NBA Top Shot - High Risk, High Reward? - Page 551

pyrexswerve · 05-10-2021, 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by discodanman45

Is anyone actually spending $150 on these packs today? I am probably just going to get the rebound pack.

How do you think you will be certain you will get a rebound pack?
If you are in the #'s to buy the $150 pack, you have to buy that pack or pass.
When you re-enter the queue, I doubt you'll have a # that allows you to get a rebound back.

Also, to answer your question, I will be purchasing one if I make the queue.

pyrexswerve · 05-10-2021, 10:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bruvydsb

I still say losing money on the pack will be unlikely. Possible, but unlikely.

I mean if that #'d to 1800 isn't a top player, we would have to get a super low serial of a common to remotely get any of that money back. I'll be purchasing too, if i get a chance, so hopefully we both have some luck!

MattSobel2 · 05-10-2021, 10:09 AM

They said only 150k people qualified. So everyone should have a better than a 50% chance cause no way everyone who qualifies enters, and everybody in que is guarenteed atleast a rebound pack.

whodatbeastly16 · 05-10-2021, 10:13 AM

I did not qualify

pyrexswerve · 05-10-2021, 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MattSobel2

They said only 150k people qualified. So everyone should have a better than a 50% chance cause no way everyone who qualifies enters, and everybody in que is guarenteed atleast a rebound pack.

Got it.

Bruvydsb · 05-10-2021, 10:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pyrexswerve

I mean if that #'d to 1800 isn't a top player, we would have to get a super low serial of a common to remotely get any of that money back. I'll be purchasing too, if i get a chance, so hopefully we both have some luck!

I'm also assuming the person hitting a subpar player is smart enough to not sell right away, but wait for that moment to be included in a challenge.

discodanman45 · 05-10-2021, 10:20 AM

TopShot really needs to be careful of all these drops. Each time a drop happens the market has to absorb the value of these moments. This drop has a market value of $10 million or more. Then we have another drop this week.

MattSobel2 · 05-10-2021, 10:22 AM

they should make drops less moments to maintain value, maybe make common drops 2 moments per. Make Rare drops the Rare Moment plus 3-4 as it costs a lot more and then as you go up you get more moments.

Wizkid · 05-10-2021, 10:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MattSobel2

They said only 150k people qualified. So everyone should have a better than a 50% chance cause no way everyone who qualifies enters, and everybody in que is guarenteed atleast a rebound pack.

Since I haven't successfully hit on any of the queues since Seeing Stars, even a 50% chance feels like the odds are stacked against me

Crossing fingers though....

yiguiri2002 · 05-10-2021, 10:26 AM

I don't think these will have a negative EV but there are gonna be tons of packs that are losers.

discodanman45 · 05-10-2021, 10:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wizkid

Since I haven't successfully hit on any of the queues since Seeing Stars, even a 50% chance feels like the odds are stacked against me

Crossing fingers though....

Stay in the queue even if you are 100,000. Many people are not buying this drop. People understand breaking even is not guaranteed for this. Good luck!!!

sandlotsportcards · 05-10-2021, 10:34 AM

I missed qualifying by 2 points. Outside of the recent guaranteed packs I have had terrible luck getting packs. I have some moments I am still wanting to purchase but I am slowly losing interest in TS.

Wildcat55 · 05-10-2021, 11:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by yiguiri2002

I don't think these will have a negative EV but there are gonna be tons of packs that are losers.

I think a lot of the EV will fall on the commons. TS would have to include a /4000 moment with the /35K’s and /12k’s to make this worth it. The /4000 moments average about $40-50, unless you get the Josh McDermott which is $22. Without a /4000 moment, there will be a ton of losers to your point.

Bruvydsb · 05-10-2021, 11:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wildcat55

I think a lot of the EV will fall on the commons. TS would have to include a /4000 moment with the /35K’s and /12k’s to make this worth it. The /4000 moments average about $40-50, unless you get the Josh McDermott which is $22. Without a /4000 moment, there will be a ton of losers to your point.

Also chances of low serials on each of the 5 commons.

ClipsandVols · 05-10-2021, 11:46 AM

I appreciate the reverse pumping fellas. Keep em out of the queue!

Wizkid · 05-10-2021, 11:56 AM

I wish they would start the drop sooner than 5pm Eastern. If you don't get a good #, it seriously impacts your evening.

hoopstaj · 05-10-2021, 12:15 PM

Submitted first withdrawal for cash. For those that did ETH, what platforms were accepted?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

cp312 · 05-10-2021, 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoopstaj

Submitted first withdrawal for cash. For those that did ETH, what platforms were accepted?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

You have to use Ethereum network to withdraw your cash? Fees on there are worse than wire transfers right now

jcardstore · 05-10-2021, 12:38 PM

Gas fees on Ethereum are crazy right now

MattSobel2 · 05-10-2021, 12:38 PM

How do you withdraw? I signed up through gmail and it doesn't let me withdraw. Says takes 6-8 to process accounts but I never tried to withdraw before and doesnt give the option. Just pops up with that

hoopstaj · 05-10-2021, 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cp312

You have to use Ethereum network to withdraw your cash? Fees on there are worse than wire transfers right now

No, sorry I entered a cash withdrawal but was wondering if I wanted to do ETH also or in future if there were certain wallets that had to be used or platforms not allowed (Binance, Coinbase, etc.)

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

mossoholic · 05-10-2021, 12:50 PM

Can someone explain to me why idiots wouldn't lower their prices on the Hustle and Flow moments today? I wanted to do the challenge and looked all the way up until about noon. Now prices are less than 1/3rd what they were. Why wouldn't these guys take around $20 a card when now they are all $6-$14? Around noon every card was I think $22-$33.

b2k1121 · 05-10-2021, 12:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mossoholic

Can someone explain to me why idiots wouldn't lower their prices on the Hustle and Flow moments today? I wanted to do the challenge and looked all the way up until about noon. Now prices are less than 1/3rd what they were. Why wouldn't these guys take around $20 a card when now they are all $6-$14? Around noon every card was I think $22-$33.

