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Old 09-13-2015, 12:33 AM   #1
eskheadfaker
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Default my parlay cards for week 1

lines are all different due to type of card..... could be a big week one

card 1-
packers +2.5
bears +17.5
chiefs +10.5
dolphins +6.5
bucs +6.5
giants +17.5

card 2-
packers -1.5
chiefs +6.5
colts +3.5
dolphins +2.5
broncos +2.5

card 3-
packers -7.5
chiefs +1.5
dolphins -4.5

card 4 (the big one if i go 7/7)
packers -7.5
chiefs +1.5
colts -2.5
dolphins -4.5
broncos -4.5
cowboys -6.5
vikings -2.5
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Old 09-13-2015, 12:41 AM   #2
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http://www.blowoutcards.com/forums/f...ly-thread.html

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Old 09-13-2015, 01:24 AM   #3
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I disagree with your betting strategy.. If packers lose by 3, chiefs lose by 11, or dolphins lose by 7 you lose on every ticket. Not too mention those are all road games. I guess I just don't understand the point of doing four parlay's that are nearly identical.
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Old 09-13-2015, 02:20 AM   #4
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I don't see the Packers losing but I'm not exactly crazy about the (-7.5) in such a rivalry game (even though they should pull it out). I didn't go near the Chiefs/Texans game as I think it could easily go either way. If Peyton is good the Broncos should be okay but from what I've read about his arm strength and fingertips it worries me. I did side with the Colts (-2.5) but I could see Shady (if he plays) against Indys weak DEF along with that amazing DEF of the Bills with Rex vs. Indy weak O-line it pulling the upset somehow.
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Old 09-13-2015, 08:00 AM   #5
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Originally Posted by Jay9Suited View Post
I disagree with your betting strategy.. If packers lose by 3, chiefs lose by 11, or dolphins lose by 7 you lose on every ticket. Not too mention those are all road games. I guess I just don't understand the point of doing four parlay's that are nearly identical.
I think the Packers chiefs and dolphins will win. Let alone lose by a crtian amount of points. So I'll take the chance and put them on every card. Plus all I need is to win 1 card to make my initial bet back
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Old 09-13-2015, 08:06 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by chris43 View Post
I don't see the Packers losing but I'm not exactly crazy about the (-7.5) in such a rivalry game (even though they should pull it out). I didn't go near the Chiefs/Texans game as I think it could easily go either way. If Peyton is good the Broncos should be okay but from what I've read about his arm strength and fingertips it worries me. I did side with the Colts (-2.5) but I could see Shady (if he plays) against Indys weak DEF along with that amazing DEF of the Bills with Rex vs. Indy weak O-line it pulling the upset somehow.

My thinking in a nutshell

Gb has too much firepower
The chiefs have jamaal charles and the Texans have a nobody qb
Peyton can put up 4 tds any week
The colts (my opinion) will be the best team I'm tge leauge this year. Going against trod taylor in his firs start w the bills, Mccoy could go for over 100 yard, but the Colts will still win


Plus it's not like a bet a ton of money. Just something to give the games a little more favor lol
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Old 09-13-2015, 08:49 AM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eskheadfaker View Post
My thinking in a nutshell

Gb has too much firepower
The chiefs have jamaal charles and the Texans have a nobody qb
Peyton can put up 4 tds any week
The colts (my opinion) will be the best team I'm tge leauge this year. Going against trod taylor in his firs start w the bills, Mccoy could go for over 100 yard, but the Colts will still win


Plus it's not like a bet a ton of money. Just something to give the games a little more favor lol
GB does not have "too much firepower". Their #1 WR is out for the season. Randall Cobb has never played as the #1 in the GB offense and attracted the majority of coverage attention.
Quote:
Per roto:

Randall Cobb's (shoulder) range of motion is still limited.

Cobb is dealing with a sprained AC joint in his right shoulder. "I have to deal with this for a few weeks," Cobb said. "That's part of it." Cobb is clearly less than 100 percent, but he will be on the field against the Bears.
On top of that the rest of the corp rounds out as Janis, Adams, and Richard Rodgers. Adams and Rodgers have existed in an offense where they were the 4th options, never have they been 2nd options. There is potential, but there is nothing that is surefire.

I don't think Chicago will win, but I have seen many odd things in the NFL. Public money in on Green Bay and that line has barely moved. That means the sharps are pushing money on Chicago.

Houston has Hopkins, Cecil Shorts, and Strong at WR, plus a DL that would scare the best OL in the NFL. Hoyer is not a bad QB and will be able to get the ball to his WRs. I am on KC as well, but it is not a given. I am on them because they win 60% of the time according to my algo.

Peyton in 2013 could put up 4 TD any week. After watching him struggle to finish the 14 season and in the 2015 preseason I don't trust him. Ravens are one of 2 teams that have beat Manning at home in Denver.

The Colts could have a bottom 10 defense. The Bills have a top 5 defense. Tyrod Taylor is the type of QB that can give the Colts fits. I have the Colts losing this one outright.
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Old 09-13-2015, 08:53 AM   #8
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From PFT this morning.

