What is a good price for 2018 Topps Update?

GoNYGoNYGo · 03-27-2019, 09:12 AM

Hey everyone - I was thinking about buying a box or two of 2018 Topps update from my LCS - he has them at $70 a box is that a good price? Do you think it is worth it? I would love to hear feedback from everyone!

I am pretty sure he has 2018 Series 1 & 2 as well - are either of those better buys?

Thanks!

ThoseBackPages · 03-27-2019, 09:46 AM

yes, buy him out of Update

KhalDrogo · 03-27-2019, 09:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ThoseBackPages

yes, buy him out of Update

Agree with this. Whether you’re ripping or storing.

Courtesy of pewe...

Conservative odds to hit Acuna in a hobby case:

13% Gold
14.3% Rainbow
0.3% Vintage
1.3% Black
0.3% Independence
0.3% Mother's Day
0.3% Father's Day
0.15% Memorial Day (every other case)
1% Negative
0.3% Clear (every third case)
17.3% SP
8% SSP

Net 56.55%.

The true probability of hitting an Acuna parallel or SP (including the SP and SSP autos) in a hobby case is 57.48%.

WKUMICHIGANFAN · 03-27-2019, 10:08 AM

The Update hype train is coming..... all aboard!!!!

blackbears86 · 03-27-2019, 10:09 AM

I know I shouldn't be surprised, but it's amazing to look back at update and see how quickly it's risen over the last 6 weeks.

I remember buying this for $42 a box back in one of the "waves" late last year.

If Soto/Acuna both do well out of the gate, it wouldn't shock me to see this hit $100 a box for hobby.

Zauron · 03-27-2019, 10:13 AM

Good lord, I should have tried to get more when these were dirt cheap for $500 a case. I should have bought 5 cases of this stuff to just sit and reap in the profits. I didn't think it would increase this much so soon though. We are talking about a $30 per box increase in 4 months.

GoNYGoNYGo · 03-27-2019, 10:17 AM

Thanks for the feedback everyone - I think he said he has 4 boxes maybe I will pick them up and rip 2 and hold 2 (until I get bored and end up ripping them too). I have had very little success holding onto unopened was haha.

KhalDrogo · 03-27-2019, 10:23 AM

I want to know who is hoarding all of the cases (hobby and jumbo). I don’t think hobby is available through any of the big 3. There has to be thousands of these still left unopened, yet so few openly available?

blackbears86 · 03-27-2019, 10:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zauron

Good lord, I should have tried to get more when these were dirt cheap for $500 a case. I should have bought 5 cases of this stuff to just sit and reap in the profits. I didn't think it would increase this much so soon though. We are talking about a $30 per box increase in 4 months.

It's also surprising how quickly this is drying up. It's not like topps didn't print a TON of this, but blowout has no hobby boxes in stock (and hasn't for quite some time)

Another major seller has no hobby in stock either. The third major seller has them for $79 a box.

blackbears86 · 03-27-2019, 10:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KhalDrogo

I want to know who is hoarding all of the cases (hobby and jumbo). I don’t think hobby is available through any of the big 3. There has to be thousands of these still left unopened, yet so few openly available?

I'm thinking there's plenty of people hoarding. I can't compare others, but personally I am sitting on half a case of hobby.

as far as availability, one seller of the "big three" still has hobby in stock. (and they have 8 boxes left)

CapeTownCards · 03-27-2019, 10:37 AM

Ooooh I remember buying my cases on the Black Friday specials for $499...
Nice ROI already ��

blackbears86 · 03-27-2019, 10:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CapeTownCards

Ooooh I remember buying my cases on the Black Friday specials for $499...
Nice ROI already ��

smart buy! Did you bust it?

KhalDrogo · 03-27-2019, 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackbears86

I'm thinking there's plenty of people hoarding. I can't compare others, but personally I am sitting on half a case of hobby.

as far as availability, one seller of the "big three" still has hobby in stock. (and they have 8 boxes left)

Oh, I know there are people hoarding. I just want to know who it is. Are distributors still holding on to this stuff? Or is it major retailers waiting to see what happens with the season starting?

