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Old 06-30-2020, 09:17 PM   #826
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Originally Posted by yiguiri2002 View Post
That's a hell of a sale, specially considering the Celestial sold for less than 3k. Based on those estimates, you can get approximates for each RPA version:

FOTL: 350-400
Celestial: 120-150
Interstellar: 180-230
Regular: 100-120

FOTL seems to have more than one RPA on top of the exclusive. Hobby seems to average a little bit more than 1 RPA.

Seems like the average return on FOTL should be around 750. Hobby around 450. Should be a decent buy at current prices.
$750 average return?? I opened four boxes and will be lucky to recoup 500 TOTAL. I know I’m probably an extreme case, but still $750 is high IMO. 5-600 max is where I would put FOTL.
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Old 06-30-2020, 09:18 PM   #827
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Now I really hope the $11.5k sale doesn’t result in a return.

To be honest, the $7.8k sale seems high too. I expect these to settle lower.
Zero chance of that. The buyer is a very prominent ebayer who has sold some 6 figure cards. The purchase was peanuts to him. I also noticed he put some bids on the second Zion that sold but didn’t win it.
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Old 06-30-2020, 10:00 PM   #828
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5:44

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lTCuNk4VApo


Zion/RJ dual auto patch /10 pulled.

They also pulled a Zion bass die cut /8 before that.
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Old 06-30-2020, 10:33 PM   #829
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I think my 1200-1300 valuation 2 days ago may have been soft.

Thanks uncle blez.
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Old 06-30-2020, 10:36 PM   #830
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Just saw a 6 box break of regular spectra, only 3 rja's total, no patches.
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Old 06-30-2020, 10:40 PM   #831
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$750 average return?? I opened four boxes and will be lucky to recoup 500 TOTAL. I know I’m probably an extreme case, but still $750 is high IMO. 5-600 max is where I would put FOTL.
I think you got very unlucky. How many RJA did you get? What were your exclusives?
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Old 06-30-2020, 10:41 PM   #832
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Zero chance of that. The buyer is a very prominent ebayer who has sold some 6 figure cards. The purchase was peanuts to him. I also noticed he put some bids on the second Zion that sold but didn’t win it.
So he bought a card and had the chance to buy the same card at 70% of what he paid for a couple of days ago...and passed. I don't understand.
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Old 06-30-2020, 10:49 PM   #833
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Originally Posted by tolrobb View Post
Just saw a 6 box break of regular spectra, only 3 rja's total, no patches.
Do you have a link to the box break? I'm interested in watching.
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Old 06-30-2020, 10:55 PM   #834
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Originally Posted by tolrobb View Post
Just saw a 6 box break of regular spectra, only 3 rja's total, no patches.



Hold onto them unobtanium FOTL boxes, bois. Uncle Blez gon' take us out the hood.
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Old 06-30-2020, 11:49 PM   #835
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The winning bid seemed solid. TBH it seems like there are a few people who doesn't mind paying 2x as long as they get the card.

I really hope that they are collectors and not flippers because if not, they are gonna have a really hard time making money out of this card.
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Zero chance of that. The buyer is a very prominent ebayer who has sold some 6 figure cards. The purchase was peanuts to him. I also noticed he put some bids on the second Zion that sold but didn’t win it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by yiguiri2002 View Post
So he bought a card and had the chance to buy the same card at 70% of what he paid for a couple of days ago...and passed. I don't understand.
You guys make good points. I’m viewing things from my own perspective but someone who is wealthy doesn’t care about overpaying thousands of dollars because it’s just peanuts to them.

However, yiguiri makes a great point. It’s a little strange that the buyer passed on the second one, given what he paid for the first one and what the subsequent one sold for. The patches were basically the same (I’d even argue that the second one was better; I didn’t inspect the autos though).
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Old 06-30-2020, 11:54 PM   #836
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[QUOTE=tolrobb;16103605]someone's boxes finna be shorted, dude hit 4 FOTL exclusives in one box.

Funny you should say that. I actually did get shorted a wave RPA in one of my 2 boxes. The other box I bought made up for it because it had this.

https://www.ebay.com/itm/383608138414

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Old 07-01-2020, 01:01 AM   #837
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Originally Posted by ninjacookies View Post
5:44

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lTCuNk4VApo


Zion/RJ dual auto patch /10 pulled.

They also pulled a Zion bass die cut /8 before that.
That was a sick random too lol.
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Old 07-01-2020, 02:38 AM   #838
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1/5 Zion Marble Prizm is pulled from FB group.
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Old 07-01-2020, 05:24 AM   #839
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These guys always have hilarious breaks since there's a crowd laughing while the person ripping packs just burns cash. Is there even $50 worth of cards here?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Ekf2fDtewU
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Old 07-01-2020, 07:08 AM   #840
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These guys always have hilarious breaks since there's a crowd laughing while the person ripping packs just burns cash. Is there even $50 worth of cards here?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Ekf2fDtewU
That was hilarious how he just stood up and who knows what his face looked like after the break!

The Carter is a sweet on-card auto...best hit by far!
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Old 07-01-2020, 07:27 AM   #841
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I think you got very unlucky. How many RJA did you get? What were your exclusives?
Best exclusive was a Sekou /39. Got one extra RJA of Herro /99. No Zion’s, No Ja’s and only one card numbered less than 25 and it was Bradzeikas. Mine might be on one end of the extreme, but I’ve also seen some other really bad boxes so don’t let some of the unicorn multi-Zion boxes fool you.

I also still have 4 sealed boxes sitting here so it’s not sour grapes, just trying to help others who are thinking about breaking.
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Old 07-01-2020, 08:28 AM   #842
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First post after lurking for a while. I know it will still probably sell out but posting the Spectra Hobby at $800 after the FOTL hit that price in Dutch seems high. I would think this should drive the FOTL prices up on secondary market.
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Old 07-01-2020, 09:11 AM   #843
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Does that say $799.95 for non FOTL on shitini?
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Old 07-01-2020, 09:12 AM   #844
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Does that say $799.95 for non FOTL on shitini?
It sure does. Don't think I'm going to waste my time on that.
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Old 07-01-2020, 09:15 AM   #845
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$800 for hobby? sheesh thats what FOTL went for right?
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Old 07-01-2020, 09:19 AM   #846
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Originally Posted by jfan2024 View Post
These guys always have hilarious breaks since there's a crowd laughing while the person ripping packs just burns cash. Is there even $50 worth of cards here?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Ekf2fDtewU


Even though FOTL is overpriced, it’s going to go up with breaks like this out there.
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Old 07-01-2020, 09:20 AM   #847
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At “only” 2.5x SRP, this is actually a smaller markup compared to some other products Panini has sold direct. Court Kings blasters were being sold at 5x SRP, but I guess that doesn’t seem as bad since they were “only” $100.
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Old 07-01-2020, 09:21 AM   #848
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Do you have a link to the box break? I'm interested in watching.
it was in a private facebook group, fwiw, one of the next 2 boxes had a ja/zion dual rpa.
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Old 07-01-2020, 09:30 AM   #849
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And it will still sell out in less than 5 minutes.
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Old 07-01-2020, 09:31 AM   #850
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And it will still sell out in less than 5 seconds.
Fixed
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