Quote:
Randall Cobb still bothered by shoulder, not 100 percent

Posted by Darin Gantt on September 13, 2015, 9:00 AM EDT

Randall Cobb
AP

The Packers declared it a virtual certainty that wide receiver Randall Cobb would play today when they made him probable.

But he’s certainly not 100 percent yet.

According to Bob Holtzman of ESPN, the Packers wideout will play today against the Bears, but will wear extra protection for his injured shoulder. He admitted it was still painful, making it hard for him to sleep.

The Packers obviously need Cobb in the lineup, after losing Jordy Nelson for the season to a torn ACL. But if Cobb can’t even rest without pain in his shoulder, it will be interesting to see how effective he can be on the field.
Cobb struggling sleeping, and with motion in his arms. Pretty sure fatigue and range of motion are a big necessity if you are a WR. If he isn't 100% expect the Chicago LB,CB,and S to test him with big hits.
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Old 09-13-2015, 08:59 AM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eskheadfaker View Post
lines are all different due to type of card..... could be a big week one

card 1-
packers +2.5
bears +17.5

chiefs +10.5
dolphins +6.5
bucs +6.5
giants +17.5
Don't these two play each other? I guess I'm confused. You got the Packers +2 1/2 and also the Bears +17 1/2? How does that work?
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Old 09-13-2015, 09:00 AM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eskheadfaker View Post
lines are all different due to type of card..... could be a big week one

card 1-
packers +2.5
bears +17.5
chiefs +10.5
dolphins +6.5
bucs +6.5
giants +17.5

card 2-
packers -1.5
chiefs +6.5
colts +3.5
dolphins +2.5
broncos +2.5

card 3-
packers -7.5
chiefs +1.5
dolphins -4.5

card 4 (the big one if i go 7/7)
packers -7.5
chiefs +1.5
colts -2.5
dolphins -4.5
broncos -4.5
cowboys -6.5
vikings -2.5
Based on your spreads you must have bought alot of points so I get the need to have so many parlays because you wouldnt make any money if you hit 3-4 with the amount of points you bought. How you got Chicago to 17.5 proves this.
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Old 09-13-2015, 09:04 AM   #11
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Originally Posted by briscogun View Post
Don't these two play each other? I guess I'm confused. You got the Packers +2 1/2 and also the Bears +17 1/2? How does that work?
He expects a Packers win so that means he expects the Packers to win, but not beat Chicago by more than 17.

It is an odd addition because one leg of the parlay semi-contradicts another leg.
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Old 09-13-2015, 09:05 AM   #12
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Originally Posted by nickha2 View Post
Based on your spreads you must have bought alot of points so I get the need to have so many parlays because you wouldnt make any money if you hit 3-4 with the amount of points you bought. How you got Chicago to 17.5 proves this.
Yeah odds on some of these have to be ugly. Don't know why people play teasers. Cap the games and make 1-6 ATS bets.
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Old 09-13-2015, 06:08 PM   #13
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Parlays are for suckers. Pick 1 team and just go big
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Old 09-13-2015, 06:14 PM   #14
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Parlays are for suckers. Pick 1 team and just go big
in delaware only way to bet in the casino is parlay.... and i won so im not complaining
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Old 09-13-2015, 06:18 PM   #15
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Congrats then. About 30 years ago (pre Internet) my dad used to
Bring these parlay cards home from work. It was fun but I never won
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Old 09-13-2015, 06:21 PM   #16
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these aren't parlays they're teasers. what odds did you get on them?
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Old 09-13-2015, 07:11 PM   #17
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Sure was a big week 1.........lol
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Old 09-13-2015, 07:30 PM   #18
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Originally Posted by eskheadfaker View Post
in delaware only way to bet in the casino is parlay.... and i won so im not complaining
I'm sorry but how did you exactly "win"? You lost 3/4 of the plays, unless I am missing something (or the odds on the one you hit payed off fairly well).
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Old 09-13-2015, 07:33 PM   #19
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I'm sorry but how did you exactly "win"? You lost 3/4 of the plays, unless I am missing something (or the odds on the one you hit payed off fairly well).
yes, i paid 5 bucks per card, but on the 1 card i won i won 32.50
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Old 09-13-2015, 07:36 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eaglescubs555 View Post
I'm sorry but how did you exactly "win"? You lost 3/4 of the plays, unless I am missing something (or the odds on the one you hit payed off fairly well).
parlays don't pay off 1:1 "even" money

non teasers 4 team parlays can pay 10:1
3 teamers can pay 6:1
2 teamers pay 13/5
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Old 09-13-2015, 07:41 PM   #21
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Originally Posted by eskheadfaker View Post
yes, i paid 5 bucks per card, but on the 1 card i won i won 32.50
Ahh I see, I didn't know if you had put a bigger wager on one or not.
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Old 09-13-2015, 07:42 PM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eskheadfaker View Post
yes, i paid 5 bucks per card, but on the 1 card i won i won 32.50
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