CapeTownCards · 03-27-2019, 10:44 AM

No I busted one case, but kept 2 x hobby and 3 x jumbo cases sealed.

ThoseBackPages · 03-27-2019, 10:50 AM

2019 being weak is only helping 2018

beauspencer · 03-27-2019, 11:00 AM

I'm sitting on a hobby case and a blaster case.

griffan15 · 03-27-2019, 11:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KhalDrogo

I want to know who is hoarding all of the cases (hobby and jumbo). I don’t think hobby is available through any of the big 3. There has to be thousands of these still left unopened, yet so few openly available?

You have no idea what's in warehouses.....no idea. And I'm not talking about 2018 Update either.

I was able to look around a few weeks ago in one of the warehouse bays of BO and I was floored.

Stuff that hasn't surfaced in years??? They have pallets of it. Nothing is FS either.

blackbears86 · 03-27-2019, 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KhalDrogo

Oh, I know there are people hoarding. I just want to know who it is. Are distributors still holding on to this stuff? Or is it major retailers waiting to see what happens with the season starting?

That's a tough question.

You would think if blowout and "the other big seller in NY" had hobby in stock, they would be for sale, but who knows? I Can't answer the question on distributors as I have no connections.

I did buy into the hype: just picked up 2 more hobby boxes at $75 per.

blackbears86 · 03-27-2019, 11:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by griffan15

You have no idea what's in warehouses.....no idea. And I'm not talking about 2018 Update either.

I was able to look around a few weeks ago in one of the warehouse bays of BO and I was floored.

Stuff that hasn't surfaced in years??? They have pallets of it. Nothing is FS either.

what did you see? piles of 2014 update? tell us!

blackbears86 · 03-27-2019, 11:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CapeTownCards

No I busted one case, but kept 2 x hobby and 3 x jumbo cases sealed.

nice stash!

crazy4kinsler · 03-27-2019, 11:07 AM

Yes I was talking about 2018 becuase that's what this thread is about. I mentioned 2019 talking about Series 1 being better in hobby boxes versus jumbo. Was curious about 2018 Update if hobby was better or if jumbo was better. I have access to either one.

Is hobby or jumbo better with the 18? I know in 19 the hobby were better, but was curious about 18 Topps Update. I have a chance to get both right now and want to buy some to set on.

blackbears86 · 03-27-2019, 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crazy4kinsler

Is hobby or jumbo better with the 18? I know in 19 the hobby were better, but was curious about 18 Topps Update. I have a chance to get both right now and want to buy some to set on.

Hobby. This has been discussed extensively. Go with hobby if you have a choice!

Edit: I think you meant 2018 update as 2019 is not out yet.

griffan15 · 03-27-2019, 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackbears86

what did you see? piles of 2014 update? tell us!

Much, much better. Single boxes that sell for $1200/ea.....pallet worth.

Zauron · 03-27-2019, 12:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by griffan15

Much, much better. Single boxes that sell for $1200/ea.....pallet worth.

2009 Bowman Draft?

I'm sure there is a whole lot more, but that would top my mind in regards to stuff at about that price range.

pewe · 03-27-2019, 12:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackbears86

That's a tough question.

You would think if blowout and "the other big seller in NY" had hobby in stock, they would be for sale, but who knows? I Can't answer the question on distributors as I have no connections.

I did buy into the hype: just picked up 2 more hobby boxes at $75 per.

Crazy right?!? I cleaned out eBay with the 10% bucks on anything <$70/box delivered earlier today - there were only 6 boxes like that. The lowest now seems to be $75 or someone at $69.99 + tax (for me that made it ~$75).

03-27-2019, 09:12 AM	#1
GoNYGoNYGo Banned Join Date: Dec 2018 Location: Norfolk MA Posts: 3,316	What is a good price for 2018 Topps Update? Hey everyone - I was thinking about buying a box or two of 2018 Topps update from my LCS - he has them at $70 a box is that a good price? Do you think it is worth it? I would love to hear feedback from everyone! I am pretty sure he has 2018 Series 1 & 2 as well - are either of those better buys? Thanks!

