All out here

Unfortunately I missed the initial drop, but caught the break below 6600

Great trade to end the week

Might get an even bigger flush if China keeps the bs up lol

Got any of that market manipulation........*scratches neck quickly*


Got $10k in the Roth to play with, going to maybe wait and see if we push down further. Wouldn't be opposed to some SPY long date Leaps again. 6500 might be a good entry, but maybe we push lower. Sold 50 shares of NVDA at 187, wanted to get some profit, still have 150 shares (100 tied up in covered call). Wouldn't be opposed to everything coming back down. Interesting to see how quickly everything gets bought up again, if it does this time.
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Old 10-11-2025, 11:12 AM   #3733
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Got any of that market manipulation........*scratches neck quickly*


Got $10k in the Roth to play with, going to maybe wait and see if we push down further. Wouldn't be opposed to some SPY long date Leaps again. 6500 might be a good entry, but maybe we push lower. Sold 50 shares of NVDA at 187, wanted to get some profit, still have 150 shares (100 tied up in covered call). Wouldn't be opposed to everything coming back down. Interesting to see how quickly everything gets bought up again, if it does this time.
It's possible

It's also possible this was a replay of April

I'll be watching to see how quickly it's bought up or if they let it drop more
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Old 10-11-2025, 01:23 PM   #3734
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Amazing seeing the millions of dollars in puts placed by new accounts 30 minutes before the tweet.

Love that for them
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Old 10-12-2025, 11:01 AM   #3735
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Quote:
Originally Posted by imbluestreak23 View Post
Amazing seeing the millions of dollars in puts placed by new accounts 30 minutes before the tweet.

Love that for them
Yeah, those were great trades and 1000% insider 30 mins before the announcement

So while there was some insider trading, the drop was imminent just wasn't expecting one that big initially. if I was, then I would have loaded up on puts

The announcement just added fuel to the fire which created some really large flows

Large flows invoke large hedging requirements which manipulate the price to desired levels

Anyone who can read flow could see it coming


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blazed View Post
Might do well

EOD flow into mag 7 was as bearish as you can get yesterday
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No NFP today

SPX: 6725 key level > 6750 > 6785 upside / 6700 > 6650/48 downside

Yesterday the mag7 flow was bearish, so if 6675 breaks, the implied bottom might not hold
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blazed View Post
Flow is bullish again, looks suspicious after Friday and this morning

Staying long (not looking at puts yet) but not adding any new positions up here

Was expecting some downside this week, but getting mixed signals

SPX 6800 or 6700

See where it closes today
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blazed View Post
Consumer sentiment and Fed speakers today

Still seeing bearish flows in S&P and the Mag7

SPX: 6740 key level / downside 6700 > 6675 solid area, if it breaks > 6650 / upside 6750 > 6793 > 6800
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blazed View Post
Fed speakers all day

Bearish flow is still there for SPX

Check out gamma on SPX > spiked @ 6775 & 6800, it's going to take a lot of flow to break those levels

Still long, just watching today
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Old Yesterday, 08:22 AM   #3736
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Futures flying

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Anyone who can read flow could see it coming
They knew the move was coming but held the selling until Friday with the news about China

Crypto land saw massive liquidations last week, see if that spills over to stocks this week

Just watching today, still long

SPX: 6600 - 6700 which one hits first
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Old Today, 08:18 AM   #3737
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Fed speakers all day/week, PPI Thursday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Blazed View Post
SPX: 6600 - 6700 which one hits first
Same as yesterday


lol

Quote:
JPMORGAN CFO SAYS WE DON'T LIKE BUYING BACK STOCKS AT THE CURRENT LEVELS
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Old Today, 08:29 AM   #3738
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Break below 6600 > 6550 > 6502 / 6650 > 6675 > 6690 upside

Should be a good day
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Old Today, 08:42 AM   #3739
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Well missed the break below 6600 lol
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Old Today, 09:54 AM   #3740
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Quote:
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Break below 6600 > 6550 > 6502 / 6650 > 6675 > 6690 upside

Should be a good day
1min timeframe = entry

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Old Today, 11:49 AM   #3741
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Quote:
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1min timeframe = entry

Bought it up fast


Quote:
Originally Posted by Blazed View Post
Break below 6600 > 6550 > 6502 / 6650 > 6675 > 6690 upside

Should be a good day
I grabbed some 0dte's, so taking a full exit here, close enough to 6675, and it may or may not make it to 6690

Making 5 figures before noon is a great day

Trading is easy, no reason to over complicate it or panic, just follow the levels

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