I was watching this too and was surprised how many people held their one moment from the pack. There are still almost 77k people holding just 1 Hustle and Show moment. I'm sure a lot of people forgot, but I don't think 77k forgot. I don't know what's going on there.

discodanman45 · 05-10-2021, 12:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mossoholic

Can someone explain to me why idiots wouldn't lower their prices on the Hustle and Flow moments today? I wanted to do the challenge and looked all the way up until about noon. Now prices are less than 1/3rd what they were. Why wouldn't these guys take around $20 a card when now they are all $6-$14? Around noon every card was I think $22-$33.

The majority of users just post things for sale and don't check it. As soon as challenges are complete, the people that completed them unload them ASAP and undercut each other in a rush to the bottom. The prices will slowly go up and stabilize somewhere between the low price and the price before the challenge ended. The prices you are seeing are from the active users.

cp312 · 05-10-2021, 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoopstaj

No, sorry I entered a cash withdrawal but was wondering if I wanted to do ETH also or in future if there were certain wallets that had to be used or platforms not allowed (Binance, Coinbase, etc.)

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

No it would just need to be withdrawn to an ETH address, they can't specify by platform/wallet because that's not how blockchain works. Though if they were smarter they would use USDC on a different blockchain like Binance Smart Chain or Polygon so you would only pay like 50 cents for the transaction.

Personally I'd recommend never using ETH to withdraw off there, every time you send a transaction on there it is gonna cost you like $25 so might as well wire transfer/cash withdraw

05-10-2021, 10:20 AM	#13757
discodanman45 Member Join Date: Jun 2020 Location: CA Posts: 9,673 danch27	TopShot really needs to be careful of all these drops. Each time a drop happens the market has to absorb the value of these moments. This drop has a market value of $10 million or more. Then we have another drop this week. __________________ Updating my entire collection on Card Ladder. Lots to go... https://www.cardladder.com/showcase/IOBB7AY2qTVVKSgU9Aqj02kfF4I3

05-10-2021, 10:26 AM	#13760
yiguiri2002 Member Join Date: Apr 2015 Location: Torrance, CA Posts: 12,354 afigueroaquevedo2002 yiguiri2002	I don't think these will have a negative EV but there are gonna be tons of packs that are losers. __________________ Basketball Sets: Threads Century Greats Jerseys - Innovation Stat Line Jerseys Soccer Sets: 2018 World Cup Prizm Peru Parallels - 2015 Select Soccer Peru Parallels Players: Red Bulls Parallels, 17-18 Thibs Prizms, Soccer Legends Autos

05-10-2021, 11:46 AM	#13765
ClipsandVols Member Join Date: May 2017 Posts: 3,757 ClipsandVols	I appreciate the reverse pumping fellas. Keep em out of the queue! __________________ I don’t expect apologies because I know there is too much ego and pride in the human race- Gabriel Seraf

05-10-2021, 12:15 PM	#13767
hoopstaj Member Join Date: Mar 2015 Location: Santa Monica Posts: 1,220 hoopstaj hoopstaj	Submitted first withdrawal for cash. For those that did ETH, what platforms were accepted? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk __________________ Ty Lawson and Kobe Bryant PC https://sportscardalbum.com/u/hoopstaj

05-10-2021, 12:38 PM	#13769
jcardstore Member Join Date: Mar 2014 Posts: 21,749 Jcardstore	Gas fees on Ethereum are crazy right now __________________ Just moonwalking through hell on my last brain cell

05-10-2021, 10:09 AM	#13753
MattSobel2 Member Join Date: Jan 2012 Location: Boca Raton Posts: 1,626	They said only 150k people qualified. So everyone should have a better than a 50% chance cause no way everyone who qualifies enters, and everybody in que is guarenteed atleast a rebound pack.

05-10-2021, 10:13 AM	#13754
whodatbeastly16 Member Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 3,896	I did not qualify

05-10-2021, 10:22 AM	#13758
MattSobel2 Member Join Date: Jan 2012 Location: Boca Raton Posts: 1,626	they should make drops less moments to maintain value, maybe make common drops 2 moments per. Make Rare drops the Rare Moment plus 3-4 as it costs a lot more and then as you go up you get more moments.

05-10-2021, 10:34 AM	#13762
sandlotsportcards Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Massillon Ohio Posts: 3,111 sandlotsportcards nkirkbride	I missed qualifying by 2 points. Outside of the recent guaranteed packs I have had terrible luck getting packs. I have some moments I am still wanting to purchase but I am slowly losing interest in TS.

05-10-2021, 11:56 AM	#13766
Wizkid Member Join Date: Mar 2021 Posts: 187	I wish they would start the drop sooner than 5pm Eastern. If you don't get a good #, it seriously impacts your evening.

05-10-2021, 12:38 PM	#13770
MattSobel2 Member Join Date: Jan 2012 Location: Boca Raton Posts: 1,626	How do you withdraw? I signed up through gmail and it doesn't let me withdraw. Says takes 6-8 to process accounts but I never tried to withdraw before and doesnt give the option. Just pops up with that

05-10-2021, 12:50 PM	#13772
mossoholic Member Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 6,287	Can someone explain to me why idiots wouldn't lower their prices on the Hustle and Flow moments today? I wanted to do the challenge and looked all the way up until about noon. Now prices are less than 1/3rd what they were. Why wouldn't these guys take around $20 a card when now they are all $6-$14? Around noon every card was I think $22-$33.