03-27-2019, 09:46 AM	#2
ThoseBackPages Member Join Date: Feb 2010 Location: Long Island Posts: 90,338 ThoseBackPages	yes, buy him out of Update __________________ Pumpers Paradise #YouCryIBuy Four things that we cannot change each others minds about: Politics, Religion, Third Party Grading, and 2021 Bowman's Best Rookie Cards

03-27-2019, 10:13 AM	#6
Zauron Member Join Date: Aug 2013 Location: Houston, TX Posts: 5,607	Good lord, I should have tried to get more when these were dirt cheap for $500 a case. I should have bought 5 cases of this stuff to just sit and reap in the profits. I didn't think it would increase this much so soon though. We are talking about a $30 per box increase in 4 months. __________________ Champ Bailey Collector! Currently: 909/2602 hermanotarjeta: You've been BRIOSED!!!!!!!!!

03-27-2019, 10:23 AM	#8
KhalDrogo Member Join Date: Aug 2017 Posts: 41,328	I want to know who is hoarding all of the cases (hobby and jumbo). I don’t think hobby is available through any of the big 3. There has to be thousands of these still left unopened, yet so few openly available? __________________ I love PSA!

03-27-2019, 10:50 AM	#15
ThoseBackPages Member Join Date: Feb 2010 Location: Long Island Posts: 90,338 ThoseBackPages	2019 being weak is only helping 2018 __________________ Pumpers Paradise #YouCryIBuy Four things that we cannot change each others minds about: Politics, Religion, Third Party Grading, and 2021 Bowman's Best Rookie Cards

03-27-2019, 10:08 AM	#4
WKUMICHIGANFAN Member Join Date: Feb 2019 Location: York PA Posts: 407 dtowncards	The Update hype train is coming..... all aboard!!!!

03-27-2019, 10:09 AM	#5
blackbears86 Member Join Date: Apr 2011 Location: maine Posts: 17,193 blackbears86	I know I shouldn't be surprised, but it's amazing to look back at update and see how quickly it's risen over the last 6 weeks. I remember buying this for $42 a box back in one of the "waves" late last year. If Soto/Acuna both do well out of the gate, it wouldn't shock me to see this hit $100 a box for hobby.

03-27-2019, 10:17 AM	#7
GoNYGoNYGo Banned Join Date: Dec 2018 Location: Norfolk MA Posts: 3,316	Thanks for the feedback everyone - I think he said he has 4 boxes maybe I will pick them up and rip 2 and hold 2 (until I get bored and end up ripping them too). I have had very little success holding onto unopened was haha.

03-27-2019, 10:37 AM	#11
CapeTownCards Member Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 1,572	Ooooh I remember buying my cases on the Black Friday specials for $499... Nice ROI already ��

03-27-2019, 10:44 AM	#14
CapeTownCards Member Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 1,572	No I busted one case, but kept 2 x hobby and 3 x jumbo cases sealed.

03-27-2019, 11:00 AM	#16
beauspencer Member Join Date: Aug 2013 Location: Madison, WI Posts: 1,576 onemillioncubs	I'm sitting on a hobby case and a blaster case. __________________ Madison (WI) Card Show - Saturday, December 27, at Alliant Energy Center. 250 dealer tables. Sports & Pokemon separated.

03-27-2019, 11:07 AM	#21
crazy4kinsler Member Join Date: Jan 2012 Location: Texas Posts: 16,457	Yes I was talking about 2018 becuase that's what this thread is about. I mentioned 2019 talking about Series 1 being better in hobby boxes versus jumbo. Was curious about 2018 Update if hobby was better or if jumbo was better. I have access to either one. Is hobby or jumbo better with the 18? I know in 19 the hobby were better, but was curious about 18 Topps Update. I have a chance to get both right now and want to buy some to set on. Last edited by crazy4kinsler; 03-27-2019 at 01:31 PM.